country case studies: thailand & tanzania feed-in tariffs and small power producer regulations
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Country Case Studies: Thailand & Tanzania Feed-in Tariffs and Small Power Producer Regulations Workshop on grid‐integration of small scale decentralized renewable energy (DRE) systems Victor Menezes Convention Centre (VMCC), IIT Bombay ( Mumbai ) 3 April 2012 Chris Greacen. Thailand. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Country Case Studies: Thailand & Tanzania Feed-in Tariffs and Small Power Producer Regulations
Workshop on grid‐integration of small scale decentralized renewable energy (DRE) systems
Victor Menezes Convention Centre (VMCC), IIT Bombay (Mumbai)
3 April 2012
Chris Greacen
Thailand
Tanzania
Can’t we hook it up and sell power back?
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Technical regulations:• Allowable voltage,
frequency, THD variations
• Protective relays– 1-line diagrams for all
cases:• Induction• Synchronous• Inverters• Single/multiple• Connecting at different
voltage levels (LV or MV)
• Communication channels
Commercial regulations:
• Definitions of renewable energy, and efficient cogeneration
• Cost allocation• Principle of
standardized tariff determination
• Invoicing and payment arrangements
• Arbitration
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+ Standardized Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
Evolution of Thai VSPP regulations• 2002
– VSPP regulations drafted, approved by Cabinet– Up to 1 MW export, renewables only– Tariffs set at utility’s avoided cost
Biogas from Pig Farms
Reduces air and water pollution
Produces fertilizer
Produces electricity
8 x 70 kW generator
Ratchaburi
Biogas from Pig Farms
•40 kW•Mae Kam Pong, Chiang Mai, Thailand
Micro hydropower
• Uses waste water from cassava to make methane
• Produces gas for all factory heat (30 MW thermal) + 3 MW of electricity
• 3 x 1 MW gas generators
Korat Waste to Energy – biogas… an early Thai VSPP project
Evolution of Thai VSPP regulations• 2002
– VSPP regulations drafted, approved by Cabinet– Up to 1 MW export, renewables only– Tariffs set at avoided cost (bulk supply tariff + FT)
• 2006– Up to 10 MW export, renewables + cogeneration– Feed-in tariff “adder” (premium payment)
• Paid by ratepayers– If > 1 MW then utility only pays for 98% of energy (utility
incentive to facilitate VSPPs)
Rice husk-fired power plant• 9.8 MW• Roi Et, Thailand
Bangkok Solar 1 MW PV
• Signed PPAs for 767 MW of PV (SPP + VSPP)
Lopburi 73 MW PV (over 1,000 rai = 160 hectares)
• Project size: 1 MW• Uses self-manufactured a-Si• Signed PPAs for 767 MW of PV (SPP + VSPP)
Solar thermal electricity• 5 MW, 135 MW planned• 900 Million baht (180 baht/watt = US$6/watt) but costs
expected to decrease 20 to 30% to 135 baht/watt• Commissioned in Kanchanburi on Nov 2011• Signed PPAs for 1343 MW of solar thermal
VSPP project pipeline as recorded in EPPO data
Application under
consideration
Permission received,
awaiting PPAPPA signed
Generating & selling electricity
Leakage (Project abandoned)
Feb 2007
Thailand VSPP Status
Application pendingReceived permission, awaiting PPA
PPA signedGenerating electricity
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Mi-cro-
hydro
Natural gas co-
gen
Coal cogen
Biogas
Garbage
Wind
Solar
Biomass
18 MW online
June 2008
Thailand VSPP Status
Application pendingReceived permission, awaiting PPA
PPA signedGenerating electricity
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Mi-cro-
hydro
Natural gas co-
gen
Coal cogen
Biogas
Garbage
Wind
Solar
Biomass
June 2009
Thailand VSPP Status
Application pendingReceived permission, awaiting PPA
PPA signedGenerating electricity
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Mi-cro-
hydro
Natural gas co-
gen
Coal cogen
Biogas
Garbage
Wind
Solar
Biomass
Application pendingReceived permission, awaiting PPA
PPA signedGenerating electricity
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Mi-cro-
hydro
Natural gas co-
gen
Coal cogen
Biogas
Garbage
Wind
Solar
Biomass
Mar 2010
Thailand VSPP Status
Application pendingReceived permission, awaiting PPA
PPA signedGenerating electricity
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Mi-cro-
hydro
Natural gas co-
gen
Coal cogen
Biogas
Garbage
Wind
Solar
Biomass
Sep 2011
Thailand VSPP Status
1056 MW online (58-fold increase since 2007)
PPAs signed for additional 4318 MW
Solar trends in Thailand
Feb-07
Apr-07
Jun-07
Aug-07
Oct-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Aug-10
Oct-10
Dec-10
Feb-11
Apr-11
Jun-11
Aug-11
Oct-11
Dec-11
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
MW Solar installed in Thailand Feb 2007 – Dec 2011
PPAs for photovoltaic (PV) solar: 677 MWPPAs for concentrating solar thermal (CST): 1343 MW
Evolution of Thai VSPP regulations• 2002
– VSPP regulations drafted, approved by Cabinet– Up to 1 MW export, renewables only– Tariffs set at avoided cost (bulk supply tariff + FT)
• 2006– Up to 10 MW export, renewables + cogeneration– Feed-in tariff “adder” – If > 1 MW then utility only pays for 98% of energy
• 2009– Tariff adder increase, more for projects that offset diesel
http://www.eppo.go.th/power/vspp-eng/ for English version of regulations, and model PPA
Thai VSPP feed-in tariff adders
Assumes exchange rate 1 Thai baht = 0.029762 U.S. dollars
Fuel Adder Additional for diesel offsetting areas
Additional for 3 southern provinces
Years effective
Biomass Capacity <= 1 MW $ 0.015 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7 Capacity > 1 MW $ 0.009 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7
Biogas <= 1 MW $ 0.015 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7 > 1 MW $ 0.009 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7
Waste (community waste, non-hazardous industrial and not organic matter)
Fermentation $ 0.074 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7 Thermal process $ 0.104 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7
Wind <= 50 kW $ 0.134 $ 0.045 $ 0.045 10 > 50 kW $ 0.104 $ 0.045 $ 0.045 10
Micro-hydro 50 kW - <200 kW $ 0.024 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7 <50 kW $ 0.045 $ 0.030 $ 0.030 7
Solar $ 0.238 $ 0.045 $ 0.045 10
Tariff = adder(s) + bulk supply tariff + FT chargeBiomass tariff = $0.009 + $0.049 + $0.027 = $0.085/kWh
Current VSPP challenges & responsesChallenge Response
1. PPA speculators Bid bond (200 baht/kWh) ($6/kW).No adder if >1 yr past Scheduled Commercial Operations Date.
2. Little diversity (generators online mostly >1 MW biomass owned by sugar, rice mills)
4% interest loans up to 50 million baht ($1.6 million) per project. Government loaned 4 billion baht ($133 million) to 13 banks at 0.5% interest.
Challenge Response3. VSPP not well integrated into
Power Development Planning (PDP) process
Not much yet, but Thai NGOs have developed/advocate “alternative PDP”
GW
h
Fuel mix in power generationPower Development Plan 2007
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Reflections -- Thai VSPP
• Low-key, local approach kept utilities from being threatened
• Thailand’s path to full generation-cost FIT started successfully with tariffs based on avoided cost• Initial trickle of applications gave utility time to build
capacity to implement program• Feed-in adder very successful in attracting projects• Incentivize utility (utility pays for only 98% of energy
from projects >1 MW)• Challenges arising as program grows, largely being
addressed
Tanzania
Evolution of Tanzania SPP regulations
• Approved by regulator August 2009• Up to 10 MW export, renewables & cogeneration• SPP Tariffs at average of long run marginal costs
(LRMC) and short run (SRMC)– Grid-connected SPP tariff (2010): 110.3 TZS ($0.074)/kWh
• 132.36 TZS ($0.088)/kWh dry-season Aug-Nov• 99.27 TZS ($0.0663)/kWh wet-season Jan-Jul, December
– In rural mini-grid areas offsetting diesel (2010): 368.87 TZS ($0.24.6)/kWh
• 4 PPAs signed by November 2010
www.ewura.go.tz/sppselectricity.html for English versions of regulations, and model PPAs
Lumama 150 kW• Grid Soon to expand
to 300 kW
TPC Sugar Factory• Cogen bagasse• 17.5 MW
SPPs In Operation
Project MW Type of Resource StatusACRA Tanzania 0.3 Hydro In Operation / Community based
TANWAT 2.34 Biomass -wood Selling 1 MW (2010)
TPC Co-Generation 15 Bagasse Selling 10 MWe to TANESCO (2010)
Katani Power Plant 0.3 Biomass - Waste Operation - Pilot
SPPs in Preparation
Project MW Type of Resource
Status
Sao Hill Energy 15 Biomass -wood Applied Licence
Chipole – Own use & sell to the grid
0.4 Hydro In operation – additional 3MW planned
Mwenga 3.36 Hydro PPA Signed with TANESCO
Ngombeni Mafia 1.4 Biomass PPA Signed with TANESCO. Under construction
Kilombero Sugar Co. 10.6 Bagasse Applied Licence
Tanzania Sisal Board 0.5 Biogas Applied License
Kitonga Mini Hydro 10 Hydro Applied License
Andoya Hydro Electric Co.
0.5 Hydro Business plan
Kilocha Hydro 12 Hydro In discussion with REA
Kilombero Mngeta 3 Hydro In discussion with REA
Where we are now…• Completed
– All documents passed public review and are approved for use.
– Several PPAs signed with TANESCO and licenses applied• Ongoing
– TANESCO in process of establishing SPP cell
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Where we are now…• Completed
– All documents passed public review and most are approved for use.
– Several PPAs signed with TANESCO and licenses applied• Ongoing
– TANESCO in process of establishing SPP cell– SPP Working Group composition and function– Discussions between EWURA and REA on how to
coordinate better, done, but may be refined further.– Determine tariff review methodology for projects selling
electricity at retail
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Challenges
Challenge Inadequate financial
resources to support the initiative
Inadequate private sector participation in investment
High interest rates loans from commercial banks
Land ownership and water rights for SPPs projects especially wind farms & mini-hydro plants
Low Tariff and non-cost reflective
Response WB has established a
facility, engage interest of other financial institutions
Conducive Environment, rules and publicize
Promote other sources mix grant and loans
Include land ownership & water rights in RE Policy
Adapt policy in future?
Challenges …..cont. 2Challenge
Lack of experience of key project promoters with skills in project management
Lack of Renewable Energy Policy
Lack of interest on the part of potential Off-takers (TANESCO)
Response Capacity building (REA)
Government needs to set policy targets, etc.
Improving through regular discussions with utility
Thank youFor more information, please contact
[email protected] [email protected]
Thai VSPP regulations available at:http://www.eppo.go.th/power/vspp-eng/
Tanzania SPP regulations available at:www.ewura.go.tz/sppselectricity.html
Tariffs determined by SPP type
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Connected tomain grid
Connected to isolated mini-grid
Selling wholesale (to DNO*)
Case 1 Case 2
Selling retail (directly to final customers)
Case 3 Case 4
* DNO: Distribution Network Operator (currently TANESCO)
Tariff Case 1: Selling Wholesale to Main grid
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21srmclrmc
caseCCC
Where Clrmc is the long run marginal cost as defined by Tanesco’s long-term power plan; and Csrmc is the budgeted cost of thermal generation in the next year. Note: the actual calculations are somewhat more complicated, taking into account:
• Transmission losses • Seasonality• Price floor & cap
They are available in: Standardized Tariff Methodology Under the Standardized Small Power Purchase Agreements available from EWURA. Order 08-015 on Dec 30.2008
Tariff – case 1: Main GridTariff 2009 (TZS/kWh
Tariff 2010 (TZS/kWh)
Annual Average 85.49 110.30
Dry season (Aug – Nov) 102.58 132.36
Wet season (Jan-Jul and Dec) 75.94 99.27
Note: $1 US = 1497 TZS (November 2010)
Tariff Case 2: selling wholesale to a mini-grid
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22AveMiniLmrcGrid
caseCCC
Mini-grid SPP receives the average of Tanesco’s main grid and mini-grid avoided costs.
CLmrcGrid = long run marginal cost for grid-power (adjusted for losses)CAveMini = average incremental cost of mini-grid power (levelized cost of electricity from a new mini-grid diesel generator).
Tariff – case 2: Mini grid Tariff 2009 (TZS/kWh)
Tariff 2010 (TZS/kWh)
Tariff (no seasonal variations) 334.83 368.87
Note: $1 US = 1497 TZS (November 2010)
Tariff Cases 3 (isolated) and 4 (main grid): selling at retail to end use customers
• Tariff is proposed by SPP generator, subject to EWURA review– Less oversight demanded in cases in which
community is in agreement with proposed tariff– Where possible, EWURA draws on financial
analysis submitted to REA for rural electrification subsidy
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