cs2 p4 stolarick the problem a (non) city is the distribution of creative workers
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The Problem a (non) City Is:The Distribution of Creative Workers
March 2011 Kevin Stolarick
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US Metro Areas (Total Creative)
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US Metro Areas (under 500,000)
US Counties
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US Counties (under 100,000)
Ontario CSDs (over 100 creative)
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Ontario CSDs (under 100,000)
All Geographies (over 100 workers)
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All Geographies (over 100)
All Geographies (over 100)
Lower Bound??
Upper Bound??
Above Upper??
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Greatest Positive ResidualsLos Alamos County, New Mexico 10,053 63.1%Arlington County, Virginia 134,321 60.0%Falls Church city, Virginia 5,969 59.4%District of Columbia, District of Columbia 321,466 54.3%Alexandria city, Virginia 88,771 53.3%Deep River (3547096) T 00000 1,905 52.8%New York County, New York 938,448 52.2%Fairfax County, Virginia 566,856 51.5%Howard County, Maryland 152,709 51.1%Loudoun County, Virginia 154,255 50.9%Montgomery County, Maryland 528,475 50.9%Fairfax city, Virginia 12,875 48.0%Durham, NC 274,720 46.9%Carter County, Montana 755 46.3%San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 888,480 46.1%Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 2,299,330 46.1%San Francisco County, California 474,594 46.1%Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 2,856,750 45.8%Albemarle County, Virginia 47,908 45.4%Ithaca, NY 49,860 45.2%Boulder, CO 155,400 44.8%Douglas County, Colorado 150,468 44.7%Middlesex County, Massachusetts 830,174 44.6%Framingham, MA 156,470 44.5%York County, Virginia 28,201 44.5%Bethesda-Gaithersburg-Frederick, MD 556,420 44.3%Marin County, California 131,550 44.2%Oakville (3524001) T 00000 91,130 44.1%
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• Sum (for all CSDs)– Total CC ÷ distance away (km)
• Gravity weighted• Total CC ÷ (distance away (km))2
(Inverse) Distance Weighted Creative Class
Regressing Total Creative Class
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Regressing Logged Creative Class
Regressing Percent Creative Class
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Regressing Total Creative Class - Gravity
Regressing Logged Creative Class - Gravity
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Regressing Percent Creative Class - Gravity
• Distributions are different– All (large) versus small (rural) regions
• Strong, positive relationship– Region size (logged) and SHARE creative– Bigger regions higher share– Lower bound – steeper than average (faster)
• Outside (above) the “schmeer”– (select) Urban Centres– University Towns (some)– Rural concentrations (meds/eds/law)
Takeaways (for now)
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• Creative Proximity - distance– Zilch, nada, nothing
• Creative Proximity – gravity– Total Creative (not logged; share)
• Region/Market Size– Consistent
• Density– Not Really
• Growth– Negative?
Takeaways (for now)