csli advisory board sept. 11, 2014 agenda call to order review of ongoing activities review/discuss...
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CSLI Advisory BoardSept. 11, 2014
Agenda Call to orderReview of ongoing activities Review/discuss Spring 2014 survey Review/discuss proposed Fall 2014 Survey Any other new/old business Adjournment
Center for the Study of Local IssuesAnne Arundel Community College
101 College ParkwayArnold, MD 21012-1895http:www2.aacc.edu/csli
CSLI Active Client Projects: Ongoing
Coordinating Center• Client: Non-profit; helps coordinate health care services for
severely ill patients▫ Type of survey: Client satisfaction ▫ Methodology: Coordinating Center sends out
questionnaire; CSLI receives returned completed surveys. Students call subset of client list to verify receipt and return of surveys – in fall will offer to conduct survey; second wave mailed to those needing another copy.
▫ N= Up to 2500 – typical completions: 750-800▫ Current status: Renewed for 2014 - ongoing▫ Contract value: $2860 Net income to CSLI: $1500▫ Students employed: 2-3
CSLI Active Client Projects
Ratcliffe Scholarship – Survey of Recipients• Client: Ratcliffe Scholarship Program
▫ Type of survey: Online▫ Methodology: Two online surveys – new recipients, past
recipients▫ N= 50+ possible respondents▫ Current status: New recipient survey in-progress; past
recipient survey in late spring▫ Contract Value: $1250 Net income to CSLI: $350▫ Students employed: Monitoring of progress
CSLI Recently Finished Client Projects
Queen Anne’s County – Survey of Residents with Failing Septic Systems
• Client: Queen Anne’s County▫ Type of survey: Mailed (primarily)▫ Methodology: Cover letter sent by county, CSLI sends mailed
questionnaire, creates online option, sends tickler▫ N= 390 respondents (1523 surveys mailed)▫ Current status: Survey completed, presentation to county
commissioners Feb. 25▫ Contract Value: $5750 Net income to CSLI: $2500▫ Students employed: Monitoring of progress
CSLI Recent Student-related Activities
1. CSLI student interns Fall 2014: 2 (Brittany Arroyo and Gabrielle
Giovinazzo Hours: vary depending on projects and
needs of the moment but goal is to average five hours per week per intern
Duties: range from data entry, survey design, student supervision, and telephone interviewing. Usually active in club activities.
2. CSLI student club ◦ Inception: 2006 – designated an official student
club. ◦ Organizational structure: Officers include
president, vice president, secretary and treasurer, elected at beginning of fall semester. CSLI interns usually chosen as club president/vice president and represent the club at student association meetings
◦ Budget: Varies yearly–2012-13: $800 from student association.
◦ 2013-14 Activities: Various field trips◦ Annapolis – Maryland General Assembly◦ Baltimore Council of Foreign Affairs
CSLI Recent Student-related Activities
CSLI Recent Activities-Public Outreach . CSLI Web site: Posted all new presentations and updates to
searchable database (see http://www2.aacc.edu/csli). Candidate forums: Co-sponsoring a candidate forum for council
candidates in districts 1-6 and county executive candidates. Oct. 21 at Pascal Center – 6-9:30 p.m. Moderated a candidate forum between Republican county executive candidates at Severna Park HS in June.
Public presentations: Various presentations through the year… Newspaper citations: Various articles in Capital, Baltimore Sun
and Washington Post about upcoming elections. Appearance on PBS “State Circle” television program in August.
Capital Newspaper: Spring 2014 piloted new relationship with Capital-Gazette newspaper – integrated into survey design phase with the expectation of running stories mentioning survey results.
CSLI Semi-Web PanelSemi-annual Survey and Web Panel
Web panel: We have accumulated a total of around 1,783 possibly valid email addresses.
◦ About 40+ percent of respondents accept request to give email addresses.
◦ Response rate typically between 10-20%.
◦ Used with Partners-in-Care project.
◦ Open to topic suggestions from faculty.
Semi-annual Survey –
Overview of Spring 2014
Results
County: Right or Wrong Direction? Fall ‘00 to Spring ‘14
Fa '00
Sp '01
Fa '01
Sp '02
Fa '02
Sp '03
Fa '03
Sp '04
Fa '04
Sp '05
Fa '05
Sp '06
Fa '06
Sp '07
Fa '07
Sp '08
Fa '08
Sp '09
Fa '09
Sp '10
Fa '10
Sp '11
Fa '11
Sp '12
Fa '12
Sp '13
Fa '13
Sp '14
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
55
62
66
60 61 62
51
58 58
53
5755
51 52 51 5052
47
52 5249 50
47
43
50 49 50 50
24 23
15
26
21
25
3431
24
2927 26
2927
33 32 3128 27 28 28 28
32
41
3633
3533
20
15
19
14
18
1315
12
19 1816
1820 21
16 17 17
25
21 2023 22 22
1614
1816 17
Right Wrong Unsure
Most Important Problem: Fall 2007 to Spring 2014
Fa '07 Sp '08 Fa '08 Sp '09 Fa '09 Sp '10 Fa '10 Sp '11 Fa '11 Sp '12 Fa '12 Sp '13 Fa '13 Sp '10
10
20
30
40
50
60
8
23
38
48
33
36 36 35
48
30
27
23
16 16
12 1210
8 7 8 9 10
57 8 8
6
12
17 16
1210
12 1113
119
17 1719 19
22
3 42 1 2
4 3 3 4
9 911
17
8
Economy Education Crime / drugs Taxes – too high Govt. inefficient, corrupt
Economy
Taxes
Govt. Waste/EthicsCrime
Education
Right/Wrong Direction – County, State, Nation: Fall ‘12 to Spring ‘14
Fall '12 Spring '13 Fall '13 Spring '140
10
20
30
40
50
60
36
24
10
27
36 35 35
31
50 49 50 50
Nation State County
Economic Conditions: (% excellent+good)County vs. Maryland and USA
F '06
S '0
7F '0
7S
'08
F'08
S '0
9F '0
9S
'10
F '10
S '1
1F '1
1S
'12
F '12
S '1
3F '1
3S
'14
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
71 71 69
5549 46 48
44 4549 48 51 48 49
53 50
27 30 31 32 35 3338
33 30
40 40
511 11 11 11 9
13 1612 14
21
County State Federal
S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '13 F '13 S '140
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
71
75
70
56
60
52
60
44
38
32 32
26
40
32
21
17
2124
41
30
36
3027
24 24
61
5053
4244 43
46
39 39
32 3129
37
47
58 59 59
6360
63
58
63 63 62
66 65
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
26
35
3134
29
36
Received salary increase
Taxes
Stock/pension lossesCost of utilities
Cost of transportation
Economic indicators, Spring 2014
Economic indicators, Spring 2014Condition AA County Students
County-Students
Taxes are too high in relation to the govt. services provided
65 37 28
Significant losses in your stock or retirement accounts
26 5 21
Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the cost of living
57 46 11
Health care insurance is unavailable, too expensive or inadequate
26 16 10
Hard to afford cost of utilities such as electricity or gas
37 33 4
Received a salary increase or other increase in income recently
36 32 4
Hard to afford cost of transportation 24 21 3Delay in making a major purchase such as a home or car
43 42 1
Facing the possibility of house foreclosure or loss
4 5 -1
Facing the possibility of unemployment 16 21 -5
Unable to find affordable housing 10 18 -8
Found a new or better job recently 14 24 -10
Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months Better Same Worse Unsure/NA Total
Economic growth 30 49 15 6 100
Unemployment 30 39 25 6 100
Inflation 10 34 52 5 101
Your personal financial situation
25 59 13 3 100
Growth Unemployment Inflation Personal Sit.
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
-3
-9
-43
-2
22
9
-46
6
2622
-38
14
7
-13
-43
7
1
-17
-52
3
15
5
-42
12
Fa '11 Sp '12 Fa '12 Sp '13 Fa '13 Sp '14
Major Issues: Support/Oppose Issue Suppor
tOppos
eUnsure NA/
Won’t say
Increased availability of pre-kindergarten schooling for low income families
82 11 5 2
Reducing the estate tax in Maryland so that it only applies to estates over $5 million
69 17 12 2
The construction of a new high school in the Crofton area.
64 7 25 4
An increase in the state minimum wage to $10.10 by 2016
60 30 9 1
Having a later start time for students in high school
55 27 15 3
Changing gun control laws to make the purchase of shotguns as strictly regulated as the purchase of handguns
51 42 7 1
Leaving unchanged the county’s storm-water fee meant to help clean up the Bay.
44 41 14 1
A decrease in Maryland’s corporate income tax
43 39 16 2
Legalization of marijuana for recreational use, with a high tax and restrictions against the sale to minors
36 50 13 1
Minimum Wage – Party, Ideology and Race
Dem Rep Unaffiliated Liberal Moderate Conservative Af-Am Whites
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
18
-23
-9
27
2
-25
40
-17
Graph 5a: Minimum Wage - Percentage Above or Below the Average (60% support)
Marijuana – Party, Ideology and Age
Dem Rep Unaffiliated Liberal Moderate Conservative 18-40 41-55 56-70 71+
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
7
-9
1
17
2
-14
17
-4
-1
-12
Table 5b: Legalize Marijuana Percentage Above or Below Average (36%)
Affordable Care Act - SupportProblem Suppor
tOppose Undecided
Overall 49 40 10
Democrats 73 17 8
Republicans 19 70 10
Unaffiliated 55 34 9
Liberals 80 10 10
Moderates 54 32 13
Conservatives 18 76 5
Race for Governor, Spring 2014 CANDIDATE With
Undecided/NA
Overall – Likely Voters
Without Undecided/
NAOverall-LV
Party Specific Vote –LV*
Democrats
Brown, Anthony (D)
7 33 56
Gansler, Doug (D)
3 14 19
Mizeur, Heather (D)
2 9 16
Total within party 12 56 91
Republicans
Craig, David (R) 2 8 9
George, Ron (R) 2 10 22
Lollar, Charles (R)
1 3 9
Hogan, Larry (R) 5 23 57
Total within party 10 44 97
UNDECIDED, other
78
Total overall 100
County Executive Race, Spring 2014CANDIDATE With
Undecided/NA
Overall – Likely Voters
Without Undecided/
NAOverall-LV
Party Specific Vote -LV*
Laura Neuman (R) 18 45 54
Steve Schuh (R) 9 23 40
George Johnson (D)
13 32 59
Undecided or missing
57 (3%
missing)
0
Total 100 100
Job approval, Spring 2014Individual/Office Approve Disapprove No answer
Governor Martin O’Malley
33 55 12
County Exec. Laura Neuman
54 11 35
President Barack Obama
39 52 9
“Congress” 9 86 5
Presidential Job approvalFall 2007 to Spring 2014
Fa '07 Sp '08 Fa '08 Sp '09 Fa '09 Sp '10 Fa '10 Sp '11 Fa '11 Sp '12 Fa '12 Sp '13 Fa '13 Sp '140
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
35
2825
52
47 47
42
47
37
4244 44
40 39
3230
24
61
54
47
43
47
40
45
50 49
4345
CSLI Gallup
Trust in Political Parties
Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
42
37
3334
37 37
34
31
37 37 37
3432
3028
31
37
34
38
3230
34
38
32
23
31
20
27
31
21 21
17
29
32
21
17
26
37
29
87
68
79
4
7 79
46
8
Democrats Republicans Neither No opinion /other
End of slideshow
•Go to draft fall 2014 questionnaire