dc / ac ratio optimizationย ยท dc / ac ratio optimization 3 ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ž ๐‘– = ๐‘…๐‘Ž...

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KACO new energy Inc. DC / AC Ratio Optimization Gordon Woodcock SAM Virtual Conference 2013 1

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KACO new energy Inc.

DC / AC Ratio Optimization Gordon Woodcock

SAM Virtual Conference 2013

1

2

Contents

Introduction

Sources

Analysis Setup

Results

Applications

Next Steps

2 Contents

3 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

๐‘ƒ๐‘œ๐‘ค๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘œ =๐‘…๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘’๐‘‘ ๐ด๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ ๐‘ƒ๐‘œ๐‘ค๐‘’๐‘Ÿ (๐ท๐ถ ๐‘˜๐‘Š)

๐‘…๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘’๐‘‘ ๐ผ๐‘›๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘‚๐‘ข๐‘ก๐‘๐‘ข๐‘ก (๐ด๐ถ ๐‘˜๐‘Š)

๐‘๐‘ƒ๐‘‰ ๐‘–, ๐‘ = ๐‘…๐‘ก1 + ๐‘– ๐‘ก

๐‘

๐‘ก=0

DC / AC ratio or power ratio compares the photovoltaic array power to the inverter capacity:

Net present value is the summation of a time series of cash flows brought into the present:

4 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

As DC/AC ratio increases, the inverter is more likely to derate

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

kW

25-Jun

Effect of DC / AC Ratio on AC Output (100 kW inverter)

DC kW (1.33 DC / AC)

AC kW (1.33 DC / AC)

DC kW (1.16 DC / AC)

AC kW (1.16 DC / AC)

5 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

Choosing the ideal DC / AC ratio that maximizes net present value is a moving target

Max NPV

6

What are the significant variables and how do they interact?

DC / AC Ratio Optimization

7

The initial analysis is split into an up front cost block

DC / AC Ratio Optimization

8

... and a financing block

DC / AC Ratio Optimization

9

Several sources were used to approximate real world scenarios.

DC / AC Ratio Optimization

10 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

11 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

12 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

13 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

LA, no financing

Bldr, no financing

ABQ, no financing

HSV, no financing

SLV, no financing

14 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

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Examining how NPV and DC / AC ratio interact provides the following benefits: โ€ข Inverter manufacturers can build a business case for new product

development around higher power ratios

โ€ข Developers and designers can optimize system size based on NPV while adhering to existing design rules

โ€ข Policy makers can see how taxes, incentives, and energy rates shift economic benefits

DC / AC Ratio Optimization

16 DC / AC Ratio Optimization

Next steps: โ€ข Perform parametric analysis with additional variables (e.g, module

price, inverter price, discount rate)

โ€ข Rank variables by significance, identify correlated factors