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Corso di
Impianti Eolici
Alessandro Croce Dipartimento di Scienze e Tecnologie Aerospaziali
Politecnico di Milano Milano
Anno Accademico 2015-16
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The Wind Resources
Understanding the characteristics of the wind resource is critical to all aspects of wind energy:
• Identification of suitable sites (siting);
• Prediction of the economic aspect ;
• Design of wind turbine;
• Evaluation of the grid effects.
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Wind Variability
Wind exhibits variability in space and time over very broad scales
Spatial variability:
• Hemispheres
• Climatic regions
• Physical geography (land, see, mountains, plains, …)
• Local orography
• Vegetation (influence roughness, moisture, absorption/reflection of solar radiation)
Temporal variability:
• Long term (poorly understood)
• Yearly (El Niño/La Niña, North Atlantic Oscillation, …)
• Synoptic (due to large scale weather patterns, high/low pressure, cold/warm fronts, …)
• Diurnal
• Turbulence
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Temporal Variability
van der Hoven wind spectrum
Synoptic peak
Diurnal peak
Turbulent peak Spectral gap (little energy between 10min and 2h)
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Probability distribution function, used to describe the distribution of wind speeds over an extended period of time
Weibull distribution:
cumulative probability function (i.e. probability that: ):
probability density function:
where:
scale parameter of the Weibull function [m/s]
shape parameter of the Weibull function [-]
wind speed
average wind speed
gamma function
Wind Speed Distribution
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Wind Speed Distribution
Gamma function
𝑘 = 2 ⟹ Γ 1 +1
𝑘= Γ
3
2=
𝜋
2
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Wind Speed Distribution
Weibull distribution
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A special case of the Weibull distribution is with k=2 which is a fairly typical value for many locations
Rayleigh distribution:
cumulative probability function (i.e. probability that: ):
probability density function:
where:
(annual) average wind speed (at hub height).
Wind Speed Distribution
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Wind Speed Distribution
Rayleigh distribution
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Annual energy yield given power curve P=P(V) :
where: Y=8760 hours/year
Power plants do not work at full power at all times
Wind turbines:
• Environmental variability (wind and air density)
• Availability (fraction of time WT is able to produce electricity, i.e. not down for scheduled or unscheduled maintenance) (typically > 95%)
Capacity factor:
ratio between the produced energy in given period and the theoretical max energy (i.e. the nameplate power times the period length):
Equivalent hours:
hours required to produce same energy in a given period if operating at nameplate power:
AEP VS Capacity Factor
𝐶𝐹 = 𝐴𝐸𝑃
𝑌 ∙ 𝑃𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑
𝐸𝑞𝑣𝐻 = 𝐴𝐸𝑃
𝑃𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑= 𝑌 ⋅ 𝐶𝐹
𝐴𝐸𝑃 = 𝑌 𝑃(𝑉)𝑓𝑟 𝑉 𝑑𝑉𝑉𝑜𝑢𝑡
𝑉𝑖𝑛
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Example 1:
VAVE = 7.5m/s (class III)
Vrated = 12m/s
Example 2:
VAVE = 7.5m/s (class III)
Vrated = 10m/s
Example 3:
VAVE = 10.5m/s (class I)
Vrated = 12m/s
AEP VS Capacity Factor
CF = 34.98%
EqvH = 3064 h/yr
CF = 43.47%
EqvH = 3808 h/yr
CF = 50.65%
EqvH = 4437 h/yr
Y = 8760 h/yr
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Example:
Wind speed measured at 80m;
Period: 01 January 2011 – 31 December 2011
Data available: 99.6 % (3352bins on a tot of 3365);
Location: South of Italy.
Wind Speed Distribution
time stamp [GMT+00:00] Met Mast 1: Wind speed 10min [m/s]
Met Mast 1: Abs. wind direct. 10min [°]
Met Mast 1: Outd.temp. nacelle 10min [°C]
Met Mast 2: Wind speed 10min [m/s]
Met Mast 2: Abs. wind direct. 10min [°]
Met Mast 2: Outd.temp. nacelle 10min [°C]
time stamp [GMT+00:00] Met Mast 1: Wind speed 10min [m/s]
Met Mast 1: Abs. wind direct. 10min [°]
Met Mast 1: Outd.temp. nacelle 10min [°C]
Met Mast 2: Wind speed 10min [m/s]
Met Mast 2: Abs. wind direct. 10min [°]
Met Mast 2: Outd.temp. nacelle 10min [°C]
01/01/2011 00:00 1,1 306 7 0,5 204 6 […] […] […] […] […] […] […]
01/01/2011 00:10 0,7 297 7 1,3 204 6 31/12/2011 22:30 7 229 7 7,8 309 7
01/01/2011 00:20 1,3 293 7 1,1 204 6 31/12/2011 22:40 7,1 229 7 7,9 309 7
01/01/2011 00:30 1,3 265 7 0,7 204 6 31/12/2011 22:50 6,8 227 7 7,8 308 7
01/01/2011 00:40 1,0 300 7 1,0 357 6 31/12/2011 23:00 6,8 226 7 7,6 305 7
01/01/2011 00:50 1,8 303 7 0,6 355 6 31/12/2011 23:10 6,5 224 7 7 303 7
01/01/2011 01:00 1,6 14 7 1,2 334 6 31/12/2011 23:20 6,1 223 7 6,7 302 7
01/01/2011 01:10 1,1 37 7 1,1 299 7 31/12/2011 23:30 6,2 221 7 7 301 7
01/01/2011 01:20 0,9 10 7 1,1 299 7 31/12/2011 23:40 6,3 219 7 7,3 300 8
01/01/2011 01:30 1,3 338 7 0,8 304 7 31/12/2011 23:50 6,7 219 7 7,8 299 8
[…] […] […] […] […] […] […] 01/01/2012 00:00 6,4 217 7 7,4 296 8
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Wind Speed Distribution
◀ Measured data
▼Measured data
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Wind Speed Distribution
◀ Measured data
▼ Probability density function
Weibull parameters
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Wind Speed Distribution
Weibull parameters
◀ Probability density function
▼ Probability density function and complementary cumulative probability function
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Example:
Wind speed measured at 80m;
Period: 07 May 2008 – 31 Nov 2008 (208 days);
Data available: 99.07 % (29617 bins on a tot of 29895);
Location: Calabria (south Italy).
Wind Speed Distribution
Complementary cumulative distribution function
Probability function
Weibull parameters
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Wind rose diagram:
• Speed
• Direction
• Frequency
Wind Direction Distribution
(30 year data for April in Fresno, CA, source: http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/)
(La Guardia, NY, source: http://www.breeze-software.com)
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Turbulence
Dissipation of kinetic energy into thermal energy via the creation and destruction of eddies in the flow
• Decomposition of velocity components:
• Short term mean: (> than turbulent fluct’s, < than diurnal variations, spectral gap suggests 10 min)
• Zero mean fluctuations:
• Standard deviation:
• Turbulence intensity (TI):
Typical values: TI≈0.1 ÷ 0.4 (high TI/low U and low TI/high U)
Dependence on terrain features
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Vertical Wind Profile (Shear)
Wind speed increase with height within the atmospheric boundary layer Strong effect on power production and fatigue loading
Turbulence intensity s1= 5%
Actual wind can be seen as superposition of vertical shear
and turbulent fluctuations ▶
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Vertical Wind Profile (Shear)
Profile models: • Logarithmic (derived from BL theory):
• Power law (flat plate, but also empirical):
𝒛𝒓= reference height
𝒛𝟎= surface roughness length
(crops, trees, buildings, waves, …)
𝜶 = wind shear (power law) exponent
(stability, terrain features, wind speed, …)
(typically 0.2 on-shore, 0.14 off-shore)
Normal Wind Profile (NWP):
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Extreme Wind Conditions
Deterministic extreme conditions (IEC 61400 Ed. 2):
• Gust models
• Wind shear events
• Rapid changes in wind speed and direction
(assumed models, bear little resemblance with actual wind events)
Extreme wind speed model:
Normal Turbulence Model (NTM)
Turbulence standard deviation:
𝑰𝒓𝒆𝒇 = turbulence intensity at 15 m/s
𝑽𝒓𝒆𝒇 = 10 min avrg reference wind speed
𝑽𝒉𝒖𝒃 = 10 min avrg hub speed
Class I II III S
Vref (m/s) 50 42.5 37.5
Values specified by designer
A Iref 0.16
B Iref 0.14
C Iref 0.12
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Extreme Operating Gust (EOG):
𝝈𝟏 = turbulence standard deviation
𝝺𝟏 = turbulence scale parameter
𝑫 = rotor diameter
𝑻 = gust duration (𝑻 = 𝟏𝟎. 𝟓 𝒔) )
Extreme Wind Conditions
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Extreme Wind Conditions
Extreme Direction Change (EDC):
Duration 𝑻 = 𝟔 𝒔
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Extreme Wind Conditions
Extreme coherent gust with direction change (ECD):
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Extreme Wind Conditions
Extreme wind shear (EWS):
Vertical shear:
Horizontal shear:
𝜶 = 𝟎. 𝟐 𝜷 = 𝟔. 𝟒 𝑻 = 𝟏𝟐 𝒔
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Effects of Roughness
Changes smooth-rough and rough-smooth:
(source: Wegley et al., PNL-2521 rev. 1, 1980)
In equilibrium with local roughness
conditions
Transition and equilibrium heights depends on type of and distance from change
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Effects of Obstacles
Obstacles generate speed deficit, turbulence increase, change in shear
(source: Wegley et al., PNL-2521 rev. 1, 1980)
Recirculation region
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Topographical Effects, Complex Terrains
Flat terrain: • No 𝒉/𝒍>1/50 within 4 km • Rotor lowest point > 𝟑𝒉 within 4 Km • 𝑯 < 𝟔𝟎 m within 11.5 Km Complex otherwise Orientation and shape of ridges can be exploited to improve energy capture:
ℎ
𝑙 > 3ℎ
𝐻
(source: Wegley et al., PNL-2521 rev. 1, 1980)
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Complex Terrains
Acceleration effects of ridges:
(source: Wegley et al., PNL-2521 rev. 1, 1980)
Ideal triangular ridge shape
Fluctuations not much affected, but mean speed increases (hence TI decreases)