denver land opportunity (craig cherney) - uli fall meeting - 102711
TRANSCRIPT
American Land Fund
Shark Tank: Denver Land Opportunity
Distressed Master Planned Residential Community
Includes: 88 Finished Lots, 99 Partially Finished Lots, 732 “Paper” Lots
Southeast Denver: Parker/Aurora submarkets
American Land Fund
Denver MSA Still Growing Annually
Sustained Denver growth
New Home Permits: The Tide Has Turned
DENVER METRO AREA
• 2010: 5,244 new home permits
• 2011: 6,100 new home permits
• 10 Year Historical Average: 18,098
• Projected Next 10 yrs: 8,400 permits
PARKER/AURORA SUBMARKET
• 2010: 696 new home permits
• 2011: 884 new home permits
• 10 year Historical Average: 2,968
• Projected Next 10 yrs: 1,131 permits
American Land Fund
Denver MSA Regional Map
SITE
American Land Fund
Aurora/Parker Submarket Map
SITE
American Land Fund
Overhead Aerial View
American Land Fund
Site Master Plan
American Land Fund
Master Plan History
Master planned 1,150 unit single family home community “hits the wall” in 2007 after selling over 200 finished lots in less than two years prior to Great Recession.
Buy the debt and “reset” project; 175 occupied homes.
“Face value of Debt” exceeded $50+mm.
‘Broken’ & Fully Improved Master Plan
American Land Fund
Land Acquisition Overview
Extended Deal Courtship: 24 months of pre-acquisition effort to purchase debt from multiple lenders.
Purchased all “first position” Deeds of Trust in May 2011.
Recap & JV w/original developer and ‘friendly lien release.’
Complete foreclosure & secure “clean title” Q4 2011.
Broken Master Plan: Buy The Debt
American Land Fund
Sponsor Overview
American Land Fund owns over 24,000 lots across seven different U.S. states.
Residential land experts: no hidden land mines.
(--E.G. 300 Year water supply fully adjudicated & vested)
Local Partner has delivered 4,500 lots in Denver MSA over past 20 years.
Local Partner is ‘original developer’ and heads the project’s utility District with all public utilities in place.
Strive to “be good” at one thing
American Land Fund
The Opportunity
Patient relationship with original developer allows debt acquisition at very deep discount.
Purchase of debt and foreclosure retires debt at less than 20 cents on the dollar.
Risks of foreclosure or redemption by juniors eliminated.
Immediate Income in first year with deeply discounted finished lots.
Shark Bait: The Opportunity
American Land Fund
Low Cost Basis & Rapid Revenues in first 2 years
Impact fee reductions from steeply discounted Metro District Bond ‘reset and sale’ allows:
15+% finished lot price advantage against other finished lots in submarket just from lower impact fees.
Low acquisition basis further allows ‘lot discounts’ of another 15% total ‘discount to market’ of 30%.
Local Partner has 20+ years with Denver public homebuilders. Several builders want to ‘come back’.
This aids immediate homebuilder lot purchases for immediate return of cash.
Shark Feeding: Why This Deal?
American Land Fund
Strengths
Majority of initial cash returned quickly;
No infrastructure risk; 300 year water rights vested & placed.
Weaknesses
“B location” requires certain type of rural/metro buyer.
Opportunities
Impact fee “$7,500 rebates” accelerates initial lot sales.
Threats
Parker/Aurora both have competing in-fill locations. Shadow inventory of pending foreclosures always a risk.
Strengths / Weaknesses / Opportunities
American Land Fund
Sharks Can Generate Solid Returns
Deal EconomicsNo Inflation W/Inflation
Total Lot Revenues $21,333,765 $25,202,649Net Profit $11,607,984 $15,476,867 Unleveraged Return 24.56% 29.47%Cash On Cash 2.63x 3.16x
Peak Equity Entire Deal $7,124,902 $7,162,052 Peak Equity (Shark) $6,768,656 $6,803,949Peak Equity(Sponsor) $356,245 $358,102
Months to pay back 50% of up front capital < 24 Months Same
Months to pay back 100%of up front capital
< 60 Months Same
Cash Sources Sponsor Financing $312,500Shark Investor $5,937,500 Total Sources $6,250,000
Cash Uses
Land Purchase Price $5,500,000 Soft Cost & Legal Reimbursements $750,000
Total Uses $6,250,000
American Land Fund
Request for Shark Investment Committee:
Seeking 95% equity commitment of $5.93 mm cash.
10% “preferred” return paid on all equity; All equity treated same (“parri passu”). Promote(s) shared on 80 / 20 split.
Zero Development Fees. $150,000 annual management fee.
After first 187 lots are sold, “gross equals net” on final 732 paper lots that are sold off over time.
How the Funding is Deployed
American Land Fund
Question & Answer Session
Contact: [email protected] Cherney: (267) 516-7787
Actively managing residential land since 2005.