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Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal Value Retail, Hide, and Offal Value Source: J. Lawrence, Iowa State University

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Page 1: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, Hide, and Offal Value

Source: J. Lawrence, Iowa State University

Page 2: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Corn Prices versusConsumer Price Index

2506

Consumer Price Index

2005

ce In

dex

shel

)

Corn should be priced at $9.25/bu!

100

150

3

4

sum

er P

ric

($ p

er B

us

50

100

2

3

U.S

. Con

s

Cor

n (

01

1960

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U

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2

Corn Consumer Price Index

Page 3: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

4Message 4Biotechnology will increase cropBiotechnology will increase crop

yields and enable easier processing.

Page 4: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Technology Advances Corn Yields

Page 5: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Is 300 bu/AIs 300 bu/A possible –twice today’stwice today s corn yield?

Page 6: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Opportunities for Biotechnology pp gyto Improve Biodiesel

• Design soybeans to produce ready-made biodiesel and biolubricants withmade biodiesel and biolubricants with enhanced performance

• Issues:– cost of conversioncost of conversion– oxidative stability

ld l– cold tolerance

Page 7: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Enhance Biodiesel FeedstockTriacylglycerol Expensive

chemistryByproduct

M lO

O

OO O CH 3

+ GlycerolMonoacyl

ester

O

O

O

O

O

Jojoba genes Bacterial genesO

Monoacyl esters

OH

O

OH

O

O

R

yBranched chain fatty acids

O

O

Branched chain mono-estersO

O

Ready-made fuel, cold tolerant, oxidatively stable

LJ15

Page 8: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Slide 30

LJ15 Larry Johnson, 4/2/2010

Page 9: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Message 5gCorn grain alone cannot meet the US

mandate cell losic ethanol ill be neededmandate – cellulosic ethanol will be needed.

Page 10: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

How Can We Meet US Motor Fuel Demand?Motor Fuel Demand?

36 billion gal goal by 202236 billion gal goal by 2022

No single solution, answer requires multiple approaches!

Page 11: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Fuel Ethanol and Other Fermentation

• Large underutilized

Products from Cellulosic BiomassLarge underutilized resource.

• Enzyme conversion toEnzyme conversion to fermentable sugars is difficult.

• One plant in Canada producing fuel ethanol.DOE f d d 27 il t• DOE funded 27 pilot, demonstration and commercial scale plantscommercial scale plants

Page 12: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

How Much BiomassCould Be Produced?

• Total potential in Fuel woodTotal potential in U.S. is in excess of 1.3 billion tons

U.S. Biomass Potential (million tons)

132

Fuel wood

Milling residues

U b d id(about 21 EJ)• Could supply

47132

43

58

7996 Urban wood residues

Logging residues

21% of U.S. energy demand, or

55343

Forest thinning

Crop residues

or• 66% of U.S.

transportation

389Dedicated crops

Grains for biofuels

transportation fuel

Ag processing residues &manure

Page 13: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Poet announced it ill b ildwill build a

lignocellulose-to-th l l t iethanol plant in

Emmitsburg, IA

Gen 1

Gen 2Gen 2

Gen 3

Page 14: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Message 6D t t dd d t t d ’ th l dDo not get wedded to today’s ethanol and biodiesel – there may be better biofuels.

Page 15: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Automobile Range for Gasoline & Ethanol Blends (17-gal fuel tank)

E 85

E-10075,400

BTU/Gal

16.2 mpg 275

29717 5 mpg

Not used for cars in the U.S.

E-10

E-8581,600

BTU/Gal

297

410

17.5 mpg

24.1 mpg

Gasoline

112,500BTU/Gal

116,60042525.0 mpg

0 100 200 300 400 500

Miles

BTU/Gal

Low energy value and hygroscopic making transportation challenging

Page 16: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Biofuel Pathways from Biomass

Adapted from Virent Energy Systems (2010)

Page 17: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Message 7It i t j t b t th lIt is not just about ethanol,

its about biorefineries.

Page 18: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

A Vision for Biorefineries Biorefinery: Cluster of biobased industriesBiorefinery: Cluster of biobased industries producing chemicals, fuels, power, products and materialsand materials.

Shifts productionShifts productionbetween productsdepending ondepending on market prices to

i i fitSource: NREL

maximize profits.

Page 19: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Eddyville, IA & Blair, NE –Eddyville, IA & Blair, NE First-generation Biorefineries

• Cargill starch sweeteners• Cargill – starch, sweeteners,ethanol, lactic acid, PLA,it i idcitric acid

• Heartland Lysine – lysine • Aginomoto – MSG

Page 20: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

How a Biorefinery Will Operate

FractionationFractionationFiberStarch Oil Protein

ConversionThermochemical Biological ChemicalThermochemical Biological Chemical

Energy Motor Fuels Chemicals Biobased Products Biomaterials

Page 21: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Message 8gBiofuels provide feedstock for value-added industrial chemicals and biobased productsindustrial chemicals and biobased products.

Anything you can make from petroleumAnything you can make from petroleum, you can make from crops – just a matter

of economics!of economics!

Page 22: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Where is the value?

More valueMore value is created from the 3%from the 3% used for industrialindustrial chemicals than thethan the 71% used for fuelfor fuel.

Page 23: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Potential Fermentation Products from Cornstarch

Alcohols Ethanol, butanol, isopropanol

from Cornstarch, , p p

Organic acidsAcetic, citric, lactic, gluconic, malic, succinic fumaric propionic butyricOrganic acids succinic, fumaric, propionic, butyric, ketogluconic, itaconic, kojic

Ketones Acetone, glucosone

2 3 butanediol 1 3 butanediolPolyols 2,3 butanediol, 1,3 butanediol, glycerol, mannitol, arabinitol

Biopolymers Xanthan, pullulan, alginate

Page 24: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Fermentation Products Become Pl tf Ch i l

CH3CH2OHPlatform Chemicals

CH2 = CH2 CH3CHO CH3CO2H

Ethyl benzeneEthyl bromideEthyl chloride

Acetic acidAcetic anhydrideAldo products

AcetamideAcetanildeAcetyl chloride

Ethyl etherEthlyene chlorohydrinEthlyene diamineEthlyene glylcolEth l i i

Butyl acetateButylaldehydeChloralEthyleneimineP idi

Acetic anhydrideDimethyl acetamideCellulose acetatesEsters

EthyleneimineEthylene oxideDiethyl ketoneDiethylene glycolGl l th t

Pyridines

Glycol ethers, estersMEA, DEA, TEAVinyl acetatePolymers, copolyers

Source: NREL

Page 25: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Message 9Integrate livestock production with biorefineries

to enhance food and fuel supplies.pp

Page 26: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Integrate Animal Agriculture into Biorefineries and Retain a RobustBiorefineries and Retain a Robust

Livestock IndustryI it bl th t b t f• Inevitable that some best uses for co-products will be feed.

• Biorefineries will need a healthy livestock industry.

• Marketing wet DDGS savesDDGS savesprocessingenergy but onlygy ypractical withinshort distances.

Page 27: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

Learning How to Substitute DDGSf C i Li t k R tifor Corn in Livestock Rations

One-third of grain mass is DDGS, so ethanol production actually uses 22% of crop. Not 33%.

Source: FAPRI2000 2004 2008

Page 28: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

M 10Message 10The bioeconomy must be done in a sustainableThe bioeconomy must be done in a sustainable

way – not replace unsustainable petroleum production with another unsustainable system.

Page 29: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

T d ’ CToday’s CornProduction is Unsustainable1

Perennial Cover CropsPerennial Cover CropsD l i l

Biomass Crop RotationsBiomass Crop RotationsD l l d

New Crop DevelopmentNew Crop DevelopmentD l hi hl d tiDevelop perennial cover

crops that are temporally and spatially compatible

with row crops

Develop long and short-term corn-biomass crop rotations and strips

that stabilize soil

Develop highly productive alternative bioenergy crops

1 Professor Kendall Lamkey, Chair, Department of Agronomy, Iowa State University

Page 30: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

ISU BioCentury Research Farm – First Integrated Biomass Production and Processing FacilityBiomass Production and Processing Facility

First research biorefinery

Page 31: Cost of Corn as Percent of Total Retail Hide and Offal ValueRetail, … · 2010-12-03 · Corn Prices versus Consumer Price Index 6 250 Consumer Price Index 5 200 c e Index s hel)

The BioeconomyWill science make it a good revolution?

YES but there is plenty work to be done!YES, but there is plenty work to be done!

One-use carbon Reusable carbonOne use carbon Reusable carbon