devday 2016: dave farley - the rationale for continuous delivery
TRANSCRIPT
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Dave Farley http://www.davefarley.net @davefarley77
http://www.continuous-delivery.co.uk
The Rationale for Continuous DeliveryOr
What Does ‘Good’ Look Like?
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The State of Software Development
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The State of Software DevelopmentSource: KPMG (New Zealand) Date: 2010
In a study of project management practices:
1) 70% of organizations have suffered at least one project failure in the last 12 months
2) 50% of respondents indicated that their projects consistently failed to achieve what they set out to achieve.
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The State of Software DevelopmentSource: KPMG (New Zealand) Date: 2010
In a study of project management practices:
1) 70% of organizations have suffered at least one project failure in the last 12 months
2) 50% of respondents indicated that their projects consistently failed to achieve what they set out to achieve.
Source: KPMG – Global IT Management Survey Date: 2005
In a survey of 600 projects worldwide:
1) 49% of organisations had suffered a project failure in the past 12 months
2) 2% of organisations reported that all of their projects achieved their desired benefits.
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The State of Software DevelopmentSource: KPMG (New Zealand) Date: 2010
In a study of project management practices:
1) 70% of organizations have suffered at least one project failure in the last 12 months
2) 50% of respondents indicated that their projects consistently failed to achieve what they set out to achieve.
Source: KPMG – Global IT Management Survey Date: 2005
In a survey of 600 projects worldwide:
1) 49% of organisations had suffered a project failure in the past 12 months
2) 2% of organisations reported that all of their projects achieved their desired benefits.
Source: Logica Management Consulting Date: 2008
In a survey of 380 senior execs in Western Europe:
1) 35% of organisations abandoned a major project in the last 3years
2) 37% of business change programmes fail to deliver benefits.
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The State of Software DevelopmentSource: KPMG (New Zealand) Date: 2010
In a study of project management practices:
1) 70% of organizations have suffered at least one project failure in the last 12 months
2) 50% of respondents indicated that their projects consistently failed to achieve what they set out to achieve.
Source: KPMG – Global IT Management Survey Date: 2005
In a survey of 600 projects worldwide:
1) 49% of organisations had suffered a project failure in the past 12 months
2) 2% of organisations reported that all of their projects achieved their desired benefits.
Source: Logica Management Consulting Date: 2008
In a survey of 380 senior execs in Western Europe:
1) 35% of organisations abandoned a major project in the last 3years
2) 37% of business change programmes fail to deliver benefits.
Source: The McKinsey Group with Oxford University Date: 2012
In a study of 5,400 large scale projects (> $15m):
1) 17% of projects go so badly that they threaten the existence of the company performing them.
2) On average large projects run 45% over budget and 7% over time while delivering 56% less value than predicted.
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If Software Projects Worked…
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If Software Projects Worked…
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Failure Success
If Software Projects Worked…
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Failure Success
If Software Projects Worked…
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The State of Software Development Has Been Err…. Sub-Optimal
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The State of Software Development Has Been Err…. Sub-Optimal
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The State of Software Development Has Been Err…. Sub-Optimal
But there are signs of change…
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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What Have We Tried?
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
The IEEE has a lot to answer for!
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
“…the implementation described above is risky and invites failure.”
<snip>
“The testing phase which occurs at the end of the development cycle is the first event for which timing, storage, input/output
transfers, etc., are experienced as distinguished from analysed. These phenomena are not precisely analysable.”
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Waterfall - Precisely Where We Went Wrong Managing The Development of Large Software Systems - Dr Winston W. Royce (1970)
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Learning From Our Mistakes
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Learning From Our Mistakes
“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” Albert Einstein
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What Do We Really Want?
Customer
Feedback
Business Idea
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What Do We Really Want?
Customer
Feedback
Business Idea
Quickly Cheaply Reliably
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A Question….
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A Question….
What is the most successful invention in human history?
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A Question….
SCIENCE
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The Scientific Method
Characterisation Make a guess based on experience and observation. Hypothesis Propose an explanation. Deduction Make a prediction from the hypothesis. Experiment Test the prediction.
Repeat!
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What Works?
57%14%
29%
ChallengedSuccessfulFailed
49%42%
9%
Source: The CHAOS Manifesto, The Standish Group 2012
AgileWaterfall
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What Works? - More Data
30%
64%
6% 21%
72%
7% 28%
65%
7%
35%
50%
15%32%
49%
18%
Source: Scott Ambler, Dr. Dobbs Journal, Feb 2014 (http://www.drdobbs.com/architecture-and-design/the-non-existent-software-crisis-debunki/240165910)
Agile Lean Iterative
Ad-Hoc Traditional
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What Works? - More Data
30%
64%
6% 21%
72%
7% 28%
65%
7%
35%
50%
15%32%
49%
18%
Source: Scott Ambler, Dr. Dobbs Journal, Feb 2014 (http://www.drdobbs.com/architecture-and-design/the-non-existent-software-crisis-debunki/240165910)
Agile Lean Iterative
Ad-Hoc Traditional
Lean Thinking …
• Deliver Fast • Build Quality In • Optimise the Whole • Eliminate Waste
• Unnecessary Variations (Mura) • Overburden (Muri) • Wasteful activities (Muda)
• Amplify Learning • Decide Late • Empower the Team
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Smart Automation - a repeatable, reliable process for releasing software
Unit Test CodeIdea Executable spec. Build Release
What Really Works?
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Smart Automation - a repeatable, reliable process for releasing software
Unit Test CodeIdea Executable spec. Build Release
What Really Works?
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Smart Automation - a repeatable, reliable process for releasing software
Unit Test CodeIdea Executable spec. Build Release
“It doesn’t matter how intelligent you are, if you guess and that guess cannot be backed up by experimental evidence – then it is still a guess!” - Richard Feynman
What Really Works?
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Being Experimental - The Goal
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Being Experimental - The Goal
“I believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, of landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the earth” - John F. Kennedy (1961)
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Being Experimental - The Goal
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Being Experimental - The Challenge
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Being Experimental - The Challenge
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Purpose
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Purpose
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Purpose
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Small Steps
(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Small Steps
(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Giant Leaps
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Giant Leaps
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 3 - Missed!
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 3 - Missed!‣ Ranger 4 - Impact, systems failed
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 3 - Missed!‣ Ranger 4 - Impact, systems failed‣ Ranger 5 - Missed!
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 3 - Missed!‣ Ranger 4 - Impact, systems failed‣ Ranger 5 - Missed!‣ Ranger 6 - Impact, cameras failed
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 3 - Missed!‣ Ranger 4 - Impact, systems failed‣ Ranger 5 - Missed!‣ Ranger 6 - Impact, cameras failed‣ Ranger 7 - Success!
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 3 - Missed!‣ Ranger 4 - Impact, systems failed‣ Ranger 5 - Missed!‣ Ranger 6 - Impact, cameras failed‣ Ranger 7 - Success!‣ Ranger 8 - Success!
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - The Reality
The Ranger Programme
‣ Ranger 1 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 2 - Launch Failure‣ Ranger 3 - Missed!‣ Ranger 4 - Impact, systems failed‣ Ranger 5 - Missed!‣ Ranger 6 - Impact, cameras failed‣ Ranger 7 - Success!‣ Ranger 8 - Success!‣ Ranger 9 - Success!
Inspired By: Russ Olsen’s Presentation “The Moon” at QCon London 2015
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Works!
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Works!
Build the tallest free-standing tower you can, that will support a marshmallow, with just spaghetti, tape and string
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Works!
Source: Tom Wujec (http://marshmallowchallenge.com)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Works!
Source: Tom Wujec (http://marshmallowchallenge.com)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Works!
Source: Tom Wujec (http://marshmallowchallenge.com)
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Fast & Slow Thinking
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Fast & Slow Thinking
2 + 2
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Fast & Slow Thinking
2 + 217 x 24
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Fast & Slow Thinking
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Fast & Slow Thinking
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Fast & Slow Thinking
Source: fMRI Brain-scans by Dr. Gerald Huther, Presented at ‘Production Systems 2009 Conference’ via Mike Rother
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Fast & Slow Thinking
System 1 Thinking - Fast
System 2 Thinking - Slow
Source: fMRI Brain-scans by Dr. Gerald Huther, Presented at ‘Production Systems 2009 Conference’ via Mike Rother
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental
• Is Hard Work - Literally!
• We are Programmed to avoid it
• We Will Jump to Conclusions
• We Can Only Combat this Through a Deliberate Act of Will and Practice
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(C)opyright Dave Farley 2015
Being Experimental - Solves These Problems
• Confirmation Bias • Biased Search for Information • Biased Interpretation • Biased Memory
• Polarisation of Opinion • Persistence of Discredited Beliefs • Preference for Early Information • Illusory Association Between Events
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Cycle-Time
103 days
Typical Traditional Cycle Time10 days
64 days
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Cycle-Time
Commit Stage Compile Unit test Analysis
Build Installers
Automated acceptance
testing
Automated performance
testing
Manual testing
Release
57 mins
3 mins 20 mins
20 mins
30 mins
4 mins
Typical CD Cycle Time
103 days
Typical Traditional Cycle Time10 days
64 days
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What Is Continuous Delivery?“Our highest priority is to satisfy the customer through early
and continuous delivery of valuable software.”
The first principle of the agile manifesto.
The logical extension of continuous integration.
A holistic approach to development.
Every commit creates a release candidate.
Finished means released into production!
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The Principles of Continuous DeliveryCreate a repeatable, reliable process for releasing software. Automate almost everything. Keep everything under version control. If it hurts, do it more often – bring the pain forward. Build quality in. Done means released. Everybody is responsible for the release process. Improve continuously.
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The Principles of Continuous DeliveryCreate a repeatable, reliable process for releasing software. Automate almost everything. Keep everything under version control. If it hurts, do it more often – bring the pain forward. Build quality in. Done means released. Everybody is responsible for the release process. Improve continuously.
“If Agile software development was the opening act to a great
performance, Continuous Delivery is the headliner.”
Forrester Research 2013
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Local Dev. Env.
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Local Dev. Env.
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Local Dev. Env. Commit
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Local Dev. Env. Commit
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env. Commit
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env. Commit
Commit
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Commit
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Commit
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
CommitAcceptance
Source Repository
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
CommitAcceptance
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
CommitAcceptance
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
Data Migration
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
Data Migration
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Staged
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
Data Migration
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
Production Env.
Deployment App.
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Staged
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
Data Migration
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
Production Env.
Deployment App.
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Staged
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
Data Migration
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
Production Env.
Deployment App.
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Staged
Production
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
Data Migration
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Example Continuous Delivery Process
Artifact Repository
Local Dev. Env.
Deployment Pipeline
Acceptance
Commit
Component Performance
System Performance
Production Env.
Deployment App.
CommitAcceptance
Manual
Perf1Perf2
Staged
Production
Source Repository
Manual Test Env.
Deployment App.
Data Migration
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“This may work for small projects but can’t possibly scale”
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“This may work for small projects but can’t possibly scale”
The Google Build Process
• Single Monolithic Repository
• Continuous Build & Test on Commit For: • > 60 Million builds per year and growing exponentially.
• > 100 Million lines of code.
• All tests are run on every commit, (>20 commits per minute).
• > 100 Million test cases executed per day.
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“This is too risky, releasing all the time is a recipe for disaster”
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“This is too risky, releasing all the time is a recipe for disaster”
The Amazon Build Process
• Mean time between deployment - 11.6 seconds
• Mean hosts simultaneously receiving a deployment - 10,000
• 75% reduction in outages triggered by deployment between 2006 and 2011
• 90% reduction in outage minutes triggered by deployment
• ~0.001% of deployments cause an outage
• Instantaneous rollback
• Reduction in complexity
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“This may work for simple web sites but my technology is too complex”
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“This may work for simple web sites but my technology is too complex”
•Transformation of Development Approach for all LaserJet Firmware Products
•Large Complex Project•Multiple Products•Four Year Timeframe•10x Developer Productivity Increase
HP Laserjet Firmware Team Experience
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HP LaserJet Firmware Team
10% Code Integration 20% Detailed Planning 25% Porting Code 25% Product Support 15% Manual Testing ~5% Innovation
2% Continuous Integration 5% Agile Planning 15% Architectural Integrity 10% Unified Support 5% Automated Testing 3% Improving Tools 10% Writing Tests ~40% Innovation
2008 2011
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The Results
A Practical Approach to Large scale Agile Development (Gruver, Young and Fulgrhum)
• Overall development costs reduced by ~40% • Programs under development increased by ~140% • Development cost per program down by 70% • Resources now driving innovation increased by 5x
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The Effect on Business - Part 1• Continuous Delivery changes the economics of software
delivery.
• 87% of companies whose development & operations functions were rated as “excellent” saw revenue growth > 10% in 20131
• In contrast, 13% of companies whose development & operations functions were rated “average” or worse saw similar growth.
• 8x more frequent production deployments
• 8000x faster deployment lead times (i.e., time required from “code committed” to “successfully running in production”)
• 50% lower change failure rates
Source: 1"DevOps and Continuous Delivery: Ten Factors Shaping the Future of Application Delivery.”, Enterprise Management Associates’ Report (2014)
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The Effect on Business - Part 2• “Firms with high-performing IT organizations were twice as likely
to exceed their profitability, market share and productivity goals”2
• Higher throughput2
• Higher reliability2
• 12x faster service restoration times when something went wrong (i.e., MTTR)
• “Organizational culture is one of the strongest predictors of both IT performance and overall performance of the organization”2
• “We can now assert with confidence that high IT performance correlates with strong business performance, helping to boost productivity, profitability and market share.”2
Source: 2“2014 State of DevOps report”, Jez Humble, Gene Kim, Nicole Forsgren Velasquez, Puppet Labs (2014)
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Who Practices CD?
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Who Practices CD?
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Who Practices CD?
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Q&A
http://www.continuous-delivery.co.uk
Dave Farley http://www.davefarley.net @davefarley77