development and administration (iii)

74
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION: CONCEPTS AND PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION: CONCEPTS AND PRACTICE VII. DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III) AND ADMINISTRATION (III) Graduate School of Asia and Pacific Studies University of Waseda, Tokyo-JAPAN 2008 2008

Upload: ginandjar-kartasasmita

Post on 28-Nov-2014

3.822 views

Category:

Technology


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Graduate School of Asia and Pacific Studies University of Waseda, Tokyo-JAPAN 2008

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION: CONCEPTS ANDPUBLIC ADMINISTRATION: CONCEPTS AND PRACTICE

VII. DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

Graduate School of Asia and Pacific StudiesUniversity of Waseda, Tokyo-JAPAN

20082008

Page 2: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

CONTENTSCONTENTS

8 DEVELOPMENT PLANNING8. DEVELOPMENT PLANNING9. BUDGET AND BUDGETING

PROJECT PLANNING10. PROJECT PLANNING

www.ginandjar.com 2

Page 3: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

DEVELOPMENT PLANNING

PLANNING IS AN ORGANIZED, CONSCIOUS AND CONTINUAL ATTEMPT TO SELECT THE BEST AVAILABLE ALTERNATIVES TO ACHIEVE SPECIFIC GOALS.

(ALBERT WATERSTON, 1965)

www.ginandjar.com 3

Page 4: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

PLANNING IS THE APPLICATION OF SCIENTIFIC METHODS TO POLICY MAKING

(FALUDI, 1983)

PLANNING IS A PROCESS FOR DETERMINING APPROPRIATE FUTURE ACTION THROUGH A SEQUENCE OF CHOICESSEQUENCE OF CHOICES

(DAVIDOFF AND REINER, 1983)

www.ginandjar.com 4

Page 5: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ARGUMENTS AGAINST PLANNING

DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AND PUBLIC REGULATION, NO MORE APPROPRIATE, BECAUSEREGULATION, NO MORE APPROPRIATE, BECAUSE IT HINDERS CREATIVITY, PRIVATE INITIATIVE, BURDEN TO INOVATION, AND CREATE A HIGH ,COST ECONOMY

CLASSICAL LIBERAL

www.ginandjar.com 5

Page 6: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

WHY PLANNING?

REDUCING UNCERTAINTYINTEGRATING SOME RATIONAL METHODS ANDINTEGRATING SOME RATIONAL METHODS AND TECHNOLOGIES INTO PROBLEM SOLVING PROCESS AND DECISION MAKING PROCESSPROCESS AND DECISION MAKING PROCESS

www.ginandjar.com 6

Page 7: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

WHY PLANNING ?

PROVIDING THE CHANCE AND BLUE PRINT TO CONTROL AND MONITOR THE PUBLIC EFFORTSCONTROL AND MONITOR THE PUBLIC EFFORTS FROM TIME TO TIME.INCREASING PARTICIPATION FROM THE PEOPLEINCREASING PARTICIPATION FROM THE PEOPLE ON DECISION MAKING, AT LEAST WIDENING THE HORIZON OF THE PUBLIC EXPONENTSTHE HORIZON OF THE PUBLIC EXPONENTS.

www.ginandjar.com 7

Page 8: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

OTHER REASONSOTHER REASONS

MARKET FAILUREMARKET FAILURERESOURCE MOBILIZATION AND ALLOCATIONATTITUDINAL OR PSYCHOLOGICAL IMPACTFOREIGN AID ?

(TODARO, 2000)

www.ginandjar.com 8

Page 9: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

THE ROLE OF PLANNERSWHAT IS OR SHOULD BE THE TOPIC OR FOCUS OF PLANNING?WHO DOES THE PLANNER WORK FOR?WHAT IS THE GOAL OF PLANNING?WHAT IS THE GOAL OF PLANNING?

(IS EQUITABLE DISTRIBUTION OF RESOURCES POSSIBLE?))

HOW DO WE ACHIEVE OUR GOALS? (IS RATIONAL DECISION MAKING POSSIBLE?)

WHAT IS PRACTICAL EXPECTATIONS?

(LEW, 1996)

www.ginandjar.com 9

Page 10: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

SOME PLANNING APPROACHES:

1) POLITICAL2) TECHNOCRATIC2) TECHNOCRATIC3) PARTICIPATIVE4) TOP-DOWN4) TOP DOWN5) BOTTOM-UP

www.ginandjar.com 10

Page 11: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ELEMENTS OF PLANNING:1. GOALS2. PRIORITY AND TARGETS3. TIME FRAME4. CONSTRAINTS5. CAPITAL AND RESOURCES, AND ITS ALLOCATIONS6. IMPLEMENTATION POLICIES AND STRATEGIES 7. IMPLEMENTING AGENCIES AND HUMAN

RESOURCESRESOURCES8. MONITORING, EVALUATION AND CONTROL

MECHANISM

www.ginandjar.com 11

Page 12: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

PLANNING CRITERIAPLANNING CRITERIA

1. COMPREHENSIVE AND INDICATIVE2. CONTROL AND DIRECTING GOVERNMENT SPENDING

IN ORDER TO STIMULATE THE PRIVATE INVESTMENT

3. STIMULATE MARKET MECHANISM4. PEOPLE PARTICIPATION PROCESS5. AFFIRMATIVE ACTION

www.ginandjar.com 12

Page 13: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

TYPES OF PLANNING

1. RATIONAL PLANNINGSYNOPTIC PLANNING, COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING,BASIS FOR MOST PUBLIC PLANNING

2. INCREMENTAL PLANNING3. ADVOCACY PLANNING4. TRANSACTIVE PLANNING

www.ginandjar.com 13

Page 14: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

RATIONAL PLANNING:RATIONAL PLANNING:

THE PROCESS:THE PROCESS:

1. IDENTIFY A PROBLEM2. IDENTIFY A GOAL3. COLLECT BACKGROUND DATA4 IDENTIFY A MEANS OF ASSESSING ALTERNATIVE PLAN4. IDENTIFY A MEANS OF ASSESSING ALTERNATIVE PLAN

SCENARIOS5. IDENTIFY ALTERNATIVE PLAN SCENARIOS CONSISTING

OF POLICIES AND GUIDELINES TO ACHIEVE THE GOALOF POLICIES AND GUIDELINES TO ACHIEVE THE GOAL

www.ginandjar.com 14

Page 15: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

6. ASSESS ALTERNATIVE PLAN SCENARIOS7. SELECT THE PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE7. SELECT THE PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE8. IMPLEMENT THE PLAN9 MONITOR EVALUATE AND REVISE THE9. MONITOR, EVALUATE AND REVISE THE

IMPLEMENTATION10 IDENTIFY NEW PROBLEMS AND BEGIN THE10. IDENTIFY NEW PROBLEMS AND BEGIN THE

PROCESS AGAIN

www.ginandjar.com 15

Page 16: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

WEAKNESS IN ASSUMPTIONS1. ASSUMES THAT PEOPLE BEHAVE RATIONALLY

- THAT RATIONALITY IS A PART OF EVERYDAY LIFE- THAT PEOPLE AND EVENTS ARE PREDICTABILITY

2 ASSUMES UNLIMITED PROBLEM SOLVING CAPABILITIES AND2. ASSUMES UNLIMITED PROBLEM SOLVING CAPABILITIES AND PERFECT INFORMATION- COST OF INFORMATION COLLECTION IS AFFORDABLE- ABILITY TO IDENTIFY ALL ALTERNATIVES (‘SYNOPTIC’)

www.ginandjar.com 16

Page 17: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

3. ASSUMES THAT ONLY FACTS EXISTNO VALUES (SUBJECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEMS)− NO VALUES (SUBJECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEMS)

− ALL VARIABLES EXIST WITHIN AN INTERCONNECTED AND CLOSED SYSTEM (NO UNFORESEEABLE (VARIABLES)

4. ASSUMES A RATIONAL-DEDUCTIVE SEQUENCE OF EVENTS− IF ‘A’ HAPPENS, THE ‘B’ WILL FOLLOW− NO NEED FOR POLITICAL STRATEGIES− NOT SUITED FOR CRISIS OR UNFORESEEN EVENTS

www.ginandjar.com 17

Page 18: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ALTHOUGH RATIONAL PLANNING IS OFTENALTHOUGH RATIONAL PLANNING IS OFTEN CRITICIZED BUT IT STILL REMAINS THE MOST COMMON APPROACH TO PLANNINGCOMMON APPROACH TO PLANNING

BECAUSE IT IS: RATIONAL AND THEREFORE EASIER TO JUSTIFY

(LEW, 1996)( , )

www.ginandjar.com 18

Page 19: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

INCREMENTAL PLANNING

AN ALTERNATIVE THEORY THAT ACCEPTS MOST OBVIOUS SHORTCOMINGS OF RATIONAL PLANNINGRATIONAL PLANNING

DEVELOPED FROM THE PEACE CORPS IN THE 1960S

1 LIMITED TIME PERIODS/HORIZONS1. LIMITED TIME PERIODS/HORIZONS2. POLITICAL DECISION MAKING3. LIMITED AND IMPERFECT INFORMATION

www.ginandjar.com 19

Page 20: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

4 LIMITED TIME AND MONEY FOR DATA 4. LIMITED TIME AND MONEY FOR DATA COLLECTION

5. SOCIETAL VALUES ARE AS IMPORTANT AS FACTS

6. OPEN, RAPIDLY CHANGING SYSTEM; UNFORESEEABLE EVENTSUNFORESEEABLE EVENTS

7. PLANNING IS DISJOINTED, INCREMENTAL AND SERIAL (SERIAL = ONE EVENT AFTER ANOTHER WITH NO GIANT STEPS)

www.ginandjar.com 20

Page 21: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ADVOCACY PLANNING

CAME OUT OF 1960S, CONSIDER AS AN ADVERSARIAL APPROACH IN THE LEGAL PROFESSIONADVERSARIAL APPROACH IN THE LEGAL PROFESSION

1. DEFENDING THE WEAK AGAINST THE STRONGWEAK MEANS THE POOR DISENFRANCHISEDWEAK MEANS: THE POOR; DISENFRANCHISED; ENVIRONMENTAL CAUSES

2 BLOCKING INSENSITIVE PLANNING2. BLOCKING INSENSITIVE PLANNINGSUCH AS ‘URBAN RENEWAL’

www.ginandjar.com 21

Page 22: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

3. MAJOR TOOL: DEVELOPMENT OF ‘PLURAL PLANS’3 JO OO O O U SDIFFERENT PLANS FOR DIFFERENT SECTORS OF THE COMMUNITY

4. CRITICIZED FOR BLOCKING EFFICIENT PLANNING5. SOCIAL POLICY & ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE

BECAME IMPORTANT PLANNING ISSUES6. SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

IS THE ‘MAINSTREAMING’ OF ADVOCACY ISSUES

www.ginandjar.com 22

Page 23: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

TRANSACTIVE PLANNING

ALSO CALLED ‘POST RATIONAL PLANNING’

A RESPONSE TO THE FAILURES OF ADVOCACY A RESPONSE TO THE FAILURES OF ADVOCACY PLANNING

BASED ON:1. SOCIAL LEARNING THEORY

HOW DO SOCIETIES LEARN (AND CHANGE)HOW DO SOCIETIES LEARN (AND CHANGE)2. INTERPERSONAL INTERACTION

DIALOGUE AND MUTUAL LEARNING

www.ginandjar.com 23

Page 24: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

KNOWLEDGE SHARED

PROCESS & PERSONAL KNOWLEDGE BECOME FUSED THRU:U

1. PERSONAL AND VERBAL INTERACTION (DIALOGUE)

PUBLIC GOOD IS ACHIEVEDPUBLIC GOOD IS ACHIEVED2. EFFORTS TO CREATE INTELLIGENT

INSTITUTIONSINSTITUTIONS WHICH ARE SELF-LEARNING/ EDUCATING/ADAPTING

www.ginandjar.com 24

Page 25: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

MUTUAL LEARNING PROCESS

PLANNER CONTRIBUTES "PROCESS" KNOWLEDGE1. THEORY AND SCIENTIFIC METHODOLOGY2 LARGER SOCIETAL PERSPECTIVE & CONCERNS2. LARGER SOCIETAL PERSPECTIVE & CONCERNS

CLIENT CONTRIBUTES "PERSONAL" KNOWLEDGE1. DIRECT PERSONAL EXPERIENCE2. KNOWLEDGE OF LOCAL CONDITIONS AND NEEDS

BOTH ARE OF EQUAL VALUE AND IMPORTANCE

www.ginandjar.com 25

Page 26: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

PLANNERS JOB:1 FACILITATE SHARED UNDERSTANDING 1.FACILITATE SHARED UNDERSTANDING

AMONG PEOPLE2 ENGAGE IN MUTUAL LEARNING WITH 2.ENGAGE IN MUTUAL LEARNING WITH

CLIENTS/PEOPLEBOTH REQUIRE ‘DIALOGUE’Q

MAJOR CRITICISMS:VERY TIME CONSUMING AND DIFFICULTVERY TIME CONSUMING AND DIFFICULTVERY PERSONAL & SUBJECTIVE

www.ginandjar.com 26

Page 27: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

COMPARISON OF APPROACHESCOMPARISON OF APPROACHES

Rational Planning Advocacy Planning Transactive Planning

Audiencedecision maker / power holder a community group society / "the people”decision maker / power holder a community group society / the people

View held by clientgoal oriented / rational goal oriented / rational experiential

View of self (planner)rational analyst & technician rational analyst catalyst / inventor & change

agent Methodologyscience science & politics dialogue & politicsscience science & politics dialogue & politics

Techniquesanalytical analytical process / synthesis

Dataobjective & processed objective & processed objective / processed &

subjective/personal Goal

www.ginandjar.com 27

one best solution solution perceived best a working solution & by client continuing process

Page 28: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

COMPARISON OF APPROACHES

View of change processcontrolled / stability controlled / stability guided / responsive to change/ y / y g / p g

View of futurecomprehensive / time-driven partial / short term evolutionary / long-term

W ld iWorldview elitist / structural efficiency benevolent / functional participatory / structural &

efficiency functional efficiency Problem environmentisolated (closed system) isolated (closed system) open systemisolated (closed system) isolated (closed system) open system

Implementationnot planner's problem not planner's problem part of solution process

Focusthe problem the problem & potential actors the problem & potential actors

www.ginandjar.com 28(LEW, 1996)

Page 29: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

MODELS FOR PLANNING

1. AGGREGATE GROWTH MODELS:INVOLVING MACROECONOMIC ESTIMATES OF PLANNED OR REQUIRED CHANGES IN PRINCIPAL ECONOMIC VARIABLESQ

2. MULTISECTOR INPUT-OUTPUT MODELS:WHICH ASCERTAIN THE PRODUCTION, RESOURCES, EMPLOYMENT, AND FOREIGN-EXCHANGE IMPLICATIONS OF A ,GIVEN SET OF FINAL DEMAND TARGETS WITHIN INTERINDUSTRY PRODUCT FLOWS

3. DETAILED SELECTION OF SPECIFIC INVESTMENT WITHIN SECTOR:SECTOR:THROUGH THE TECHNIQUE OF PROJECT APPRAISAL AND SOCIAL COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS

(TODARO 2000)

www.ginandjar.com 29

(TODARO, 2000)

Page 30: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

SCOPE OF PLANNING

AGGREGATE/NATIONALREGIONALREGIONAL SECTORALPROJECTPROJECT

www.ginandjar.com 30

Page 31: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ANNUAL PLANNING AND RESOURCE MANAGEMENT CYCLE

(1)REVIEW POLICY

R i h i l i d

ANNUAL PLANNING AND RESOURCE MANAGEMENT CYCLE

Review the previous planning and implementation period

(2)(2)SET POLICY AND UNDERTAKE

PLANNING ACTIVITYEstablish resource frame work, set out

objectives, policies, strategies andexpenditure priorities

(6)EVALUATE AND AUDIT

Policy activities, effectiveness andfeed the results into future plans

expenditure priorities

(3)MOBILIZE AND ALLOCATE

(5)MOBILIZE AND ALLOCATE

RESOURCESPrepare Budget

(5)MONITOR activities and

ACCOUNT for expenditures

(4)IMPLEMENTATION PLANNED

ACTIVITIESCollect revenues, release funds,

deploy personnel undertakedeploy personnel, undertakeactivities

Source : World Bank, “Public Expenditure Management Handbook”, 1998

Page 32: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

GOOD PLAN

* ECONOMICALLY EFFICIENT* POLITICALLY ACCEPTEDPOLITICALLY ACCEPTED* ADMINISTRATIVELY WORKABLE* IN ACCORDANCE WITH SOCIO-CULTURAL AND ETHICS

www.ginandjar.com 32

Page 33: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGET AND BUDGETINGBUDGET AND BUDGETING

BUDGET IS AN ESTIMATION OF THE REVENUES AND EXPENSES OVER A SPECIFIED FUTURE PERIOD OFEXPENSES OVER A SPECIFIED FUTURE PERIOD OF TIME

THE PURPOSE OF BUDGETING: CONTROL OVER PUBLIC MONEY AND ACCOUNTABILITY TO PUBLICPUBLIC MONEY AND ACCOUNTABILITY TO PUBLIC AUTHORITY

www.ginandjar.com 33

Page 34: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGET’S ROLE

BUDGETS DIRECT EVERYTHING A GOVERNMENT DOES. THEIR PROCESSES ARBITRATE OVER THE ALLOCATION OF SCARCE RESOURCES AMONG THE CO G S O G C S OSCOMPETING DEMANDS OF AGENCIES WHOSE BUSINESS IT IS TO SEE PUBLIC NEEDS FULFILLED

(XAVIER, 2001)

www.ginandjar.com 34

Page 35: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGET IS A PLAN THAT SETS OUTBUDGET IS A PLAN THAT SETS OUT:1. THE OBJECTIVES AND STRATEGIES OF THE

GOVERNMENT IN A BUDGET YEARGOVERNMENT IN A BUDGET YEAR,2. THE PROGRAMMES AND ACTIVITIES THAT

WOULD BE CARRIED OUT TO EXECUTE THEWOULD BE CARRIED OUT TO EXECUTE THE STRATEGIES TO ACHIEVE THE OVERALL OBJECTIVES,,

3. THE RESPECTIVE OBJECTIVES OF THESE PROGRAMMES AND ACTIVITIES THAT REFLECT THE DISAGGREGATION OF THE OVERALL OBJECTIVES OF GOVERNMENT

www.ginandjar.com 35

Page 36: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

4. THE RESOURCES ALLOCATED ACROSS THESE PROGRAMMES AND ACTIVITIES,THE REVENUES PROJECTED TO BE COLLECTED TO5. THE REVENUES PROJECTED TO BE COLLECTED TO FINANCE THE EXPENDITURE IN CARRYING OUT THE PROGRAMMES AND ACTIVITIESTHE PROGRAMMES AND ACTIVITIES,

6. PERFORMANCE TARGETS – IN TERM OF THE DELIVERY OF SERVICES IN THE RIGHT QUANTITYDELIVERY OF SERVICES IN THE RIGHT QUANTITY, QUALITY AND IN A TIMELY AND COST-EFFECTIVE FASHION – THAT WOULD NEED TO BE ACHIEVEDFASHION THAT WOULD NEED TO BE ACHIEVED TO MEETING THE SUB-OBJECTIVES AND, THEREBY, THE OVERALL OBJECTIVES OF THE GOVERNMENT

www.ginandjar.com 36(XAVIER, 2001)

Page 37: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGETING PRINCIPLESBUDGETING PRINCIPLESTRANSPARENCY AND ACCOUNTABILITYCOMPREHENSIVENESS OF BUDGETPREDICTABILITY OF RESOURCES & POLICIESFLEXIBILITYCONTESTABILITYCONTESTABILITYEXISTENCE AND SHARING OF INFORMATION

www.ginandjar.com 37

Page 38: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGETING THEORIES

PPBS

PLANNING, PROGRAMMING, AND BUDGETING SYSTEMSBUDGETING SYSTEMS

DEVELOPED IN 1960s BY US DEPT OF DEFENSEDEFENSEBUDGETING BASED ON LONG-TERM PLANNING NEEDS

www.ginandjar.com 38

Page 39: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

MBOMBOMANAGEMENT BY OBJECTIVEMANAGEMENT BY OBJECTIVE

DETERMINING OBJECTIVES BASED ONDETERMINING OBJECTIVES BASED ON OVERALL GOALS CLOSE COOPERATION BETWEEN A MANAGERCLOSE COOPERATION BETWEEN A MANAGER AND HIS/HER SUBORDINATES

www.ginandjar.com 39

Page 40: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGETING THEORIES

ZBBZBB ZERO BASED BUDGETINGZERO BASED BUDGETING

LARGER BUDGET BROKEN INTO SMALLERLARGER BUDGET BROKEN INTO SMALLER “DECISION PACKAGES”MANAGERS OF EACH DECISION PACKAGEMANAGERS OF EACH DECISION PACKAGE JUSTIFIES ENTIRE BUDGET FROM SCRATCH EACH YEAR (ZERO-BASE)EACH YEAR (ZERO BASE)

www.ginandjar.com 40

Page 41: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGETING FOR PERFORMANCE

LINKING:INPUTS,OUTPUTS, ANDOUTPUTS, ANDOUTCOMES

www.ginandjar.com 41

Page 42: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

INPUTCASH/ACCRUAL

OUTPUTPERFORMANCE DATA/INDICATORS/STANDARDSAUTHORITYAUTHORITYACCOUNTABILITY

OUTCOMECLEAR OBJECTIVESINDICATORSEVALUATION

www.ginandjar.com 42

Page 43: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

CLASSIFICATIONFUNCTIONALPROGRAMORGANIZATIONALORGANIZATIONAL

MULTI-YEAR

www.ginandjar.com 43

Page 44: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

MTEF MEDIUM TERM EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORKMEDIUM TERM EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORK

FISCAL TARGETS (WHAT IS AFFORDABLE)FISCAL TARGETS (WHAT IS AFFORDABLE)FORWARD ESTIMATES OF EXISTING POLICY INSTITUTIONAL MECHANISMS FOR MAKING THEINSTITUTIONAL MECHANISMS FOR MAKING THE TRADE-OFFSA FOCUS ON PERFORMANCEA FOCUS ON PERFORMANCEENHANCED PREDICTABILITY

www.ginandjar.com 44

Page 45: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

BUDGET CYCLE

THE BUDGET CYCLE IS MADE UP OF THE MAJOR EVENTS OR STAGES IN MAKING DECISIONSEVENTS OR STAGES IN MAKING DECISIONS ABOUT THE BUDGET, AND IMPLEMENTING AND ASSESSING THOSE DECISIONS. THE SPECIFIC CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BUDGET CYCLE DIFFER FROM COUNTRY TO COUNTRY. NONETHELESS, IN MOST COUNTRIES, THE BUDGET CYCLE IS LIKELY TO HAVE FOUR STAGES

www.ginandjar.com 45

Page 46: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

STAGE 1

BUDGET FORMULATIONBUDGET FORMULATION

THE BUDGET PLAN IS PUT TOGETHER BY THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF GOVERNMENTTHE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF GOVERNMENT

STAGE 2

BUDGET ENACTMENTTHE BUDGET PLAN MAY BE DEBATED THE BUDGET PLAN MAY BE DEBATED, ALTERED, AND APPROVED BY THE LEGISLATIVE BRANCH OF GOVERNMENT

www.ginandjar.com 46

Page 47: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

STAGE 3

BUDGET EXECUTIONBUDGET EXECUTION

THE POLICIES OF THE BUDGET ARE CARRIED OUT BY THE GOVERNMENT

STAGE 4

CARRIED OUT BY THE GOVERNMENT

BUDGET AUDITING AND ASSESSMENTTHE ACTUAL EXPENDITURES OF THE THE ACTUAL EXPENDITURES OF THE BUDGET ARE ACCOUNTED FOR AND ASSESSED FOR EFFECTIVENESS

www.ginandjar.com 47

Page 48: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

FISCAL FUNCTIONS

1. ALLOCATION 2. DISTRIBUTION3 STABILIZATION3. STABILIZATION

www.ginandjar.com 48

Page 49: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ALLOCATION FUNCTIONTHE PROVISION FOR SOCIAL GOODS, OR THE PROCESS BY WHICH TOTAL RESOURCE USE IS DIVIDED BETWEEN PRIVATE AND SOCIAL GOODS AND BY WHICH THE MIX OF SOCIALAND SOCIAL GOODS AND BY WHICH THE MIX OF SOCIAL GOODS IS CHOSEN

THIS PROVISION MAY BE TERMED THE ALLOCATION OF BUDGET POLICY

(MUSGRAVE AND MUSGRAVE, 1989)

www.ginandjar.com 49

Page 50: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION

ADJUSTMENT OF THE DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME AND WEALTH TO ENSURE CONFORMANCE WITH WHAT SOCIETY CONSIDERS A “FAIR” OR “JUST” STATE OF DISTRIBUTION.

(MUSGRAVE AND MUSGRAVE, 1989)

www.ginandjar.com 50

Page 51: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

STABILIZATION FUNCTIONSTABILIZATION FUNCTION

S O G O C S S O GTHE USE OF BUDGET POLICY AS A MEANS OF MAINTAINING HIGH EMPLOYMENT, A REASONABLE DEGREE OF PRICE LEVEL STABILITY, AND AN APPROPRIATE RATE OFLEVEL STABILITY, AND AN APPROPRIATE RATE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH, WITH ALLOWANCES FOR EFFECTS ON TRADE AND ON THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS.

(MUSGRAVE AND MUSGRAVE, 1989)

www.ginandjar.com 51

Page 52: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

INSTRUMENTS OF STABILIZATION FUNCTION

1. MONETARY INSTRUMENTSCONTROL OVER MONEYINTEREST RATECREDIT CONDITIONS

FISCAL INSTRUMENTS2. FISCAL INSTRUMENTSGOVERNMENT SPENDINGTHE AMOUNT AND TYPE OF TAXESTHE AMOUNT AND TYPE OF TAXES

www.ginandjar.com 52

Page 53: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

FISCAL-MONETARY MIX POLICY

TO INFLUENCE MACROECONOMIC ACTIVITY1. TIGHT-MONETARY AND LOOSE-FISCAL POLICY

WILL TEND TO ENCOURAGE CONSUMPTION AND RETARD INVESTMENTRETARD INVESTMENT

2. EASY-MONETARY AND TIGH-FISCAL POLICY WILL TEND TO DISCOURAGE CONSUMPTION ANDTEND TO DISCOURAGE CONSUMPTION AND ACCELERATE INVESTMENT

www.ginandjar.com 53

Page 54: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

OBSTACLE TO BUDGET DECISION MAKINGOBSTACLE TO BUDGET DECISION MAKING

LACK OF GOAL CLARITY1. LACK OF GOAL CLARITY2. CONFUSION OF THE PUBLIC INTEREST WITH

THAT OF A CUSTOMER CLIENTELE GROUP ORTHAT OF A CUSTOMER, CLIENTELE GROUP, OR CONSTITUENCY

3 RIGID CONSERVATISM (IN THE SENSE OF3. RIGID CONSERVATISM (IN THE SENSE OF STRICT ADHERENCE TO RULES, PROCEDURES, AND PAST PRACTICES))

www.ginandjar.com 54

Page 55: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

4. THE TENDENCY TO OVERSIMPLIFY REALITY5. “OVERQUANTIFICATION” AND TENDENCY TO

DEEMPHASIZE OR IGNORE QUALITATIVE FACTORS

6. RELUCTANCE TO ENGAGE IN POLICY AND PROGRAM EVALUATION

(ROSENBLOOM AND KRAVCHUCK, 2005)

www.ginandjar.com 55

Page 56: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

INDONESIA NATIONAL BUDGET SCHEME (SINCE 2005)SCHEME (SINCE 2005)

20 YEARLY 5 YEARLY YEARLY

PRESIDENT’SPRESIDENT S VISION

LTDP MTDP GWP

STRA-PLAN OF DEPT DEPT AP

DEPT ABP

STATE BUDGET

www.ginandjar.com 56

STATE BUDGET

Page 57: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

PROJECT PLANNINGPROJECT PLANNING

'DURING THE 1960s AND 1970s PROJECTS BECAME THE PRIMARY MEANS THROUGH WHICH GOVERNMENTS OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES TRANSLATED THEIR PLANS AND POLICIES INTO PROGRAMMES OF ACTION' (RONDINELLI 1993)(RONDINELLI, 1993). PROJECTS WERE SEEN AS THE 'CUTTING EDGE OF DEVELOPMENT' (GITTINGER, 1982), WHEREDEVELOPMENT (GITTINGER, 1982), WHERE RESOURCES WERE CONVERTED INTO IMPROVED LIVELIHOODS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH.

www.ginandjar.com 57

Page 58: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

AT THE HEART OF SUCH METHODOLOGIES IS THE PROJECT CYCLE. THIS CONCEPTUALIZES PROJECTS AS LOGICAL SEQUENCE OF ACTIVITIES IN PURSUITAS LOGICAL SEQUENCE OF ACTIVITIES IN PURSUIT OF KNOWN OBJECTIVES.

www.ginandjar.com 58

Page 59: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

THE CONVENTIONAL PROJECT CYCLE

IDENTIFICATION

THE CONVENTIONAL PROJECT CYCLE

A developing problem or opportunity is identified through technical or

political processes

EVALUATIONAt various times (usually mid-term

and completion) specialist evaluators measure the costs and benefits of the project and provide

DATA COLLECTIONProject planners collect all available data (primary and secondary) on the

problem/opportunityp j p

feedback

IMPLEMENTATIONThe plan and necessary resources

DATA ANALYSIS AND PROJECT PREPARATIONThe plan and necessary resources

are provided to the specialist managers so that the action

specified in the plan are carried out

PREPARATIONThe data is analyzed and a number of alternatives project to solve the

problem or realized the opportunity are prepared

PROJECT APPRAISAL AND SELECTIONThe alternative project plans are appraised in terms of likely costs, benefit and risks.

The best project is selected and, if

www.ginandjar.com 59

p j ,approved, is implemented

Page 60: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

UNFORTUNATELY, THE RIGOUR THAT SUCH TECHNIQUES BRING TO PROJECT ANALYSIS HASTECHNIQUES BRING TO PROJECT ANALYSIS HAS NOT ALWAYS REVEALED ITSELF IN TERMS OF PROJECT RESULTS. THE WORLD BANK (1988) HAS FOUND THAT SOME 51 PER CENT OF ITS RURAL DEVELOPMENT AREA PROJECTS, OVER THE PERIOD 1965 TO 1985 FAILED TO ACHIEVE THE BANK'S1965 TO 1985, FAILED TO ACHIEVE THE BANK S MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE RATE OF RETURN OF 10 PER CENT.

www.ginandjar.com 60

Page 61: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

THE PROBLEMS

JOHNSTON AND CLARK (1982) MAKE A POWERFUL CASE THAT THE CHALLENGES OF DEVELOPMENT, PARTICULARLY IN RURAL AREAS ARE NOT 'WELLPARTICULARLY IN RURAL AREAS, ARE NOT WELL STRUCTURED' PROBLEMS, AS PROJECT PLANNING METHODOLOGIES ASSUME, BUT ARE ILL STRUCTURED' OR SIMPLY 'A MESS'STRUCTURED' OR SIMPLY 'A MESS'.

www.ginandjar.com 61

Page 62: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

Poor DataPROJECT PLANNING METHODOLOGIES DEMAND LARGE AMOUNTS OF RELIABLE DATA IN MOST DEVELOPINGAMOUNTS OF RELIABLE DATA. IN MOST DEVELOPING COUNTRIES SUCH DATA IS NOT AVAILABLE AND SO PLANNERS HAVE TO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS. THERE IS A WIDESPREAD TENDENCY FOR SUCH ASSUMPTIONS, ABOUT YIELDS, COSTS, THE RATES AT WHICH PEOPLE WILL CHANGE THEIR BEHAVIOUR, TO BE ,OVER-OPTIMISTIC (PORTER ET AL., 1991). COMMONLY PROJECT PLANNERS HAVE COMPOUNDED THE PROBLEMS OF DATA NON-AVAILABILITY BY IGNORINGPROBLEMS OF DATA NON AVAILABILITY BY IGNORING THE INDIGENOUS KNOWLEDGE OF INTENDED BENEFICIARIES (CHAMBERS, 1983).

www.ginandjar.com 62

Page 63: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

Uncertainty

A CENTRAL FEATURE OF PROJECT ENVIRONMENTS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES IS UNCERTAINTY AND INSTABILITYDEVELOPING COUNTRIES IS UNCERTAINTY AND INSTABILITY. HOWEVER, CONVENTIONAL METHODOLOGIES MAKE LITTLE ALLOWANCE FOR THE IMPACT THAT A SUDDEN CHANGE IN PHYSICAL FACTORS (FOR EXAMPLE RAINFALL) ECONOMICPHYSICAL FACTORS (FOR EXAMPLE RAINFALL), ECONOMIC FACTORS (FOR EXAMPLE PRICES) OR SOCIAL FACTORS (FOR EXAMPLE THE LEVEL OF LAWLESSNESS) WILL HAVE ON A PROJECT'S EFFECTIVENESSPROJECT'S EFFECTIVENESS.

www.ginandjar.com 63

Page 64: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

Separation of planning from management

PROJECT PLANNING METHODOLOGIES HAVEPROJECT PLANNING METHODOLOGIES HAVE DISTINGUISHED THE PLANNERS OF PROJECTS FROM THE MANAGERS. THE FORMER HAVE BEEN SEEN AS HIGH POWERED ANALYSTS TECHNOCRATS WHOSEHIGH-POWERED ANALYSTS, TECHNOCRATS WHOSE 'TOOLS BECAME THEIR POWER' (RONDINELLI, 1993). THE LATTER HAVE BEEN CLASSIFIED AS MERE IMPLEMENTORS WHO ONLY NEED TO FOLLOW THEIMPLEMENTORS WHO ONLY NEED TO FOLLOW THE PLAN. MORE IMPORTANTLY IT HAS LED TO AN UNDERESTIMATION OF THE CONTRIBUTION OFUNDERESTIMATION OF THE CONTRIBUTION OF GOOD MANAGEMENT TO PROJECT PERFORMANCE AND OF THE COMPLEXITY OF CREATING MANAGEMENT CAPACITY.

www.ginandjar.com 64

MANAGEMENT CAPACITY.

Page 65: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

Lack of beneficiary participationLack of beneficiary participation

THE FAILURE OF CONVENTIONAL PROJECT PLANNINGTHE FAILURE OF CONVENTIONAL PROJECT PLANNING APPROACHES TO INVOLVE BENEFICIARIES IN PROJECT IDENTIFICATION, DATA GATHERING, DESIGN AND SELECTION HAS FOSTERED BENEFICIARY DEPENDENCY, DISCOURAGED FEELINGS OF LOCAL OWNERSHIP OF PROJECT ACTIVITIES AND SOMETIMES ALIENATED THEPROJECT ACTIVITIES AND SOMETIMES ALIENATED THE INTENDED BENEFICIARIES OF PROJECTS.

www.ginandjar.com 65

Page 66: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

Projects and politics

CONVENTIONAL PROJECT PLANNING METHODOLOGIES ARE BASED ON NORMATIVE ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORKS THATBASED ON NORMATIVE ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORKS THAT IGNORE POLITICAL FACTORS (HULME, 1994A). THIS IS A CONSIDERABLE WEAKNESS GIVEN THE LARGE BODY OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE WHICH INDICATES THAT PROJECTOF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE WHICH INDICATES THAT PROJECT IDENTIFICATION, PLANNING, SELECTION AND IMPLEMENTATION ARE HIGHLY POLITICAL PROCESSES IN WHICH AID AGENCIES POLITICAL PARTIES LOCAL ELITESWHICH AID AGENCIES, POLITICAL PARTIES, LOCAL ELITES, POLITICIANS, BUREAUCRATS AND OTHERS SEEK TO ACHIEVE OUTCOMES THAT MEET THEIR INDIVIDUAL, GROUP, ORGANIZATIONAL OR CLASS INTERESTS (IBID).ORGANIZATIONAL OR CLASS INTERESTS (IBID).

www.ginandjar.com 66

Page 67: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES TO PROJECT PLANNING

THE SEARCH IS ON FOR APPROACHES THAT MAKE PROJECTS MORE EFFECTIVE, AND TWO FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT RESPONSES CAN BE DISTINGUISHEDDIFFERENT RESPONSES CAN BE DISTINGUISHED.THE FIRST HAS BEEN TO REFINE EXISTING METHODOLOGIES SO THAT AS GAPS ARE REVEALED THEY ARE PLUGGED BY ADDITIONAL METHODS AND DISCIPLINES. THIS HAS BEEN THE APPROACH OF MOST INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL AGENCIES AND DONORS.INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL AGENCIES AND DONORS.

www.ginandjar.com 67

Page 68: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

THE SECOND RESPONSE HAS BEEN MORE RADICAL AND PROPOSES THE REPLACEMENT OF THE CONVENTIONAL APPROACH TO PROJECT PLANNING. TWO DIFFERENT CONCEPTUAL BASES UNDERLIE SUCH PROPOSALS. ONE (ADAPTIVE ADMINISTRATION) HIGHLIGHTS THE ROLE OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT AND IMPLEMENTATIONTHE ROLE OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION VIS-A-VIS PROJECT PLANNING (RONDINELLI, 1993). THE OTHER IS AN EMPOWERMENT CONCEPT SUCH AS THE PARTICIPATORY RURAL APPRAISAL (PRA), WHICHPARTICIPATORY RURAL APPRAISAL (PRA), WHICH EMPHASIZES THE ROLE OF COMMUNITY PARTICIPATION AT ALL STAGES OF THE PROJECT CYCLE (CHAMBERS, 1993 AND 1994; MASCHARENHAS, 1991).; , )

www.ginandjar.com 68

Page 69: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

ADAPTIVE ADMINISTRATIONADAPTIVE ADMINISTRATION

RONDINELLI (1993) HAS MADE AN IMPASSIONED PLEA FORRONDINELLI (1993) HAS MADE AN IMPASSIONED PLEA FOR DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS TO BE CONCEPTUALIZED AS 'POLICY EXPERIMENTS' REQUIRING 'ADAPTIVE ADMINISTRATION'. HE ARGUES THAT AN EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH WHICH PLACES ELEMENTS OF PLANNING, IMPLEMENTATION AND MONITORING IN THE HANDS OF PROJECT MANAGERS, IS ESSENTIAL. THIS IS BECAUSE OF THE ENVIRONMENTS IN WHICH DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS OPERATE (LIMITED INFORMATIONDEVELOPMENT PROJECTS OPERATE (LIMITED INFORMATION, HIGH RISK, UNCERTAINTY AND POLITICAL MANIPULATION) AND THE CAPACITIES THAT ARE REQUIRED TO BECOME EFFECTIVE IN SUCH ENVIRONMENTS (LEARNING EXPERIMENTATIONSUCH ENVIRONMENTS (LEARNING, EXPERIMENTATION, CREATIVITY, ORGANIZATIONAL FLEXIBILITY AND ACCESS TO LOCAL KNOWLEDGE).

www.ginandjar.com 69

Page 70: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

SUCCESSFUL PILOT PROJECTS CAN FORM THE BASIS FORSUCCESSFUL PILOT PROJECTS CAN FORM THE BASIS FOR 'DEMONSTRATION PROJECTS. . . TO SHOW THAT NEW TECHNOLOGIES, METHODS, OR PROGRAMMES ARE BETTER THAN TRADITIONAL ONES BECAUSE THEY INCREASETHAN TRADITIONAL ONES BECAUSE THEY INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY, LOWER PRODUCTION COSTS, RAISE INCOME OR DELIVER SOCIAL SERVICES MORE EFFICIENTLY' (IBID., P. (139). SIMPLE BLUEPRINTS ARE INAPPROPRIATE AS THERE MUST BE CAREFUL CONSIDERATION OF HOW TO DEVELOPCAREFUL CONSIDERATION OF HOW TO DEVELOP ADMINISTRATIVE CAPACITY FOR SERVICE DELIVERY, WHICH INSTITUTIONS SHOULD BE INVOLVED (BUREAUCRATIC OR PRIVATE SECTOR) AND HOW TO ENSURE FINANCIALPRIVATE SECTOR), AND HOW TO ENSURE FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY.

www.ginandjar.com 70

Page 71: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

EMPOWERMENTEMPOWERMENT

FOR THE OTHER RADICAL CRITICS OF CONVENTIONAL APPROACHES TO PROJECT PLANNING, THE KEY THEMES OF ADAPTIVE ADMINISTRATION –EXPERIMENTATION, ,FLEXIBILITY, LEARNING AND CREATIVITY –ARE CRUCIAL, BUT THERE REMAINS TOO GREAT AN EMPHASIS ON THE ROLE OF EXTERNAL EXPERTS, BUREAUCRATS AND AIDROLE OF EXTERNAL EXPERTS, BUREAUCRATS AND AID AGENCIES. INSTEAD, WHAT IS REQUIRED IS AN APPROACH THAT PERMITS MUCH GREATER BENEFICIARY INVOLVEMENT INPERMITS MUCH GREATER BENEFICIARY INVOLVEMENT IN PROJECT IDENTIFICATION, SELECTION, DESIGN, IMPLEMENTATION AND EVALUATION.

www.ginandjar.com 71

Page 72: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

THIS ENSURES THAT LOCAL KNOWLEDGE IS UTILIZED, ACTIVITIES ARE CONSISTENT WITH LOCAL RESOURCE ENDOWMENTS (HUMAN, ORGANIZATIONAL, MATERIAL O S ( U , O G O ,AND FINANCIAL) AND THAT THE PROJECT PROCESS CONTRIBUTES TO THE 'EMPOWERMENT' OF DISADVANTAGED GROUPSDISADVANTAGED GROUPS. SUCH APPROACHES HAVE BEEN SPEARHEADED BY THE WORK OF A LARGE NUMBER OF LOCAL, NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL NGO AS DESCRIBED BY ROBERTINTERNATIONAL NGOs AS DESCRIBED BY ROBERT CHAMBERS (1993, P. 97, AND 1994). WIDELY KNOWN APPROACH, PARTICIPATORY RURAL ,APPRAISAL (PRA) INVOLVING NGO SOCIAL WORKERS.

www.ginandjar.com 72

Page 73: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

CONCLUSIONCONCLUSION

THE GREAT FAITH THAT WAS PLACED IN NATIONAL AND PROJECT PLANNING IN EARLIER TIMES HAS COLLAPSED BUT THIS DOES NOTPLANNING IN EARLIER TIMES HAS COLLAPSED. BUT THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT PLANNING NEEDS TO BE THROWN ON THE SCRAP-HEAP. RATHER IT CALLS FOR NEW AND MORE EFFECTIVE WAYS TO PLAN THAT FULLY RECOGNIZE THAT PLANNING IS A REAL-WORLD, AND NOTTHAT FULLY RECOGNIZE THAT PLANNING IS A REAL WORLD, AND NOT AN IDEAL-WORLD, PRACTICE. THE APPROACHES USED FOR PLANNING MUST RECOGNIZE THAT KNOWLEDGE IS OFTEN LIMITED INFORMATION ONLY PARTIALLYKNOWLEDGE IS OFTEN LIMITED, INFORMATION ONLY PARTIALLY AVAILABLE, UNCERTAINTY AND RISK CONSIDERABLE, ANALYTICAL CAPACITY IS A SCARCE RESOURCE AND THAT PLANNING IS INHERENTLY A POLITICAL PROCESS.INHERENTLY A POLITICAL PROCESS.FOR NATIONAL PLANNING THIS MEANS THAT ATTEMPTS TO CONTROL THE NATIONAL ECONOMY, AS THOUGH IT WAS A WELL-UNDERSTOOD MACHINE MUST BE PUT ASIDE

www.ginandjar.com 73

MACHINE, MUST BE PUT ASIDE.

Page 74: DEVELOPMENT AND ADMINISTRATION (III)

INSTEAD, THE FOCUS SHOULD BE ON MANAGING A LIMITED LUMBER OF ,MACROECONOMIC POLICIES EFFECTIVELY; PROGRAMMING PUBLIC INVESTMENT ON A MEDIUM-TERM VIEW TO ENSURE THAT THE ESSENTIAL PHYSICAL AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE (ON WHICH (PRIVATE-SECTOR ACTIVITY IS DEPENDENT) IS DEVELOPED; AND, STRENGTHENING THE ANNUAL BUDGETARY PROCESS.A GREATER CONCERN WITH IMPLEMENTATION AND INTENDEDA GREATER CONCERN WITH IMPLEMENTATION AND INTENDED BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION IS LIKELY TO YIELD DIVIDENDS WELL BEYOND THOSE THAT WILL BE PRODUCED BY INCREASINGLY SOPHISTICATED BUT IRRELEVANT QUANTITATIVE ANALYSISSOPHISTICATED BUT IRRELEVANT QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS. IN AN UNCERTAIN AND RAPIDLY CHANGING WORLD 'ACTING OUT' APPROACHES TO SOCIETAL PROBLEM-SOLVING HAVE MUCH TO RECOMMEND THEM DESPITE THE INTELLECTUAL APPEAL OFRECOMMEND THEM DESPITE THE INTELLECTUAL APPEAL OF PRETENDING THAT GROUPS OF TECHNICAL SPECIALISTS CAN 'THINK THROUGH' SUCH PROBLEMS.

www.ginandjar.com 74