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What happens when organisation of cervical cancer screening is delayed or stopped? Elsebeth Lynge [email protected]

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What happens when organisation of cervical cancer screening is delayed or stopped? Elsebeth Lynge [email protected]. DENMARK. Opportunistic screening, 1969: All smears paid by the national health insurance National guidelines for organisation, 1986: Target age group: 23–59 years - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: DENMARK

What happens when organisation of

cervical cancer screeningis delayed or stopped?

Elsebeth [email protected]

Page 2: DENMARK

DENMARKOpportunistic screening, 1969:• All smears paid by the national health insurance

National guidelines for organisation, 1986:• Target age group: 23–59 years• Screening interval: 3 years• Smear takers: general practitioners• Registration of all smears (in pathology/health

insurance data)• Only invitation to women without a smear during the

last 3 years

Page 3: DENMARK
Page 4: DENMARK

Copenhagen MFrederiksberg

Copenhagen CFrederiksborg

RoskildeVestsjælland

StorstrømBornholm

FynSønderjylland

RibeVejle

RingkøbingÅrhusViborg

NordjyllandOpportunistic

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

INTRODUCTION OF ORGANISED CERVICAL CANCER SCREENING

Page 5: DENMARK

COVERAGE late 1980s

T

y

p

e

County Age group

15-22

23-30

30-50

50-60

Org Bornholm 23% 83% 88% 59%

Opp Vestsjælland 53% 83% 69% 38%

Org Storstrøm 21% 54% 91% 22%

Opp Storstrøm 57% 82% 66% 33%

Page 6: DENMARK

COVERAGE late 1980s

T

y

p

e

County Age group

15-22

23-30

30-50

50-60

Org Bornholm 23% 83% 88% 59%

Opp Vestsjælland 53% 83% 69% 38%

Org Storstrøm 21% 54% 91% 22%

Opp Storstrøm 57% 82% 66% 33%

Page 7: DENMARK

COVERAGE late 1980s

T

y

p

e

County Age group

15-22

23-30

30-50

50-60

Org Bornholm 23% 83% 88% 59%

Opp Vestsjælland 53% 83% 69% 38%

Org Storstrøm 21% 54% 91% 22%

Opp Storstrøm 57% 82% 66% 33%

Page 8: DENMARK

Copenhagen MFrederiksberg

Copenhagen CFrederiksborg

RoskildeVestsjælland

StorstrømBornholm

FynSønderjylland

RibeVejle

RingkøbingÅrhusViborg

NordjyllandOpportunistic

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

INTRODUCTION OF ORGANISED CERVICAL CANCER SCREENING

Page 9: DENMARK

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 20030

0,5

1

1,5

2Cumulative rate per 100

Early starting counties

Late starting counties

Incidence

Mortality

DenmarkCumulative rate per 100 of cervical cancer for women aged 30 to 64

Page 10: DENMARK

TREND ANALYSIS

Poisson regression analysis,

Interaction term between

type of county and calender period:

Incidence p = 0.0151

Mortality p = 0.9593

Page 11: DENMARK

Copenhagen MFrederiksberg

Copenhagen CFrederiksborg

RoskildeVestsjælland

StorstrømBornholm

FynSønderjylland

RibeVejle

RingkøbingÅrhusViborg

NordjyllandOpportunistic

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

INTRODUCTION OF ORGANISED CERVICAL CANCER SCREENING

Page 12: DENMARK

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 20030

0,5

1

1,5

2Cumulative rate per 100

Period withoutorganised

screening inStorstrøm

county

Incidence

Mortality

Continued programmes

Storstrøm county

DenmarkCumulative rate per 100 of cervical cancer for women aged 30 to 64

Page 13: DENMARK

ANALYSIS OF PEAK

Poisson regression analysis

for period 1993–97:

Incidence 1.31 (95% CI 1.05–1.62)

Mortality 1.50 (95% CI 1.02–2.22)

Page 14: DENMARK

CONCLUSION

• Organisation of cervical cancer screening accelerated the decline in cervical cancer incidence.

• A decade-long stop of an organised programme was associated with a temporary increase in cervical cancer incidence and mortality.