dart energy limited - asx · unconventional gas has changed the energy balance in north america /...
TRANSCRIPT
Substantial Leverage to UK and Asian Unconventional Petroleum
ASX Conference
October 2013
Dart Energy Limited
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THE “NEW” DART ENERGY
SECTOR EXPOSURE
QUALITY ASSETS
CLEAR PATH TO VALUE
DELIVERY CAPABILITY
ATTRACTIVE VALUE
Exposure to unconventional gas sector – energy game changer; U.K. near-term strategic focus
Large position within key UK shale play (BowlandShale) and certain CSG assets
Clear pathway to value: UK shale exploration and CSG development, international optionality
Streamlined, refocused management and team; world-class partner (GDF-Suez) for U.K. Shale
Potential to benefit from near-term activity and rerating of asset values in line with peers
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EXPOSURE TO EXCITING SECTOR ‐ RIGHT TIME, RIGHT PLACE
Shale and CBM have transformed the energy landscape in North America and AustraliaUK is next with significant unconventional gas potential and industry momentumDart Energy is well placed; recent validation via farm-in by a major (GDF-Suez)
UK MARKET CONSIDERATIONS
Gas ~40% of energy mixLong term supply deficitsDependence on gas importsand coalSecurity of supply concernsLarge indigenous resourcesInfrastructure in placeHigh prices
Market
UK RESOURCE CONSIDERATIONS
800 – 2,200+ TCF shale gas resource (BGS estimate)Technical potential / gas flow demonstratedValidation by two majors –Centrica-Cuadrilla farm-in; GDF-Suez-Dart Energy farm-in
Resource
UK REGULATORYCONSIDERATIONS
Recognition of the need to boost domestic supplyMinistry encouraging unconventional gas activityEmphasis on safety and community benefitApproval framework in place
Regulatory Framework
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Annu
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emand (Bcf)
Demand Domestic Production
U.K. GAS SCENARIO – STRONG CASE FOR INDIGENOUS GAS
Source: Department of Energy and Climate Change data extracted 22 July 2013 (https://www.gov.uk/oil-and-gas-uk-field-data)
Past:Surplus
Self-sufficient
Current:Import reliant~50% of gas
Future: Major Security of Supply Issues:Substantial long-term supply deficit ~75%
Deficit met from high-priced imports
By 2030:2.1 Tcf p.a. Shortfall
~75% of demand
Shale can fill the gap – no other viable domestic alternativesGovernment is therefore very supportive
Demand
Domestic Production
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QUALITY ASSETS – LARGE POSITION IN BOWLAND SHALE
Centrica acquires 25% for £40 million cash; plus £60 million work funding
BOWLAND BASIN – THE UK’S STORE OF SHALE GAS
UK’s most prospective shale gas play>1,300 TCF shale gas potential (per BGS report)Thick shales; good gas; flow-rates demonstrated Cuadrilla vertical well – IP > 1 MMscf/d activity underway across the basin to establish
commerciality; corporate activity ramping upGovernment policy is supportive
One of the largest positions in both west and east Bowland shale – 26 licences, 2,481 km2
Up to 110 TCF gas in place (net; NSAI assessed); (up to 83 TCF post GDF-Suez farm-in)GDF farm-in across 13 licences - quality partner and funded work program 3 – 4 Shale wells; 10 CSG wells $12 million cash; plus $36 million program
funded (including $27 million Dart’s carry) Valuation in line with Cuadrilla transaction
BOWLAND SHALE – AN EXCITING PLAY
DART IS WELL PLACED
GDF‐Suez farm‐in to 25% of 13 Dart licences, East and West Bowland
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FARM‐IN BY A WORLD CLASS MAJOR, GDF‐SUEZ E&P UK
GDF-Suez farm-in across 13 licences25% working interest; Dart operatorship1,378 km2 gross; net 345 km2
60 Tcf gross GIP (best estimate); net 15 TcfFunds significant activity across portfolio
3 – 4 shale wells; testing subject to results10 CBM wells
Substantial incremental funding for DartUS$12 million cash upfrontUS$27 million of Dart Energy’s costs carried (i.e. US$36 million gross work program)
Value in line with Centrica-Cuadrilla deal (US$2.6 million / Tcf OGIP vs US$2.8 million)Quality Partner
#1 power producer globally; >US$120 billion revenues; 130,000 employees globallyLeading operator in the U.K. with a reputation for safe and responsible exploration and production activities
Validates Dart Energy’s U.K. shale value;Upside retained via 75% operating interest
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QUALITY ASSETS – DEVELOPMENT READY CBM IN SCOTLAND
PEDL 133
PEDL 159
Sizeable potential revenues within 3 years Reserves1: 76.7 Bcf 3P / 39 Bcf 2P / 1.5 Bcf 1P Reserves = US$750m+ revenues at current UK
gas prices 597 Bcf 2C resource1; upside potential
Development plan in place Technical validation / reservoir performance >0.8 MMscf/d p/well; capacity to flow >1 MMscf/d Proof of concept via electricity from CBM
Two stage development strategy 10+ wells & compression plant for 35 MMscf/d Followed by additional 25+ wells
Planning application under appeal via Scottish Government; process expected to conclude 1H14
First gas sales expected in 2015 GSA with SSE Energy; up to 10 BCF / year Market pricing and no minimum delivery
Good gas flows from early appraisal wells >0.2 MMscf/d - short single seam section
Pilot production & testing planned for 2014
PEDL 133, AIRTH, SCOTLAND
PEDL 159, SOLWAY, SCOTLAND
1 As per Netherland, Sewell & Associate, Inc.
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Indonesia• South Sumatra play: 2 PSCs, 1,291 km2
• 50% of Muralim PSC; 45% Tanjung Enim PSC; operator of both
• Focus on establishing commerciality –commitment drilling and secure off-take
QUALITY ASSETS – INTERNATIONAL OPTIONALITY VIA PRIORITISATION
China• 1 Shale PSC (approvals underway); 720 km2
• 49% and operator; reduced to 24% via JV
• Substantial carry in initial work program
• Seek other shale gas opportunities
Australia• 7 licences in NSW (1 subject to approval); total
25,800 km2
• “Care and maintenance” - preserve licencespending regulatory clarity and certainty
A sizeable exploration portfolio in locations with the right dynamics for unconventional gas
Minimal commitments; low-cost to maintain over next 12 months
Provides future optionality by taking a prioritised, focused approach to international portfolio
Non-core assets = potential incremental cash
Non-core interests• 4 licences in continental Europe• 2 licences in East Kalimantan Indonesia• 1 licence in India• Non-strategic licences in UK and Australia• Seek exits, sales or farm-outs• Cash or optionality with no capital outlay• 1 licence sold in China – A$22 million• 1 licence sold (in part) in UK – A$0.7 million• 1 licence sold in Australia – up to A$0.5 million
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Key Activities / Value DriversFarm-out of shale acreage (GDF-Suez as first major shale farm-in partner)
Establish carried interest in sizeable shale-focused work programs
FOCUSED PATH TO VALUE CREATION
12 – 24 Months 24 Months+
SHALE FUNDINGCBM PLANNING
SHALE EXPLORATION +
CBM MONETISATION
Key Activities / Value DriversShale exploration / appraisal
PEDL 133 (Scotland) regulatory planning determination leading to full development
PEDL 159 (Scotland / England) pilot wells and commercialisation
REALISE OPTION VALUE
Key Activities / Value Drivers“Embedded” option value in China, Indonesia and Australia
Ongoing program to rationalise portfolio and farm-out / exit non-core eg: Liulinsale; PEL 461 sale
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Share Price
SUCCESSFUL RESTRUCTURING AND RECAPITALISATION
1. inclusive of US$12m to be received from GDF on completion of farm-in
Company Restructure Announced
• U.K. Strategic focus
• Corporate restructure
• Substantial cost reduction
• Divestments / strategic partnerships / farm-outs
Asset Sale - China
• $22 million sale ofLiulin CSG Project
• Completed in Sept 2013
Capital Raising
• $20.7 million fresh equity capital raised
Major U.K. Farm-in
• GDF Suez farm-in
Placement / entitlement price
Ann
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Ent
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Cen
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hale
farm
-in
Current Market Cap $140 m
Current Net Cash1 $37 m
Enterprise Value $103 m
ARE THESE DEVELOPMENTS PRICED-IN?
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KEY MESSAGES – AN ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT
SECTOR EXPOSURE
QUALITY ASSETS
CLEAR PATH TO VALUE
DELIVERY CAPABILITY
ATTRACTIVE VALUE
Unconventional gas is an exciting sector to invest in
Large position within highly sought after UK shale and CBM unconventional gas plays
Clear pathway to value: shale exploration and CBM development; secured a major farm-out
Restructure complete: streamlined and refocused management and team; world-class partner in U.K Shale
Potential to benefit from near-term activity and re-rating of asset values in line with peers
Gas is the fastest major fuel; expected to overtake coal by 2025Unconventional gas resources are larger than conventional natural gas resourcesUnconventional gas has changed the energy balance in North America / Australia alreadyUK Government policy now clear and supportive – this is the next big frontier
Large asset base in all the right play-zones, comparable with other companiesOne of UK’s top shale portfolios – enormous potentialLonger-term option value inherent in low-cost Australian, Indonesian and Chinese assets
GDF-Suez farm-in to certain U.K. shale licences – provides cash to Dart and funds programAirth project with attractive GSA in place, ready for development once planning obtainedOngoing non-core assets sales / farm-outs / exits
Managed by an experienced team with track record and capabilityBusiness now substantially restructured: focus and reduced cost baseGDF-Suez as partner in U.K. shale
Dart is one of the few listed companies offering exposure to UK shale
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2010: acquired by Exxon for US$41bn
2010: 2nd largest US producer; CNOOC US$2.2bn strategic
investor
2010: A$3.5bn acquisition by Shell /
CNPC
NORTH AMERICA SHALE
AUSTRALIACBM
2000’s
EUROPEAN UNCONVENTIONALS
2009: A$5.3bn acquisition by BG
Group
2008: A$8bn CBM‐LNG JV with
ConocoPhillips
VALUE UPSIDE: LONG‐TERM INDUSTRY POTENTIAL
2010: acquired by Royal Dutch Shell for US$4.7bn
2000’s 2012
Source: Reuters
2013: up to £160m for 25% stake in a license by Centrica
2013: GDF‐Suez farm‐in, US$39m for 25% stake in 13 licences
QUESTIONS?
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CONTACT INFORMATION.
CONTACTS:
John McGoldrick, Chief Executive [email protected]
Eytan Uliel, Chief Financial [email protected]
Dart Energy Limited
Singapore (Head Office)152 Beach Road, #19‐03/04 The Gateway EastSingapore 189721Tel: +65 6508 9840Fax: +65 6294 6904
www.dartgas.com
Australia (Registered Office)Level 9, Waterfront Place, 1 Eagle Street, Brisbane Qld 4000, AustraliaGPO Box 3120, Brisbane Qld 4001 Tel: +61 7 3149 2100Fax: +61 7 3149 2101
Stirling, Scotland, United KingdomLaurel Hill Business ParkPolmaise Road, StirlingFK7 9JQTel: +44 333 800 2000Fax: +44 1786 447868