derivatives daily

4
SBICAP Securities Limited 1 Nifty fut opened on positive note. The market remained ranged bounded with stock specific momentum, but recovered in late afternoon session. Nifty Fut consololidated in nerrow range for major part of the day and surged in last half an hour of trade to close the session at day’s high, gaining 33 points. Nifty Feb contract premium increased to 18 points to cash. India VIX (volatility index) decreased by 4.98% to 15.83 Banknifty Feb Fut closed at 10342.4, up by 105 points and shed 0.42L shares in OI shows unwinding of some short positions. Nifty call side shed total 3L in OI, 5800, 5900, 6000 and 6100 strike shed OI of 18L shows unsinding of some short positions, while 6200, and above strike add OI shows addition of some short positions. Nifty Feb Put side add total 14L in OI, 6200,6100 and 6000 strike add OI of 13L shares, shows addition of some long positions, while 5900 and 5700 shed OI shows unwinding of short positions. Maximum OI build up in Nifty Feb call observed to 6200 strike and put side at 6000 strike price followed by 5900 strike price. Stock Futures OI increased by 1.45Cr. Shares, about 1.88% of total OI with increase in average CoC (cost of Carry) shows addition of some long positions. Among sectoral indices, Power, Finance and Pharma stocks led the recovery in the market, while Telecom, Realty and Metals stocks closed negative. Major Gainers: TATAPOWER, DRREDDY, ICICIBANK, HEROMOTOCO, IDFC and LUPIN in frontline. Major Losers: NMDC, COALINDIA, DLF, HINDALCO, RELIANCE, BHEL, and BANKBARODA in frontline Market Outlook Nifty fut expected to open flat to negative following mixed global market cues. Nifty fut may open around 6090 level as indicated by SGXNifty. Nifty fut may trade widely in the range of 6040 – 6130 with higher degree of swinging action. Nifty fut Resistance at 6110 – 6125 and support at 6055-6040. As stated earlier, If Nifty Fut sustained above 6080, possiblity of rally up to 6130 and 6180, on the other side, failing to hold 6040 level, possiblity Nifty fut to drag again up to 5990 and 5965 may not be niglacted.. Nifty Most Active Call Strike Close No.Of Lots OI OI Chng 6100 50.1 465769 4849950 66800 6200 15.75 318621 6561100 233700 6300 3.55 193293 4875450 -217150 6000 114.4 134631 3077100 -259700 6400 1.05 70551 2940650 -62100 6150 29.45 47737 1041150 275250 Nifty Most Active Put Strike Close No.Of Lots OI OI Chng 6000 27.1 411729 10015300 1299800 6100 61.15 270931 3965500 383500 5900 11.05 265133 5780150 -401150 5800 4.3 163777 5083300 265300 5700 1.95 98066 3584100 -584850 5600 1.05 43100 2028200 -78250 Most Active Call ( by no. of contracts) Symbol Strike Pri. Closing Pri No.of Lots Change in OI TATAMOTORS 390 6.75 2845 232000 RELIANCE 820 8.65 2760 166250 TCS 2200 20.9 2683 4500 RELIANCE 840 3.15 2662 217000 ICICIBANK 1000 26.15 2439 -78250 DLF 150 1.45 2104 188000 MCDOWELL-N 2400 24.15 2091 11125 AXISBANK 1150 11.6 1670 -16000 M&M 920 22.3 1593 -22750 INFY 3700 23.25 1568 -250 Most Active Put ( by no. of contracts) Symbol Strike Pri. Closing Pri No.Of Lots Change in OI MCDOWELL-N 2300 41.45 2349 11625 TATAMOTORS 380 4.55 2324 88000 TATASTEEL 370 6.05 1818 170000 RELIANCE 800 5.8 1775 15500 TCS 2150 23.45 1747 5250 ICICIBANK 980 8.95 1545 61000 DLF 140 3.15 1522 132000 AXISBANK 1100 16.45 1232 -10000 INFY 3600 14.6 1128 22125 RCOM 120 4.05 980 -234000 Key Parameters Current Previous Cash Closing 6073.20 6048.35 Jan Future Closing 6091.20 6058.00 Traded Vol. (Cntrcts) 167030 227135 Open Interest ( in Lk.) 162.54 162.05 Change in OI (Lk.) 0.49 -4.51 CoC % 11.95 4.85 Feb Future Closing 6123.85 6091.70 Traded Vol. (Cntrcts) 11584 11851 Open Interest ( in Lk.) 18.90 17.38 Volatility (HV) % 15.71 15.98 PCR OI 1.09 1.07 PCR Vol 1.05 1.04 Call IV (Avg) 14.47 14.71 Put IV (Avg) 17.36 17.17 0.01 2.60 0.67 2.34 2.17 0.62 0.87 0.00 0.39 1.09 0.78 4.13 2.65 4.01 13.00 3.84 3.13 0.01 0.16 0.12 10 5 0 5 10 15 5350 5400 5500 5600 5700 5800 5900 6000 6100 6200 6300 6400 6500 Open Interest in Lk. Nifty Change in Option Open Interest as on 170214 Call Put Feb 18, 2014

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  • SBICAP Securities Limited 1

    Nifty fut opened on positive note. The market remained ranged bounded with stock specific momentum, but recovered in late afternoon session. Nifty Fut consololidated in nerrow range for major part of the day and surged in last half an hour of trade to close the session at days high, gaining 33 points. Nifty Feb contract premium increased to 18 points to cash. India VIX (volatility index) decreased by 4.98% to 15.83 Banknifty Feb Fut closed at 10342.4, up by 105 points and shed 0.42L

    shares in OI shows unwinding of some short positions. Nifty call side shed total 3L in OI, 5800, 5900, 6000 and 6100 strike

    shed OI of 18L shows unsinding of some short positions, while 6200, and above strike add OI shows addition of some short positions. Nifty Feb Put side add total 14L in OI, 6200,6100 and 6000 strike add

    OI of 13L shares, shows addition of some long positions, while 5900 and 5700 shed OI shows unwinding of short positions. Maximum OI build up in Nifty Feb call observed to 6200 strike and put

    side at 6000 strike price followed by 5900 strike price. Stock Futures OI increased by 1.45Cr. Shares, about 1.88% of total OI

    with increase in average CoC (cost of Carry) shows addition of some long positions. Among sectoral indices, Power, Finance and Pharma stocks led the

    recovery in the market, while Telecom, Realty and Metals stocks closed negative. Major Gainers: TATAPOWER, DRREDDY, ICICIBANK,

    HEROMOTOCO, IDFC and LUPIN in frontline. Major Losers: NMDC, COALINDIA, DLF, HINDALCO, RELIANCE,

    BHEL, and BANKBARODA in frontline Market Outlook Nifty fut expected to open flat to negative following mixed global market cues. Nifty fut may open around 6090 level as indicated by SGXNifty. Nifty fut may trade widely in the range of 6040 6130 with higher degree of swinging action. Nifty fut Resistance at 6110 6125 and support at 6055-6040. As stated earlier, If Nifty Fut sustained above 6080, possiblity of rally up to 6130 and 6180, on the other side, failing to hold 6040 level, possiblity Nifty fut to drag again up to 5990 and 5965 may not be niglacted..

    Nifty Most Active Call

    Strike Close No.Of Lots OI OI Chng

    6100 50.1 465769 4849950 668006200 15.75 318621 6561100 2337006300 3.55 193293 4875450 -2171506000 114.4 134631 3077100 -2597006400 1.05 70551 2940650 -621006150 29.45 47737 1041150 275250

    Nifty Most Active Put Strike Close No.Of Lots OI OI Chng

    6000 27.1 411729 10015300 12998006100 61.15 270931 3965500 3835005900 11.05 265133 5780150 -4011505800 4.3 163777 5083300 2653005700 1.95 98066 3584100 -5848505600 1.05 43100 2028200 -78250

    Most Active Call ( by no. of contracts)

    Symbol StrikePri.Closing

    Pri No.of LotsChangein OI

    TATAMOTORS 390 6.75 2845 232000RELIANCE 820 8.65 2760 166250TCS 2200 20.9 2683 4500RELIANCE 840 3.15 2662 217000ICICIBANK 1000 26.15 2439 -78250DLF 150 1.45 2104 188000MCDOWELL-N 2400 24.15 2091 11125AXISBANK 1150 11.6 1670 -16000M&M 920 22.3 1593 -22750INFY 3700 23.25 1568 -250

    Most Active Put ( by no. of contracts)

    Symbol Strike Pri.Closing

    Pri No.Of LotsChange in OI

    MCDOWELL-N 2300 41.45 2349 11625TATAMOTORS 380 4.55 2324 88000TATASTEEL 370 6.05 1818 170000RELIANCE 800 5.8 1775 15500TCS 2150 23.45 1747 5250ICICIBANK 980 8.95 1545 61000DLF 140 3.15 1522 132000AXISBANK 1100 16.45 1232 -10000INFY 3600 14.6 1128 22125RCOM 120 4.05 980 -234000

    Key Parameters Current Previous

    Cash Closing 6073.20 6048.35Jan Future Closing 6091.20 6058.00Traded Vol. (Cntrcts) 167030 227135Open Interest ( in Lk.) 162.54 162.05Change in OI (Lk.) 0.49 -4.51CoC % 11.95 4.85Feb Future Closing 6123.85 6091.70Traded Vol. (Cntrcts) 11584 11851Open Interest ( in Lk.) 18.90 17.38Volatility (HV) % 15.71 15.98PCR OI 1.09 1.07PCR Vol 1.05 1.04Call IV (Avg) 14.47 14.71Put IV (Avg) 17.36 17.17

    0.01

    2.60

    0.67

    2.34

    2.17

    0.62

    0.87

    0.00

    0.39

    1.09

    0.78

    4.13

    2.65

    4.01

    13.00

    3.84

    3.13

    0.01

    0.16

    0.12

    10

    5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    5350

    5400

    5500

    5600

    5700

    5800

    5900

    6000

    6100

    6200

    6300

    6400

    6500

    OpenInterest

    inLk.

    NiftyChangeinOptionOpen Interestason170214

    Call Put

    Feb 18, 2014

  • SBICAP Securities Limited 2

    Positive Trend

    ADANIPOWER 34.35 3.93 104000 0.37

    M&M 932.1 3.14 141750 7.05

    JPPOWER 14.05 2.93 260000 1.00

    AUROPHARMA 505.95 2.72 984000 7.55

    ADANIPORTS 151.35 2.58 44000 1.06

    OI %ChgScrip Price OI Chng

    %Chg

    Negative Trend

    TATACOMM 280.85 -9.55 180000 3.55

    CROMPGREAV 118.5 -3.85 880000 10.24

    RCOM 118.45 -3.15 2238000 4.98

    SAIL 58.35 -1.40 440000 1.66

    ASHOKLEY 15.45 -0.30 1530000 3.55

    OI %Chg

    Scrip Price OI Chng%Chg

    0.51

    0.36

    0.11

    0.05

    0.19 0.32 0.70

    0.72 1.14

    1.30

    1.30 1.49 1.76 1.95

    2.09 2.18

    2.30 2

    .83

    3.95

    110112233445

    Banking

    Infrastructure

    FMCG

    Oil_Gas

    Finance

    Power

    Metals

    Technology

    Index

    Others

    Telecom

    Automobile

    Realty

    Media

    Pharma

    Fertilisers

    Cement

    Textile

    Capital_Goods

    %ch

    ngin

    OI

    SectorwiseChanginOIPositionon170214

    Derivative Strategy Rcom Buy 1 lot of 120 Put @ 3.8 - 3.9 Rcom Sell 1 lot of 115 Put @ 1.8 - 1.9 Initial Margin : aprox Rs.37044 Max Profit Rs.6000 Max loss Rs.4000 BEP : 118

    Future Calls Buy ZEEL Fut @ 260 SL 257 Trgt 266 Sell CROMPGREAV Fut @ 119 SL 122.5 Trgt 114

    Options Calls Buy M&M 920 CE @ 22 SL 20 Trgt 26 Buy ICICIBANK 1000 CE@ 25 SL 22 Trgt 29 Buy TATASTEEL 370 CE @ 10.5 SL 7.9 Trgt 14

    Payoff Profile

  • SBICAP Securities Limited 3

    Name Designation

    Alpesh Porwal SVP & Head (Retail)

    Ashu Bagri Dy. Head - Technical Analyst

    Jaldeep Vaishnav Derivatives Analyst

    Regd. Office: SBICAP Securities Limited 191, Maker Towers 'F', Cuffe Parade, Mumbai 400 005. I Tel.: 91-22-30273300 (Board) Fax: (022) 30273420

    Corporate Office: SBICAP Securities Limited

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    For any information contact us:

    Toll Free: 1800-22-33-45 I 1800-209-93-45 E-mail: [email protected] I Web: www.sbicapsec.com

    I, Jaldeep S.Vaishnav, PGDBA (Finance), Derivatives Analyst and the author of this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any and all of the subject issuer(s) or securities. This report has been prepared based upon information available to the public and sources, believed to be reliable. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.

    SBICAP Securities Limited (SSL),a full service Stock Broking Company and a member of National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Ltd. (BSE). SSL is a wholly owned subsidiary of SBI Capital Markets Limited (SBICAP), which is engaged into the investment banking activities and is registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India as a Category I Merchant Banker. SBICAP (Singapore) Limited, a fellow subsidiary of SSL, incorporated in Singapore is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore as a holder of a capital markets services license and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore. SBICAP (Singapore) Limiteds services are available only to accredited investors (other than individuals), and institutional investors in Singapore as defined in section 4A of the Securities and Futures Act (Cap. 289) of Singapore. SBICAP (Singapore) is a wholly owned subsidiary of SBICAP. SBICAP (UK) Limited, a fellow subsidiary of SSL, incorporated in United Kingdom is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. [SBICAP, SBICAP (Singapore) Limited, SBICAP (UK) Limited and SSL are collectively referred to as SBICAP Entities]. Recipients of this report should assume that SBICAP Entities (and/or its Affiliates) is seeking (or may seek or will seek) Investment Banking, advisory, project finance or other businesses and may receive commission, brokerage, fees or other compensation from the company or companies that are the subject of this material/ report. SSL (and/or its Affiliates) and its officers, directors and employees, including the analysts and others involved in the preparation/issuance of this material and their dependant(s), may on the date of this report/from time to time, have long/short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities or derivatives thereof of companies mentioned herein. SSLs sales people, dealers, traders and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to its clients that reflect opinion that are contrary to the opinions expressed herein, and its proprietary trading and investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. SSL may have earlier issued or may issue in future reports on the companies covered herein with recommendations/ information inconsistent or different from those made in this report. In reviewing this document, you should be aware that any or all of the foregoing, among other things, may give rise to potential conflicts of interest. Please ensure that you have read Risk Disclosure Document for Capital Market and Derivatives Segments as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India before investing in Indian Securities Market. The projections and forecasts described in this report should be carefully evaluated as these 1. Are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. 2. Can be expected that some of the estimates on which these were based, will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results, and such variances may increase

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  • SBICAP Securities Limited 4

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