describe the natural history of hcv infection hepatitis c: the ......cost effectiveness studies saab...

9
11/1/2014 1 Hepatitis C: The new era of screening and treatment David Crabb, M.D. Department of Medicine, Indiana University and Eskenazi Health Objectives Describe the natural history of HCV infection Be able to diagnose HCV Know the factors which predict progression to fibrosis and cirrhosis Know that HCV therapy is rapidly changing, and that most patients now have > 95% cure rate with 8-12 weeks of oral therapy Understand the genomic organization of the HCV as it relates to new direct acting antivirals Contemplate that this breakthrough ranks with the development of treatment for syphilis, TB, and HIV History of HCV diagnosis and screening Post-transfusion hepatitis: as HBsAg discovered and screened we had: Non-A, Non-B hepatitis (NANB) Identification and cloning of virus 1989 Testing for blood supply 1992 Screening recommendations 2013 Worldwide prevalence of chronic HCV More people have HCV than HIV! Egypt 15% Henan province, China 9% Distribution of HCV genotypes The risk of HCV from blood transfusion

Upload: others

Post on 25-Feb-2021

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

1

Hepatitis C: The new era of screening and treatment

David Crabb, M.D.Department of Medicine, Indiana

University andEskenazi Health

Objectives

• Describe the natural history of HCV infection• Be able to diagnose HCV• Know the factors which predict progression to fibrosis

and cirrhosis • Know that HCV therapy is rapidly changing, and that

most patients now have > 95% cure rate with 8-12 weeks of oral therapy

• Understand the genomic organization of the HCV as it relates to new direct acting antivirals

• Contemplate that this breakthrough ranks with the development of treatment for syphilis, TB, and HIV

History of HCV diagnosis and screening

• Post-transfusion hepatitis: as HBsAgdiscovered and screened we had:

– Non-A, Non-B hepatitis (NANB)

• Identification and cloning of virus 1989

• Testing for blood supply 1992

• Screening recommendations 2013

Worldwide prevalence of chronic HCVMore people have HCV than HIV!

Egypt 15%Henan province, China 9%

Distribution of HCV genotypes The risk of HCV from blood transfusion

Page 2: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

2

Routes of transmission Acute HCV infection

Take home point: perhaps 15% or more of patients infected recover without treatmentThey generally remain anti-HCV positive

Chronic HCV infection

Take home point: Chronic HCV is diagnosed by persistent presence of HCV RNA.Once you have made this dx, there is no need to test for RNA outside of treatment.

Long term consequences of HCV infection and risk of cirrhosis

Genotype 3 is only viral factor to affect progression

We don’t know slope of progression beyond 20 years

The history of the natural history of HCV (1968-2009)

Take home points: Infection at older age, male sex, post-transfusion infection,co-infection with HBV/HIV, heavy alcohol use, NAFLD, obesity, insulin resistancelinked to more likely progression

A majority of patients may not develop significant fibrosisBetter means to assess fibrosis (other than bx) would be very valuable toassess individual patients.

More Americans die of HCV than HIV

Page 3: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

3

CDC screening recommendations• Persons for Whom HCV Testing Is Recommended• Adults born during 1945 through 1965 should be tested once (without prior ascertainment of

HCV risk factors)• HCV-testing is recommended for those who:

– Currently inject drugs– Ever injected drugs, including those who injected once or a few times many years ago– Have certain medical conditions, including persons:

• who received clotting factor concentrates produced before 1987• who were ever on long-term hemodialysis• with persistently abnormal alanine aminotransferase levels (ALT)• who have HIV infection

– Were prior recipients of transfusions or organ transplants, including persons who: • were notified that they received blood from a donor who later tested positive for HCV infection• received a transfusion of blood, blood components or an organ transplant before July 1992

• HCV- testing based on a recognized exposure is recommended for: – Healthcare, emergency medical, and public safety workers after needle sticks, sharps, or mucosal exposures

to HCV-positive blood– Children born to HCV-positive women

• Note: For persons who might have been exposed to HCV within the past 6 months, testing for HCV RNA or follow-up testing for HCV antibody is recommended.

What good is eradication of the virus?

• Stops progression to fibrosis/cirrhosis

• Stops development of portal hypertension in cirrhotic patients

• Decreases risk of hepatoma development

• Eliminates effects of type II cryoglobulinemia(renal injury, skin rash, neuropathy)

• ? Effect on risk of diabetes, lymphoma, fatigue

• Should reduce transmission to others

Improved outcomes with SVRSVR = Sustained viral response

From HCVGuidelines.org

Goal of treatment The goal of treatment of HCV-infected persons is to reduce all-cause mortality and liver-related health adverse consequences, including end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma, by the achievement of virologic cure as evidenced by an SVR.Rating: Class I, Level A

Recommendations for when and in whom to initiate treatmentTreatment is recommended for patients with chronic HCV infection.Rating: Class I, Level ATreatment is assigned the highest priority for those patients with advanced fibrosis (Metavir F3), those with compensated cirrhosis (Metavir F4), liver transplant recipients, and patients with severe extrahepatic hepatitis C (Table 1). Note decompensation from early HCV cirrhosis may occur at ~7%/year.

Based on available resources, treatment should be prioritized as necessary so that patients at high risk for liver-related complications and severe extrahepatic hepatitis C complications are given high priority (Table 1).

Recommendations for pretreatment assessmentAn assessment of the degree of hepatic fibrosis, using noninvasive testing or liver biopsy, is recommended.Rating: Class I, Level A

Recommendation for repeat liver disease assessmentOngoing assessment of liver disease is recommended for persons in whom therapy is deferred.Rating: Class I, Level C

Settings of Liver-Related Complications and ExtrahepaticDisease in Which HCV Treatment is Most Likely to Provide the

Most Immediate and Impactful Benefits

Highest Priority for Treatment Owing to Highest Risk for Severe Complications

Advanced fibrosis (Metavir F3) or compensated cirrhosis (Metavir F4)Rating: Class I, Level A

Organ transplantRating: Class I, Level B

Type 2 or 3 essential mixed cryoglobulinemia with end-organ manifestations (eg, vasculitis)Rating: Class I, Level B

Proteinuria, nephrotic syndrome, or membranoproliferativeglomerulonephritisRating: Class IIa, Level B

The HCV genome and viral proteins

Page 4: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

4

Brief history of treatment

• Interferon: Initially 3 MU TIW (very difficult)

• Interferon with ribavirin

• PEG interferon: weekly injection

• First generation protease inhibitors (Pis) (2011)

• PIs were first direct acting antiviral (DAA)- drug directed specifically against a viral enzyme/protein

• The explosion of treatment (2013 onward)

Treatment of NANB hepatitis up to 2011

• Initially (mid 1970’s) steroids- reduced ALT

• IFN tested based on responses of HBV in 1986

Effect of first generation protease inhibitors

Effect of DAAs on GT 1 responsesDAA= boceprevir or telaprevir

What do the DAAs do?

Currently: simeprevir ledipasvir sofosbuvir

P= PEG-IFNR, RBV = ribavirin

SOF= sofosbuvir

Page 5: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

5

October 10, 2014

COSMOS

clinicaloptions.com/hepatitis

Highlights From EASL 2014

COSMOS: Simeprevir + Sofosbuvir ± RBV

in Genotype 1 HCV Patients Randomized phase IIa study

Simeprevir 150 mg QD; sofosbuvir 400 mg QD; weight-based RBV 1000-1200 mg/day.

Patients With GT1 HCV

Cohort 1: Previous null responders,

F0-F2[1]

(N = 80)

Cohort 2: Naives and previous null

responders, F3-F4[2]

(N = 87)

Simeprevir + Sofosbuvir + RBV (n = 30)

Simeprevir + Sofosbuvir (n = 16)

Wk 12 Wk 24

Simeprevir + Sofosbuvir(n = 14)

Simeprevir + Sofosbuvir + RBV (n = 27)

1. Sulkowski M, et al. EASL 2014. Abstract O7. 2. Lawitz E, et al. EASL 2014. Abstract O165.

clinicaloptions.com/hepatitis

Highlights From EASL 2014

COSMOS: SVR12 in Cohorts 1 and 2 by

HCV Subgenotype and Baseline Q80K

Cohort 1 (F0-F2 Nulls)*[1] Cohort 2 (F3-F4 Naives/Nulls)*[2]

1. Sulkowski M, et al. EASL 2014. Abstract O7. 2. Lawitz E, et al. EASL 2014. Abstract O165.

SMV/SOF ±RBV

SVR12 (%)

SMV/SOF +

RBV

SMV/SOF+

RBV

SMV/SOF SMV/SOF

24 Wks 12 Wks Overall

4/

4

7/

7

8/

9

3/

3

7/

7

3/

3

6/

6

12/

12

8/

9

4/

4

4/

4

5/

6

*Excluding patients who discontinued for nonvirologic reasons.

100 10093

88

95100 100

88

10096

SMV/SOF ±RBV

SMV/SOF +

RBV

SMV/SOF +

RBV

SMV/SOF SMV/SOF

24 Wks 12 Wks Overall

6/

6

11/

11

11/

11

4/

4

7/

7

4/

4

5/

5

13/

14

7/

8

3/

3

7/

8

3/

3

18/

18

38/

40

25/

26

100 100 100 100 100100

80

60

40

20

0

100 100

89

100100 100 100 100

89

100 100

83

100 100

89

GT1b GT1a without Q80K GT1a with Q80K

30/

30

7/

17

24/

27

Evidence of drug effectiveness: SOF+ Ledipasvir in treatment-naïve patients

Patients were previously untreated, GT1, 16% cirrhosis (well compensated)

Evidence of drug effectiveness: SOF+

Ledipasvir in treatment-naïve, non-cirrhotic patients

Evidence of drug effectiveness: SOF+

Ledipasvir in IFN +/- protease inhibitor failures

Patients with GT1 HCV, ~20% cirrhosis; did not include those who withdrew from Rx

Page 6: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

6

NS3/4A Protease Inhibitors (PI)

High potency

Limited genotypic coverage

Low barrier to resistance

NS5A Inhibitors

High potency

Multigenotypic coverage

Low barrier to resistance

NS5B Nucleos(t)ide Inhibitors (NI)

Intermediate potency

Pangenotypic coverage

High barrier to resistance

NS5B Nonnucleoside Inhibitors (NNI)

Intermediate potency

Limited genotypic coverage

Low barrier to resistance

Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents: Key Characteristics

C E1 E2 p7 NS2 NS3 NS4A NS4B NS5A NS5B

Many more Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents on the Way

3’UTR5’UTR Core E1 E2 NS2 NS4BNS3 NS5A NS5Bp7

TelaprevirBoceprevirSimeprevir (SIM)Asunaprevir (ASV)ABT-450 (Paritprevir)MK-5172FaldaprevirSovaprevirACH-2684

PREVIRs

Daclatasvir(DCV)Ledipasvir(LDV)Ombitasvir (OMB)MK-8742GS-5885GS-5816ACH-3102PPI-668GSK2336805Samatasvir

ASVIRs

Sofosbuvir(SOF)VX-135IDX21437ACH-3422

BUVIRs

Dasabuvir (DBV)BMS-791325PPI-383GS-9669TMC647055

BUVIRs

NS5BNUC Inhibitors

NS3Protease Inhibitors

NS5AReplication Complex

InhibitorsRibavirin

NS5BNon-NUC Inhibitors

PolymeraseProtease

Cost Assumptions Using WAC Prices and

Estimates of Clinical Costs

Drug Cost Assumptions

Pegylated interferon

(Pegasys)

$12,340/12 weeks Add $5,000 per 12

weeks for any IFN-

containing regimen for

visits, labs, etc.

Ribavirin $4,000/12 weeks

Simeprevir $66,320/12 weeks

Sofosbuvir $84,000/12 weeks Add $2,500 per 12

weeks for non-IFN-

containing regimens

Boceprevir $24,337/12 weeks

•33

Genotype 1 Choices

Patient

Characteristics

Regimen Options SVR Cost per

SVR

Naïve , no cirrhosis Wait until 2015 ? ?

SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 92% $114,500

SOF/RBV x 24 wks ~68% $266,176

Naïve, cirrhosis SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 80% $131,675

SOF/Simeprevir x 12 >90% $169,800

Treatment experienced

, no cirrhosis

Wait until 2015 ? ?

SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 ? ?

Treatment experienced

, cirrhosis

SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 ? ?

SOF/Simeprevir x 12 >90% $169,800

Genotype 1 Choices

Patient

Characteristics

Regimen Options SVR Cost per

SVR

Naïve , no cirrhosis Wait until 2015 ? ?

SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 92% $114,500

SOF/RBV x 24 wks ~68% $266,176

Naïve, cirrhosis SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 80% $131,675

SOF/Simeprevir x 12 >90% $169,800

Treatment experienced

, no cirrhosis

Wait until 2015 ? ?

SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 ? ?

Treatment experienced

, cirrhosis

SOF/Peg-IFN/RBV x 12 ? ?

SOF/Simeprevir x 12 >90% $169,800

Cost effectiveness studies

Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus genotype 1 infection. Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2014 Sep;40:657-75. 2014

CONCLUSION: Sofosbuvir + pegIFN/RBV yields more favorable future health and economic outcomes than current treatment regimens for patients across all levels of treatment experience and cirrhosis stage, as well as for individuals with or without HIV co-infection. (and is lowest one year cost per SVR).

UCLA group

Page 7: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

7

Current limitations

• HCV Genotypes 5,6,7

• Decompensated cirrhosis

• Patients with renal failure

• Ability to determine who should be treated sooner, which means…

Staging fibrosis

• “Noninvasive tests to stage the degree of fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV infection include models incorporating indirect serum biomarkers (routine tests), direct serum biomarkers (components of the extracellular matrix produced by activated hepatic stellate cells), and vibration-controlled transient liver elastography. No single method is recognized to have high accuracy alone and each test must be interpreted carefully. A recent publication of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality found evidence in support of a number of blood tests; however, at best they are only moderately useful for identifying clinically significant fibrosis or cirrhosis.”

Noninvasive assessment of fibrosis

• Detecting liver fibrosis and cirrhosis important!

• Even liver biopsy may have up to 24% false negative for cirrhosis (but it is still the gold standard)

• Fib4 score: based on AST, ALT, platelets and age

• Note: interpretation varies between HCV and NASH; not validated for other disorders.

Non-invasive markers of fibrosis

• “An FIB-4 index<1.45 had a negative predictive value of 95% to exclude severe fibrosis with a sensitivity of 74%. An FIB-4 index higher than 3.25 had a positive predictive value to confirm the existence of a significant fibrosis (F3-F4) of 82% with a specificity of 98%. Using these ranges, 73% of the 847 liver biopsies were correctly classified.”

• Thus, ¾ of patients correctly classified.

Fibroscan, aka transient elastography

Based on speed of transmissionof a sound wave impulse; transformedinto a measure of liver stiffness,which is related to fibrosis

Fibroscan

Page 8: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

8

Performance of CT in dx cirrhosis• Diagnostic accuracy of imaging for liver cirrhosis compared to histologically proven

liver cirrhosis. A multicenter collaborative study. Kudo M et al. Intervirology. 2008;51 Suppl 1:17-26 (Asian population)

• CT, MRI and US examinations of 142 patients with chronic liver disease who underwent surgery for complicated hepatocellular carcinoma (<3 cm in diameter) in 10 institutions were blindly reviewed in a multicenter study by three radiologists experienced in CT, MRI and US. The images were evaluated for five imaging parameters (irregular or nodular liver surface, blunt liver edge, liver parenchymal abnormalities, liver morphological changes and manifestations of portal hypertension) using a severity scale.

• RESULTS: The predictive diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity and specificity in discriminating LC from CH based on the best predictive signs were 72, 77 and 68% by CT; 68, 68 and 68% by MRI, and 66, 38 (lower than CT and MRI, p =0.001) and 89% (higher than CT and MRI, p =0.001)by US. According to the imaging impression scoring system, diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity and specificity were 67, 84 and 53% by CT; 70, 87 and 54% by MRI, and 64, 52 (lower than CT and MRI, p =0.0001) and 74% (higher than CT and MRI, p < 0.003) by US.

• Take home: These patients were largely (91%) Childs A. CT only predicts cirrhosis in this group 2/3 of the time: a normal CT doesn’t exclude cirrhosis.

• Abnormalities become more pronounced as liver disease progresses

Summary

• HCV is a huge, global public health problem

• Modern genome-based (DAAs) therapy can cure the vast majority of patients without the side effects of interferon and with few side effects

• New therapies are successful in treatment failures and early cirrhosis

Considerations for therapy

• Avoidance of risky behavior; address alcohol abuse as well as IV and sexual exposure

• Genotype of the virus

• Prior treatment failure

• Presence of cirrhosis (and is it decompensated?)

• Co-infection: HBV, HIV

Effect of genotype on SVRGT 2 and 3 can be treated for 24 weeksInitial RNA viral load affected responses

Effect of viral load

Page 9: Describe the natural history of HCV infection Hepatitis C: The ......Cost effectiveness studies Saab et al., Cost-effectiveness analysis of sofosbuvir plus peginterferon/ribavirin

11/1/2014

9

Structure of the virusHave to know the genes to understand the drugs!