day 1 session 3 country experience on monitoring social protection, presentation of viet nam

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MEASURING AND MONITORING SOCIAL PROTECTION IN VIETNAM: Challenges and Future Jakarta, 14 May , 2013 27/05/2013 1 Indonesia, 14 May 2013 Disclaimer: The vie ws expressed in thi s paper/presentati on are the views of the a uthor and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Governors, or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no respons ibility for any consequence of their use. T erminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.

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Page 1: Day 1 Session 3 Country Experience on Monitoring Social Protection, Presentation of Viet Nam

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MEASURING AND MONITORING

SOCIAL PROTECTION IN VIETNAM:

Challenges and Future

Jakarta, 14 May, 2013

27/05/2013 1Indonesia, 14 May 2013

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this paper/presentation are the views of the author and do notnecessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Governors, or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the dataincluded in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. Terminologyused may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.

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1. Overview of current social

protection system in Vietnam

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1. GDP growth rate, %

5,032. Total population, mil of people 88.0

3. GDP per capita, US$ 1.200

4. Total employment, mil people52.2

5. Informal employment ,%75.5

6. Unemployment rate, % 2.9

7. Poverty rate, %9,45

8. Gov. spending on social protection, % of GDP 4.5

1.1 Country profile (2012)

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1. Social Health Protection %

• Coverage (% of population) 68.2

2. Social Insurance (SI)

• Compulsory SI (% of labour force) 20.0

• Voluntary SI (% of labour force) 0.3

= Total labour force covered by SI 20.3

3. Unemployment insurance (% of LF)15.0

4. Social Assistance (% of population)2.6

1.2 Social Protection (2012)

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2. SOCIAL PROTECTION

SYSTEM IN FUTURE,2012-2020

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2.1 Legal framework 

• Party Resolution No 15 (1 June 2012), strongly

committed to develop Social Protection

system for years 2012-2020

• Right of Social protection has been “sit” in the

current revising National Constitution

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2.2 Country Context, 2012-2020 

(i) Still faces with a number of war victims andnational devotees to revolutions

(ii) Large number of poor (absolute and relative poor) due to econimic growth slowing down

(iii) Economy integrates more to internationalmarkets >> new risks associated with econimicreforms, political reforms, inequalities andneeds for social cohesion..

(iv) Climate change impacts: Vietnam is one of the countries has been more influenced

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2.3 Goal of Social Protection

Systems (2012-2020)

• By 2020, basically achieve social protection to

covered to whole population, making

contribution to gradual enhancement of incomes, ensuring secured living and

happiness of the people.

Ensuring minimum levels of employment,income, education, housing, clean water and

basic information.

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2.4 Priorities

1. Target group: Priorities are given to 10 vulnerable groups, including the poor; ethnicminority; people living in remote,mountainous areas; workers in rural areas

and informal sector; the unemployed; thedisabled; children; old-age and sick people;those affected by natural calamities,economic and social risks.

2.  Areas of priorities: Health, Employment,income, services (followed ILO socialProtection floor: health, income forunemployment, disable and children)

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2.5 Key principles of Social

Protection Systems (2012-2020)

• Right based: Government should guarantees for allpeople have the right and access to socialprotection system (informal workers issues);

Solidarity , the linkage, support, sharing betweenindividuals, between social groups and the state;

• Equitability and sustainability , bindingresponsibilities and benefits, between contributionsand benefits;

• Promoting responsibility of individuals, familiesand communities in ensuring the social protection;

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EMPLOYMENT,

MINIMUM INCOME AND

POVERTY REDUCTION

BASIC SOCIAL

SERVICES

SOCIAL ASISTANCE

FOR SPECIAL

GROUPS

EDUCATION

HEATH CAREHEALTHINSURANCE

HOUSE

CLEAN WATER

COMUNICATION

REGULAR

ASISTANCE

EMERGECY

ASISTANCE

Special Creditpolicies

Vocationaltraining

In socialprotectioncenter or at

home

SOCIAL PROTECTION IN SYSTEM 

COMPULSORY SI

VOLUNTARY SI

UNEMPLOYMENT

INSURANCE

POVERTY

REDUCTION

PUBLIC 

EMPLOYMENT 

Employmentservices andlabor export

JOB CREATION

SOCIAL INSUREANCE

(SI)

Cash transfer for specialgroups

Sickness

Maternity leave

Work accidentsand disease

Pension

Survivor benefits

Pension

Survivor benefits

SUPPLEMENTARYSOCIAL INSURANCE

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2.6 Social Protection main indicators

2012-2020TT  Indicators  2015  2020 

0 Population 91.7 96.2

1 Participation in health insurance (millions) 73,4 86,6

Of which: Fully subsidized 29.4 25.5

Partly subsidized 36.9 38.7

- Coverage rate by health insurance ( %) 80.0 90.0 

2Participation in social insurance (millions) 20.2 28.4

- Compulsory (formal sector) 16.0 22.0

- Voluntary (informal sector) 4.2 6.4

- Coverage of total labor force (%)  35.0 50.0 27/05/201327/05/2013 12Indonesia, 14 May 2013

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2.6 Social Protection main indicators

(cont.)T

T  Indicators  2015  2020 

3Participation in Unemployment scheme

(million)10.0 15.7

Coverage of total labor force (%) 19.1 28.6 

4Paticipation in social assistance schemes

(million)2.6 3.0

of which: Regular assistance 2,3 2,5

- Coverage of population, % 2.8 3.0 

of which, coverage of regular assistance, 2.1 2.4

27/05/201327/05/2013 13Hanoi, ILT GIZ

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Part IIMONITORING SOCIAL PROTECTION SYTEM

IN VIETNAM

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3. 1 Long list of Ministries involved

• Ministry of Labor, Invalids and Social Affairs; (MOLISA)

• Ministry of Finance

• Bank for the social policies

• Social organizations (women, youth… ), 

• Vietnam Social Security (VSS)

•Ministry of education and training (MOET)

• Committee on Enthics Minority (CEM)

• Ministry of Health (MOH)

• Ministry of Constrution (MOC)

• Ministry of Agriculture and Rural development (MARD)

• Ministry of Information and Communications (MOIC)

• National office of Taxation (NOT)

• .......

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3.2 Quite fragmented polices and

programs 

- More than 100 polices on social

protection

- More than 50 programs on povertyreduction

- Polices focus vs. national focus

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3.3 Problems of measurements and

monitoring at all levels

1. Indicators (disaggregate and by big groups)

2. Data:

GSO (VHLSS + supplementary module on social protection;

Labor force survey..): Timing, accessibilities,..State budgeting data:

Other data sources: Administrative (reliable, timing,

exclusion issues) and inter-linkage

International data

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3.4 Problems of measurements of SPI, 2009

•Most of the data is based on the 2008 Viet NamHousehold Living Standards Survey (VHLSS) and

other secondary sources (mainly MOLISA, VSS).

Since all the current social protection programsand activities, are ‘gender-blind’ and do not

segregate women beneficiaries both as target

groups or participants,•  

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Statistic  Unit *  2009 Value  Source of Data 

GDP (current prices)  Millions VND  1,658,389,000.0  National Accounts 

GDP per capita (current prices) VND 

19,278,000.0  National Accounts GNI (current prices)  Billions VND  1,567,553.0  National Accounts 

Total Population  Millions  86.0  Census 

Number of unemployed/ under-

employed*** 

Millions  4.6  LFS 

Population aged 60 years and

over  

Millions  7.7  Census 

Employed Population  Millions  47.7  LFS 

Population living below national

poverty line

Millions  9.7  Poverty

 Assessment 

Disabled population  Millions  6.7  MOLISA

Children aged 0 to 14 years  Millions  21.5  Census 

Per capita poverty line

expenditure (annual) 

VND  299,320.0  Poverty

 Assessment 

 Average household size  persons  3.8  Census 

Exchange rate****  US$1=  17,799.6  Central Bank 

3.5 Calculation of SPI: Basic Statistics for 2009 

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Social protection Index and its components , 2009 Social and

health

Insurance 

Social

Assistance 

Labour 

Market

Programs 

All SP

Programs 

SP expenditure (Bill. VND)  65,942.2  9,960.8 2,486.0  78,389.0 

Beneficiaries (Mill. Persons)  41.5  37.0 0.6  79.1 

Reference population (Mill.Persons)  55.4  37.9  4.6  97.9 

25% of GDP per capita (VND)  4819500  4819500  4819500  4819500 

Depth = SP expenditure*1

billion/ (Beneficiaries*1

million*25% GDP per capita)  0.330  0.056  0.832  0.206 Breadth =

Beneficiaries/Reference

population  0.424  0.378  .006  0.808 

SPI = Depth * Breadth  0.140  0.021  0.005  0.166 

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4. The future of SPI

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4.1 Plan of Gov to streamline the programs

and policies at operating level (province,

household..) to avoid overleaping and

fragmenting programs1. Simplifying polices and program

2. National standing committee led by Vice Price Minster and

involved by all relating ministries3. At national level: Concentration on MOLISA functions to

monitor SP progress (National SP report, SP indexes) to

Ensuring employment and minimum income

4. At province level: Required integrating policies and programs, more power to implement the programs

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4.2 Overcome issues of measurements and

monitoring at all levels

1. Indicators (disaggregate to sub-national levels, bygroups, by gender)

2. Data used:

GSO data (VHLSS, Labor force survey..)

State budgeting data

Other data sources: Administrative (reliable, timing,

exclusion issues)

International data: time bound

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4.3 Mobilizing financial resource

to develop system 

Total expense for social protection required: 7-8% GDP

(ILO: 3% for SP floor)

State’s expenses: Accounts for 50% of total expenses for

social protection; or 15-18% of State budget

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4.4 Enhance monitoring at all levels

1. National Report on Social Protection2. Social Protection Index for 2013

To be submitted by November 2013

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Thank you very much

for your attention!

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