Deaths Due to Child Abuse and Neglect, as Reported by the Oklahoma

Department of Human Services1978-2006

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa, June 2007

2

Data and preference for use of “Three Year Rolling Average”

The following graphs use two types of numbers:• Actual count for a year;• Rolling three year average

of the child abuse and neglect data is used to provide a better view of the overall trend over time. – Rolling or moving average

Using a rolling average smoothes out the high and low fluctuations of a measured variable and gives you a better view of the overall trend. This type of averaging aids in "normalizing," or "flattening," the presentation of the metric for evaluation purposes.

When reviewing data on births and deaths, it is important to use this method, since they are one time events. It is also used when you are examining smaller geographic areas, such as counties, rather that the state as a whole.

A rolling three-year average for the child abuse and neglect data shown in this presentation is calculated by dividing the total number of reports, cases, etc. for the previous three years

Example:

Rolling 3 year average for the number of child deaths due abuse or neglect

for 1980

# of deaths for 1978 + 1979 + 1980 / 3 = 1980 three year rolling average

For 1981

# of deaths for 1979 + 1980 + 1981 / 3 = 1918 three year rolling average

The same procedure is used for each subsequent year.

Source: OKDHS Annual Report and “Child Abuse & Neglect Statistics Fiscal Years 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, & 2005,” OKDHS, Division of Children and Family Services Prepared by the Community Service Council of Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa, June 2007 - File: Deaths Due CAN OK 1978-present.ppt

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1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

OklahomaOklahoma Deaths due to Child Abuse or NeglectDeaths due to Child Abuse or Neglect 1980-20061980-2006

Actual count

Source: OKDHS Annual Report and “Child Abuse & Neglect Statistics Fiscal Years 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, & 2005,” OKDHS, Division of Children and Family Services Prepared by the Community Service Council of Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa, June 2007 - File: Deaths Due CAN OK 1978-present.ppt

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1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

OklahomaOklahoma Deaths due to Child Abuse or NeglectDeaths due to Child Abuse or Neglect 1980-20061980-2006

3 Year Rolling Average

Source: OKDHS Annual Report and “Child Abuse & Neglect Statistics Fiscal Years 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, & 2005,” OKDHS, Division of Children and Family Services Prepared by the Community Service Council of Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa, June 2007 - File: Deaths Due CAN OK 1978-present.ppt

5

Child Death Table for data presented on previous pages

  1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991

Actual # Child Deaths 7 5 12 13 18 21 13 17 24 31 23 25 18 38

3 year rolling average     8 10 14.3 17.3 17.3 17.0 18.0 24.0 26.0 26.3 22.0 27.0

 199

2199

3 1994199

5 1996 1997 1998199

9200

0 2001200

2 2003200

4200

5200

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Actual # Child Deaths 20 23 30 34 29 42 45 47 48 38 35 27 42 51 41

3 year rolling average 25.3 27.0 24.3 29.0 31.0 35.0 38.7 44.7 46.7 44.3 40.3 33.3 34.7 40.0 44.7

Source: OKDHS Annual Report and “Child Abuse & Neglect Statistics Fiscal Years 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, & 2005,” OKDHS, Division of Children and Family Services Prepared by the Community Service Council of Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa, June 2007 - File: Deaths Due CAN OK 1978-present.ppt