delmar race of the day-12-01-19 race 4 - amazon s3 · delmar_race of the day-12-01-19 race 4...
TRANSCRIPT
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DelMar Race of the Day Analysis optixeq.com
ANALYSIS by Emily Gullikson
This is not one of the feature graded stakes on the card, still an interesting sprint allowance all the same with some returning notable three-year-old runners. Both of those runners #2 MUCH BETTER and #3 INSTAGRAND will be coming back off layoffs and have something to prove based on their form prior to the break.
Looking at OptixPLOT 2020 the pair both expect to be forwardly placed positioned in Quad I/III. While the case can be made for either on the PLOT, the preference leads to INSTAGRAND given his spot as the Square. With MUCH BETTER as the Circle and coming back off the layoff that combination could be tough to overcome this afternoon. Even with the recent effort in the G3 Pat Day Mile it is encouraging to see INSTAGRAND still a Square in this field. He has races back in his career that would make him the clear horse to beat - and worth noting connections were quite pleased to see this race fill and run this afternoon.
There is not much between #4 HORSE GREEDY and #5 LIL MILO looking at the Plot. Current form and especially the conventional dirt surface (shown on Surface/Distance) give the preference to HORSE GREEDY if splitting the two.
Even though there is a “snowflake” Contention, there is still some grouping around Quad I in this smaller field, and noted 60 SpeedRate. That is worth keeping #1 CALIFORNIA STREET in contention as he presents the lone closer in the field as the large Square from Quad IV. He will be running on late and the one closing the most ground in the stretch passing some tiring (Circles) late.
DelMar Race of the Day OptixNOTES optixeq.com
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Standard OptixPLOT Quad Position; Shape & Size
OptixFIG Range
OptixNOTES Keywords
OptixNOTES Grade
& OptixFIGS
Previous 3 Race Dates and Class
Program #, Horse Name, Morning Line, Days Since Last Race, RunStyle