december 2013 lecture wageningen university on sustainability, business models, energy

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The reasonable man adapts himself to the world; the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore all progress depends on the unreasonable man.” G.B. Shaw

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“You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.” Richard Buckminster Fuller, critical path, 1981

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Page 1: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

“The reasonable man adapts himself

to the world; the unreasonable one

persists in trying to adapt the

world to himself. Therefore all

progress depends on the

unreasonable man.” G.B. Shaw

Page 2: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

sustainability?

…or “lariekoek”…

Page 3: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

what is “sustainability”?

Page 4: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

“Tsukuba (…), the site of perhaps the

world’s worst electricity wind

farm: in the 12 months it has

operated, its windmills have

consumed 43 times more power than

they have generated.” www.econbrowser.com

Page 5: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

when I led an energy company I

learned…

• more awareness

• increasing

independence and

ownership

• sustainable value

creation

• improving our

world

• more awareness,

less margin

• more independence,

less turnover

• put it on fire and it’s

gone

• well, ok, we had a

CSR program, one

day per year

Page 6: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…and I learnedthat all energy companies werepretty much like

that…

Page 7: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

I wanted

another sort

of business…

Page 8: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

• increase awareness

• increase independence and

ownership

• create sustainable wealth

• bring benefit to the world

“in nature, nothing is created or

lost. things are only transformed.”Lavoisier, French Scientist, 1743-1794

Page 9: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

let’s start with a question:

Fossil fuel consumption (8000BC to 12000AD)

You are here

Source: Lawrence Staudt, 2007

Until 200 years ago, humans did not use more energy than the

earth could produce, and within 200 years this will be the same again

Page 10: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

Source: international energy agency

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Source: international energy agency

Page 12: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

and another question:

what is

energy?

erm… well…

uhh… …que?

Page 13: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

energy is:

the ability to

do work

Page 14: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

energy is:

now, let’s

make this a

bit less

scientific

Page 15: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

if this guy cycles for 8

hours…

Page 16: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…he can lift this car all

the way up

Page 17: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…and he just so happened

to offer his services to

you!

Page 18: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…to cycle for your

laundry…

Page 19: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…for your heating…

Page 20: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…or for your lighting…

Page 21: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…but what’s that 8 hour

job worth?

Page 22: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

is it worth more than €

100?

Page 23: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…is it worth less than €

10?

Page 24: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…is it worth less than €

1?

Page 25: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…this underpayed poor

fellow cycles 8 hours

for…

Page 26: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

€ 0,05(or € 0,006 per hour excl.

taxes and levies)

Page 27: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…and how long does he have to work

for your home energy consumption?

2000 hrs?

20000 hrs?

200000 hrs?

Page 28: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

every year, this person

cycles…

…160.000 hours foryou!

…but wait a minute: a year does not have that many hours, does it?

Page 29: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

at any moment, 24/7, 19

cyclists are at work for

you!

Page 30: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

and these 19 cyclists feed

on:

Page 31: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

we have found ourselves the

cheapestlabour in the

world

congratulations!

Page 32: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…but is it

really that

cheap?

Page 33: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…we gotourselves usedto finite fuelresources…

Page 34: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…and we

deplete them

quickly…

Page 35: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…a bit too

quickly…

Page 36: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…for everybarrel of oil

our earthproducestoday…

Page 37: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…we extract 5

million barrels

in the same

amount of

time…

Page 38: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

99,99998%

…the required saving on ourfossil fuel consumption is:

to regain ourbalance…

…or 5 million times less than

we consume today…

Page 39: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy
Page 40: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…let this

marinate for

a minute…

Page 41: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

abundance…

Page 42: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

• increase awareness

• increase independence and

ownership

• create sustainable wealth

• bring benefit to the world

“You never change things by fighting the

existing reality.

To change something, build a new model

that makes the existing model obsolete.”Richard Buckminster Fuller, critical path, 1981

Page 43: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy
Page 44: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

Path to Zero

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with the Path to Zero,

we achieve a 30%energy cut in 4

years

Page 71: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

Filmpje Landrust (niet meegewetransferred)

Page 72: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

• increase awareness

• increase independence and

ownership

• create sustainable wealth

• bring benefit to the world

“We can be richer than industry as

long as we know that there’s things

that we don’t really need”Willy Mason – Oxygen – 2004

Page 73: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

create sustainable

wealth

problem

• the price of labour

is extremely low

• but this “present

happy progressive

condition is a thing

of limited

duration”William Stanley Jevons, 1865

• and we forgot

what

“sustainability”

solution

• regain control

over our energy

needs

• indepence and

ownership lead to

sustainable wealth

Page 74: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

what change

do we wish to

see in te

world?

Page 75: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

we decided to start with

the end of things:

a

100 year

plan

Page 76: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

why?

food heat

light motion

basic need

no control

Page 77: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

our mission is, by 2110, to

increase wealth and

independence by creating an

abundance of energy from

renewable resources to an

extent where energy is freely

available to everybody

Page 78: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

I believe that energy should be included in the universal declaration of human rights

Page 79: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

this 100 year plan is based on

the following factors

Internal (easy to

influence)

• Social

• Organizational

• Financial

• Technical

External (hard to

influence)

• Economical

• Awareness

• Societal

• Ecological

…and it remains work in progress

Page 80: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

for instance, a snippet from our

social framework:

to create a company culture:

• …in which a learning attitude holds a central

position

• …where the focus is always on the goal

• …where there is no gap between company

image and company identity

• …where roles, rather than tasks, define co-

workers’ activities

• …where “you just have to do what I tell you”

is replaced by “you just have to do what you

tell me”“a strong company culture is essential. It will set the framework within

which goals will be attainable. Throughout BAS’ endeavours to change the

world, its culture should be nourished, maintained and developed”

Page 81: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

"The mission of a manufacturer is to overcome

poverty by producing an abundant supply of

goods. Even though water from a tap is a

processed product with a price, no one objects

if a passerby drinks from a roadside tap. That

is because the supply of water is plentiful and

its price is low. The mission of a manufacturer

is to create material abundance by providing

goods as plentiful and inexpensive as tap

water. This is how we can banish poverty, bring

happiness to people's lives and make this

world into a paradise.”

Page 82: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

• increase awareness

• increase independence and

ownership

• create sustainable wealth

• bring benefit to the world

“The reasonable man adapts himself

to the world; the unreasonable one

persists in trying to adapt the

world to himself. Therefore all

progress depends on the

unreasonable man.” G.B. Shaw

Page 83: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy
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who do we influence?

It’s all

about being:

Beneficial

to

All

Stakeholde

rs

• 101: Shareholders

• 102: Suppliers

• 103: Employees

• 104: Employees’

families

• 105: Customers

• 106: Society

• 107: Ecology

Page 92: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

it’s not aboutbalancing economy

and ecology, but about fitting ourlittle and finite

economy into an ever-existing ecology

Page 93: december 2013 lecture Wageningen University on sustainability, business models, energy

…there is no

substitute for

action

…and finally: