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  • 7/29/2019 Democracy's Century

    1/4

    CENTURYDemocracys

    A Survey of Global Political Change in the 20th

    Century

    This end-of-the-century project rep-

    resents an institutional effort by

    Freedom House, the non-partisan

    organization that monitors political rights

    and civil liberties around the world, to as-

    sess trends in the political systems of the

    world over the course of the 20th century.

    Freedom House is well suited to this

    task. For over forty years, Freedom House

    has been issuing annual reports on the stateof freedom in the world. Central to that

    work is the yearly study Freedom in the

    World. We have applied the same rigorous

    analytic standards employed in our surveys

    to the compilation of this study of the state

    of the worlds political systems at the start

    of this century, in mid-century and at the

    20th centurys end.

    What this study is: This study exam-

    ines at three equidistant points in the 20th

    century the kinds of political systems that

    have governed the world. It divides coun-

    tries on the basis of their political practices

    into the following:

    Democracies: These are political sys-

    tems whose leaders are elected in com-

    petitive multi-party and multi-candi-

    date processes in which opposition

    parties have a legitimate chance of at-

    taining power or participating in

    power.

    Restricted democratic practices:

    These are primarily regimes in which

    a dominant ruling party controls thelevers of power, including access to the

    media, and the electoral process in

    ways that preclude a meaningful chal-

    lenge to its political hegemony. In the

    first half of the century, states with re-

    stricted democratic practices included

    countries which denied universal fran-

    chise to women, racial minorities, and

    the poor and landless.

    Monarchies: These are divided into

    three groups: constitutional monar-

    chies, in which a constitution delin-

    eates the powers of the monarch and

    in which some power may have de-

    volved to elected legislatures and other

    bodies; traditional monarchies; and

    absolute monarchies, in which

    monarchic power was exercised in des-

    potic fashion.

    Authoritarian regimes: These are

    typically one-party states and military

    dictatorships in which there are sig-

    nificant human rights violations. Totalitarian regimes: These are the

    one-party systems that establish effec-

    tive control over most aspects of in-

    formation, engage in propaganda, con-

    trol civic life, and intrude into private

    life. Typically, these have been the

    Marxist-Leninist and national social-

    ist regimes.

    Colonial and imperialdependencies:

    These are the territories that were un-

    Democracys Ce

    der the domination of the large impe

    systems that predominated in the f

    half of the century.

    Protectorates: These are countr

    that have by their own initiative sou

    the protection of a more power

    neighboring state or are under the te

    porary protection and jurisdiction

    the international community.

    In short, this study represents an

    tempt to assess the organizing princip

    by which countries are governed and htheir leaders are selected.

    What this study is not: This is not a stu

    that seeks to replicate the work of Freed

    Houses annual Survey of Freedom. T

    Survey assesses not only the political s

    tem in a country, but also the countr

    human rights performance, civil soci

    economic freedoms, and rule of law.

    Democracys Share:Democratic governments elected by universal suffrage

    1900 1950 2000

    70

    40

    50

    60

    30

    20

    10

    0

    % Countrie

    % Populati

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    The Findings

    Political scientists who

    point to the proliferation

    of democratically elected

    governments around the world

    since the mid-1970s refer to

    ours as the democratic age.

    But the data presented in this

    end-of-the-century report make

    clear that ours has not only

    been a century of bloody

    struggle between peoples and

    ideologies, but that it also has

    been a century of struggle for

    national sovereignty and for the

    individuals democratic sover-

    eignty within the state. In a very

    real sense, the 20th century has

    become the Democratic Cen-

    tury.

    The findings herein are

    significant. They show a dra-matic expansion of democratic

    governance over the course of

    the century. This political trend has been

    matched by significant economic progress

    associated with the expansion of market

    economies. Like economic progress, politi-

    cal progress has been uneven. But the gen-

    eral trends are hard to ignore. They rein-

    force the conclusion that humankind, in fits

    and starts, is rejecting oppression and opt-

    ing for greater openness and freedom.

    As depicted in the accompanying

    graphs and charts, the 20th century has seena significant expansion of democratically

    elected governments and a dramatic expan-

    sion in the number of sovereign states. In

    1900, there were no states which could be

    judged as electoral democracies by the stan-

    dard of universal suffrage for competitive

    multiparty elections. The U.S., Britain, and

    a handful of other countries possessed the

    most democratic systems, but their denial

    of voting rights to women, and in the case

    of the U.S. to black Americans meant that

    they were countries with restricted demo-

    cratic practices. The states with restricted

    democratic practices were 25 in number and

    accounted for just 12.4 percent of the world

    population. In 1900 monarchies and empires

    predominated.

    By 1950, the defeat of Nazi totalitarian-

    ism, the post-war momentum toward de-colo-

    nization, and the post-war reconstruction

    of Europe and Japan resulted in an increase

    in the number of democratic states. At mid-

    century, there were 22 democracies account-

    ing for 31 percent of the world population

    and a further 21 states with restricted demo-

    cratic practices, accounting for 11.9 percent

    of the globes population.

    By the close of our century liberal and

    electoral democracies clearly predominate,

    and have expanded significantly in the Third

    Wave, which has brought democracy to

    much of the post-Communist world and to

    Latin America and parts of Asia and Africa.

    Electoral democracies now represent 119 ofthe 192 existing countries and constitute

    58.2 percent of the worlds population. At

    the same time liberal democracies i.e.

    countries Freedom House regards as free

    and respectful of basic human rights and

    the rule of law are 85 in number and repre-

    sent 38 percent of the global population.

    The growth of individual political au-

    tonomy (usually accompanied by a broader

    expansion of freedom) is reflected in the

    adoption of key post-World War II interna-

    tional documents, particularly the 1948 Uni-

    versal Declaration on Human Rights. A

    growing global human rights and democratic

    consciousness is reflected in the expansion

    of democratic practices and in the extension

    of the democratic franchise to all parts of

    the world and to all major civilizations and

    religions. At the same time as the individual

    has gained greater sovereignty, so too have

    many formerly disenfranchised peoples and

    nations attained statehood. For the second

    major trend of the century is the prolifera-

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    PDR )%3.8(61 )%6.31(12 )%2.91(52 )%0.5(6.792 )%9.11(9.582 )%4.21(6.602

    MC )%0.0(0 )%8.5(9 )%6.41(91 )%0.0(0 )%2.3(9.77 )%9.71(3.992

    MT )%2.5(01 )%6.2(4 )%6.4(6 )%0.1(2.85 )%7.0(4.61 )%3.1(5.22

    MA )%0.0(0 )%3.1(2 )%8.3(5 )%0.0(0 )%5.0(5.21 )%6.63(0.016

    RA )%8.02(04 )%5.6(01 )%0.0(0 )%3.33(9.869,1 )%1.5(0.221 )%0.0(0

    TOT )%6.2(5 )%8.7(21 )%0.0(0 )%4.2(9.141 )%1.43(7.618 )%0.0(0

    C )%0.0(0 )%9.72(34 )%3.24(55 )%0.0(0 )%9.4(4.811 )%2.03(1.305

    P )%0.1(2 )%1.02(13 )%4.51(02 )%1.0(8.4 )%5.8(3.302 )%6.1(5.62

    LATOT )%0.001(291 )%0.001(451 )%0.001(031 )%0.001(6.909,5 )%0.001(3.693,2 %0.001(0.866,1

    ycarcomeD=MED

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    tion of sovereign states. In 1900, there w

    55 sovereign states, 80 in 1950 and tod

    there are 192.

    In 1900, of the 55 sovereign states,

    were extensive empires, the largest of wh

    were the British, the Russian, the Fren

    the Austro-Hungarian, and the Ottom

    Thirty-three of todays countries were p

    of other states and 112 were under impe

    and colonial rule.

    Sovereignty, of course, is no guartee of democracy. Nor is democracy an

    solute guarantee of respect for human rig

    But the three trends have generally p

    gressed together in this century. Beca

    democracy has expanded rapidly over

    last 20 years, many new democracies

    fragile and the gains could well be revers

    And while our centurys clamor for

    mocracy and freedom has not always be

    peaceful (regrettably, it has frequently m

    with brutal repression), it has contribu

    to the prospect of a more peaceful wor

    For history indicates that stable and est

    lished democracies rarely war with one

    other.

    Democracys Century

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    Sovereign States

    Methodology

    The data for the political typology of

    the world in 1900 and 1950 have

    been assembled by Freedom House

    researcher Jason Muse and reviewed by

    Freedom Houses senior staff. The data for

    the year 2000 are the product of Freedom

    Houses annual Survey of Freedom, a ma-

    jor institutional research effort.

    The findings were reviewed by a teamof scholars that consisted of Professor Or-

    lando Patterson of Harvard University; Pro-

    fessor Seymour Martin Lipset and Profes-

    sor Francis Fukuyama, both of George Ma-

    son University; Dr. Fareed Zakaria, the

    Managing Editor ofForeign Affairs maga-

    zine; and Dr. Marc Plattner, co-director of

    the International Forum for Democratic Stud-

    ies and the editor of theJournal of Democ-

    racy. Adrian Karatnycky, President of Free-

    dom House and Arch Puddington, the Vice

    President for Research also took part in the

    review of the data.The underlying data on individual

    countries at each fifty-year interval can be

    received by contacting us at

    [email protected] or by phone: 212-

    514-8040. This report will be published with

    an accompanying essay by Prof. Orlando

    Patterson, John Cowles Professor at

    Harvard University in our forthcoming vol-

    ume, Freedom in the World: 1999-2000. The

    report is also available on our website

    (www.freedomhouse.org).

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    Democracys Ce

    2000

    1950

    1900

    0 10 20 40 60 8030 50 70 90 100

    Tracking Sovereignty

    Tracking Polity by Percent of World Population

    Tracking Polity by Sovereign States

    1900

    2000

    1950

    0 50 100 150 200

    DE

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    20 100 120 1801601400 60 2040 80

    Sovereign States Colonial Dependencies Protectorates

  • 7/29/2019 Democracy's Century

    4/4Democracys Century

    Century Project Team:

    Professor Francis Fukuyama, George Mas

    University

    Professor Seymour Martin Lipset, Georg

    Mason University

    Professor Orlando Patterson, Harvard

    University

    Dr. Marc Plattner, co-director of the Intern

    tional Forum for Democratic Studies

    Dr. Fareed Zakaria,Managing Editor of For

    Affairs magazine

    Jason Muse, Principal Researcher, Freedo

    House

    Freedom House Board of Trustees

    Bette Bao Lord, Chairman

    Max M. Kampelman, Chair Emeritus

    Ned W. Bandler, Vice Chairman

    Mark Palmer, Vice Chairman

    Walter J. Schloss, Treasurer

    Kenneth L. Adelman, Secretary

    Morton Abramowitz

    J. Brian Atwood

    Zbigniew Brzezinski

    Peter Collier

    Mitchell E. Daniels, Jr.

    Paula Dobriansky

    William C. Doherty, Jr.

    Alan Dye

    Sandra Feldman

    Malcolm S. Forbes, Jr.

    Theodore J. Forstmann

    Norman Hill

    Samuel P. Huntington

    John T. Joyce

    Jeane J. Kirkpatrick

    Anthony Lake

    Mara Liasson

    Jay Mazur

    John Norton Moore

    Peggy Noonan

    P.J. ORourke

    Orlando Patterson

    Susan Kaufman Purcell

    Otto J. Reich

    Peter Rodman

    Donald Rumsfeld

    Wendell L. Willkie II

    Jacques D. Wimpfheimer

    Paul Wolfowitz

    Andrew Young

    Richard Sauber, of Counsel

    Adrian Karatnycky, President

    James S. Denton,Executive Director

    Arch Puddington, Vice President for Resear

    Freedom House120 Wall Street

    New York, NY 10025Tel (212) 514-8040Fax (212) 514-8055www.freedomhouse.org

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