development and simulation of recharge scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions suwannee river intro data...

65
Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to Enhance Springflow Joshua “Bud” Davis, PhD 1 Lisa Baker, PE 2 Rachel Pieschek, PE 1 1 Drummond Carpenter, PLLC, Orlando, FL 32817 2 Locklear and Associates, Inc., Gainesville, FL 32606 1 2019 Florida Stormwater Assoc. Annual Conference 6/20/19

Upload: others

Post on 09-Oct-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to Enhance Springflow

Joshua “Bud” Davis, PhD1

Lisa Baker, PE2

Rachel Pieschek, PE1

1Drummond Carpenter, PLLC, Orlando, FL 328172Locklear and Associates, Inc., Gainesville, FL 32606

12019 Florida Stormwater Assoc. Annual Conference6/20/19

Page 2: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Introduction

2

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 3: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Focus Sites

3

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Lower Suwannee

Cow Pond

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 4: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Ditching and Draining

4

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 5: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Ditching and Draining

5

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 6: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Ditching and Draining

6

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 7: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Motivation

restore ponds and wetlandswildlife habitataquifer rechargeenhance springflowreduce direct runoff

7

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 8: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Current Status

developed ICPR v4 modeltwo dimensionalcoupled groundwater/surface watercalibrated

applied restoration testingfuture works

informed stakeholder engagementmodel extension

8

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 9: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Area of Interest: Lower Suwannee

flat topographylower suwannee: 3-45 asl

9

railroad grade

drainage channel

outlet

paleo-avulsions

SuwanneeRiver

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 10: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Water Level Monitoring

10

Page 11: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Water Level Monitoring

11Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 12: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Water Level Monitoring

12

Non-continuous 10/2017 Continuous 7/1/2018

SRWMD

SR

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 13: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Water Level Monitoring

13

Summer Flooding

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 14: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Summer Flooding

14

Dixie Co. Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 15: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Summer Flooding

15

Dixie Co. Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 16: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Summer Flooding

16

Dixie Co.

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 17: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Summer Flooding

17

Dixie Co.

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 18: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Summer Flooding

18

Dixie Co. Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 19: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Summer Flooding

19

Dixie Co. Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 20: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Summer Flooding

20

Dixie Co. Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 21: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Water Level Monitoring

21

December Flooding

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 22: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

December Flooding

22

Dixie Co. Drummond Carpenter

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 23: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

December Flooding

23

Dixie Co. Drummond Carpenter

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 24: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

December Flooding

24

Dixie Co. Drummond Carpenter

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 25: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

December Flooding

25

Dixie Co. Drummond Carpenter

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 26: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Surveying

26

Page 27: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Surveying

27

Locklear Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 28: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Channel Restoration

clearing effort between 06/2018 and 09/2018

28

SRWMD

Dixie Co.

Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 29: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Channel Restoration

clearing effort between 06/2018 and 09/2018

29

SRWMD

Dixie Co.

Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 30: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Channel Restoration

clearing effort between 06/2018 and 09/2018

30

SRWMD

Dixie Co.

Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 31: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Precipitation Data

31

December FloodingSummer Flooding

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 32: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Precipitation Data

32Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 33: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Precipitation Data – July to Sep.

33Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 34: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Precipitation Data – Nov. to Jan.

34Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 35: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Calibration Period

35

December Flooding

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 36: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Calibration Period

36

2018 2019Today

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun

6/26/2018 - 6/20/2019Continuous GW Monitoring

7/22/2018 - 9/12/2018Summer Flooding

12/14/2018 - 12/29/2018December Flooding

6/24/2018 - 9/28/2018Channel Clearing

8/1/2018 - 9/30/2018Low Qual. Precip.

12/1/2018 - 12/22/2018Current Calibration Period

12/1/2018 - 5/1/2019Target Calibration Period

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 37: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Water Level Monitoring

37

December Flooding

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 38: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Water Level Monitoring

38Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 39: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Water Level Monitoring

39

Page 40: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

ICPR v4 Model

40

280 nodes300 linkscoupled groundwater and surface waterspatially varying subsurface conditionstime-varying boundary conditions surface water mesh

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 41: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

ICPR v4 Model

41

280 nodes300 linkscoupled groundwater and surface waterspatially varying subsurface conditionstime-varying boundary conditions groundwater mesh

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 42: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration

boundary conditionsroughness

green-ampt parametershydraulic conductivity

effective porosity42

Page 43: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration

43

(Marsalek et al, 1975)

Page 44: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration

44

Page 45: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration

45

Locklear

Page 46: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Calibration

46Intro Data Model Results Application

Drummond Carpenter

Page 47: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration

47

Page 48: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Calibration

48Intro Data Model Results Application

roughness – landusega – web soil surveyhyd. cond. – slug testseff. porosity – 0.10 to 0.25

Page 49: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration Results

49

(Marsalek et al, 1975)

Page 50: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration Results – 18% Error

50

0.35 ft

Page 51: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration Results

51

(Marsalek et al, 1975)

Page 52: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration Results – 4% Error

52

0.2 ft

Page 53: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration Results

53

(Marsalek et al, 1975)

Page 54: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Calibration Results – 4% Error

54

0.1 ft

Page 55: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Modeling Results

55

12/1/2018

0 45

Intro Data Model Results Application

ft

Page 56: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Modeling Results

56

12/21/2018

Intro Data Model Results Application

0 45ft

Page 57: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Intro Data Model Results Application

Modeling Results

57

12/21/2018

0 14.3ft

Page 58: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Model Application

58

Locklear

Intro Data Model Results Application

B

A

C D

Page 59: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Model Application

59Intro Data Model Results Application

A

B

C D

Page 60: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Model Application

60Intro Data Model Results Application

DC

B

A

Page 61: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Model Application – Design Storms

61

Dixie Co. 100YR_024HR

Intro Data Model Results Application

A B C D

Page 62: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Model Application - Continuous

comparison with calibrated model

800,000 sq. ft. in new recharge area

additional 150 mgd of recharge over period

62

Dixie Co. Dec. Floods

Intro Data Model Results Application

B

C D

A

Page 63: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

long-period calibrationrestoration design testingstakeholder engagementmodel extension/connection

Future Works

63Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 64: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Conclusions

developed ICPR v4 modeltwo dimensionalcoupled groundwater/surface waterprelim. calibrated

applied restoration testingrecharge opportunities

64

Natural North Florida

Dixie Co. Chamber

SRWMD

Intro Data Model Results Application

Page 65: Development and Simulation of Recharge Scenarios to ......paleo-avulsions Suwannee River Intro Data Model Results Application. Intro Data Model Results Application Water Level Monitoring

Questions?Special thanks to:

65Intro Data Model Results Application

DCRachel Pieschek Don Carpenter Chad DrummondRyan Hupfer

LocklearLisa Baker John Locklear Walker Wrenn Jered Lizotte

Dixie CoTim Alexander Duane Cannon

SRWMDBob HeekeFay Baird