data science for natural capital investment the economic ... · data science for natural capital...
TRANSCRIPT
Gretchen C. DailyStanford University
Data Science for Natural Capital Investment The Economic & National Security Case
What is natural capital?
What is natural capital?
Earth’s lands, waters, and variety of life
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Natural capital is being rapidly depleted
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Scarcity confers value
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Values of natural capital?
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Recreation
Urban
Cooling
Flood
Control
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Mental
Health
Coastal
Protection
Food
Production
Social
Benefits
Clean
Water
Recreation
Urban
Cooling
Flood
Control
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Mental
Health
Coastal
Protection
Food
Production
Social
Benefits
Clean
Water
Recreation
Urban
Cooling
Flood
Control
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Mental
Health
Coastal
Protection
Food
Production
Social
Benefits
Clean
Water
185 countries
Development Planning
Securing Freshwater
Livable Cities
Private Sector Standards
Resilient Coasts
High-Leverage Demonstrations
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Mainstreaming the Values of Nature
Development Planning
Securing Freshwater
Livable Cities
Private Sector Standards
Resilient Coasts
High-Leverage Demonstrations
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Mainstreaming the Values of Nature
Latin America
China
Water Security for Cities
WATER
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Water Security for Cities
$$
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Targeting Investments
Which activities?
Where in the watershed?
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Investment Portfolio
Cauca Valley, Colombia
Investment Portfolio
Cauca Valley
Colombia
Tuluá
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Investment Portfolio
Cauca Valley, Colombia
Investment PortfolioTuluá
Tuluá19
What is the return on investment?What is the ROI?
Total Budget ($ Millions)10 25
Wate
r Q
uali
ty (
%)
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A standardized
approach
• Eco-hydrology
• Financing
• Governance
• Monitoring
Scaling up to 40+
funds now
Testing in Africa
Water Security for Cities
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Development Planning
Securing Freshwater
Livable Cities
Private Sector Standards
Resilient Coasts
High-Leverage Demonstrations
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Mainstreaming the Values of Nature
Latin America
China
National Development & Security
The Ecological Civilization
of the 21st Century
“Clear waters and lush mountains are gold and silver.
We will not trade them for gold or silver.”
National Development & Security
The Ecological Civilization
of the 21st Century
National Development & Security
The Ecological Civilization
of the 21st Century
1. Where and how much to protect?
2. How to secure nature and livelihoods?
3. How to move beyond GDP?
Using InVEST ~ 49% of land zoned for natural capital
flood control
biodiversity
sandstorm control
water purification
water supply & flood control
200 M people being paid to restore natural capital
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200 M people being paid to restore natural capital
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Using InVEST
NEW SYSTEM OF GREEN FINANCE
Gross Ecosystem Product
The Ecological Civilization
of the 21st Century
GEP – the total value of ecosystem goods &
services supplied annually
- China State Council, March 2014
National Development & Security
Belt and Road Initiative
Yi dai yi lu
• 21st Century Silk Road (overland & maritime)
• USD 1 Trillion in Infrastructure
• ~ 68 countries, 65% world population
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Natural Capital –Data Science for Development
2009-2013 – Create & test first InVEST models
2013-2017 – Refine through powerful demonstrations
Coastal climate resilience to storms & sea-level rise
Sustainable supply chains
Disease risk
Water security for energy, agriculture, cities
…
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Natural Capital –Data Science for Development
2009-2013 – Create & test first InVEST models
2013-2017 – Refine through powerful demonstrations
Coastal climate resilience to storms & sea-level rise
Sustainable supply chains
Disease risk
Water security for energy, agriculture, cities
2018- – Standardize in policy, finance, and
management globally
National Development & Security
The Ecological Civilization
of the 21st Century
In China, NatCap is building:1. System of natural capital accounts2. System of conservation & restoration investments3. System of green finance
a. GEPb. NDRC training in green growth & policy guide bookc. Across cities, the nation – and the BRI
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Food production
SYSTEM OF NATURAL CAPITAL ACCOUNTS
Using InVEST
SYSTEM OF NATURAL CAPITAL ACCOUNTS
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Carbon sequestration
Using InVEST
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Sand storm prevention
SYSTEM OF NATURAL CAPITAL ACCOUNTS
Using InVEST
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Water supply
SYSTEM OF NATURAL CAPITAL ACCOUNTS
Using InVEST
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FINANCING NEW NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM
Using InVEST
Existing reserves
New nature reserves
New ES reserves
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Co-Developing Urban InVEST
SUSTAINABLE LIVABLE CITIES
Starting with:
Beijing
Guangzhou
Shanghai
Shenzhen
Dalian
San Francisco Bay Area
Minneapolis / St Paul
