daily technical report, 04.07.2013
TRANSCRIPT
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Daily Technical Report
July 04 , 2013
Sensex (19178) / NIFTY (5771)
Yesterday, our benchmark indices opened substantially lower
as indicated by the SGX Nifty and maintained their earlmomentum throughout the session to close with a loss o
nearly one and half percent. During the session, the Realty,
Metal and Consumer Durables counters dragged indice
lower; whereas the classical defensive counters in the FMCG
and Health Care space ended with minor gains. The
advance to decline ratio was strongly in favor of declining
counters. (A=797 D=1518) (Source–www.bseindia.com)
Formation
The ’89-day EMA’ and the ’89-Week EMA’ are placed a
19323 / 5850 and 18493/ 5596 levels, respectively.
The ’20-Day EMA’ and the ‘20-Week EMA’ are placed
at 19196/ 5794 and 11299 / 5842, respectively.
The 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the
fall from 20444 / 6229 to 18467/ 5566 are placed a
19455/ 5898 and 19689 / 5976, respectively.
The weekly chart depicts a ‘Bullish Engulfing’ pattern in
the previous week but the monthly chart shows a 'BearishEngulfing" Japanese candlestick pattern.
Trading strategy:
For the second consecutive session, markets opened lower
and closed well inside the negative territory. The benchmark
indices have now tested the hourly ’89-EMA’ level at 5770.
Also the momentum oscillator “Stochastic” has given a
negative crossover in yesterday’s session. Going forward, we
are of the view that if indices sustain below yesterday’s low o
19147 / 5760, then they are likely to move towards the gap
area of 18926 to 19093 / 5699 to 5749 created on June
28, 2013. On the upside, yesterday’s high would act a
important intraday resistance for the market. We advise
traders to adopt stock specific approach and trade with stric
stop losses.
Exhibit 1: Ni fty Daily Chart
Source: Falcon :
Actionable poin ts:
View Bearish below 57 60
Resistance Level 5815
Expected Targets 5699 - 5630
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Daily Technical Report
July 04, 2013
Bank N ifty Outlook - (11358)
Yesterday, the Bank Nifty too opened lower in-line withbenchmark indices and ended the session with more than 2%
loss. We have been mentioning in our previous reports that
the Bank Nifty charts are weaker than those of the Nifty. At
present, the Bank Nifty has closed slightly above the 61.8%
Fibonacci retracement level of the rise from 11035 to 11728.
Hence, going forward, a sustainable move below this support
level of 11300 would augment pessimism in the index. In this
scenario the index may test lower levels of 11277 / 11164.
On the upside, only a move beyond 11506 would warrant
buying interest among market participants.
Actionable poin ts:
View Bearish below 11 3 00
Expected Targets 11277 - 11164
Resistance Levels 11506
Exhibit 2: Bank Ni fty Daily Chart
Source: Falcon :
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Daily Technical Report
July 04, 2013
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS S2 S1 PIVO T R1 R2
SENSEX 19,024 19,101 19,224 19,301 19,424
NIFTY 5,728 5,749 5,782 5,804 5,837BANKNIFTY
11,213 11,285 11,395 11,468 11,578ACC 1,172 1,188 1,212 1,228 1,251
AMBUJACEM 182 185 188 191 193
ASIANPAINT 4,465 4,518 4,600 4,654 4,736
AXISBANK 1,253 1,265 1,284 1,296 1,315
BAJAJ-AUTO 1,846 1,868 1,888 1,910 1,930
BANKBARODA 515 529 557 572 600
BHARTIARTL 271 283 295 307 319
BHEL 173 176 179 182 185
BPCL 345 351 360 366 374
CAIRN 283 287 293 297 303
CIPLA 390 393 397 400 403
COALINDIA 289 293 296 301 304
DLF 172 174 177 179 182
DRREDDY 2,103 2,157 2,209 2,262 2,314
GAIL 316 323 330 336 343
GRASIM 2,744 2,772 2,790 2,818 2,836
HCLTECH 747 758 767 777 786
HDFC 837 845 858 867 880
HDFCBANK 639 645 650 656 661
HEROMOTOCO 1,617 1,636 1,664 1,683 1,710
HINDALCO 95 97 99 101 103
HINDUNILVR 575 581 589 595 603
ICICIBANK 1,048 1,056 1,064 1,072 1,079
IDFC 119 122 126 129 134
INDUSINDBK 455 461 469 475 483
INFY 2,357 2,381 2,416 2,440 2,476
ITC 317 322 325 329 332
JINDALSTEL 205 210 214 220 224
JPASSOCIAT 49 50 53 54 57
KOTAKBANK 683 691 703 711 723
LT 1,370 1,381 1,399 1,411 1,429
LUPIN 784 807 821 844 857
M&M 953 967 976 990 999
MARUTI 1,541 1,551 1,566 1,576 1,591
NMDC 97 99 101 102 105
NTPC 142 143 145 145 147
ONGC 304 308 314 317 323
PNB 597 610 629 642 661
POWERGRID 106 107 109 110 112
RANBAXY 321 329 342 350 363
RELIANCE 839 845 854 860 869
RELINFRA 338 343 348 352 358
SBIN 1,839 1,869 1,923 1,952 2,006
SESAGO A 139 142 145 148 151
SUNPHARMA 981 1,000 1,011 1,031 1,041
TATAMOTORS 272 278 284 290 295
TATAPOWER 79 81 84 85 88
TATASTEEL 262 266 272 276 283
TCS 1,437 1,464 1,491 1,518 1,545
ULTRACEMCO 1,882 1,895 1,909 1,922 1,936
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Daily Technical Report
July 04, 2013
esearch Team Tel: 022 - 30940000 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Shardul Kulkarni - Head – Technicals Sameet Chavan - Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar - Technical Analyst
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