corporate income tax in romania and the eu-27

30
CORPORATE INCOME TAX D51B MÁRTON ZSOLT

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A study comparing the corporate income tax revenues in Romania and those of other EU-27 member states

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Page 1: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CORPORATE

INCOME TAX

D51B

MÁRTON ZSOLT

Page 2: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

= a tax imposed on the

incomes of companies and

corporations

Page 3: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

Annual tax on all profits made in the country

Resident companies pay tax on their Romanian

and worldwide income

Non-resident companies pay tax only on their

income sourced in Romania

Paid quarterly or annually

CORPORATE TAX IN ROMANIA

Page 4: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CORPORATE TAX RATES IN THE EU-27

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE GR ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Page 5: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

LOW TAX RATE?

16% - nominal tax rate (below EU average)

But, other contribution rates in Romania are

high even by EU-15 standards

Therefore, effective corporate tax rate tends to

be higher

Page 6: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

ABSOLUTE

VALUES

IN MILLIONS OF EUROS, FOR 2000-2010

Page 7: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

shows the amounts of

corporate tax revenue earned

by each country

Page 8: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CORPORATE INCOME TAX REVENUES FOR EU-15

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

IE DE BE DK GR FR IT LU NL AT PT SE UK

EU-15 avg.

EU-27 avg.

Page 9: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CORPORATE INCOME TAX REVENUE FOR NMS-12

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

EE PL BG CZ CY LV LT MT RO SI SK

All new member states are below the EU-27

average, regardless of their size

Page 10: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

STANDARD DEVIATION OF ABSOLUTE VALUES

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

EU-27 stdev EU-15-stdev

Financial crisis

Dot-com

bubble burst

Disparities between the member states have

decreased after the onset of the financial crisis

However, this trend has quickly reversed

Page 11: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

STANDARD DEVIATION OF ABSOLUTE VALUES

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

NMS-…

Financial crisis

Page 12: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

EVOLUTION OF AVERAGE D51B REVENUES

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Financial crisis

Dot-com

bubble burst

Page 13: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

PREDICTION OF DECREASE

All other things equal, a decrease in D51B revenue is

usually experienced during economic recession

A historically proven indicator for predicting such recessions

is the inverted bond yield curve

Page 14: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

PREDICTING DECREASE

Yield curve of mid-2007 S&P Euro stock index

Page 15: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

SHARE IN

TOTAL

REVENUES

AVERAGE FOR THE 2010-2000 PERIOD

Page 16: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

Indicates the extent to which a

state relies on corporate

income tax revenue for funding

Page 17: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

SHARE IN TOTAL REVENUE FOR EU-15

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

BE DK DE IE GR FR IT LU NL AT PT SE UK

EU-15 avg.

NMS-12 avg.

Page 18: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

SHARE IN TOTAL REVENUE FOR NMS-12

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

BG CZ EE CY LV LT MT PL RO SI SK

EU-15 avg.

NMS-12 avg.New member states rely more on corporate

income tax by 1% on average

Page 19: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

More than 16% of Cyprus’ tax revenue

is made up of this tax

The second is Luxemburg with cca.

15%

For Estonia, this share is 1.5% (0% tax

rate if you reinvest your profits)

Page 20: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

STANDARD DEVIATION OF SHARE IN TOTAL REVENUES

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

stdev eu-27 stdev eu-15 stdev nms-12

NMS-12

EU-27

Eu-15Disparities regarding the share of D51B in

total revenues have been increasing since

2004

Page 21: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

SHARE IN

GDP

MEASURED FOR 2010-2000

Page 22: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

Shows the relationship

between the amount of

corporate income tax revenue

and the size of the economy

Page 23: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

SHARE IN GDP FOR EU-15

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

BE DK DE IE GR FR IT LU NL AT PT SE UK

Page 24: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

SHARE IN GDP FOR NMS-12

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

BG CZ EE CY LV LT MT PL RO SI SK

The corporate income tax revenues are very

high in Luxemburg and Cyprus

New member states show a higher degree of

divergence

Page 25: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

STANDARD DEVIATION OF SHARE IN GDP

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

1.8%

2.0%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

stdev eu-27 stdev eu-15 stdev nms-12

NMS-12

EU-27

Eu-15

Page 26: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CHANGE IN

D51B

REVENUES

MEASURED FOR 2010-2000

Page 27: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CHANGE IN D51B REVENUE FOR EU-15

-6,000

-4,000

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

IE DE BE DK GR FR IT LU NL AT PT SE UK

Page 28: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CHANGE IN D51B REVENUE FOR NMS-12

-2,000

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

EE PL BG CZ CY LV LT MT RO SI SK

Page 29: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

CONCLUSIONS

Page 30: Corporate income tax in Romania and the EU-27

Luxembourg, Cyprus and the Malta rely the most

on this tax for financing and Estonia the least

On average, new member states rely on this tax

more

Differences in the amounts of corporate tax and

their extent of use is growing in the EU

The inverted yield curve is usually a good signal

that there could be a decrease in D51B revenues

soon