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Derivatives Portfolio Report MTA Finance Department Patrick J. McCoy, Director October 22, 2018

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Page 1: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Derivatives Portfolio Report

MTA Finance Department

Patrick J. McCoy, Director

October 22, 2018

Page 2: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

MTA’s derivatives program reduces budget risk by

employing interest rate and fuel hedging strategies

1

• MTA’s synthetic fixed rate portfolio remains low cost

• $2.3 billion notional with 8 counterparties

– Executed 2001 thru 2007

– Weighted average synthetic fixed rate of 4.12%

• MTA’s fuel hedging program mitigates budget risk by dollar cost

averaging half of our ultra-low sulfur diesel (“ULSD”) expenses

– 24 hedges with 5 counterparties

– Final maturity 2020

– Average locked in rate for the next 12 months is $1.81

Page 3: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Interest Rate Swaps

2

Page 4: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to

manage budget volatility while

maintaining a low cost of capital

3

Traditional Fixed$30.264 Bn 1

87.3%

Unhedged Variable$2.098 Bn

6.1%

Synthetic Fixed Rate$2.297 Bn

6.6%

• Interest rate exposure is managed through a combination of low cost synthetic fixed rate, fixed rate

portfolio management through refundings and reasonable level of floating rate debt

• Exposure to liquidity events is manageable with a total variable rate debt load of $4.396 billion

allocated between bank facilities and FRNs

Note: As of October 1, 2018 and excludes State Service Contract Bonds, Special Obligation Bonds and Hudson Rail Yard Obligations.1 Excludes Put Bonds and BANs.

Page 5: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Outstanding synthetic fixed rate debt is

declining and remains low cost

4

– The weighted average cost of the synthetic fixed rate portfolio is 4.12% (including fees, excluding benefit of up-front payments)

– Synthetic fixed rate exposure continues to be manageable

– Mark-to-Market values do not impact capital or operating budgeting

Page 6: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Outstanding counterparty exposure is

manageable across strong counterparties

5

Swap CounterpartyRatings

Moody's/S&P/FitchNotional Amount

($000)% of Total Notional MTM (mid)

2017(1) 2018(1) 2017(1) 2018(1) 2017(1) 2018(1) 2017(1) 2018(1)

AIG Financial Products Corp. Baa1/BBB+/BBB+ Baa1/BBB+/BBB+ $98,745 $95,175 4 4 ($18,477) ($12,149)

BNP Paribas North America, Inc. Aa3/A/A+ Aa3/A/A+ 191,300 190,300 8 8 (31,952) (19,382)

Citibank, N.A. A1/A+/A+ A1/A+/A+ 191,300 190,300 8 8 (31,952) (19,382)

JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. Aa3/A+/AA- Aa3/A+/AA 782,950 758,600 33 33 (191,807) (132,078)

The Bank of New York Mellon Aa2/AA-/AA Aa2/AA-/AA 328,980 326,860 14 14 (49,808) (30,593)

UBS AG A1/A+/AA- Aa3/A+/AA- 487,535 475,825 21 21 (87,384) (55,828)

US Bank, N.A. A1/AA-/AA A1/AA-/AA- 139,238 130,088 6 6 (17,541) (10,485)

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. Aa2/AA-/AA Aa2/A+/AA- 139,238 130,088 6 6 (17,541) (10,485)

Total $2,359,285 $2,297,235 ($446,463) ($290,380)

• MTA continues to seek novation opportunities to increase counterparty credit strength and/or improve economic and credit terms

1 Data from Mohanty Gargiulo LLC Interest Swap Portfolio Reports dated 9/29/17 and 9/28/2018

Totals may not add due to rounding.

Page 7: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Fuel Hedging Program

6

Page 8: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

MTA hedges 50% of its fuel costs to protect

ULSD budget from volatility

7

– Currently hedging 50% of annual ultra-low sulfur diesel (“ULSD”)

expenditures pursuant to existing Board Authorization in

September 2012

– Hedges are procured through a competitive bidding process withpre-approved counterparties:

– J. Aron & Company (42,227,969 gallons hedged)

– Merrill Lynch Commodities Inc. (2,820,856 gallons hedged)

– Macquarie Energy LLC (2,799,258 gallons hedged)

– Cargill (945,767 gallons hedged)

– JP Morgan (712,724 gallons hedged)

Page 9: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Current portfolio hedges 50% of the next 12 months

of projected fuel purchases laddered in over time

8

0%

50%

100%

-

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Ga

llo

ns

(M

illio

ns

)

Gallons Hedge Ratio

Projected Gallons Purchased (Millions) Gallons Hedged (Millions) Percent of Gallons Hedged

He

dg

e R

atio

%

50% hedged for next 12 months

46% Hedged

4% Hedged

• The goal of the program is to be 50% hedged for the next 12 months.

• Hedges are entered into monthly for roughly 4% of the projected fuel purchases expected to occur 13-24 months

from each hedge execution date.

Page 10: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Hedge program provides budget stability while

protecting against commodity price spikes

9

• Sometimes this will result in not realizing the full effect of lower prices in a budget year, as was the case in 2016.

• But we do begin to realize the benefit of those falling prices in future years, e.g., second-half 2017 and first-quarter 2018.

• Executing monthly forward hedges results in deferring the impact of major market moves in any current budget year

by shifting them 12 months forward into future budgets

• With limited resources to protect the budget from negative volatility this strategy will reduce the immediate impact of

potential spikes in fuel prices

1.151.251.351.451.551.651.751.851.952.052.152.252.352.452.552.652.75

Jan

-16

Mar

-16

May

-16

Jul-

16

Sep

-16

No

v-1

6

Jan

-17

Mar

-17

May

-17

Jul-

17

Sep

-17

No

v-1

7

Jan

-18

Mar

-18

May

-18

Jul-

18

Sep

-18

No

v-1

8

Jan

-19

Mar

-19

May

-19

Jul-

19

Sep

-19

No

v-1

9

Jan

-20

Mar

-20

May

-20

Jul-

20

Pri

ce

Date

Hedged ULSD Price

Actual Fuel Price PaidIncluding Charges andHedges

Actual Unhedged FuelPrice Paid IncludingCharges

Page 11: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Appendix

10

Page 12: Derivatives Portfolio Report - MTAweb.mta.info/mta/news/books/docs/DerivativesReport102018.pdf · 2018-10-23 · MTA’s debt portfolio is designed to manage budget volatility while

Interest Rate Derivative Contract Bond Allocation

11

Interest Rate Derivative Contract Bond Allocation

Issue Bond Series

Par Amount

($Mn)

Fixed Rate Paid

(%)

Variable Rate Index

Received Maturity Date

MTM Values

($Mn)

Transportation Revenue

2002D-2 $200.00 4.450% 69% 1-Month LIBOR November 1, 2032 ($52.300)

2002G-11 127.66 3.520 67% 1-Month LIBOR January 1, 2030 (7.053)

2005D & 2005E 380.70 3.561 67% 1-Month LIBOR November 1, 2035 (48.594)

2011B1 69.59 3.520 67% 1-Month LIBOR January 1, 2030 (10.578)

2012G 357.15 3.563 67% 1-Month LIBOR November 1, 2032 (60.134)

Total $1,135.10 ($178.659)

Dedicated Tax Fund

2008A $326.86 3.316 67% 1-Month LIBOR November 1, 2031 ($30.593)

Total $326.86 ($30.593)

Bridges and Tunnels --General Revenue

2001C $40.28 3.520 67% 1-Month LIBOR January 1, 2030 ($1.313)

2002F& 2003B 190.30 3.076 67% 1-Month LIBOR January 1, 2032 (19.382)

2005A 22.65 3.520 67% 1-Month LIBOR January 1, 2030 (2.025)

2005B 570.90 3.076 67% 1-Month LIBOR January 1, 2032 (58.146)

Total $824.13 ($80.866)

Bridges and Tunnels --Subordinate

2000ABCD $11.15 6.080 SIFMA-15 bps January 1, 2019 ($0.262)

Total $11.15 ($0.262)

Notes: Data for derivative contracts outstanding as of 9/28/18

Totals may not add due to rounding.1 Associated swap is with TBTA.