developing a new market for smes - kosdaq cosra sme forum miami, may 15-16, 2006 jaehoon yoo the...
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Developing A New Market for Developing A New Market for SMEsSMEs- KOSDAQ- KOSDAQ
COSRA SME ForumMiami, May 15-16, 2006
JaeHoon Yoo
The World Bank
2
1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW
2. CONTRIBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS2. CONTRIBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS
3. COLLAPSE and3. COLLAPSE and RESTRUCTURINGRESTRUCTURING
4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE STRATEGYSTRATEGY
5. CONCLUSION5. CONCLUSION
3
Comparing KOSDAQ Success with Other New MarketsComparing KOSDAQ Success with Other New Markets
ListedCompany
NewListing
(00-04 avg)
MarketCapital
Annual Trading Value (00-04 avg)
KOSDAQ 890 124 30 288
GEM(Taiwan)
204 42 9 6
Sesdaq(Singapore) 163 24 4 3
SOMA(Brazil)
94 6 13 0.2
SiTec(Poland) 32 6 13 1.7
Nasdaq 3,229 219 3,743 46,830
AIM(UK)
1,021 193 61 15
Jasdaq(Japan) 944 81 113 71
As of Dec. 2004 (companies, US$ bil.)
Source :World Federation of Exchanges
4
Market DynamicsMarket Dynamics
• Rapid growth of listed companies
- New listings (‘98) 8 (‘99) 104 (‘00) 178
(‘01) 167 (‘02) 153
• High fertility and high mortality
• Small market capitalization but high turnover
* Listed Companies and Listings/Delistings
* Market Cap and Turnover
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
(US
$ bil.
)
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
(mil.
share
s)
Annual Trading volume Market capitalization
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
(%)
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
(com
pani
es)
No. of Listed companiesNew listings / Total listed companiesDelistings / Total listed companies
5
KOSDAQ CompaniesKOSDAQ Companies
• Venture companies: more than 40%
00 01 02 03 04 05
Venture(%)
45.2 50.3 45.3 43.5 41.6 44.2
Non-Venture(%
)54.8 49.7 54.7 56.4 58.4 55.8
Percentage of total no. of companies
* No. of companies * Market Capitalization
• Balanced industrial distribution
- IT : 42%
- Manufacture : 34%
Financials2%
BT6%
Others11%
Manufacture34%
IT42%
CT5%
Others12%
CT7%
Manufacture20%
IT53%
BT6%
Financials2%
6
KOSDAQ InvestorsKOSDAQ Investors
• Individual investors (57%) continue to dominate
• Foreign investors’ interests (15%) are low but increasing
• Financial institutional investors (9%) are increasing
* Trading value by Investors -
* Ownership by Investors -
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
00 01 02 03 04
Individual Foreign Institutional Etc.
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
00 01 02 03 04 05
Individual Foreign Ins titutional Etc .
7
1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW
2. CONTRIBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS2. CONTRIBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS
3. COLLAPSE and3. COLLAPSE and RESTRUCTURINGRESTRUCTURING
4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE STRATEGYSTRATEGY
5. CONCLUSION5. CONCLUSION
8
Supply for New SME SharesSupply for New SME Shares
• Increased new entrepreneurs as result of corporate restructuring after 97 crisis (Jeng and Wells, 1988)
• Needs for equity financing to lower debt ratio
* New & Dishonored Companies
* Source : Bank of Korea
* Manufacturing Industry Debt Ratio
* Source : Bank of Korea
30,074
49,31053,363
49,377 52,587
6,718 6,693 5,277 4,244 5,308 4,445 3,416
61,455 62,168 61,852
22,828
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
(com
pani
es)
No. of new enterprise No. of dishonored companies
0
100
200
300
400
500
'95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 01 02 03 04
(%)
KOSDAQ Companies Manufacturing indusrty Avg.
9
Demand for New SME SharesDemand for New SME Shares
• Affluent liquidity by easy money policy
• High investment appetites after market crash and high interest rates
* Composite Index Fluctuations
* Source :Bank of Korea
* M2/M3/ Call Rates
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,600
199501 199609 199805 200001 200109 200305 200501
(US$
bil.
)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Call
Rate
(%)
M2 M3 Call Rate
-100.0%
-50.0%
0.0%
50.0%
100.0%
150.0%
200.0%
250.0%
97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
KOSPI KOSDAQ
10
International EconomyInternational Economy
* Nasdaq & Kosdaq Indices
* IT/GDP Ratio (Korea)
• Global IT Boom
• Synchronized market with NASDAQ
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
IT/G
DP(%
)
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
GD
P(U
S$
bil.
)
GDP IT/GDP(%)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
NA
SD
AQ
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
KO
SD
AQ
NASDAQ KOSDAQ
11
• New Market Architecture for SME financing
- Designed a new market (KOSDAQ)
- Introduced a new concept of innovative SMEs (venture certification)
- Developed diverse government-sponsored financial programs for venture investment
- Revitalized venture capital companies
Government Capital Market Policy Government Capital Market Policy
12
• Comprehensive approach to promote innovative SMES
- Tax incentives (National and Local)
- Business consulting services
- Human resources development (e.g., exemption from military service for venture employees)
- Public awareness campaign (e.g., Presidential Committee for Venture promotion)
- Companies Act amendment (e.g., stock options, pubic offerings)
Government Industrial PolicyGovernment Industrial Policy
13
1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW
2. CONTRIBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS2. CONTRIBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS
3. 3. CRISISCRISIS and and RESTRUCTURINGRESTRUCTURING
4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE STRATEGYSTRATEGY
5. Conclusion5. Conclusion
14
Collapse of KOSDAQCollapse of KOSDAQ
• Boom bust
- Highest: 2,834 (March 00)
- Lowest: 448 (Dec. 02)
• Similar trend with other new markets but more severe downturn
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
99/01 00/01 01/01 02/01
KO
SD
AQ
0
400
800
1,200
KO
SP
I
KOSDAQ KOSPI
* Composite indices of Korea Market
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
NA
SD
AQ
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
KO
SD
AQ
NASDAQ KOSDAQ
* Nasdaq & Kosdaq Indices
15
Collapse of KOSDAQCollapse of KOSDAQ
• Financial gridlockin venture capitalcompanies
• Disappearing angel investors
( In US$ Mill )
* Venture Capital
17%33%
44%52%
47% 50%
* Source : Small & Medium Business Administration
* No. of Angel Investors
* Source : Korea Development Institute
2,563
564
105
'04
2,1412,737 3,032 3,036 2,869 1,485 InvestmentBalance
665 612 617 889 2,008 950 New Investment
102 117 128 145 147 87 No. of Venture
Capital
‘05'03'02'01'00'99
2,563
564
105
'04
2,1412,737 3,032 3,036 2,869 1,485 InvestmentBalance
665 612 617 889 2,008 950 New Investment
102 117 128 145 147 87 No. of Venture
Capital
‘05'03'02'01'00'99
1,640
28,875
12,002
4,717 3,964
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
'99 '00 '01 '02 '03
(pers
ons)
16
Crisis of KOSDAQCrisis of KOSDAQ* Investing Population at Kosdaq
• Loss of market confidence
• Increased migration to KSE market
• Identity crisis as a new market
* Source : Korea Exchange
* No. of migration companies
* Source : Korea Exchange
1,5741,692
1,594
1,384
1,775
94.4%95.8%
93.1% 92.6%
89.8%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
00 01 02 03 04
(tho
usand p
erso
ns)
80%
90%
100%
Investing Population Individual Trading Capacity
1
5
3
2
76
3
1
0
2
4
6
8
(com
panie
s)
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
17
1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW
2. CONTRIUBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS2. CONTRIUBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS
3. CRISIS and3. CRISIS and RESTRUCTURINGRESTRUCTURING
4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE STRATEGYSTRATEGY
5. CONCLUSION5. CONCLUSION
18
Crackdown on market abusesCrackdown on market abuses
• Increased market abuses and regulatory responses
( In US$ Mill )
* Sanctions in market abuse cases
17%33%
44%52%
47%
50%
* Source :Financial Supervisory commission
0
100
200
300
400
500
(cas
es)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
KSE KOSDAQ Non Listed
19
More stringent listing policy More stringent listing policy
'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Major Shareholders‘OwnershipPercentage
No changeBefore 6 months
No changeBefore 12 months
ROE 10% (VB 5%)
Capital Stock 500 million KRW 1 billion KRW
Debt ratio
1.5 times of
the same
business
sector(A)
Max(A or 100%)
Max( A or 1.5
times all Listed
Companies
Lock-up of major shareholders’
shares
For 6 months
For 1 year
For 2 years(after 1 year
Set free 5%/a month)
For 1year(after 6 mth.
5%)
• Strengthening the lock-up rules for major shareholders
• Raised financial requirements
20
Harnessing de-listing driveHarnessing de-listing drive
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Insolvent Company within 1yrhalf
yearwithout delay
NegativePaid-in capital
2 consecutive yrs without delay
Low Market Price(less than "A"
percentageOf par value)
20% 30% 40%
Low Market Capitalization
(less than "A" billionKRW)
1 2
Ordinary Loss and LowMarket Capitalization
For 2 years, MC less than
5 billion KRW & OL
Consecutive OrdinaryLoss (more than half of
Capital)
For3 years
• No leave for insolvent companies• Raised financial maintenance requirements
21
Revamp government policiesRevamp government policies
• Restructured venture capital companies by strict licensing and supervision policies
• Re-organized duplicated venture business promotion policies
• Applied minimum requirements for financial reporting and corporate governance
• Improved the self-regulatory capacity of market operator
22
Recovery of market activitiesRecovery of market activities
• IPOs resurged in 2005
• Mezzanine finance reactivated earlier
- SME equity related bond/total corp. bond:
(‘00) 29% (‘01) 5% (‘02) 18% (‘03) 22% (‘04) 25%
* Financing Activities in Kosdaq
* IPOs in Korea market(US$ mil.)
8
556
46
436
04
9
525
70
578
03
4521,227218-1,720Amount
67122166179105Number
Number
Amount
3
1,313
01
11
1,116
02
-
2,551
00
KOSPI1115
8502,111KOSDAQ
0599
8
556
46
436
04
9
525
70
578
03
4521,227218-1,720Amount
67122166179105Number
Number
Amount
3
1,313
01
11
1,116
02
-
2,551
00
KOSPI1115
8502,111KOSDAQ
0599
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
(US
$ m
il.)
IPOs in Kosdaq Rights Issue Corp. Bonds
23
Results of Restructuring 1Results of Restructuring 1
(35)
(27)
(45)
(29) (30)
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
(Ranki
ng)
0201 03 04 05
• Corporate governance improved
• Market monitoring function recovered
* De-listing to total listed companies
* Ranking of Business efficiency
* Source : IMD World competitiveness yearbook 2005
10.4
16.715.6
13.8
5.5
1.23.0 3.1
4.5 4.3
0.22.0
0
5
10
15
20
00 01 02 03 04 05
(%)
NASDAQ KOSDAQ
24
Results of Restructuring 2Results of Restructuring 2
• Corporate performance recovered
• Market Performance restored* ’05 World Market Rising Rate(%)
* Period : 2005.1.1 – 2005.12.31
* Sales & Net profit/Sales Curve
0
10
20
30
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Sal
es G
row
th(%
)
0
1
2
3
4
Net
pro
fit/S
ales
(%)
Sales Growth Rate Net Profit/ Sales
1.4 - 0.66.7
13.6
40.2
16.7
54.0
84.5
- 10
10
30
50
70
90
KO
SD
AQ
KO
SP
I
Nasd
aq
Do
wJo
nes
FTS
E
NIK
KE
I
TW
I
STI
(%)
25
1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW1. KOSDAQ OVERVIEW
2. CONTRIUBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS2. CONTRIUBUTORS to EARLY SUCCESS
3. CRISIS and3. CRISIS and RESTRUCTURINGRESTRUCTURING
4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE4. REMAINING CHALLENGES and FUTURE STRATEGYSTRATEGY
5. Conclusion5. Conclusion
26
A Divide among KOSDAQ firmsA Divide among KOSDAQ firms
• Low liquidity companies
• Limited foreign investment
* Trading Volume
* Ownership by Foreign investors
*as of 2005. 12. 29
19.28.3Bottom 500 stocksin terms of trading vol.
36.256.7 Top 100 stocksin terms of trading vol.
Trading Value(% )
Trading volume (% )
2005
19.28.3Bottom 500 stocksin terms of trading vol.
36.256.7 Top 100 stocksin terms of trading vol.
Trading Value(% )
Trading volume (% )
2005
11.7
109
10-30%
3.2
30
30-50%
61.1
570
0 –10%
Ratio(% ) 0.623.4
6218Companies
Over50%
Non
11.7
109
10-30%
3.2
30
30-50%
61.1
570
0 –10%
Ratio(% ) 0.623.4
6218Companies
Over50%
Non
27
New market abusesNew market abuses* No. of Back door listings
* Third Party Issues/Total equity issue
• Increased back door listings to avoid tightened listing requirement
• Private placements with malpractices
* Source: Financial Supervisory Commission
1016
12
24
37
67
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
(Cas
e)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Rig
hts
Iss
ue(U
S$m
il)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Third P
art
y /
Tota
l(%
)
Total Issue Third Praty/ Total(%)
28
Future development strategyFuture development strategy
• Maintain the identity as an SME market in merged Korea Exchange
• Keep high-tech profile with IT, BT, NT, CT
• Reduce compliance costs and improve capacity of listed companies
• Cross-listing and cross-trading with other exchanges
• Develop a sustainable eco-system for fostering new SMES
29
Conclusion (Lessons Learned)Conclusion (Lessons Learned)
• Develop a distinct (not inferior) character of New Market [Market Architecture]
• Re-regulate disclosure and listing/de-listing systems for SMEs [Optimal Regulation]
• Strengthen supporting services to listed SMEs [Response to Compliance Challenges]
• Foster investor base for high-risk and high-return assets [Deregulation of Institutional Investments and Retail Investor Protection]
• Develop industrial policies for Innovative SMEs [Government Policy Coordination]
30
:: thank you