David T. Taylor, Roger H. Coupal, Thomas Foulke, Benjamin Rashford and

Desiree Olson

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Prepared in support of the Bridger-Teton National Forest plan revision process

Funded by the Governor’s Planning Office of the State of Wyoming

University of Wyoming, Department of Agricultural & Applied Economics

•Our work started in January, 2007.

•Two phases were planned: •Phase I was the main body of work, characterizing the BTNF region. This was completed in May, 2007.

•Phase II worked off of Phase I and built on it in areas identified in the process.

BackgrounBackgroundd

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1. Refinement of Phase I report based on comments from reviewers:

Ron Dutton Hayley Hesseln Jeffery Jacquet Jonathan Schechter

2. Economic Overview of Each County: Bridger-Teton Region, County Profiles series of reports.

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County

Jobs People

LaborEarnings

(000)

TotalEarnings

(000)

Ave.Earnin

gPer Job

Per Capit

aIncom

e

Fremont

22,142 36,220 $597,137 $990,554 $26,969

$27,348

Lincoln 9,270 15,651 $291,624 $439,449 $31,459

$28,078

Sublette

5,133 6,655 $171,724 $256,094 $33,455

$38,481

Teton 23,865 18,972 $906,336 $1,622,266 $37,978

$85,508

Total 60,410

77,498 $1,966,821 $3,308,363

$32,558

$42,690

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Industry Fremont

(Jobs)

Lincoln(Jobs)

Sublette(Jobs)

Teton(Jobs)

Region(Jobs)

Logging/WPM 73 17 32 2 124Agriculture 1,158 665 387 150 2,360Mining 563 673 747 N.A. 1,983Travel 1,470 570 530 5,890 8,460Amenities 699 56 34 1,138 1,927Total 3,963 1,981 1,730 7,180 14,84

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Sector Jobs Earnings(000)

Ave. Earnings

Per Job

Timber 76 $1,897 $24,865

Grazing 576 $15,637 $27,146

Mining 47 $2,430 $52,243

Travel 2,123 $45,391 $21,386

Total 2,822 $65,355 $23,160

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Permit Category Number of Permits

Use Days

Land Based – Stock(Pack Trips & Day Rides)

60.0% 30.6%

Land Based – Non-Stock(Hiking & Biking)

10.0% 5.0%

Water Based (Rafting, Other Boating, Fishing)

11.7% 52.9%

Winter Uses (Not related to resorts)

18.3% 11.5%

Total 100.0% 100.0%8

County USFS(MBF)

Private(MBF)

Other(MBF)

Total(MBF)

Fremont

1,041 562 160 1,763

Lincoln 120 325 550 995

Sublette

3 20 0 23

Teton 27 15 0 42

Total 1,191 922 710 2,823

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0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

10

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Num

ber

of H

ead

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1987 2006

Head of Cattle

40,000 39,042

Head of Sheep

78,000 51,370

Allotments 176 121

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24,270 Sheep AUM & 7,359 Cattle AUM

55% of acres closed to future grazing

45% of acres in forage reserve allotments

Represents:

6 allotments 17,235 head of sheep & 1,533 head of cattle 380,679 total acres

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Open Space – Landscapes, Lifestyles, & Wildlife Habitat.

Three-fourths of residents feel they personally benefit from Ag presence in Wyoming.

Ag land represent 86% of private land in region (1.8 MM acres).

1.5MM acres of Ag land are classified as having desirable wildlife characteristics.

Estimates of economic value to residents and visitors. 14

2,883 miles of streams on USFS in region (not all BTNF).

4,651 acres of lakes on USFS in region (not all BTNF).

Results from Hoback Creel Survey.

Estimated economic impact based on NVUM data for fishing on BTNF.

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Total yield from forest is 5,468,900 acre feet annually

Equals 7,555 cfs in constant flow

574 cfs is appropriated (7.6%)

Listed 5 largest diversions for Pinedale and Greys River Ranger Districts

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Price75%

Production25%

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These wells are some of the highest producing wells in the state (40-70 mmcf/day or 14.6-25.5 bcf/year).

Wells are in fields that supply Shute Creek Plant:

CO2 for all 6 enhanced oil recovery projects in Wyoming

30% of world’s helium

Future wells on BTNF might not be this productive

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Total Spending $117.3 Million

Total Employment (Jobs) 2,122

Total Labor Earnings $45.4 Million

Average Earnings Per Job

$21,386

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Bridger-Teton Region, County Profile Series

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Phase I Report & Phase II Refinements

Specific to the Forest Plan Based on Desired Conditions in Chapter 3

under Economic Sustainability

Bridger-Teton Region, County Profile Series– Intended to provide a general overview of each county’s economy

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Population

Employment

Personal Income

Local Government Finance

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Population is important because the ability to attract and retain people is essential to the survival of a community and its economy.

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Age Distribution of the Population

Comparison of Age Distribution

Comparison of Population Growth Rates

Population Change by Age Group

Sources of Population Change

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Employment is important because providing jobs is one of the primary functions of the local economy.

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Employment by Sector

Comparison of Employment by Sector

Average Earnings Per Job by Sector

Comparison of Employment Growth Rate

Sector Changes in Employment

Comparison Average Earnings Per Job

In-Commuting & Out-Commuting Workers

Employment Diversity Index

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Personal income is important because it represents the dollars that residents live on.

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Source of Personal Income

Comparison of Sources of Personal Income

Comparison of Personal Income Growth Rates

Change is Sources of Personal Income

Comparison of Per Capita Income

Comparison of Annual Percent Change

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Local Government Finances are important because they determine local government’s ability to meet the needs of residents in terms of public services and public infrastructure.

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Sources of Assessed Valuation

Comparison of Sources of Assessed Valuation

Comparison of Assessed Valuation Growth Rates

Changes in Assessed Valuation

Per Capita Assessed Valuation

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Sources of Sale Tax Revenue

Comparison of Sources of Sales Tax Revenue

Comparison of Sales Tax Revenue Growth Rates

Changes in Sales Tax Revenue by Sector

Per Capita Sales Tax Revenue

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Comparison of County Government Revenues and Costs

Comparison of County School District Revenues and Costs

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Questions?Questions?