de anza college office of institutional research and planning...winter 2018 43 26 60% 9 21% winter...

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1 To: AB 705 Committee From: Mallory Newell, De Anza Researcher Date: 5/13/2019 Subject: Analysis of Success, Withdraw and Drop Rates after AB705 Changes – Winter 2019 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ This analysis compares success, withdraw and drop rates in EWRT1A, LART250, MATH10 and MATH41 courses over the past 5 winter terms. Rates are disaggregated by modality (face to face, online, hybrid) and Math Performance Success (MPS) sections. Overall rates as well as those disaggregated by ethnicity, EOPS and DSPS status are included as well as distribution by letter grade and success rates by section over the past 5 winter terms. Success include A, B, C, and P grades. Success rate are the number of A, B, C, P grades divided by total enrolled students in the course. Successful completions or volume of completions are a count of A, B, C, P grades this term compared to the comparison term. Withdraw are students who withdrew from the course after census through week 8 and received a W grade. Drops are students who dropped the course before census, drops are counted even if the student enrolled in a different section of the same course. Summary of Results Table 1. Summary of Access and Successful Completions EWRT1A resulted in +290 additional students having access to the course and enrolling compared to last winter for a 24% increase. o This resulted in +175 additional successful completions – from 995 to 1,170 successful completions for an 18% increase in successful completions. MATH10 resulted in +405 additional students having access to the course and enrolling compared to last winter for a 42% increase. o This resulted in +214 additional successful completions – from 683 to 897 successful completions for a 31% increase in successful completions. MATH41 resulted in -42 fewer students enrolling in the course compared to last winter for an 8% decrease. o This resulted in -39 fewer successful completions – from 346 to 307 successful completions for an 11% decrease in successful completions. Winter 2018 Winter 2019 Difference % Difference EWRT1A 1,230 1,520 +290 +24% MATH10 955 1,360 +405 +42% MATH41 533 491 -42 -8% EWRT1A 995 1,170 +175 +18% MATH10 683 897 +214 +31% MATH41 346 307 -39 -11% Successful Completions Access via Enrollment De Anza College Office of Institutional Research and Planning

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Page 1: De Anza College Office of Institutional Research and Planning...Winter 2018 43 26 60% 9 21% Winter 2019 56 37 66% 5 9% Winter 2018 474 418 88% 34 7% ... When comparing EOPS students

1

To: AB 705 Committee

From: Mallory Newell, De Anza Researcher

Date: 5/13/2019

Subject: Analysis of Success, Withdraw and Drop Rates after AB705 Changes – Winter 2019

___________________________________________________________________________________________

This analysis compares success, withdraw and drop rates in EWRT1A, LART250, MATH10 and MATH41 courses

over the past 5 winter terms. Rates are disaggregated by modality (face to face, online, hybrid) and Math

Performance Success (MPS) sections. Overall rates as well as those disaggregated by ethnicity, EOPS and DSPS

status are included as well as distribution by letter grade and success rates by section over the past 5 winter

terms.

Success include A, B, C, and P grades. Success rate are the number of A, B, C, P grades divided by total enrolled

students in the course. Successful completions or volume of completions are a count of A, B, C, P grades this

term compared to the comparison term. Withdraw are students who withdrew from the course after census

through week 8 and received a W grade. Drops are students who dropped the course before census, drops are

counted even if the student enrolled in a different section of the same course.

Summary of Results

Table 1. Summary of Access and Successful Completions

EWRT1A resulted in +290 additional students having access to the course and enrolling compared to last

winter for a 24% increase.

o This resulted in +175 additional successful completions – from 995 to 1,170 successful

completions for an 18% increase in successful completions.

MATH10 resulted in +405 additional students having access to the course and enrolling compared to last

winter for a 42% increase.

o This resulted in +214 additional successful completions – from 683 to 897 successful

completions for a 31% increase in successful completions.

MATH41 resulted in -42 fewer students enrolling in the course compared to last winter for an 8%

decrease.

o This resulted in -39 fewer successful completions – from 346 to 307 successful completions for

an 11% decrease in successful completions.

Winter 2018 Winter 2019 Difference % Difference

EWRT1A 1,230 1,520 +290 +24%

MATH10 955 1,360 +405 +42%

MATH41 533 491 -42 -8%

EWRT1A 995 1,170 +175 +18%

MATH10 683 897 +214 +31%

MATH41 346 307 -39 -11%

Successful Completions

Access via Enrollment

De Anza College Office of Institutional Research and Planning

Page 2: De Anza College Office of Institutional Research and Planning...Winter 2018 43 26 60% 9 21% Winter 2019 56 37 66% 5 9% Winter 2018 474 418 88% 34 7% ... When comparing EOPS students

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Table 2. Summary of Success, Drop and Withdraw Rates

EWRT1A includes students simultaneously enrolled in LART250 sections.

Overall, success, drop and withdraw rates did not fluctuate drastically, between 0%-6%, when

comparing to the prior winter or to the average of the past 5 winter terms.

Success rates decreased somewhat when comparing winter 2018 to winter 2019, though when

comparing to the average of the past 5 winter terms, success rates still decreased, but at a smaller rate.

Drop rates prior to census increased somewhat for all courses, between 2%-4%.

Table 3. Summary of Enrollment Volume, Success Rate and Success Volume – by Targeted Ethnic Groups

The overall trend for enrollment in EWRT1A was an increase in access and enrollment for all targeted

groups with the largest at +108 additional Latinx students.

Success

Rate

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Rate

EWRT1A -4% +3% -2%

MATH10 -6% +4% +1%

MATH41 -2% +4% +2%

Success

Rate

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Rate

EWRT1A -3% +2% 0%

MATH10 -2% +3% +1%

MATH41 +3% +4% -1%

Change from prior year

Change from 5-year average

Enrollment

Volume

Success

Rate

Success

Volume

Af. American +13 +6% +11

Filipinx +4 -2% +2

Latinx +108 -6% +49

Af. American +20 +5% +13

Filipinx +28 0% +18

Latinx +199 -6% +96

Af. American +4 -5% +1

Filipinx -6 -2% -5

Latinx +2 -3% -3

Change from prior year

MATH41

EWRT1A

MATH10

Page 3: De Anza College Office of Institutional Research and Planning...Winter 2018 43 26 60% 9 21% Winter 2019 56 37 66% 5 9% Winter 2018 474 418 88% 34 7% ... When comparing EOPS students

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o Successful completions by volume was positive for all targeted groups in EWRT1A with +49

additional Latinx successful completions, though success rates for this groups decreased 6

percentage points.

The overall trend for enrollment in MATH10 was an increase in access and enrollment for all targeted

groups with the largest at +199 additional Latinx students.

o Successful completions by volume was positive for all targeted groups with +96 additional Latinx

successful completions, though success rates for this groups decreased 6 percentage points.

The overall trend for enrollment and success was rather unchanged for MATH41 for all targeted groups.

Results

EWRT1A

Table 4. EWRT1A – Success, Drop, and Withdraw Rates

Includes EWRT1A sections linked to LART250.

When looking at the past 5 winter terms, there was not much variation in drop or withdraw rates,

however, success rates were lower in winter 2019 than the past 5 winters.

o Enrollment in EWRT1A between winter 2018 and winter 2019 increased 24% from 1,230 to

1,520.

o Success rates decreased by 4 percentage point from 81% to 77% while the percent of students

who dropped the course increased 3 percentage points from 8% to 11% and students who

withdrew decreased 2 percentage point from 11% to 9%.

o Further, an additional +290 students successfully completed EWRT1A in winter 2019 compared

to winter 2018 from 995 successful completions to 1,170 successful completions.

Table 5. EWRT1A + LART250 – Success Rates

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Drop

Count

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Winter 2015 1,422 1,292 79% 176 11% 156 11%

Winter 2016 1,381 1,153 83% 100 7% 87 6%

Winter 2017 1,332 1,062 80% 137 9% 127 10%

Winter 2018 1,230 995 81% 103 8% 136 11%

Winter 2019 1,520 1,170 77% 195 11% 140 9%

Average 80% 9% 9%

Group Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent

Students in the Coreq 98 79% 15 12% 11 9% 124 100%

Students in EWRT1A 79 64% 34 28% 10 7% 123 100%

Success Non Success Withdraw Total

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Table 5 provides the success rates for students who were in the EWRT1A with the required corequisite course of

LART250.

79% of students passed the corequisite course while 64% passed the transfer-level course.

Table 6. EWRT1A – Success, Drop and Withdraw Rates by Modality

Includes students enrolled in EWRT1A + LART250

Success rates for face to face and hybrid sections decreased from winter 2018 to winter 2019, face to

face by 3 percentage points from 80% to 77% and hybrid sections decreased by 13 percentage points

from 90% to 77%. Success rates for online sections increased 5 percentage points from 74% to 79%.

Drops in face to face and online sections increased but decreased for hybrid sections. Between winter

2018 and winter 2019 drops in face to face increased 4 percentage points from 6% to 10% while online

increased 4 percentage points from 14% to 18%, while drops in hybrid sections decreased 1%.

Withdraw rates in face to face and online sections decreased but increased for hybrid sections. Face to

face decreased 2 percentage points from 11% to 9% while online decreased 6 percentage points from

18% to 12%, while hybrid sections increased 5 percentage points from 4% to 9%.

Mode Term

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Drop

Count

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Face to Face Winter 2015 1,132 898 79% 121 10% 120 11%

Winter 2016 1,032 854 83% 61 6% 60 6%

Winter 2017 1,025 841 82% 83 7% 87 8%

Winter 2018 894 718 80% 59 6% 100 11%

Winter 2019 1,175 901 77% 136 10% 103 9%

Hybrid Winter 2015 156 130 83% 10 6% 15 10%

Winter 2016 211 197 93% 14 6% 4 2%

Winter 2017 111 75 68% 18 14% 9 8%

Winter 2018 178 160 90% 19 10% 8 4%

Winter 2019 126 97 77% 12 9% 11 9%

Online Winter 2015 134 101 75% 45 25% 21 16%

Winter 2016 138 102 74% 25 15% 23 17%

Winter 2017 196 146 74% 36 16% 31 16%

Winter 2018 158 117 74% 25 14% 28 18%

Winter 2019 219 172 79% 47 18% 26 12%

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Table 7. EWRT1A - Success Rates

Success and non success rates were lower in winter 2019 than the past 5 winter terms while withdraw

rates decreased comparatively.

o Success rates from winter 2018 to winter 2019 decreased 3 percentage point from 81% to 77%

though overall successful completions increased from 995 to 1,170. Non success rates increased

6 percentage points and withdrawal rates improved by 2 percentage point from 11% to 9%.

Table 8. EWRT1A – Success and Withdraw Rates by Ethnicity

Success rates within each ethnic group comparing winter 2018 to winter 2019 improved for African

American and Pacific Islander students but decreased for all other groups. However, overall successful

Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent

Winter 2015 1,129 79% 137 10% 156 11% 1,422 100%

Winter 2016 1,153 83% 141 10% 87 6% 1,381 100%

Winter 2017 1,062 80% 143 11% 127 10% 1,332 100%

Winter 2018 995 81% 99 8% 136 11% 1,230 100%

Winter 2019 1,170 77% 210 14% 140 9% 1,520 100%

Average 80% 11% 9% 100%

Success Non Success Withdraw Total

Term

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Winter 2018 43 26 60% 9 21%

Winter 2019 56 37 66% 5 9%

Winter 2018 474 418 88% 34 7%

Winter 2019 582 491 84% 35 6%

Winter 2018 103 83 81% 11 11%

Winter 2019 107 85 79% 6 6%

Winter 2018 402 303 75% 59 15%

Winter 2019 510 352 69% 68 13%

Winter 2018 3 2 67%

Winter 2019 8 4 50% 2 25%

Winter 2018 17 9 53% 5 29%

Winter 2019 14 11 79%

Winter 2018 173 141 82% 17 10%

Winter 2019 229 178 78% 22 10%

Winter 2018 15 13 87% 1 7%

Winter 2019 14 12 86% 2 14%

African

American

Asian

Filipinx

Latinx

Native

American

Pacific

Islander

White

Decline to

State

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completions increased for African American (+11), Asian (+73), Filipinx (+2), Latinx (+49), Native

American (+2), and White (+37).

Withdraw rates within each group improved for all groups with the exception of Whites students which

remained the same.

Table 9. EWRT1A – Success by EOPS Status

When comparing EOPS students to non EOPS students in EWRT1A courses, EOPS students on average

exhibit higher success rates than their counterparts. In winter 2019 this was also the case, 82%

compared to 77% respectively.

Table 9. EWRT1A – Success by DSPS Status

When comparing DSPS students to non DSPS students in EWRT1A courses, DSPS students on average

have the same success rates as their counterparts. In winter 2019, DSPS students had a somewhat

similar success rate, 75% compared to 77% respectively.

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

EOPS 53 47 89%

Non EOPS 1,369 1,082 79%

EOPS 73 66 90%

Non EOPS 1,308 1,087 83%

EOPS 64 54 84%

Non EOPS 1,268 1,008 79%

EOPS 74 65 88%

Non EOPS 1,156 930 80%

EOPS 66 54 82%

Non EOPS 1,454 1,116 77%

Winter

2016

Winter

2017

Winter

2018

Winter

2019

Winter

2015

Enrollment

Success

Count

%

Success

DSPS 36 31 87%

Non DSPS 1,386 1,098 81%

DSPS 28 23 69%

Non DSPS 1,353 1,130 81%

DSPS 40 34 83%

Non DSPS 1,292 1,028 78%

DSPS 29 24 80%

Non DSPS 1,201 971 80%

DSPS 55 41 75%

Non DSPS 1,465 1,130 77%

Fall 2017

Fall 2018

Fall 2014

Fall 2015

Fall 2016

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Table 11. EWRT1A – Success by High School GPA – Winter 2019

Includes only actual HSGPA from CalPass.

Table 10 displays the success rates by GPA band for students enrolled in EWRT1A in winter 2019.

o Students with a HSGPA of 2.6 or above had a success rate of 79%

o Students with a HSGPA of 2.59 – 1.9 had a success rate of 64%

o Students with less than a 1.9 HSGPA had a success rate of 60%

o Students who we did not have HSGPA data for had a success rate of 81%

Graph 1. EWRT1A Grade Distribution by Term

Graph 1 shows a distribution of the percent of letter grades by term for all sections over the past 5 winter terms.

The highest rate of grades given in EWRT1A are A grades ranging from 35% to 41% of all grades, followed by B

grades which range from 26% to 31% of all grades, then C grades ranging from 10%-13%, and W grades ranging

from 6% -11%.

Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent

2.6 or Above 292 79% 42 12% 27 9% 361 100%

2.59 - 1.9 170 64% 56 23% 32 13% 258 100%

Less than 1.9 62 60% 27 24% 12 15% 101 100%

No GPA on FIle 646 81% 85 11% 69 11% 800 100%

Total 1,170 77% 210 14% 140 9% 1,520 100%

Success Non Success Withdraw Total

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

A B C D F W

Winter 2019 Winter 2018 Winter 2017 Winter 2016 Winter 2015

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Graph 2. EWRT1A Distribution of Success by Section – Winter 2019

Graph 2 shows a distribution of course success by section for EWRT1A sections in winter 2019. Success rates

ranged from 35% to 100%. Four sections had a success rate below 50%, six sections between 50%-60%, eleven

sections between 61%-70%, five sections between 71%-80%, sixteen sections between 81-90% and eleven

sections between 91%-100%.

MATH10

Table 12. MATH10 - Success, Drop, and Withdraw Rates

Overall, there was not much variation in success or withdraw rates when comparing fluctuations over

the past 5 winter terms, though drops were higher in winter 2019 than prior winter terms.

o Enrollment in MATH10 between winter 2018 and winter 2019 increased 42% from 955 to 1,360.

o Success rates remained rather consistent to prior years, but dropped 6 percentage points from

the prior winter term.

35%

100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Drop

Count

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Winter 2015 1,060 726 68% 148 12% 142 13%

Winter 2016 971 632 65% 174 15% 163 17%

Winter 2017 945 628 66% 175 16% 167 18%

Winter 2018 955 683 72% 150 14% 157 16%

Winter 2019 1,360 897 66% 302 18% 230 17%

Average 68% 15% 16%

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o Successful completions of MATH10 increased +405, from 683 successful completions in winter

2018 to 897 successful completions in winter 2019.

Table 13. MATH10 - Drop and Withdraw Rates by Modality

Success rates for face to face sections decreased five percentage points from winter 2018 to winter

2019 from 72% to 67% while success rates for MPS sections also decreased by 13 percentage points

from 90% to 77%.

Drop rates for MATH10 increased for all modalities as did withdraw rates, with the greatest increase in

withdraws for online sections.

For MPS sections, while success, drop and withdraw rates decreased from the prior winter term, success

rates remained 10 percentage points higher than non-MPS face to face sections and 40 percentage

points higher than non-MPS online sections, and drop and withdraw rates were much lower

comparatively as well. MPS sections increased from 3 in winter 2018 to 8 section in winter 2019.

Mode Term

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Drop

Count

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Face to Face Winter 2015 920 619 67% 122 12% 124 13%

Winter 2016 835 542 65% 144 15% 137 16%

Winter 2017 734 484 66% 142 16% 139 19%

Winter 2018 774 558 72% 123 14% 124 16%

Winter 2019 983 657 67% 232 19% 151 15%

Average 67% 15% 16%

MPS Winter 2015 61 58 95% 2 3% 1 2%

Winter 2016 61 56 92% 1 2% 2 3%

Winter 2017 96 84 88% 5 5% 5 5%

Winter 2018 88 79 90% 7 7% 3 3%

Winter 2019 252 194 77% 37 13% 23 9%

Average 88% 6% 4%

Online Winter 2015 79 49 62% 24 23% 17 22%

Winter 2016 75 34 45% 29 28% 24 32%

Winter 2017 115 60 52% 28 20% 23 20%

Winter 2018 93 46 49% 20 18% 30 32%

Winter 2019 125 46 37% 33 21% 56 45%

Average 49% 22% 30%

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Table 14. MATH10 - Success Rates

Success, non success and withdraw rates overall were consistent over the past 5 winter terms.

Successful completions of MATH10 increased +214, from 683 successful completions in winter 2018 to

897 successful completions in winter 2019.

Table 15. MATH10 – Success and Withdraw Rates by Ethnicity

Success rates within each ethnic group comparing winter 2018 to winter 2019 improved for African

American, Native American and Decline to State, remained the same for Filipinx, and decreased for

Asian, Latinx and White.

o However, overall successful completions increased for all groups: African American (+13), Asian

(+42), Filipinx (+28), Latinx (+96), Native American (+4), White (+32) and Decline to State (+1).

Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent

Winter 2015 726 68% 192 18% 142 13% 1,060 100%

Winter 2016 632 65% 176 18% 163 17% 971 100%

Winter 2017 628 66% 150 16% 167 18% 945 100%

Winter 2018 683 72% 115 12% 157 16% 955 100%

Winter 2019 897 66% 233 17% 230 17% 1,360 100%

Average 67% 16% 16% 100%

Success Non Success Withdraw Total

Term

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Winter 2018 29 15 52% 4 14%

Winter 2019 49 28 57% 14 29%

Winter 2018 431 337 78% 48 11%

Winter 2019 514 379 74% 61 12%

Winter 2018 78 49 63% 18 23%

Winter 2019 106 67 63% 23 22%

Winter 2018 236 145 61% 55 23%

Winter 2019 435 241 55% 98 23%

Winter 2018 3 1 33% 2 67%

Winter 2019 11 5 45% 5 45%

Winter 2018 2

Winter 2019 14 8 57% 1 7%

Winter 2018 163 124 76% 30 18%

Winter 2019 216 156 72% 28 13%

Winter 2018 13 12 92%

Winter 2019 15 13 87%

Filipinx

Latinx

Native

American

White

Decline

to State

Pacific

Islander

African

American

Asian

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Table 16. MATH10 – Success by EOPS Status

When comparing EOPS students to non-EOPS students in MATH10 courses, EOPS students overall

exhibit higher success rates than their counterparts. In winter 2019, EOPS students had a success rate of

73% compared to their non-EOPS counterparts at 66% success.

Table 17. MATH10 – Success by DSPS Status

When comparing DSPS students to non-DSPS students in MATH10 courses, DSPS students overall exhibit

somewhat lower success rates than their counterparts by 5 percentage points. In winter 2019, success

rates for DSPS students was 3 percentage points lower at 63% compared to their non-DSPS counterparts

at 66% success.

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

EOPS 46 39 85%

Non EOPS 1,014 687 68%

EOPS 38 30 79%

Non EOPS 933 602 65%

EOPS 49 39 80%

Non EOPS 896 589 66%

EOPS 55 42 76%

Non EOPS 900 641 71%

EOPS 60 44 73%

Non EOPS 1,300 853 66%

Winter

2015

Winter

2016

Winter

2017

Winter

2018

Winter

2019

Enrollment

Success

Count

%

Success

DSPS 25 14 56%

Non DSPS 1,035 712 69%

DSPS 23 15 65%

Non DSPS 948 617 65%

DSPS 30 20 67%

Non DSPS 915 608 66%

DSPS 22 14 64%

Non DSPS 933 669 72%

DSPS 43 27 63%

Non DSPS 1,317 870 66%

Winter

2018

Winter

2019

Winter

2015

Winter

2016

Winter

2017

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Table 18. MATH10 – Success by High School GPA – Winter 2019

Includes only actual HSGPA from CalPass.

Table 16 displays the success rates by GPA band for students enrolled in MATH10 in winter 2019.

o Students with a HSGPA of 3.0 or higher had a success rate of 81%

o Students with a HSGPA of 2.3-2.9 had a success rate of 57%

o Students with less than a 2.3 HSGPA had a success rate of 48%

o Students who we did not have HSGPA data for had a success rate of 69%

Graph 3. MATH10 Grade Distribution by Term

Graph 3 shows a distribution of percent of letter grades by term for all sections of MATH10 offered over the past

5 winter terms. The highest awarded letter grade are A grades ranging from 23%-30% of all grades, followed by

B grades ranging from 22%-25%, then C grades ranging from 18%-22% then W grades ranging from 10%-15%.

Graph 4. MATH10 Distribution of Success by Section – Winter 2019

Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent

3.0 or higher 166 81% 21 10% 19 9% 206 100%

2.3-2.9 140 57% 58 24% 45 19% 243 100%

Less than 2.3 89 48% 46 24% 53 28% 188 100%

No GPA 502 69% 108 15% 113 16% 723 100%

Total 897 66% 233 17% 230 17% 1,360 100%

Withdraw TotalSuccess Non Success

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

A B C D F W

Winter 2019 Winter 2018 Winter 2017 Winter 2016 Winter 2015

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Graph 4 shows a distribution of course success by section for MATH10 sections in winter 2019. Success rates

ranged from 26% to 100%. Eight sections had a success rate below 50%, eleven sections between 50%-60%,

three sections between 61%-70%, five sections between 71%-80%, nine sections between 81-90% and seven

sections between 91%-100%.

MATH41

Table 19. MATH41 - Success, Drop, and Withdraw Rates

Overall, there was not much variation in enrollment, success or withdraw rates when comparing

fluctuations over the past 5 years, though drop rates increased above past trends in winter 2019.

o Enrollment in MATH41 between winter 2018 and winter 2019 decreased 8% from 533 to 491.

26%

100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43

Enrollment

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Drop

Count

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Winter 2015 626 348 56% 66 10% 129 21%

Winter 2016 599 346 58% 82 12% 97 16%

Winter 2017 679 397 58% 98 13% 142 21%

Winter 2018 533 346 65% 78 13% 82 15%

Winter 2019 491 307 63% 102 17% 83 17%

Average 60% 13% 18%

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o Success rates decreased to 63% from 65% in winter 2019 while the percent of students who

dropped the course increased 4 percentage point from 13% to 17% and students who withdrew

increased 2 percentage point from 15% to 17%.

Table 20. MATH41 - Success Rates

Success, non success and withdraw rates overall were very consistent over the past 5 winter terms as

well as non success rates.

Table 21. MATH41 – Success, Drop and Withdraw Rates by Modality

Success for 1 MPS section in winter fall 2019 was 53% while the non-MPS sections were 63%.

Table 22. MATH41 – Success and Withdraw Rates by Ethnicity

Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent

Winter 2015 348 56% 149 24% 129 21% 626 100%

Winter 2016 346 58% 156 26% 97 16% 599 100%

Winter 2017 397 58% 140 21% 142 21% 679 100%

Winter 2018 346 65% 105 20% 82 15% 533 100%

Winter 2019 307 63% 101 21% 83 17% 491 100%

Average 60% 22% 18% 100%

Withdraw TotalSuccess Non Success

Mode Term

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Drop

Count

Drop

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Face to Face Winter 2015 626 348 56% 66 10% 129 21%

Winter 2016 599 346 58% 82 12% 97 16%

Winter 2017 679 397 58% 98 13% 142 21%

Winter 2018 533 346 65% 78 13% 82 15%

Winter 2019 453 287 63% 101 18% 75 17%

Average 60% 13% 18%

MPS Winter 2019 38 20 53% 1 3% 8 21%

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Success rates within each ethnic group comparing winter 2018 to winter 2019 improved for Pacific Islander

and White students, but decreased for all other groups.

Table 23. MATH41 – Success by High School GPA – Winter 2019

Includes only actual HSGPA from CalPass.

Table 21 displays the success rates by GPA band for students enrolled in MATH41 in winter 2019.

o Students with a HSGPA of 3.4 or higher had a success rate of 88%

o Students with a HSGPA of 3.4-2.6 but no Calculus enrollment in high school had a success rate of

58%

Enrollment

Count

Success

Count

Success

Rate

Withdraw

Count

Withdraw

Rate

Winter 2018 18 9 50% 5 28%

Winter 2019 22 10 45% 5 23%

Winter 2018 259 195 75% 25 10%

Winter 2019 237 166 70% 28 12%

Winter 2018 37 27 73% 4 11%

Winter 2019 31 22 71% 6 19%

Winter 2018 119 54 45% 29 24%

Winter 2019 121 51 42% 30 25%

Winter 2018 2 1 50%

Winter 2019 2 1 50% 1 50%

Winter 2018 7 3 43% 1 14%

Winter 2019 3 3 100%

Winter 2018 82 50 61% 17 21%

Winter 2019 70 52 74% 11 16%

Winter 2018 9 7 78% 1 11%

Winter 2019 5 2 40% 2 40%

Pacific

Islander

African

American

Asian

Filipinx

Latinx

Native

American

White

Decline

to State

Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent Grades Percent

3.4 or higher 36 88% 3 7% 2 5% 41 100%

3.4-2.6 but no Calculus 63 58% 24 21% 22 21% 109 100%

2.6 or higher and Calculus 12 67% 5 28% 1 6% 18 100%

Less than 2.6 47 53% 22 24% 20 22% 89 100%

No GPA 149 64% 47 20% 38 16% 234 100%

Total 307 63% 102 21% 83 17% 491 100%

Success Non Success Withdraw Total

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o Students with a 2.6 or higher HSGPA and enrolled in Calculus had a success rate of 67%

o Students with less than a 2.6 HSGPA had a 53% success rate

o Students who we did not have HSGPA data for had a success rate of 64%

Graph 4. MATH41 Grade Distribution by Term

Graph 5 shows a distribution of percent of letter grades by term for all sections of MATH41 offered over the past

5 winter terms. The highest awarded letter grade on average over the past 5 winter terms are W grades ranging

from 16% to 27% of all grades, followed by A grades ranging from 16%-24%, then B grades ranging from 15%-

18%, then F grades ranging from 14%-23% then C grades ranging from 14%-20%.

Graph 6. MATH41 Distribution of Success by Section – Winter 2019

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

A B C D F W

Winter 2019 Winter 2018 Winter 2017 Winter 2016 Winter 2015

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Graph 6 shows a distribution of course success by section for MATH41 sections in winter 2019. Success rates

ranged from 20% to 83%. Two sections had a success rate below 50%, three sections between 50%-60%, six

sections between 61%-70%, and three sections between 71%-83%.

20%

83%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

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Throughput Rates – as Baseline Comparison Moving Forward

EWRT and READ

Table 24. EWRT, READ, LART – Throughput Rates by Starting Level

Throughput rates track first time students in each fall term and check to see if they successfully completed any

transfer-level EWRT course over 3 quarters based on the level in which they started. The lowest level course in

which the student starts is counted as the first course in the sequence. Students who start directly in EWRT1A

are tracked for three terms to successful completion of EWRT1A.

Throughput rates for students who started at the 200 level range from 24%-25%

Throughput rates for students who started at the 211 level range from 50%-54%

Throughput rates for EWRT1A range from 87%-90%

Fall 17 248 0 0% 3 1% 59 24%

Fall 16 269 0 0% 1 0% 68 25%

Fall 17 828 10 1% 349 42% 448 54%

Fall 16 849 0 0% 309 36% 425 50%

Fall 17 433 379 88% 385 89% 388 90%

Fall 16 427 355 83% 364 85% 373 87%

Spring EWRT1A

Completion

EWRT, READ, or

LART 200

EWRT 1A

EWRT, READ, or

LART 211

First Level Enrolled

First-time Student

Cohort

Fall EWRT1A

Completion

Winter EWRT1A

Completion

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Math

Table 25. Transfer Level Math Including MATH10– Throughput Rates

Throughput rates track first time students in each fall term and check to see if they successfully completed any

transfer-level math course over 3 quarters. Students who start directly in MATH10 are tracked for three terms to

successful completion of MATH10.

Throughput rates for MATH210 range from 0%-1%

Throughput rates for MATH212 range from 15%-17%

Throughput rates for MATH114 range from 39%-53%

Throughput rates for MATH10 range from 77%-88%

Table 26. Completion of MATH41– Throughput Rates

Throughput rates track first time students in each fall term and check to see if they successfully completed

MATH41 over 3 quarters. Students who start directly in MATH41 are tracked for three terms to successful

completion of MATH41.

No students who started in MATH210 successfully completed MATH41

Throughput rates for MATH212 are 5%

Throughput rates for MATH114 range from 25%-27%

Throughput rates for MATH41 range from 79%-82%

Sequence

Begin Course

Fall 17 315 0 0% 0 0% 0 0%

Fall 16 299 0 0% 0 0% 0 0%

Fall 17 578 0 0% 2 0% 101 17%

Fall 16 606 0 0% 2 0% 88 15%

Fall 17 317 1 0% 124 39% 168 53%

Fall 16 376 1 0% 112 30% 148 39%

Fall 17 102 81 79% 85 83% 90 88%

Fall 16 93 67 72% 71 76% 72 77%

MATH 212

MATH 114

MATH 10

MATH 210

First-time Student

Cohort

All Transfer MATH

Completion - Fall

All Transfer MATH

Completion -

All Transfer MATH

Completion - Spring

Fall 17 315 0 0% 0 0% 0 0%

Fall 16 299 0 0% 0 0% 0 0%

Fall 17 578 0 0% 1 0% 30 5%

Fall 16 606 0 0% 2 0% 28 5%

Fall 17 317 0 0% 65 21% 86 27%

Fall 16 376 0 0% 71 19% 94 25%

Fall 17 176 134 76% 140 80% 145 82%

Fall 16 203 137 67% 154 76% 161 79%

Spring MATH41

Completion

First-time Student

Cohort

Sequence

Begin Course

MATH 212

MATH 114

MATH 41

Fall MATH41

Completion

Winter MATH41

Completion

MATH 210

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Background Information

In fall 2018 the English and Math departments began to change the way they place students into courses in

compliance with AB 705. Students were placed via high school transcripts. Students with a 2.6 or higher were

placed directly into EWRT1A. All students were eligible to enroll in MATH10 (Statistics), and students with a 3.4

GPA or a 2.6 and had enrolled in Calculus in high school were eligible to enroll in Math41 (Pre-calculus).

Math Performance Success (MPS) is a learning community for students in MATH10 and now MATH41. It requires

students to enroll in a 10-unit course opposed to a 5-unit course. Success rates have historically been high for

this learning community and the numbers of sections offered continues to expand.

It should be noted that the overall number of placements in fall 2018 is significantly higher, this is due to

students being re-assessed based on their high school transcripts going back one full year and that applying to

their fall 2018 placement. Further, all students who applied in fall 2018 were automatically given a placement if

high school transcript data was available.

In fall 2017 all students were required to take a placement test. In fall 2018, students were placed based on their

high school transcript information but could choose to take a placement test. The highest placement is what is

used in this analysis. Students without a high school transcript are required to take a placement test.