critical mission support through energy secuirty...3 overall program objectives •develop/enhance...
TRANSCRIPT
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Critical Mission Support Through Energy Security
Development of an Army Energy Security Assessment Model
FUPWG
Mr. Chuck Tremel, CTC
21 October 2010
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Purpose
• Provide an overview of the Army Energy Security Assessment (ESA) methodology
– Being developed by Concurrent Technologies Corporation
– Monitored by the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), Engineering Research and Development-Construction Engineering Research Laboratory (ERDC-CERL)
• Engage Utility and Government Stakeholders
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Overall Program Objectives
• Develop/enhance the draft ESA methodology demonstrated under the Army Power and Energy Initiative (APEI)
– Leverage existing processes (e.g., Anti-terrorism/Force Protection)
– Critical Mission focused
• Validate the methodology at an Army installation
• Demonstrate at four additional installations for implementation toward improving their energy security posture
• Refine for potential use across the Army
• DD-254 Secret Level Project Classification
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Program Drivers
• DoD Goals include increasing Energy Security
– EPACT05
– Defense Science Board Recommendations
– Executive Order 13514 (supersedes EO13423)
– Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007
– NDAA of 2009 and 2010
• 2010 DoD QDR defines Energy Security as:
– “…having assured access to reliable supplies of energy and the ability to protect and deliver sufficient energy to meet operational needs.”
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Program Drivers
• Army-specific goals – Army Energy Security Implementation Strategy (AESIS)
– ESG 4: Assured Access to Sufficient Energy Supply• Objective 4.1: Implement Energy Security Plans (ESPs)
– Metric 4.1a: Provide an Army-level template for energy security plans
– Metric 4.1b: Identify all Army critical facilities/installations
– Metric 4.1c: % of installations with ESPs
– Metric 4.1d: Review energy security and reliability considerations with utility suppliers and privatized utility service providers annually in accordance with the installation’s ESP
– Metric 4.1e: Implement recommendations to achieve reliable and adequate energy supply for critical facilities/installations
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Program Benefits
• A standardized approach will provide a consistent methodology to assist installations in identifying mission-related:
– Critical Facilities/Functions/(Sub)Components
– Electrical requirements and infrastructure needs for those Critical Facilities
– Potential energy security vulnerabilities
– Prioritized energy security risks
• Provide actionable project solutions and business case justification for energy system enhancements
• Provide energy security documentation for future mission planning and energy system planning
• Ensure continuity of critical operations / enhanced mission capabilities
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Overall Program Approach
• Establish an Army-level collaborative working group
• Working group expectations
– Review current/enhanced ESA methodology
– Provide candid feedback to improve the methodology• Identification of Critical Facilities
• Vulnerability and Risk Management
• Continue to provide support to enhance and define the methodology
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WG Members
• Assistant Chief of Staff for Installation Management (ACSIM)
• Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Army for Energy and Partnerships (DASA-E&P)
• ERDC-CERL
• Headquarters Department of the Army (HQDA)G-3/5/7
• HQDA G-3, Critical Infrastructure Risk Management (CIRM) Branch
• Installation Management Command (IMCOM)
• Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)
• US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), Defense Critical Infrastructure Program (DCIP)
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Current Assessments
• Many different critical asset lists are maintained– Mission Essential Vulnerable Areas (MEVA)
– High Risk Target (HRT)
– Directorate of Public Works (DPW) Critical Facilities List
– Task Critical Assets (TCAs)
– Joint Staff Integrated Vulnerability Assessment (JSIVA) reports/data
– Risk Management Decision Package (RMDP) reports/data
• Currently, these lists are not integrated nor are energy issues specifically evaluated
• Objective of our ESA methodology is to do so
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ESA Methodology
Step 1
Step 2
Step 3
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Step 1 - Prioritized Critical Energy Needs
Potential
SPFs
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Key Installation Personnel
• Garrison Commander (or delegate)• Department of Public Works (DPW)/ Installation Services• Directorate of Plans, Training and Mobilization – G3 (DPTM)• Mission Owners/Major Unit Leads• Directorate of Logistics (DOL)• Directorate of Emergency Services (DES)• Network Enterprise Center (NEC)• Service Contracts and Inspections Office/Branch
Note: Some Army Installations may have a different organizational structure, but will still have personnel working within the scope of the descriptions provided.
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Mission Decomposition
• Mission Decomposition will lead to a list of Critical Mission
Tasks to prioritize
– Mission Type
– Mission Description
– Mission Task
– Mission Task Description
– Mission Task Duration
• Mission Owners = Tenants, Units and Garrison
• Will loss of this Mission Task cause failure or severe
degradation to the Mission?
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Critical Facility Prioritization
• Mission Task Analysis will lead to a list of critical
facilities
• Ranking of facilities by:
– DES
– DPW
– DOL
– NEC
• Interdependency Rating for Facilities
to Critical Mission Tasks
• Will loss of the Critical Facility, cause failure or severe
degradation to the Mission?
– MEVA List
– HRT List
– TCA List
– Mission Command Preference
– Garrison Command Preference
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Critical Facility Functions
• Identification of critical facility functions will
determine the interdependency of Utility
Systems (on-post and off-post)
• Basis of Analysis
– Energy needs to support the Mission
– Adverse impact to Mission
– Alternative Functionality
– Time to Restore
– Time to Impact Mission
• Will loss of this facility function, cause failure
or severe degradation to the Mission?
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Analysis of Utility Systems
• Identification of Critical (Sub)Components
– On-Post
– Off-Post
• Critical (Sub)Components can affect the
functionality of:
– Critical Facilities
– Critical Facility Functions
– Utility Systems
• Critical (Sub)Components can be identified
as single points of failure
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Step 2 - Risk and Vulnerability Analysis
• Determine reality-based Initiating Events
• Develop reality based threat scenarios
• Analyze the prioritized Critical Facilities using a Wargaming process to determine
– Probability of Occurrence
– Readiness Impact/Severity
– Calculated Risk Value
– Risk Level/Acceptance versus Unacceptable
• Simulation & statistical analysis techniques to account for uncertainties
• Examine results to determine vulnerabilities
Risk/Vulnerability
Analysis
Threat Determination
Scenario Development
Wargaming
Probability of Occurrence
Readiness Impact
Impact to:
- Energy
(Sub)Components
- Utility System
- Facility Function
- Facility
- Mission
Risk Analysis
- Calculated Risk Value
- Risk Level Identification
Acceptable
Unacceptable
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Step 3 – Installation Solutions
• Create a High Reliability Generation and Distribution System
– Reduces Peak Demand
– Increases Renewable Energy Application
– Provides Quick Power Restoration
– Provides Active Response to Weather, Aging, and Threats
• Eliminate Collocated Facilities
• Provide Redundancy
• Major Spare Parts Inventory
• Emergency Fuel Supply Plan
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Islanding Plan
• High Reliability Generation and Distribution System
– Intelligent Distribution System (Smart Grid)
– Self Sustaining Electric Infrastructure
– Onsite Electric Generation
– Demand Response Control
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Islanding Plan Methodology
Control the
Island
Define Island
Implement
Distribution
System
Improvements
Review Island
Energy Profile
Identify Long
Term Utility
RequirementsInterconnect
Generation
Sources
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Islanding Plan Methodology
• Define the Island– Identify operational needs based upon the Mission and Catastrophe
– Create various operation scenarios from different situations
– Prepare a hierarchy of loads
• Implement distribution system improvements to allow automated control and operation of the electrical system
– Automated switching
– Individual load control
• Review the Energy Profile of the Island– Electrical requirements
– Distribution capabilities
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Islanding Plan Methodology
• Identify the other Utility requirements to support long term operation
– Water, Wastewater
– Communication
• Interconnect to new and existing generation sources– Existing grid connected generation supply
– New Generation assets, Renewable generation, Bio fuel generation
• Control the island– Monitor the generation assets
– Control the distribution based upon the load needed
– Isolate non essential loads when generation is over tasked
– Control power flow to maintain the operation and mission
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Path Forward
• Conduct Validation Assessment at Fort Detrick (Sept – Dec 2010)
• Schedule Pre-Coordination Meetings for final go-ahead
– Joint Base Lewis McChord
• Continue discussions with:
– Fort Bliss
– Fort Bragg
– Fort Stewart
• Meet with the ESA WG to discuss methodology and the results from
the first site assessment (Dec 2010)
• Continue collaborations with PNNL to deliver the draft methodology to
ACSIM
• Finalize data collection tool to support the methodology
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Contact Information
• John Vavrin
U.S. Army ERDC-CERL
COTR for Contract No. W9132T-10-C-0023
Ph. 217-373-5856
• Susan B. Van Scoyoc
Program Manager for Contract No. W9132T-10-C-0023
Ph. 814-269-2826
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Thank You!!
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Back Up Slides
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Program Drivers
• Observations from the field– Many Army Installations have energy systems (to include backup
generation) that require modernization
– It is a challenge for Army Installations to identify and prioritize Energy Security Improvements
– Typically no regular interface with DES, DPTMS and others who regularly analyze vulnerabilities
– Many installation energy security assessments/plans are out of date
– AT/FP assessments are focused on a specific location’s ability to deter and/or respond to a terrorist event - energy disruptions and effect on mission execution are a secondary outcome
– Other mandates and requirements result in an inability to focus on priority tasks
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Leveraging the DCIP/CIRM Approach
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Notional Example – Fort Marshall• Mission Decomposition
– Sample Mission Description: Strategically deploy, conduct forcible
assault, and secure key objectives for follow-on military operations
in support of U.S. national interests
– Sample Mission Task: Conduct Command, Control,
Communications, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance
from a central location
– Sample Task Description: Utilize Command Control HQ and
worldwide communications to execute mission
– Sample Task Duration: One month
– Mission Owner(s): Unit Commander
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Notional Example – Fort Marshall
• Critical Facility: Command HQ Building, etc.
• Critical Facility Function(s): HVAC, Data, Communications, etc.
– Energy needs to support the Mission - Electricity, etc.
– Adverse impact to Mission - Yes
• Identification of Critical (Sub)Components– On-Site Distribution Line, Substation (Transformer)
– Off-Site Transmission Line, Substation (Transformer)
• Alternate Functionality - Backup Diesel Generator with adequate fuel storage
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Notional Example – Fort Marshall
• Potential single points of failure – Dual electric primary feed to facility co-located on single structure
• Potential solutions to reduce risk/vulnerabilities – Work with Utility provider to separate primary feeds (Utility investment)
– Provide redundant backup generator
– Secure logistics plan for backup generator refueling during emergency conditions
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Integration with ACSIM ESP
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Distributed Generation at
Substation
EnergyStorage
(PC
C) U
tilit
y
Inte
rconnection
Commissary
Biofuel Generation
Fire Station
Waste WaterTreatment
Other Facilities
Comm
Distributed Generation at
Substation
EnergyStorage
(PC
C) U
tilit
y
Inte
rconnection
PX
Lif t Station Housing School
Pump Station
Other Facilities
RenewableGeneration
(Wind/Solar)
Water Treatment
School HQ Comm
Other Facilities
Lif t Station
Security
Recreation
Pump Station Hospital
Other Facilities Housing
Runway/Tower Operations
Existing Generation(Parallel Operation)
Generation
Water
Critical Facilities
Operations
Housing
Community
Other Facilities
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Chuck Tremel
Concurrent Technologies Corporation
(814) 242-2436