Deterrence and Countering WMD Threats

Mr. Andy Weber

ATSD(NCB)

20 Jan 2010

President Obama’s Nuclear Security Vision – Two Prongs

Maintaining a safe, secure and effective arsenal– Reduce the role of Nuclear Weapons in the national security

strategy

Ensure that terrorists never acquire a nuclear weapon

“This is the most immediate and extreme threat to global security.”

President Barack Obama

Prague Speech

April 5, 2009

Two Prongs

Reversing Neglect of the Nuclear Deterrent– Management of the Nuclear Stockpile

– Modernization of the Nuclear Enterprise

– Emphasis on the Nuclear Brain Trust

Significant focus on Countering WMD– Global Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction programs

Global Nuclear Lockdown

Biological Threat Reduction Program (BTRP)

– Non-Proliferation and Arms Control

Preventing Biological Threats

“…fanatics have expressed interest in developing and using biological weapons against us and our allies. Addressing these unique challenges requires a comprehensive approach that recognizes the importance of reducing threats from outbreaks or infectious disease whether natural, accidental or deliberate in nature…. “

President Barack Obama

November 23, 2009 - National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats

Biological Threat Reduction Program– Studies have shown that a Bio attack on this nation could be as

devastating as a nuclear attack.

– WMD Commission states that a Bio attack is more likely

– DoD Biological Threat Reduction efforts in Seven FSU CountriesNew Overseas Lab in Tbilisi

Expansion to Pakistan and Afghanistan

– Need to strengthen Global Bio-Surveillance

Cooperative Threat Reduction Program Scorecard

Amounts in Former Soviet Amounts in Former Soviet Union & Albania circa. Union & Albania circa.

19941994

ReductionsReductionsa/o Nov 10, 2009a/o Nov 10, 2009

13300133001330013300

1473147314731473

831831831831

442442442442

233233233233

906906906906

728728728728

936936936936

48484848

194194194194

20122012Target*Target*

7514751475147514

767767767767

498498

143143

155155

906906

476476

651651

3232

194194

Warheads DeactivatedWarheads Deactivated

ICBM Silos EliminatedICBM Silos Eliminated

ICBM Mobile Launchers DestroyedICBM Mobile Launchers Destroyed

Bombers EliminatedBombers Eliminated

Nuclear ASMs DestroyedNuclear ASMs Destroyed

SLBM Launchers EliminatedSLBM Launchers Eliminated

SLBMs EliminatedSLBMs Eliminated

SSBNs DestroyedSSBNs Destroyed

Nuclear Test Tunnels/Holes SealedNuclear Test Tunnels/Holes Sealed

ICBMs DestroyedICBMs Destroyed

84528452

11101110

574574

267267

155155

906906

544544

728728

3535

194194

Nuclear Weapons Storage Site Security Upgrades Biological Monitoring Stations Built & Equipped

Nuclear Weapons Transport Train Shipments

843.2843.2 5465.65465.6Declared CW Agent Destroyed (Metric Tons)

PercentPercentAchieveAchievedd

88.9%88.9%

69.1%69.1%

86.886.8

53.6%53.6%

100%100%

100%100%

87.5%87.5%

89.4%89.4%

91.4%91.4%

100%100%

15.4%15.4%40017400174001740017

463463

2424

1818

620620

2424

5555

74.7%74.7%

100%100%

32.7%32.7%

Ukraine, Kazakhstan, & Belarus are Nuclear Weapons FreeAlbania is Chemical Weapons Free