developing strategies to manage mountain bike culture and · total biking industry participation...
TRANSCRIPT
Developing Strategies to Manage Mountain Bike Culture and Demand
National Outdoor Recreation ConferenceMay 7, 2019Debbie Caffin: Trails Program Leader, USDA Forest Service Southern RegionMargaret Bailey: CHM Government Services
Vision Drives Strategy
Tools Are Developed
Outcomes Are
Measured
Need to Understand
Mt. Biking Industry
User Preferences
Supply and Demand Dynamics
Analysis Framework
Demand
Demand
38,457 38,940 38,11440,140 39,320 40,349 39,232
40,888 39,72538,280 38,365
6,751 6,892 7,592 7,142 7,161 6,816 7,714 8,542 8,044 8,316 8,615
1,655 1,887 1,904 1,811 2,369 1,547 2,175 2,168 2,350 2,690 3,104
03,0006,0009,000
12,00015,00018,00021,00024,00027,00030,00033,00036,00039,00042,00045,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total Biking Industry Participation (Thousands)
Bicycling (Road/Paved Surface) Mountain biking (Mountain/Non Paved Surface BMX Biking
5 year 10 year2006-2011 2011 to 2016
Adventure Racing 2.9% 3.5%Backpacking Overnight - More Than 1/4 Mile From Vehicle/Home 0.07% 3.7%Hiking (Day) 4.2% 6.5%Trail Running 9.0% 15.2%
Bicycling (Road/Paved Surface 0.96% -1.0%Mountain Biking (Mountain/Non Paved) 0.19% 4.1%BMX Biking -1.34% 11.6%
Activity
Compound Annual Growth Rate
Demand
Total Mt. Bike Supply
# of Total Mtn Bike
Trails %
Total Trail Mtn Bike Mileage %
USFS # of Trails for
Mtn Bikes
USFS Trail Mtn Bike Mileage
USFS % of Total Trail Inventory
USFS % of Total Trail Mileage
# of Trails Minus Forest Service
# of Trail Miles Minus
Forest Service
Virginia 745 32% 1,942 33% 316 1276 42% 66% 429 666 North Carolina 579 25% 1,315 22% 142 365 25% 28% 437 950 South Carolina 160 7% 552 9% N/A N/A N/A N/ATennessee 440 19% 899 15% 85 269 19% 30% 355 630 Georgia 379 16% 1,148 20% 246 219 65% 19% 133 929 Total 2,303 100% 5,856 100% 789 2,129 34% 36% 1,354 3,175
Supply Characteristics
40% 40%
20% 20%
30%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
VA NC SC TN GA
Perc
ent o
f Tra
ils o
wne
d by
NF
Percent of Top Ten Trail Systems that are Owned by NF
Supply: # of Mt. Bike Trails by Location
Supply: Density and Trail Lengths
Demand: Distribution
Supply and Demand
120 Minute Drive Time from Population Centers to National Forests
Capacity Competency CIP O&MStrategic
Plan NEPA Design Build For ProfitNon Profit - University/FoundationsCountyState Federal (USFS/BLM)
Internal Internal Time Time Standards Standards
External External Systems Systems External External
Standards VolunteersExternal
Highly LikelySomewhat LikelyUnlikely
People Fiscal Processes
Owner
Resource Inputs Needed for Supply Additions/Improvements
Volunteers
FoundationsIMBA/SORBA
User Receation Fees
Resources Needed and Available to Support InputsFederal: RTP/TAP/TIGER
Federal: Annual Appropriations: Trails and Recreation & Natural Federal: Appalachian Regional
Commission Power Grants
County& State: Budgets as well as Hotel&Restaurant Taxes
Private Equity/Debt
Next Steps
• Brief Forest Supervisors (Decision Makers)
• One on One Calls with District Rangers (Public Interface)
• Share with Partners (Southern Off Road Bicycle Association)
Lessons Learned
• Good Data Makes a Difference
• Value of Comprehensive Independent Review
• All Lands Approach, Better Decisions
• Collaborate Around Results with Providers
• Remember Role of Resource Managers
Deb CaffinTrails Program Lead, USFS Southern [email protected]
Margaret BaileySr. Vice PresidentCHM Government [email protected]