d g a g r i d a s h b o a r d : a p p l e s index 85

Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa….

MS PRICESEU AVG PRICES

D G A G R I D A S H B O A R D : A P P L E S 27.09.2021PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE IIINDEX EXPORT DIV.

129

123124

111

113

122 121123

126

123

122

127 126 127

122

115

103

100101

100 101102 103

105

110 110 111

104

109

99

9594 94 94

9596

99

104102 102

99

103

94

91

8887 87 88

90

93

98

9492 93

86

80

86

8182 81

79 7981

89

70 71

80

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in France (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2021/22 (Previous) 2020/21

Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line

5 year avg 66% lower line

Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Ex-packaging station prices, sorted and packaged

Pojected

62

77

87

79

84

90 9189 89

95 94

99

104

109

93

6869

70 71 7170 70

7273

7778

82

72

59

6363 63 63 62 62 63

65

67 69

71

64

49

56 5755 56 55 54 54

5758 59

61

57

32

39 40 39 4041

39 40 40 40 41

43

40

25

35

45

55

65

75

85

95

105


Apple prices in Germany (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)Current 2021/22 (Previous) 2020/21Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line5 year avg 66% lower lineMonthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg


80

82

77 78

8687 87 88

9190

93

99

103

105

90

72 72

7778 78 79

80 79

82

85

8786

79

70 70

74 75 7575 76 76

77

8082

79

76

6768

7071 72 72 72 72

73

7576

72 72

62

66 66

68 69 6967

65 65

67

65

56

65

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105


Apple prices in Italy (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)




Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg


73

79

87

7677

79 79 78

80 81

83

89

92 92

83

74

70 70 70 70 7072

73

76

79

8281

73

68

66 66 66 65 6667

68

70

7374

74

68

63 6262

61 61 61 6262

64

67 67 67

64

52 5354

5253 53

53 52 53

55

5354

53

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95


Apple prices in the EU (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers)




Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Ex-packaging station prices, sorted and packaged21

35

79

4140 40

40

40

44

50

57

71

109

118

61

46

36 35 35 35 3538

41

45

49

60 59

41

36

3231 30 30 31

33

3637

41

46

42

35

2629

2625 25 26

2831 30

3231

25

29

1419

14

1210

1416

19

10 10 1012

13

5

25

45

65

85

105


Apple prices in Poland (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)




Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg€/100 kg

back to DashboardPrevious

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2

INDEX

0. Summary overview, market update

1. Prices

* EU prices

* MS prices for major producers

2. Production (by variety + extreme weather events + stocks)

3. Trade

* Evolution of the trade balance

* Import monitoring

* Export development

4. Further detail on trade developments

5. Export diversification


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3

0. SUMMARY OVERVIEW, MARKET UPDATE

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS – Marketing year 2020/21 and trends for 2021/22

1. The incoming 2021/22 crop for EU27 has been estimated at 11 619 tonnes; this is 5% higher than the

preceding 5 year average and 10 % above the « small » crop of the past marketing year (data from WAPA

for 20 MSs, from Eurostat for the remaining 7 MSs).

2. After two years of below average crop volumes and relatively high prices, the new marketing year could

have prices coming to normal levels; in the case of Poland, the MS with the largest volume, prices

moved already to close to average levels.

3. Export logistics is being a huge challenge in many parts of the world but the EU is relatively less

affected by that situation.

4. The first year of the pandemia registered firm demand and the second year a coming back to normal

levels.


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4

1. PRICES

1.1. EU Prices

1.2. MS prices for major producers

* Poland (1st EU28 volume producer)

* Italy (2nd)

* France (3rd)

* Germany (4th)


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5

Market summary

73

79

87

7677

79 79 78

80 81

83

89

92 92

83

74

70 70 70 70 7072

73

76

79

8281

73

68

66 66 66 65 6667

68

70

7374

74

68

63 6262

61 61 61 6262

64

67 67 67

64

52 5354

5253 53

53 52 53

55

5354

53

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95


Apple prices in the EU (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers)




Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg


DATA

Provisional estimates (not all notifications are available)

http://www.wapa-association.org/asp/page_1.asp?doc_id=449

https://ec.europa.eu/info/food-farming-fisheries/farming/facts-and-figures/markets/prices/price-monitoring-sector/eu-prices-selected-representative-products_en

https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/extensions/DataPortal/prices.html


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6

Market summaryDATA




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7

Market summaryDATA


21

35

79

4140 40

40

40

44

50

57

71

109

118

61

46

36 35 35 35 3538

41

45

49

60 59

41

36

3231 30 30 31

33

3637

41

46

42

35

2629

2625 25 26

2831 30

3231

25

29

1419

14

1210

1416

19

10 10 1012

13

5

25

45

65

85

105


Apple prices in Poland (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)




Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg€/100 kg





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8

Market summaryDATA


80

82

77 78

8687 87 88

9190

93

99

103

105

90

72 72

7778 78 79

80 79

82

85

8786

79

70 70

74 75 7575 76 76

77

8082

79

76

6768

7071 72 72 72 72

73

7576

72 72

62

66 66

68 69 6967

65 65

67

65

56

65

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105


Apple prices in Italy (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)




Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg






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Market summaryDATA


129

123124

111

113

122 121123

126

123

122

127 126 127

122

115

103

100101

100 101102 103

105

110 110 111

104

109

99

9594 94 94

9596

99

104102 102

99

103

94

91

8887 87 88

90

93

98

9492 93

86

80

86

8182 81

79 7981

89

70 71

80

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130


Apple prices in France (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)




Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg


Pojected





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Market summaryDATA


62

77

87

79

84

90 9189 89

95 94

99

104

109

93

6869

70 71 7170 70

7273

7778

82

72

59

6363 63 63 62 62 63

65

67 69

71

64

49

56 5755 56 55 54 54

5758 59

61

57

32

39 40 39 4041

39 40 40 40 41

43

40

25

35

45

55

65

75

85

95

105


Apple prices in Germany (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)Current 2021/22 (Previous) 2020/21Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line5 year avg 66% lower lineMonthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg






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11

+1 %

-17 %

-8 %

+22 %

75->73

13->21

78->80

127->129

111->107

30->59

104->114

142->119

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Jul>Aug ’21/22,

Price, €/100 kg

2021/22, changes

from Jul to Aug %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Jul to Aug %

Jul->Aug ’21/22, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – July/Aug 2021

-- %

+65 %

+2 %

-- %

-5 %81->62 131->106DE-Germany -23 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Market summary

Previous month

DATA

AB C D E F

Provisional

partial data for

September in

graphs

Explanation, example for Sep ‘20

Provisional figures due to some

pending notifications and

retroactive updates


https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/extensions/DashboardFruitAndVeg/FruitAndVegetablePrices.html


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12

0 %

+5 %

-2 %

-1 %

82->75

39->13

82->78

126->127

121->111

95->30

106->104

140->142

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Jun>Jul ’20/21,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from Jun to Jul %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Jun to Jul %

Jun->Jul ’20/21, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – June/July 2021

-8 %

-67 %

-4 %

0 %

+1 %79->81 130->131DE-Germany +2 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA

AB C D E F

Provisional

partial data for

Jul to Sep





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13

+1 %

+14 %

+2 %

-5 %

82->81

42->39

83->81

127->126

123->121

115->95

109->105

133->140

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

May>Jun ’20/21,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from May to Jun %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from May to Jun %

May->Jun ’20/21, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – May/June 2021

-1 %

-6 %

-1 %

0 %

+2 %77->79 129->130DE-Germany +3 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA

AB C D E FExplanation, example for Sep ‘20




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14

+6 %

+16 %

+2 %

+7 %

82->82

49->42

80->83

122->127

130->123

159->115

109->109

137->133

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Apr->May ’20/21,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from Apr to May %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Apr to Apr %

Apr->May ’20/21, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – May 2021

0 %

-16 %

+3 %

+3 %

+4 %76->77 131->129DE-Germany +2 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA





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15

+3 %

0 %

+2 %

+3 %

80->82

45->49

80->80

123->122

131->130

146->159

110->109

142->137

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Mar->Apr ’20/21,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from Mar to Apr %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Mar to Apr %

Mar->Apr ’20/21, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – April 2021

+2 %

+9 %

+1 %

0 %

+4 %74->76 133->131DE-Germany +3 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA





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16

+1 %

+5 %

-1 %

+2 %

80->80

38->45

80->80

126->123

133->131

131->146

109->110

150->142

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Feb->Mar ’20/21,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from Feb to Mar %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Feb to Mar %

Feb ->Mar ’20/21, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – March 2021

0 %

+18 %

0 %

-3 %

+1 %77->74 140->133DE-Germany -4 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA





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17

+1 %

+9 %

+1 %

-1 %

78->80

40->38

80->80

123->126

131->133

147->131

110->109

146->150

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Jan->Feb ’20/21,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from Jan to Feb %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Jan to Feb %

Jan -Feb ’20/21, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – February 2021

+2 %

-3 %

0 %

+3 %

-1 %71->76 129->140DE-Germany +7 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA





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0 %

+2 %

+1 %

0 %

79->78

40->40

80->80

121->123

132->132

152->147

110->110

144->146

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Dec->Jan ’20/21,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from Dec to Jan %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Dec to Jan %

Dec -Jan ’20/21, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – January 2021

0 %

-2 %

0 %

+1 %

-1 %73->71 131->129DE-Germany -3 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA





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19

THE METHODOLOGY FOR MONTHLY ANALYSING PRICES

IS EXPLAINED IN THE NEXT TWO SLIDES WITH AN EXAMPLE


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20

-1 %

+3 %

+2 %

-9 %

92*->85*

98*->79*

77->78

112->93

146*->137*

331*->259*

117->115

112->105

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Aug ->Sep ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2020/21, changes

from Aug to Sep %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Aug to Sep %

Aug -Sep ’20, comparison to


Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – September 2020

-7 %

-20* %

0 %

-7 %

+9 %78->79 153->142DE-Germany +2 %


Market summary

Previous month

DATA

A B C D E F

(*) Extrapolation, partial prices for PL





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21

PRICE ANALYSIS (SHORT TERM), AN EXPLANATION BY EXAMPLE

What is found in the colums of montly price figures? 1. Column A: average monthly prices for August 2020 by Member State and in the EU;

2. Column B: average monthly prices for September 2020 by Member State and in the EU;

3. Column C: index of prices for August 2020 compared to the average prices of the 5 preceding years (base = 100);

4. Column D: index of prices for September 2020 compared to the average prices of the 5 preceding years (base = 100);

5. Column E: percentage change of prices in September compared to August for the average price of the 5 preceding years (<>seasonal

factors);

6. Column F: percentage change of prices in September 2020 compared to August 2020.

Example for German prices (September 2020)

The monthly average price in Germany was 78 Euro cents per kg in August 2020 (column A). The equivalent price for September 2020 was 79 Euro

cents per kg (column B). Therefore, the percentage change of prices (September compared to August) was a 2% increase (column F).

We have 3 additional columns in order to check how the situation and recent price changes compare to the reference period (5 preceding years, 2015

to 2019). Column C indicates a figure of 153 for August; that means that the price of August 2020 was 1,53 times the price for the reference period in

Germany. Column D indicates that the price for September 2020 was 1,42 times the price of the reference period. In column E we have a proxy indicator

for price seasonality factors: for the reference period average German prices were 9% higher in September than in August (this is a sort of seasonal

pattern that we take into account for column F). When results in column F are better than in E, the shape appears in green (in red in the opposite case).


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22

2. PRODUCTION

2.1. EU production for MSs that are major producers

2.2. EU production by variety (%)

2.3. Extreme weather events

2.4. Apple stocks


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23Further detail

Update

Data source: Wapa and Eurostat




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24Further detail

Update




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25Further detail


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26


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27

AGRO-WEATHER INDEX

1. Background with main elements

2. Summary multi-event map

* main events

3. Precipitation analysis

* 90 day

* 30 day

* maps of current or recent droughts in the EU

4. Temperature analysis

* 30 day average, °C, regional deviations

* Relative number of cold days

5. Other agro-weather events

General index

WEATHER FACTORSIN FRUIT AND VEGETABLE

PRODUCTIONS

Agro-weather index

Further detail


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28

Source: JRC

Further detail

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE

TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES +/-°C ON AVG

23 May to 21 Jun 2021 (+/- 30 days)


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29

Source: JRC

Further detail



23 May to 21 Jun 2021 (+/- 30 days)


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30

Source: JRC

Further detail



23 May to 21 Jun 2021 (+/- 30 days)


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31Further detailSource: JRC

The update of

this map is

temporarily

unavailable


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32Further detail

Source: Ag Weather


90 DAY PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OF ANOMALIES

27 Jun to 27 Sep 2021 (+/-90 days) - % of normal


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33Further detail

Source: Ag Weather


30 DAY PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OF ANOMALIES

27 Aug to 27 Sep 2021 (30 days) - % of normal


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34Source: Severe weather database

Further detail

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE:

large hail and heavy rain - 1 Jul to 27 Sep 2021


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Further detail

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE: other

1 Jul to 27 Sep 2021


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16 May to 25 Jun 2021


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37

Data sources: WAPA&AMI

Further detail

Update

Provisional stocks

figures 2020/21:

1 Nov – 5 250 841 tonnes

1 Dec – 4 511 738 tonnes

1 Jan – 4 038 555 tonnes

1 Feb – 3 315 603 tonnes

1 Mar – 2 658 796 tonnes

1 Apr – 1 854 899 tonnes

1 May – 1 270 489 tonnes

1 Jun – 637 244 tonnes

1 Jul – 441 713 tonnes

Data source: Wapa and AMI




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38Data source: Wapa and AMI


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39

3. TRADE

3.1. Export development (export diversification is in section 5)

3.2. Import monitoring

3.3. Comparison of exports and imports of apples


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40

Update

Source: GTA

TOTAL Tonnes

Calendar year data

EU27 EXPORT VOLUME – 080810

Provisional data 2020/21 – Data source: Comext

https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/extensions/DashboardApples/ApplesTrade.html



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41

Update

TOTAL Tonnes

Source: GTA

Calendar year data

EU27 IMPORT VOLUME – 080810





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42

Update


https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/extensions/DataPortal/fruit-and-vegetables.html


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43

4. TRADE INDICATORS (II)

- Total export value by MS

- Total import value by MS

- Export diversification


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44Further detail

EU27 EXPORT VALUE – 080810



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45Further detail

EU27 EXPORT VALUE vs VOLUME – 080810



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46Further detail

NZ

EU27 IMPORT VALUE – 080810



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47Further detail

EU27 IMPORT VALUE vs VOLUME – 080810



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48

5. EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION

- Map of top world importers/exporters of apples with their prices

- Bar chart on top world importers/exporters and annual growth rates

- Key trade indicators on top world importers/exporters of apples

- Ranking of countries with the most negative trade balance (value terms)

- World consumption of apples, main players


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49Further detail

TOP WORLD IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS – 080810 - 2020

CIF IMPORT PRICE $/ton

Calendar year data

Data source: ITC/COMTRADE


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50Further detail

TOP WORLD APPLE IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS 2019 and % Annual growth in value 2016-20



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51

TOP WORLD APPLE IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS - 080810

Further detail Data source: ITC/COMTRADE


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52Further detail

LIST OF COUNTRIES WITH THE MOST NEGATIVE TRADE

BALANCE IN 2019 – 080810 – Source: ITC/COMTRADETOP WORLD IMPORTERS – Thousand Euro – Calendar year data



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53Further detail

FOB EXPORT PRICE $/ton

TOP WORLD EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS – 080810 - 2020

Calendar year data



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54Further detail

TOP WORLD APPLE EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS 2019 and % Annual growth in value 2016-20



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55

TOP WORLD APPLE EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS - 080810

Further detail Data source: ITC/COMTRADE


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57

The end

Thank you

GENERAL REMARKS AND DISCLAMERS

1. Where EU28 is listed it should be read as “EU+UK”; since 1 February 2020 Comext data on EU27 is the standard default (1 January 2021 for Taxud data). In a few cases there is a need to check on the content of the slide to distinguish between EU28 and EU27 because an upgrade of apps may still be ongoing.

2. Due to different timings of data processing in different slides and some other factors, such as the intermediate data carrier and methodologies, some differences on figures referred to similar or almost identical indicators are possible.ge

3. This a working document intended for reflection and analysis not containing any official position of the European Commission.

d g a g r i d a s h b o a r d : a p p l e s index 85

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