democrats set to win massachusetts, connecticut senate races · massachusetts senate special...
TRANSCRIPT
Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE November 2, 2012 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Democrats set to win Massachusetts, Connecticut Senate races
Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's final polls in Massachusetts and Connecticut find that Democrats are likely to pick up the Senate seat in the former and hold onto the open seat in the latter. Elizabeth Warren leads Scott Brown 52-46 in the Massachusetts contest, while Chris Murphy has a 52-43 advantage over Linda McMahon in Connecticut.
Scott Brown has a 52/36 approval rating. Usually Senators with those kinds of approval numbers are safe for reelection. But Warren needed to do 2 things in this campaign: solidify the Democratic vote behind her and reduce Brown's advantage with independents. She's succeeded on both of those fronts. 84% of Democrats are planning to vote for her, only slightly less than the 88% of Republicans Brown's winning. And Warren's deficit with independents is only 21 points at 59-38. Our final poll of the 2010 Massachusetts Senate special election found Brown defeating Martha Coakley 64-32 with them so Warren's really made up a fair amount of ground on that front.
In Connecticut our final poll finds Chris Murphy with his largest lead all year at 9 points. He's increased his advantage by 5 points since two weeks ago when he was ahead just 48-44. Linda McMahon, already unpopular, has just become more disliked by voters in the state over the last couple weeks. Only 37% have a favorable opinion of her to 52% with an unfavorable one.
“In August polling found the Democratic candidates trailing in both of these New England Senate races,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But Elizabeth Warren and Chris Murphy have closed strongly and appear to be in a safe position for victory, which will go a long way toward helping their party keep its majority.”
Barack Obama leads the Presidential race comfortably in both of these states, 57/42 in Massachusetts and 55/42 in Connecticut. But both of those leads are down considerably from his margin of victory in 2008- he's dropped 11 points from his 26 point win in Massachusetts and 10 points from his 23 point win in Connecticut.
PPP surveyed 1,089 likely voters in Massachusetts and 1,220 in Connecticut on November 1st and 2nd. The margin of error for MA is +/-3.0% and for CT it’s +/-2.8%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
November 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Massachusetts Survey Results
Q1 The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
57% Barack Obama ................................................
42% Mitt Romney....................................................
2% Undecided.......................................................
Q2 The candidates for Senate are Democrat Elizabeth Warren and Republican Scott Brown. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
52% Elizabeth Warren ............................................
46% Scott Brown ....................................................
2% Undecided.......................................................
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
51% Approve ..........................................................
43% Disapprove......................................................
7% Not sure ..........................................................
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?
40% Favorable........................................................
54% Unfavorable ....................................................
7% Not sure ..........................................................
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ellizabeth Warren?
50% Favorable........................................................
43% Unfavorable ....................................................
7% Not sure ..........................................................
Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
52% Approve ..........................................................
36% Disapprove......................................................
12% Not sure ..........................................................
Q7 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Kerry’s job performance?
50% Approve ..........................................................
33% Disapprove......................................................
17% Not sure ..........................................................
Q8 Generally speaking, if there was an election for Senate today, would you vote for Democrat John Kerry or his Republican opponent?
54% John Kerry ......................................................
30% Republican opponent ......................................
15% Not sure ..........................................................
Q9 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
13% Very liberal ......................................................
23% Somewhat liberal ............................................
35% Moderate.........................................................
23% Somewhat conservative..................................
6% Very conservative ...........................................
Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
57% Woman ...........................................................
43% Man.................................................................
Q11 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
39% Democrat ........................................................
16% Republican......................................................
45% Independent/Other ..........................................
Q12 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
82% White ..............................................................
18% Other...............................................................
November 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Q13 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
15% 18 to 29...........................................................
24% 30 to 45...........................................................
41% 46 to 65...........................................................
20% Older than 65 ..................................................
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
57% 89% 88% 54% 25% 10%
42% 11% 11% 43% 73% 88%
2% - 1% 3% 1% 2%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Warren/Brown
Elizabeth Warren
Scott Brown
Undecided
52% 84% 84% 47% 22% 9%
46% 16% 15% 49% 78% 90%
2% - 1% 4% 1% 1%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 79% 78% 48% 24% 10%
43% 18% 16% 43% 71% 87%
7% 3% 6% 10% 6% 3%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 11% 11% 40% 72% 83%
54% 86% 84% 50% 23% 11%
7% 3% 5% 10% 5% 6%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Warren Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
50% 84% 80% 44% 21% 9%
43% 15% 15% 47% 71% 82%
7% 0% 5% 9% 8% 8%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Brown Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
52% 22% 32% 55% 77% 82%
36% 69% 57% 29% 13% 9%
12% 8% 11% 16% 9% 8%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Kerry Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
50% 74% 76% 46% 28% 4%
33% 15% 11% 34% 51% 80%
17% 11% 13% 20% 22% 16%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Kerry or GOPOpponent?
John Kerry
Republicanopponent
Not sure
54% 84% 85% 51% 24% 9%
30% 12% 4% 30% 55% 78%
15% 4% 11% 19% 21% 13%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
57% 59% 53%
42% 39% 45%
2% 1% 2%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Warren/Brown
Elizabeth Warren
Scott Brown
Undecided
52% 55% 48%
46% 44% 49%
2% 1% 3%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 53% 47%
43% 39% 47%
7% 7% 6%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 38% 43%
54% 55% 51%
7% 7% 6%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Warren Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
50% 52% 47%
43% 40% 48%
7% 8% 6%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Brown Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
52% 51% 54%
36% 35% 36%
12% 13% 10%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Kerry Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
50% 49% 50%
33% 30% 36%
17% 21% 13%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Kerry or GOPOpponent?
John Kerry
Republicanopponent
Not sure
54% 56% 52%
30% 28% 34%
15% 16% 15%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
57% 89% 11% 45%
42% 11% 89% 52%
2% 0% - 3%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Warren/Brown
Elizabeth Warren
Scott Brown
Undecided
52% 84% 12% 38%
46% 15% 88% 59%
2% 1% - 3%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 82% 11% 38%
43% 13% 86% 53%
7% 5% 3% 9%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 13% 85% 46%
54% 82% 13% 44%
7% 5% 3% 9%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Warren Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
50% 79% 13% 38%
43% 14% 80% 55%
7% 7% 7% 6%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Brown Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
52% 27% 87% 62%
36% 59% 8% 25%
12% 14% 4% 13%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Kerry Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
50% 71% 17% 43%
33% 13% 65% 39%
17% 16% 17% 19%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Kerry or GOPOpponent?
John Kerry
Republicanopponent
Not sure
54% 85% 13% 42%
30% 6% 73% 36%
15% 9% 14% 21%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White Other
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
57% 54% 71%
42% 45% 27%
2% 1% 2%
Base
Race
White Other
Warren/Brown
Elizabeth Warren
Scott Brown
Undecided
52% 49% 66%
46% 50% 31%
2% 2% 2%
Base
Race
White Other
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 47% 65%
43% 46% 28%
7% 7% 7%
Base
Race
White Other
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 44% 22%
54% 51% 67%
7% 6% 11%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White Other
Warren Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
50% 47% 64%
43% 47% 26%
7% 6% 10%
Base
Race
White Other
Brown Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
52% 55% 42%
36% 35% 41%
12% 11% 18%
Base
Race
White Other
Kerry Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
50% 50% 47%
33% 33% 31%
17% 16% 22%
Base
Race
White Other
Kerry or GOPOpponent?
John Kerry
Republicanopponent
Not sure
54% 53% 61%
30% 33% 19%
15% 14% 20%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
57% 61% 50% 58% 58%
42% 37% 48% 41% 40%
2% 2% 2% 1% 2%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Warren/Brown
Elizabeth Warren
Scott Brown
Undecided
52% 48% 47% 54% 56%
46% 50% 50% 45% 42%
2% 2% 3% 1% 1%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 48% 45% 54% 52%
43% 41% 49% 41% 40%
7% 11% 6% 5% 8%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 34% 43% 41% 38%
54% 61% 46% 55% 54%
7% 5% 10% 4% 8%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,089 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Warren Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
50% 54% 44% 49% 56%
43% 43% 46% 44% 39%
7% 4% 9% 7% 5%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Brown Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
52% 51% 59% 52% 46%
36% 32% 27% 39% 43%
12% 17% 14% 9% 11%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Kerry Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
50% 42% 42% 56% 51%
33% 33% 36% 32% 33%
17% 25% 22% 13% 16%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Kerry or GOPOpponent?
John Kerry
Republicanopponent
Not sure
54% 56% 49% 58% 52%
30% 29% 29% 31% 33%
15% 15% 22% 11% 15%
November 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Connecticut Survey Results
Q1 The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
55% Barack Obama ................................................
42% Mitt Romney....................................................
3% Undecided.......................................................
Q2 The candidates for Senate are Democrat Chris Murphy and Republican Linda McMahon. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
52% Chris Murphy ..................................................
43% Linda McMahon ..............................................
4% Undecided.......................................................
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
51% Approve ..........................................................
42% Disapprove......................................................
7% Not sure ..........................................................
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?
41% Favorable........................................................
52% Unfavorable ....................................................
8% Not sure ..........................................................
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Murphy?
40% Favorable........................................................
42% Unfavorable ....................................................
18% Not sure ..........................................................
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Linda McMahon?
37% Favorable........................................................
52% Unfavorable ....................................................
11% Not sure ..........................................................
Q7 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Dan Malloy's job performance?
46% Approve ..................
38% Disapprove..............
17% Not sure ..................
Q8 Generally speaking, if there was an election for Governor today, would you vote for Democrat Dan Malloy or his Republican opponent?
48% Dan Malloy..............
37% Republican opponent.................
15% Not sure ..................
Q9 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
10% Very liberal ......................................................
19% Somewhat liberal ............................................
36% Moderate.........................................................
24% Somewhat conservative..................................
10% Very conservative ...........................................
Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
53% Woman ...........................................................
47% Man.................................................................
Q11 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
41% Democrat ........................................................
26% Republican......................................................
34% Independent/Other ..........................................
Q12 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
82% White ..............................................................
18% Other...............................................................
November 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012Survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Q13 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
12% 18 to 29...........................................................
26% 30 to 45...........................................................
42% 46 to 65...........................................................
20% Older than 65 ..................................................
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
55% 89% 88% 62% 20% 16%
42% 7% 10% 34% 76% 83%
3% 3% 1% 4% 4% 2%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Murphy/McMahon
Chris Murphy
Linda McMahon
Undecided
52% 85% 86% 57% 22% 11%
43% 10% 14% 38% 74% 80%
4% 5% 0% 5% 4% 9%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 86% 82% 57% 18% 11%
42% 5% 13% 35% 73% 84%
7% 9% 5% 8% 9% 4%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 6% 12% 32% 74% 82%
52% 87% 85% 56% 19% 14%
8% 7% 4% 11% 7% 4%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Murphy Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 64% 68% 44% 15% 7%
42% 8% 14% 38% 69% 83%
18% 28% 18% 18% 16% 10%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
McMahonFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
37% 7% 15% 29% 64% 71%
52% 78% 79% 58% 25% 18%
11% 15% 5% 13% 12% 12%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Malloy Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
46% 68% 64% 49% 29% 13%
38% 15% 20% 33% 53% 76%
17% 17% 16% 18% 18% 11%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Malloy or GOPOpponent?
Dan Malloy
Republicanopponent
Not sure
48% 89% 71% 50% 22% 16%
37% 5% 15% 30% 61% 76%
15% 6% 13% 20% 17% 7%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
55% 59% 51%
42% 37% 47%
3% 4% 2%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Murphy/McMahon
Chris Murphy
Linda McMahon
Undecided
52% 55% 48%
43% 39% 48%
4% 5% 3%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 54% 47%
42% 38% 46%
7% 8% 7%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 37% 45%
52% 55% 48%
8% 8% 7%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Murphy Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 42% 38%
42% 39% 46%
18% 19% 16%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
McMahonFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
37% 35% 38%
52% 53% 51%
11% 12% 10%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Malloy Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
46% 49% 42%
38% 33% 43%
17% 18% 15%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Malloy or GOPOpponent?
Dan Malloy
Republicanopponent
Not sure
48% 51% 45%
37% 32% 42%
15% 17% 13%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
55% 88% 16% 45%
42% 11% 82% 47%
3% 1% 2% 7%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Murphy/McMahon
Chris Murphy
Linda McMahon
Undecided
52% 84% 19% 39%
43% 14% 77% 53%
4% 2% 4% 8%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 83% 15% 39%
42% 13% 80% 48%
7% 4% 5% 13%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 12% 80% 45%
52% 83% 14% 43%
8% 6% 6% 12%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Murphy Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 65% 16% 28%
42% 16% 73% 50%
18% 19% 11% 22%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
McMahonFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
37% 13% 65% 44%
52% 78% 24% 42%
11% 9% 10% 15%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Malloy Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
46% 62% 26% 40%
38% 22% 59% 41%
17% 16% 15% 19%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Malloy or GOPOpponent?
Dan Malloy
Republicanopponent
Not sure
48% 77% 17% 38%
37% 12% 69% 41%
15% 11% 14% 21%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White Other
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
55% 53% 67%
42% 45% 27%
3% 2% 7%
Base
Race
White Other
Murphy/McMahon
Chris Murphy
Linda McMahon
Undecided
52% 52% 55%
43% 45% 35%
4% 3% 10%
Base
Race
White Other
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 48% 62%
42% 44% 32%
7% 8% 6%
Base
Race
White Other
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 44% 26%
52% 49% 63%
8% 7% 10%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White Other
Murphy Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 38% 46%
42% 44% 36%
18% 18% 18%
Base
Race
White Other
McMahonFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
37% 38% 28%
52% 52% 54%
11% 10% 18%
Base
Race
White Other
Malloy Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
46% 44% 51%
38% 40% 29%
17% 16% 20%
Base
Race
White Other
Malloy or GOPOpponent?
Dan Malloy
Republicanopponent
Not sure
48% 48% 50%
37% 39% 27%
15% 14% 23%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Obama/Romney
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Undecided
55% 53% 55% 56% 54%
42% 42% 41% 41% 44%
3% 5% 4% 2% 2%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Murphy/McMahon
Chris Murphy
Linda McMahon
Undecided
52% 47% 50% 53% 56%
43% 42% 46% 44% 41%
4% 12% 4% 3% 3%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
51% 44% 51% 52% 50%
42% 44% 41% 42% 44%
7% 12% 8% 6% 6%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 46% 38% 40% 43%
52% 51% 53% 52% 50%
8% 2% 10% 8% 7%
November 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely votersNovember 1-2, 2012survey of 1,220 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Murphy Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
40% 35% 38% 40% 45%
42% 43% 43% 43% 40%
18% 23% 19% 17% 15%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
McMahonFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
37% 43% 36% 36% 37%
52% 45% 52% 53% 54%
11% 13% 13% 11% 9%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Malloy Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
46% 42% 42% 47% 49%
38% 32% 43% 39% 33%
17% 26% 16% 14% 18%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Malloy or GOPOpponent?
Dan Malloy
Republicanopponent
Not sure
48% 53% 49% 46% 50%
37% 34% 37% 38% 35%
15% 13% 14% 17% 15%