cslf adb ccs financing roundtable

Upload: kmozoa

Post on 08-Apr-2018

219 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    1/17

    CCS Financing Roundtable

    Role of Public Sector Financing -The Financing Gap

    Singapore, 7 April 2011

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    2/17

    Clinton Climate Initiative

    Solutions that Work

    Projects not Targets

    Reduce Emissions

    High Impact

    Large Scale

    Global

    Support Structure

    Technical Assistance

    Project Assistance

    Purchasing Assistance

    Network Access

    Measurement Tools

    Financing

    2

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    3/17

    3

    Financial

    TechnicalRegulatory,Legislative &

    Political

    Community

    Commercial

    BARRIERS FACING LARGE-SCALE CCS

    Costs too high

    Risks too highand uncertain

    Technologiesunproven at scale orstill immature

    Regulatoryframeworks stillimmature

    Communitiesmostlyuninformed

    These barriers likely to be higher in developing countries

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    4/17

    COST OF CCS

    Retrofit has high energy demand (30-40%), new build has high capital cost

    Current costs range from US$60 110 /tCO2 avoided (new build and retrofit) andcan add ~80% to cost of production

    Image: McKinsey

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    5/17

    The financing gap

    Whilst there are no insurmountable technological, legal,institutional, regulatory or other barriers that prevent CCS

    from playing a role in reducing GHG emissions, early

    CCS projects face economic challenges related to climate

    policy uncertainty, first-of-a-kind technology risks and thecurrent high cost of CCS relative to other technologies.

    CCS technologies will not be widely deployed in the next

    two decades absent financial incentives that supplement

    projected carbon prices.

    7 April 2011 5

    The Report of the Interagency Task Force on Carbon Capture and Storage

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    6/17

    Key barriers to financing CCS

    Uncertainty on architecture of international climate changeagreements and carbon prices

    High initial capital cost and operating cost penalty for first-mover projects

    Expectation of forward carbon prices too low to driveinvestment

    Generally poor reputation of CCS relative to other lowemission technologies

    Lack of:

    Funding sources, either international or domestic, for CCS projects indeveloping countries

    Funding mechanisms for CCS deployment

    Mechanisms to management investment risks

    7 April 2011 6

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    7/17

    Generic financing solution elements

    Direct application of public funding to support the earlystage development technologies, either directly for CCS

    or more broadly for low-emission technologies

    Policy predictability/certainty regarding the value of GHG

    emissions reductions

    Underwriting of carbon risk against a future carbon price

    or other direct, output-based, support

    7 April 2011 7

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    8/17

    A risk perspective

    Current policy uncertainty and the risks associated with the first largescale capture plants provide a justification for risk management bythe public sector

    The interdependence of CCS elements exposes individual linkswithin the chain of capture, transport, and storage to additional risks

    Perceived and real risks translate to unfavourable financing terms forCCS projects, which may inhibit many projects

    The CCS network concept assists in reducing the CO2 volume riskassociated with a single capture source

    Direct contracting with operators of CCS network elements by the

    government has potential to substantially reduce risk Risks across the chain for large scale integrated CCS give rise to an

    early stage role for government in establishing a robust commercialframework that is most likely to deliver the optimum financialstructures and funding for the network

    7 April 2011 8

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    9/17

    CCS Financing Roundtable

    Role of Public Sector Financing -The Financing Gap

    Singapore, 7 April 2011

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    10/17

    CCS Financing Roundtable

    What would it take for private investment to flow?

    Singapore, 7 April 2011

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    11/17

    What is required?

    Direct application of public funding to support the earlystage development technologies, either directly for CCSor more broadly for low-emission technologies

    Policy predictability/certainty regarding the value of GHG

    emissions reductions Underwriting of carbon risk against a future carbon price

    or other direct, output-based, support

    Together, these elements address the challenges ofopportunity and risk

    7 April 2011 11

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    12/17

    Specific financing solution elements

    Capital grant funds, either CCS-specific or for low-emissiontechnologies

    Contracted price support or carbon floor price

    Feed-in Tariffs or Low-emission obligations

    Government support CCS authority with subsequent sell-down

    or withdrawal

    Direct funding and development of storage characterisation,

    likely contracted to private sector companies

    Establishment of common user principles and financial

    structures for transport and storage, in which government

    ownership is an option

    7 April 2011 12

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    13/17

    Possible risk management structure

    StorageCoTransportCoCaptureCo

    $ for availablecapacity

    $ / tonne deliveredto network

    $ / tonne stored(guaranteed minimum)

    Contracted by

    CarbonNet to supply

    pre-capture CO2 on

    known price basis)

    Contracted by

    CaptureCo for

    electricity supply

    CTX charged cost

    +margin by

    CarbonNet

    Contracted by

    CarbonNet to provide

    desired capacity (no

    volume or price risk)

    Physically handles

    CO2 but CarbonNet

    retains title & risk

    Initially funded &

    operated by

    CarbonNet for basin

    procurement and

    validation

    Externally funded

    once basin validated

    Known price contract

    per tonne stored with

    guaranteed volume

    minimum (no price or

    volume risk)

    CarbonNet accepts

    containment risk

    Contracted by

    CarbonNet to supply

    captured &

    compressed CO2 on

    known price per tonne

    that exceeds cost of

    capture Backed by OEM

    performance

    guarantees where

    possible

    $ / tonnecaptured

    Generator/CTX

    CarbonNet

    CO2 CO2 CO2

    7 April 2011 13

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    14/17

    CCS Financing Roundtable

    What would it take for private investment to flow?

    Singapore, 7 April 2011

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    15/17

    CCS Deployment Status

    15

    Objectives

    G8 aspirations :

    CO2 emissions cuts of 50-80% in 2050 vs

    2000

    Commit to 20 large scale CCS demonstration

    projects by 2010

    CCS (geological) necessary to achieve goals

    In addition to use of clean fuels technologies In addition to alternate CO2 conversion

    options

    Current Global Status

    Regulatory/political environment:

    Future carbon pricing uncertain

    Government funding committed, howeverproject selection processes convoluted and

    disconnected from each other

    CCS in developing countries more difficult

    CCI experience to date:

    Challenging environment for projects

    Geological storage a significant issue

    Funding & Finance increasingly central

    Business Solutions to Accelerate CO2

    Reduction

    Needs remain

    Climate change targets necessitate use of

    CCS, with geological sequestration, to be

    deployed within 10 years

    Global interest in CCS is increasing

    Increased recognition for need of CCS tobattle CO2 emissions

    Many CCS forums/committees started

    Public sector funding for large scale CCS

    projects has been announced by the EU,

    Australia, US, UK and Canada

    CCI project experience highlights importance of

    Early stage characterisation of storage sites Development of viable and replicable

    business models

    Potential for complementary beneficial CO2

    usage technologies

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    16/17

    GLOBAL CCS INSTITUTE PARTNERSHIP

    16

    Shared objective to accelerate the deployment of commercial-scale, integrated CCS

    Acceleration of early mover projects complemented by development of new projects

    Primary application of relevant expertise:

    Key Element Global CCS Institute CCI

    Capacity building X

    Project development X

    Technical evaluation X

    Funding & finance X

    Community

    Communication

    X

    Knowledge sharing X

  • 8/7/2019 CSLF ADB CCS Financing Roundtable

    17/17

    Lowering Barriers - Summary

    Barrier Lowering MechanismsCommercial Policy drivers:

    Broad cap and trade, tax

    Focused portfolio standards, feed in

    tariffs

    Financial Publicly funded capital grant schemes

    Integrated business models that

    allocate risk efficiently

    Technical R&D funding

    Publicly funded storage

    characterisation

    Regulatory Knowledge sharing internal

    Community Knowledge sharing external

    7 April, 2011 17