credit suisse asian technology conference september · 9 q2 2006 highlights – qoq comparison in...
TRANSCRIPT
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Credit Suisse Asian Technology ConferenceCredit Suisse Asian Technology Conference
September 7th, 2006September 7th, 2006
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Safe Harbor Notice
Any statements set forth that are not historical facts are forward‐looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward‐looking statements.
Potential risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, such factors as fluctuations in product demand, the introduction of new products, the Companyʹs ability to maintain customer and vendor relationships, technological advancements, impact of competitive products and pricing, growth in targeted markets, risks of foreign operations, foreignexchange rates, and other information detailed from time to time.
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Company Snap Shot
Taiwan Stock Exchange 5305.TWPrice (09/06/2006) NT$ 28.3052 Week High/Low NT$ 42.65 – 24Shares Outstanding 433 millionMarket Capitalization NT$ 12.25 billion
Revenue (2005) NT$ 9.9 billionEPS (2005) NT$ 3.13
Dividend Yield about 4%P/E (FY2005) 8.7Price/Book 1.6
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Organization Chart
Lite‐ On Semiconductor Corp
ThePhilippines
HsinTien
SeefullFactory
WuxiFactory
KeelungFactory
6” Wafer FabHsin Chu
WuxiFactory
22.6%
100% 100%
Diodes Inc.Symbol : DIOD
Semiconductor Components Biz Group
Semiconductor Components Biz GroupImage Biz Group
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Founder Dyna Image (Lite‐On 14 yrs)Vice‐Chairman/Director of Diodes Inc 21 yrs with Texas Instruments, VP‐Taiwan
C.C. ChenExecutive VPDiscrete & Analog Division
David Lee CFO & Spokesperson of Lite‐On Semiconductor since 2000CFO 6 yrs with Lite‐On Power Semiconductor
9 yrs with Silitek
M. K. Lu 24 yrs with Lite‐On GroupPresident 8 yrs with Texas Instruments
Production, Planning & IT Background
R.J. Hong 13 yrs with Lite‐On GroupG.M. of 10 yrs with Texas InstrumentsImage BG Production, Planning Background
C. H. ChenVice Chairman
Experienced Management Team
Dr. Chen joined Lite‐On Semiconductor in 2005 17 yrs with Texas InstrumentsEngineering, Marketing and Product Management Background
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2005 Major Products Revenue & Shipments
Image Business Group 56%
•• Q1 Q1 –– Q4 05 Revenue = NT$1.4+ B Q4 05 Revenue = NT$1.4+ B ((‐‐19% YoY)19% YoY)
•• Q1 Q1 –– Q4 05 shipment = 8.5+ MQ4 05 shipment = 8.5+ M((‐‐ 8.3% YoY)8.3% YoY)
••Q1 Q1 ‐‐ Q4 05 Revenue = Abt 900 M Q4 05 Revenue = Abt 900 M ( 350% + ( 350% + YoYYoY))
••Q1 Q1 –– Q4 05 Shipment = Q4 05 Shipment = abtabt 4+ M4+ M(300%+ (300%+ YoYYoY))
Mono Mono Absolute #1Absolute #1
#2 in Taiwan #2 in Taiwan DiscreteDiscrete
CCM CCM COB PioneerCOB Pioneer
Color Color Global Top 3Global Top 3
•• Q1 Q1 –– Q4 05 Revenue = NT$3.3+BQ4 05 Revenue = NT$3.3+B(+ 5 % YoY)(+ 5 % YoY)
•• Q1 Q1 –– Q4 05Shipment = 11+ MQ4 05Shipment = 11+ M(28% YoY)(28% YoY)
•• Q1 Q1 –– Q4 05 Revenue = NT$3.7+ BQ4 05 Revenue = NT$3.7+ B(3% YoY)(3% YoY)
FoundryFoundry
•• June June –– December Revenue = NT$674MDecember Revenue = NT$674M
BipolarCMOSBCD
Semiconductor Business Group 44%
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Performance in 2006 Q 2 & 1H
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Q2 ‘06 Major Products Revenue & Shipments
Mono Mono Absolute #1
ColorColorGlobal Top 3Absolute #1 Global Top 3
•• Q2 06 Revenue = NT$1.0+ BQ2 06 Revenue = NT$1.0+ B( + 38 % ( + 38 % YoYYoY, , +15% +15% QoQQoQ))
•• Q2 06 Shipment = 4+ MQ2 06 Shipment = 4+ M( + 56% ( + 56% YoYYoY, , +20% +20% QoQQoQ )
•• Q2 06 Revenue = NT$310 M Q2 06 Revenue = NT$310 M ( ( ‐‐14+% 14+% YoYYoY, , ‐‐2.5% 2.5% QoQQoQ))
•• Q2 06 shipment = about 1.8MQ2 06 shipment = about 1.8M( ( ‐‐ 23% 23% YoYYoY, , ‐‐4% 4% QoQQoQ) ))
Discrete & AnalogDiscrete & AnalogCCMCCM
COB PioneerCOB Pioneer•• Q2 Revenue = about NT$1.08 BQ2 Revenue = about NT$1.08 B(+ 24% (+ 24% YoYYoY, , + 5 %+ 5 %QoQQoQ))
FoundryFoundry
•• Q2 Revenue = about NT$422 MQ2 Revenue = about NT$422 M(+ 26% (+ 26% QoQQoQ)
•• Q2 06 Revenue = Abt 150 MQ2 06 Revenue = Abt 150 M( ( ‐‐ 18% + 18% + YoYYoY, , ‐‐13% 13% QoQQoQ))
•• Q2 06 Shipment = Abt 500+ K Q2 06 Shipment = Abt 500+ K ( ( ‐‐ 39% 39% YoYYoY, , ‐‐36% 36% QoQQoQ))
)
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Q2 2006 Highlights – QoQ Comparison
In NT MillionsIn NT Millions 1Q 2006* 2Q 2006* QoQ
Amount % Amount % %
Net Sales 2,734 100.0 2,982 100.0 9.1
COGS 2,325 85.0 2,524 84.6 8.6
Gross Profit 409 15.0 458 15.4 12
Operating Expense 297 10.8 304 10.2 2.4
Operating Profit 112 4.1 154 5.2 37.5
Other Income/Expense 314 11.5 50 1.7 ‐84
Profit Before Tax 426 15.6 630 21.2 47.9
Profit After Tax 382 13.9 215 ‐43.7
After Tax EPS (adjusted) 0.90 0.51 ‐43.3
* Consolidated
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Q2 2006 Highlights – YoY Comparison
In NT MillionsIn NT Millions 2Q 2005* 2Q 2006* YoY
Amount % Amount % %
Net Sales 2,268 100.0 2,982 100.0 31.5
COGS 1,889 83.2 2,524 85.0 33.6
Gross Profit 379 16.7 458 15.4 20.8
Operating Expense 233 10.3 304 10.2 30.4
Operating Profit 146 6.4 154 5.2 5.5
Other Income/Expense 44 2.1 50 1.7 13.6
Profit Before Tax 190 8.4 204 6.8 7.4
Profit After Tax 190 8.4 215 7.2 13.2
After Tax EPS 0.56 0.51 ‐8.9
EPS Adjusted(08.’06) 0.50 0.51 2.0
* Consolidated
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Interim Report Highlight – YoY Comparison
In NT MillionsIn NT Millions YTD 1H 2005* YTD 1H 2006* YoY
Amount % Amount % %
Net Sales 4,195 100.0 5,717 100.0 36.3
COGS 3,454 82.3 4,849 84.6 36.8
Gross Profit 742 17.7 868 15.2 17
Operating Expense 443 11.4 602 10.5 35.9
Operating Profit 299 6.1 266 5.2 ‐11
Other Income/Expense 116 3.4 365 6.4 214.7
Profit Before Tax 415 9.6 630 9.6 51.8
Profit After Tax 362 8.5 597 8.5 64.9
EPS 1.09 1.51 38.5
EPS (adjusted) 1.02 1.41 38.2
*Consolidated
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Year 2006 1H Balance Sheet
in Million NTD 1H 06 1H 05
Cash & Cash Equivalent 1,157 1,145A/R 2,435 2,529Inventory 1,026 1,227Total Current Assets 4,996 5,302Total Fixed Assets 5,145 5,103Total Assets 13,466 12,755A/P 1,900 1,619Total Current Liabilities 4,565 5,955Long Term Liabilities 1,533 1,205Total Liabilities 6,626 7,656Total Shareholdersʹ Equity 6,841 5,099
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3Q Guidance & Looking Forward
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What We Promised vs. What We Delivered
Guidance Actual
** Q1 06 Revenue ‐ 4.2% QoQ
+ 41.9% YoY
* Q1 Gross Profit 15%, +1.5% improvement QoQ
* Q2 Revenue grow 9.1% QoQ31.5% YoY
* Q2 Gross Profit 15.4%+0.4% improvement QoQ
* Operating Profit from 4.1% to5.2%
* Q1 06 Revenue ‐5% to ‐10% QoQ 35%+ YoY
* Gross Profit Margin 1 ~ 2% QoQimprovement
* Q2 06 Revenue about 10% QoQ25%+ YoY
* Q2 06 Profit Margin 1 ~ 2% QoQimprovement
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2006 Q3 Guidance
● Q3 06 Revenue increase about 5% , QoQ, about 10% YoY
Financial Outlook
Business Outlook FY
●Color : Target to grow revenue by about 20% FYR
●CCM : Target to expand market share & hold a position in tier 1 customer
●Mono : Sustain # 1 position in W/W Market share;
●Discrete : Aim to enlarge market share; Concentrate on keyproducts, expand the high profit Analog product
●Foundry : Break even in July, expect to contribute to EPS
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Industry Momentum
in 2006 & the Road Ahead
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Global Semiconductor Market 2003~2008 Forecast
SIA World Semiconductor Forecast
M USD
Semiconductor ‘03 –’08 CAGR : 13.2%Sensor ’03 – ’08 CAGR : 15.6%
Opto ’03 – ’08 CAGR : 17.0%Discrete ’03 - ;08 CAGR : 7.1%
IC ’03 – ’08 CAGR : 13.4%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Sensor 3,569 4,767 4,556 5,329 6,240 7,361 Opto 9,545 13,726 14,966 16,402 18,162 20,940 Discrete 13,347 15,762 15,357 15,930 17,342 18,851 IC 139,965 178,772 192,733 207,826 229,601 262,004
2003 2004 2005 (E) 2006 (E) 2007 (E) 2008 (E)
Source : SIA Nov. 2005
166,426
213,067
309,156
227,613245,488
271,355
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Global Total Power Management Forecast
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2004 2005 (E) 2006 (E) 2007 (E) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)
Total Power Management
Year 2004 2005 (E) 2006 (E) 2007 (E) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)Voltage Regulators 5,476 6,123 6,872 8,190 9,840 11,574Interface / Auto Ics 5,778 6,191 6,693 7,414 8,279 8,986Rectifiers 2,256 2,374 2,469 2,616 2,838 2,980Thyristors 805 801 891 925 979 943Power Transistors 7,093 6,994 7,682 8,769 10,133 10,853Total Power Mgt. 21,408 22,483 24,607 27,914 32,069 35,336
Unit : M USD
M USD‘04 –’09 CAGR : 10.5%
Source : iSuppli 4Q 2005
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Global Inkjet MFP Shipments 2003‐2008 Forecast
25,455
34,458
42,813
48,40653,659
57,058
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000Inkjet MFP accounted for 87% of total Global units and will increase to 91.5% by 2008
Year 2003 2004 2005 2006(E) 2007(E) 2008(E)Growth % 117% 35% 24% 13% 11% 6%
LSC Growth % 350% 80% 28% 30% Outperform Outperform
Source : 2005 IDC
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World wide Mobile Phone & CCM Market Forecast
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Mobile Handsets CCM
Year 2005 2006 2007 2008Mobile Handsets 801 910 1002 1127CCM 372 514 660 780
Source : IDC, LSC Consolidated
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2006 Sales Distribution Projection
2006 (E)
Discrete
36% CCM
6%
CIS
43%
New
Products2%
Foundry
14%
2005
CIS
47%
CCM
9%
Discrete
37%
Foundry
7%
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LSC’ Golden Egg ‐ Diodes Inc Corp
LSC Golden Egg – Diodes Inc
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Sales Gross Profit Margin Net Income
(in thousands USD)1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Sales 60,121 78,245 116,079 93,210 115,821 136,905 185,703 214,765Gross Profit Margin 15,402 20,948 37,427 14,179 26,710 36,528 60,735 74,377
Net Income 2,673 5,569 14,895 124 5,802 10,095 25,551 33,329Basic EPS 0.16 0.33 0.82 0.01 0.32 0.53 1.27 1.44D iluted EPS 0.15 0.30 0.72 0.01 0.29 0.47 1.10 1.29
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Conclusion
Strong Historical Performance• 23% Revenue CAGR (2001-2005)• 56% Net Income CAGR (2001-2005)• 14 Consecutive years of profit
Improving Near-term Margins• Increasing ASPs and growth in Discrete market• Increasing capacity utilization at the 6 inch fab
Entry into High-growth, Higher-margin Markets• Analog and Power Management solutions • In-house team developing new products
Attractive Valuation• Low P/E relative to peers•Ownership in Diodes (22.6%) – market value NT $18 per share
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• Appendix
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•• Q1 06 Revenue = NT$317 M Q1 06 Revenue = NT$317 M ( ( ‐‐29% YoY)29% YoY)
•• Q1 06 shipment = about 2MQ1 06 shipment = about 2M( ( ‐‐ 16% YoY)16% YoY)
•• Q1 06 Revenue = Abt 170 MQ1 06 Revenue = Abt 170 M( + 145% + YoY)( + 145% + YoY)
•• Q1 06 Shipment = Abt 800+ K Q1 06 Shipment = Abt 800+ K ( + 119% YoY)( + 119% YoY)
Mono Mono Absolute #1Absolute #1
DiscreteDiscrete#2 in Taiwan#2 in Taiwan CCMCCM
COB PioneerCOB Pioneer
Q1 ‘06 Major Products Revenue & Shipments
ColorColorGlobal Top 3Global Top 3
•• Q1 06 Revenue = NT$886 MQ1 06 Revenue = NT$886 M( + 41 % YoY)( + 41 % YoY)
•• Q1 06 Shipment = 3+ MQ1 06 Shipment = 3+ M( + 70% YoY)( + 70% YoY)
•• Q1 Revenue = about NT$103 MQ1 Revenue = about NT$103 M(+ 16% YoY)(+ 16% YoY)
FoundryFoundry
•• Q1 Revenue = about NT$335 MQ1 Revenue = about NT$335 M
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Q1 2006 Highlights –YoY Comparison
In NT MillionsIn NT Millions 1Q 2005* 1Q 2006* YoY
Amount % Amount % %
Net Sales 1,927 100.0 2,734 100.0 41.9
COGS 1,565 81.2 2,325 85.0 48.6
Gross Profit 363 18.8 409 15.0 12.7
Operating Expense 210 10.9 297 10.8 41.4
Operating Profit 153 7.9 112 4.1 ‐26.8
Other Income/Expense 68 2.0 314 11.5 362
Profit Before Tax 221 11.5 426 15.6 92.8
Profit After Tax 172 8.9 382 13.9 122
After Tax EPS 0.53 0.97 83
EPS Adjusted(08.’06) 0.46 0.90 96
* Consolidated
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Q1 2006 Highlights –QoQ Comparison
In NT MillionsIn NT Millions 4Q 2005* 1Q 2006* QoQ
Amount % Amount % %
Net Sales 2,855 100.0 2,734 100.0 ‐4.2
COGS 2,470 86.5 2,325 85.0 ‐1.0
Gross Profit 385 13.5 409 15.0 1.5
Operating Expense 285 10 297 10.8 0.8
Operating Profit 100 3.5 112 4.1 0.6
Other Income/Expense 92 3.2 314 11.5 8.3
Profit Before Tax 192 6.7 426 15.6 8.9
Profit After Tax 141 4.9 382 13.9 9.0
After Tax EPS 0.33 0.97 193
EPS adjusted (08’06) 0.31 0.90 190* Consolidated
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2005 Revenue Distribution
Mono21%
Discrete41%
Color35%
CCM3%
2004
2005
CCM9%
Discrete37%
CIS47%
Foundry7%
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2005 Consolidated Quarterly
NT Millions 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Net Sales 1,927 2,268 2,866 2,855
COGS 1,565 1,889 2,509 2,470
Gross Profit 363 379 356 385
Operating Profit 153 146 63 100
Other Income/Expense 68 44 732 92
Profit before Tax 221 190 795 192
Profit After Tax 172 190 674 141
EPS 0.53 0.56 1.7 0.34
EPS (adjusted) 0.46 0.50 1.66 0.31
* Quarterly results do not include Anachip. Revised 08.22.06
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f3 Years Consolidated Financials
In NT MillionsIn NT Millions YTD 2003 YTD 2004* YTD 2005*
Amount % Amount % Amount
9,916
8,433
1,483
1,021
462
936
1,398
1,177
After Tax EPS2.01 3.01 3.13
2.93
%
Net Sales 6,621 100.0 8,778 100.0
COGS 5,304 80.1 6,903 78.6
100.0
85
15
10.3
4.7
9.4
14.1
12
Gross Profit 1,317 19.8 1,875 21.3
Operating Expense 646 9.7 791 9
Operating Profit 671 10.1 1,083 12.3
Other Income/Expense 92 1.3 141 1.6
Profit Before Tax 763 11.5 1,224 13.9
Profit After Tax 615 9.2 982 11.1
EPS Adjusted
* Year end results for 2005 do not include Anachip.
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A Solid Company with Stable Growth & Profitability
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Revenue Profit after Tax
Units : Million NTD
32
Track Record of Growth & Profitability
3,5324,643
6,621
8,7789,916
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Revenue*
CAGR 23%
Unit : NTD Million
*2005 results do not include Anachip’s revenues
33
Track Record of Growth & Profitability
Net Income
CAGR 56%
Unit : NTD Million
128
341
615
982
1,177
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Net Income
CAGR 56%
* 2005 result does not include Anachip
34
Track Record of Growth & Profitability
0.45
1.17
2.01
3.01 3.13
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Earnings per Share
CAGR 47%
Unit : NTD Million
Y e a r 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5
C a s h 0 . 5 0 . 7 3 1 . 4 1 . 4S t o c k s 0 . 4 0 . 4 0 . 7 3 0 . 6 0 . 6
35
Track Record of Growth & Profitability
3.70
8.90
14.40
22.2821.50
0
5
10
15
20
25
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
ROE
CAGR 42%
36
Defined growth initiatives for the future