development and introduction of jr east version of the 4m4e analysis method ken kusukami, ryoichi...
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Development and Introduction of JR East Version of the 4M4E Analysis Method
Ken KUSUKAMI, Ryoichi IMATA
Safety Research LaboratoryResearch and Development Center of JR East Group
East Japan Railway Company
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East Japan Railway CompanyEast Japan Railway CompanySafety Research LaboratorySafety Research Laboratory
Background of introducing 4M4E analysis method
zero death or injury of customers zero death of employees (including employees of group companies)
Safety Plan 2008
Prevention of accidents
Event of threatening this target = incidentincident
• Accurate analysis of incidentsincidents• Identification of lessons from themIdentification of lessons from them
4M4E analysis method4M4E analysis method
important
Method of solutions
Most of incidents arecaused by human errors
Accident analysis method fromhuman factors’ viewpoint
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It is important to identify• contributing factors of the error• lessons of the incident• appropriate measures
Problems of accident and human error analysis
1. Consider a human error as an accident cause and stop analysis
Overlook the important factors
4M4E analysis method4M4E analysis method
even if not so
2. Think cause of the error superficially (lack of attention, lazy, etc.)
Take inappropriate measures
Repeat the same kind of incidents
Finally an accident occurs
originated as the accident investigation method of NTSB
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Perspectives of 4M4E analysis method
4M:perspectives of contributing factors of errors
4E:Perspectives of measures for preventing errors
4E4EMan (humans)Man (humans)
•Inadequacy of knowledge and skills•Inadequacy of sensitivity to danger, etc
Machine (things)Machine (things)•Difficulty of work and machine operation•Inadequate design of system and equipment,etc
Media (environment)Media (environment)•Limitation of work space•Poor working environment such as lighting and noise, etc
Management (control)Management (control)•Inadequacy of plans, instructions and notices•Insufficiency of cooperation between organizations, etc
Education (humans)Education (humans)•Education of rules and training of skills •Improvement of safety consciousness, etc
Engineering (things)Engineering (things)•Improvement of functions of trains, equipment, and machines•Redesign of human interface, etc
Environment (media)Environment (media)•Improvement of lighting and noise abatement•Improvement of footing and flooring, etc
Enforcement (control)Enforcement (control)•Review of work system and allocation of roles•Review of working procedures and methods, etc
4M4M
Note: The general practice is to use “Example”“Example” instead of “Environment”“Environment”, but JR East has adopted “Environment”“Environment” to better integrate with Man, Machine, Media and Management in 4M
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4M4E analysis
Basic procedure of 4M4E analysis method
Step1 Time Series Analysis
Step2 4M Cause-Tracing Analysis
Step3 4E Solution-Tracing Analysis
Determination of Measures
find problems (errors)
identification of essence of contributing factors
Incident occursIncident occurs
Implement the measuresImplement the measures
describing a process of an incident in time seriesand find problems (errors)
identifying factors and seeking the essence of the factorin the perspective of 4M
considering and concretizingmeasures for the essence of thefactors in the perspective of 4E
evaluating the measuresin order of priority
concretization of measures
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Whole view of 4M4E analysis methodS
tructure An
alysis Sh
eet
Action examinationsolution-tracing analysis
Analysis of contributing factorscause-tracing analysis
MMachineachine
MMediaedia
MManagementanagement
MManan
4E4E4M4MTime series
Analysis, Flow
EEducationducation
EEnforcementnforcement
EEnvironmentnvironment
EEngineeringngineering
Same as aboveSame as above
WhyWhy??
Incident
Error1
Error2
Error3
Time series analysis Analysis ofcontributing factors
Action examination
Same as aboveSame as above
WhyWhy??
Same as aboveSame as above
Same as aboveSame as above
What What to doto do??
What What to doto do??
① Describing time flowto the incident
② Identifying errors, etc.after analyzing thestructure of the incident
① Analyzing contributing factorsby 4M
② Researching essentialfactors by cause-tracing analysis
① Finding countermeasures by 4E
② Forming concrete measures bysolution-tracing analysis
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Structure Analysis Sheet
Flow of the phenomenon 4M why-why analysis 4E so what analysis
<Error 1><Error through illusion or
misunderstanding><A>
Since the vehicle technicalsystem staff responded that “the cut is complete,” the motorman erroneously thought that the decoupling work had been completed and that it was alright to proceed with shunting.
<Man> <A>The use of language was ambiguous.“The cut is complete” could betaken to mean that preparation forthe decoupling work had beencompleted or that the decouplingwork itself had been completed.
<Media,Management><A>A climate exists in which“oral confirmation ofcompletion” is consideredsufficient.
<Enforcement><immediate A>
Language that is notambiguous should beused.
<Enforcement> <immediate A(2)>Determine a rule stipulating thatwhen the cut is electrical,the message is that “preparationsfor decoupling are complete” andwhen the vehicle itself isDecoupled, the message is“decoupling is complete”
<Enforcement><gradual A>
Ensure that the staff becomes more sensitive to the use of language.
<Enforcement><gradual A(2)>
Extract other situations thatneed care from theperspectiveof language usingCS and other means and feedThe results back throughperiodic training.
<Education ><gradualA>Produce materials in order toprovide training on the fragilityof communication and causesof misunderstanding from thehuman factor and obtainunderstanding through periodictraining.
<Man, Management><A>Ambiguous language thatinduces error is being used.
(Note) Those items enclosed in bold lines are “errors.” “contributing factors.” and “effective measures”that have significant impact on the generation of a phenomenon.”Of rhese, the measures that are actually taken (measures with a high level of priority) are shaded.
Example of structural analysisTime seris analysis
4M cause-tracing analysis
4E solution-tracing analysis
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Step1 Time Series Analysis
1. Research and describe the process of the incident in time series1. Research and describe the process of the incident in time series
problem 1 : Error
problem2 : Lack or insufficiency of consideration
Action against rules
Point1Point1 describe the process, traced back to the origin of the eventdescribe the process, traced back to the origin of the event
Action not against rulesBut if the person concerned had taken more consideration (it must be possible as a professional), the incident should not have occurred.
Point2Point2 pay attention to the relationship between identified problemspay attention to the relationship between identified problems
2. Find every problem (two kinds below) in the process2. Find every problem (two kinds below) in the process
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Step2 4M cause-tracing analysis (why?why?)
1.1. Broadly identify contributing factors Broadly identify contributing factors for errors in the perspective of 4Mfor errors in the perspective of 4M
Identify factors and seeking the essence of the factorIdentify factors and seeking the essence of the factorin the perspective of 4M by the errors in Step1in the perspective of 4M by the errors in Step1
Find the essential factors through this processFind the essential factors through this process
Point1Point1 Especially analyze factors Especially analyze factors in perspective other than “human”in perspective other than “human”
2. Seeking the essence of the factors 2. Seeking the essence of the factors by repeating “Why?”by repeating “Why?”Point2Point2 Do not forget the perspective of 4M,Do not forget the perspective of 4M, when seeking the essential factorswhen seeking the essential factors
Man Man Machine… …
phenomenaphenomena
Po
int
2P
oin
t 2
ContributingContributing factorfactor
Man Machine Management
Point 1Point 1
Man Machine Media
Why?
Why?
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Step3 4E solution-tracing analysis (so, what to do?what to do?)
Contributing factorContributing factor
Point 1Point 1
Po
int
2P
oin
t 2
Education … …Environment Enforcement
Education Engineering Environment
Engineering… …Enforcement Environment
Considering and concretizing measures for the identified Considering and concretizing measures for the identified essential factors in the perspective of 4Eessential factors in the perspective of 4E
1.1. Broadly consider the measures for Broadly consider the measures for the factors in the perspective of 4Ethe factors in the perspective of 4E
Point1Point1 Especially consider measures Especially consider measures in perspective other than “human”in perspective other than “human”
2. Concretize the measure as an action 2. Concretize the measure as an action plan by repeating “So, what to do?”plan by repeating “So, what to do?”
Point2 Do not forget the perspective of 4E,Point2 Do not forget the perspective of 4E, when forming action planwhen forming action plan
measuremeasure
Obtain more effective and concrete measuresObtain more effective and concrete measures
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Effects Expected from 4M4E Analysis
•Measures can be taken against essential contributing factors throughout the incident, not individual error
•Measures can be suggested corresponding to feature and substance of the error
•Measures can be taken against essential contributing factors throughout the incident, not individual error
•Measures can be suggested corresponding to feature and substance of the error
1. Implementation of effective measures
•Cultivating deep understanding of human errors and risky situations in the work
•Enriching contents of training at worksites
•Cultivating deep understanding of human errors and risky situations in the work
•Enriching contents of training at worksites
2. Cultivating understanding of human errors
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Procedure of introduction of 4M4E analysis (2004)
Select one person as “4M4E Instructor” out of accident investigators in a branch office
Select one person as “4M4E Instructor” out of accident investigators in a branch office
Teach 4M4E analysis method to the instructorsTrial introduction after that
Teach 4M4E analysis method to the instructorsTrial introduction after that
SRL checks incident reports and give instructionsSRL : Safety Research Laboratory
SRL checks incident reports and give instructionsSRL : Safety Research Laboratory
Introduction as incident analysis method (2005)Introduction as incident analysis method (2005)
The instructors teach the method to other accident investigators in branch offices and worksites
The instructors teach the method to other accident investigators in branch offices and worksites
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Procedure for internal introduction and deployment
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
4M4E Analysis Internal Introduction and Development
Test model ofJR EAST Version4M4E analysismethod
Preparation for introduction
Improvement of analysis level
4M4E analysisInstructors’ study session
4M4E analysis lecture*including group companies Lecture using the support tool (from August 2006) At worksite and offices for transport, facilities and constructionAdjustment of differences
In analysis levelPenetration speed up
Maintaining analysis levelImprovement of efficiencyof analysis
Used at branch offices and worksites (directly distributed to worksites)
Used at branch offices and worksites (distributed by safety offices of individual branch offices via individual managing sections)
Sending out of informationabout 4M4E analysis(using the intranet)
Official adoption by Transport Safety Dept.of 4M4E analysis for incidents
4M4E analysisInstructors’training
Development oftraining tools
Development ofanalysis support tools
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
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•Difficult to understand human factors and errors Insufficient 1. identifying multifaceted factors 2. seeking essence of the factors•Step-by-step education (headquarter-branch-worksite) Effect of training is gradually decreasing•Employee changes Education has to be needed regularly
•Difficult to understand human factors and errors Insufficient 1. identifying multifaceted factors 2. seeking essence of the factors•Step-by-step education (headquarter-branch-worksite) Effect of training is gradually decreasing•Employee changes Education has to be needed regularly
1. Insufficiency of quality of analysis and difference of quality between branches
take much time to make and arrange structure analysis sheet
Disturb concentration on analysis
take much time to make and arrange structure analysis sheet
Disturb concentration on analysis
2. 4M4E analysis requires much time
Problems appearing in the process of introduction
Development of 4M4E AnalysisTraining Tool & Support Tool
Development of 4M4E AnalysisTraining Tool & Support Tool
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4M4E Analysis Training Tool “Naze-Naze-Kun”
Software for PCs (Windows)Software for PCs (Windows)
Scenarios made by occupationsScenarios made by occupations
Understand basic knowledge of human errors Understand basic knowledge of human errors
Understand the point of 4M4E analysis Understand the point of 4M4E analysis
Training can be done either individually or in a groupTraining can be done either individually or in a group
Composed of five scenariosComposed of five scenarios
driverdriverconductorconductorStation employeeStation employee
dispatcherdispatcherRolling stock Rolling stock MaintenanceMaintenance
Facilities Facilities MaintenanceMaintenance
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4M4E Analysis Support Tool “Horisage-Kun”
Analysis support function
Document preparation support function
Support tools for actually conducting 4M4E analysis 1. Analysis support functionAnalysis support function : : ensure and improve the quality of 4M4E analysis
2. Document preparation support functionDocument preparation support function : : facilitate preparing a structural analysis sheet
Provide 3 kinds of support information in analyzing factors and measures 1. Information according to types of incident 2. Information according to error types 3. Information according to described words in the sheet
Automatic optimization of setting and adjustmentsimplification of addition and changeminimization of actions of each operation
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“Structural Analysis Sheet” in the support tool
Why? What to do?Why was error caused? Why?
So, what to do?
4M cause-tracing analysis4M cause-tracing analysis 4E solution-tracing analysis4E solution-tracing analysisTime series Time series analysisanalysis
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Support information in the support tool “Horisage-Kun”
(1)
(1) Support information by types of incident(2) Support information by error types
(3) Support information by described word
(2) (3)
Support information is automatically displayed according to analysis
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Current situation and future plan
“Training & Support Tool•Used in training and actual incident analysis, including group companies
•Suggesting application to activities for preventing errors in worksites
•Used in training and actual incident analysis, including group companies
•Suggesting application to activities for preventing errors in worksites
Present situation and future plan
Regular educationLectures are held regularly at branches and training center• new staff in personnel changes learn the method• present staff improve ability of analysis
Lectures are held regularly at branches and training center• new staff in personnel changes learn the method• present staff improve ability of analysis
•Analytical skills is still developing (difficulty remains) Continuing training using actual examples•Plan to reorganize accident investigation skills and sum them up to the manual
skill : interviewing, reading chart, on-site inspection, etc
•Analytical skills is still developing (difficulty remains) Continuing training using actual examples•Plan to reorganize accident investigation skills and sum them up to the manual
skill : interviewing, reading chart, on-site inspection, etc
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Conclusions of 4M4E Analysis
〔〔 SkillSkill 〕〕Understand human errors Understand human errors and use human factorsand use human factors
〔〔 SkillSkill 〕〕Understand human errors Understand human errors and use human factorsand use human factors
〔〔 AttitudeAttitude 〕〕Make accurate analysis anMake accurate analysis and find lessonsd find lessons
〔〔 AttitudeAttitude 〕〕Make accurate analysis anMake accurate analysis and find lessonsd find lessons
Establishment of the climate “Safety is top priority”
Identifying essential lessons from incidentsIdentifying essential lessons from incidents by using 4M4E Analysisby using 4M4E Analysis
Identifying essential lessons from incidentsIdentifying essential lessons from incidents by using 4M4E Analysisby using 4M4E Analysis
Prevention of accidentsPrevention of accidentsPrevention of accidentsPrevention of accidents Increase of Staff’s skillIncrease of Staff’s skillIncrease of Staff’s skillIncrease of Staff’s skill
Thank you.
East Japan Railway Company