data analysis & interpretation intermediate injury prevention august 23-26, 2011 billings, mt

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Data Analysis & Interpretation Intermediate Injury Prevention August 23-26, 2011 Billings, MT

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Data Analysis&

Interpretation

Intermediate Injury Prevention August 23-26, 2011

Billings, MT

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Session Objectives:

Review basic epidemiologic concepts & terms.

Describe and apply basic statistics to injury prevention.

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms

Epidemiology

Population-based

Injuries are not random

Risk

Morbidity v. Mortality

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms

Epidemiology:“The study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states or events in specified populations, and the application of this study to control health problems”

Who

Where

When

What

Why

How

- A Dictionary of Epidemiology

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms

Epidemiology is POPULATION-BASED (concerned with the community, not the individual).

Leading Causes of UnintentionalInjury Death, Florida, 1999-2006

1. MVC2. Poisoning3. Fall4. Drowning5. Suffocation

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms

Injury is not randomly distributed in a population.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

269 270 271 270 272 272 273 273 274 275

Milepost

Crashes

MP272.5

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms

Mortality Morbidity

Fatalities

Data easier to obtain

Tip of the pyramid

Non-fatal

Difficult to obtain

More complete description of the magnitude of the problem

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms

Risk:

- A Dictionary of Epidemiology

“The probability that an event will occur.”

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms

- A Dictionary of Epidemiology

Risk Factor:“An attribute or exposure…associated with an increased probability of a specific outcome…”

“A determinant that can be modified by intervention, thereby reducing the probability of occurrence of …specified outcomes.”

What’s the Greater Risk?

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics

Rates

YPLL

Numeric Value

Proportions

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics

Numeric Value – (amount)

Easy to understand

Does not indicate risk

Cannot be compared

Very common

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics

Proportional Distribution -

Commonly used

Simple calculation

Not a measure of risk

Sum of all values = 100%

Can be misleading

73 %

N =225

3 %

14 %

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics - Rates

“…comparing apples to oranges…”

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics - Rates

Rate:“An expression of the frequency with which an event occurs in a defined population over a specific period of time and converted to a whole number by multiplying to some power of 10 (usually 10,000 or 100,000).”

- A Dictionary of Epidemiology

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics - Rates

Community A

Community B

Community C

Rate

150 per 100,000

100 per 100,000

50 per 10,000500 per 100,000

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics

Rate

Number of cases

Population at risk(same exposure period)

X 10n or (K)

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics

Rate

17 Cases

13,000 Population(same time period)

X 100,000 Standard Pop.

= 131 per 100,000 population

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics - Rates

Selected Types of Rates

Crude Rate

Specific Rate

Adjusted Rate

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics - Rates

RatesAccurate numerator

Estimated denominator

Used primarily for comparison

Indicator of risk

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Basic Statistics

YPLL = Years of Potential Life Lost

Measure of Premature Death

YPLL = 65 - age at death

Summary

Data Analysis & Interpretation

Epidemiology serves as a foundation

Many data analysis methods

Importance of rates

Communicate your findings

Utilize available resources

Data Analysis Exercise