copyright © 2017 by the boston consulting group, inc. all ... · 1 public wealth equals 2 x gdp....
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Public Wealth equals 2 x GDP
Professional management could deliver, equal to what advanced economies collect in corporate tax in a year
Public Wealth - tool to boost growth and fund infrastructure
Double the funds available for infrastructure investments - without raising taxes
Christine Lagarde, October 2018
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Source: The Public Wealth of Nations, 2015; Note: Commercial assets does not include ‘Policy Assets’ as these require tax funding.
Buildings• Used by public entity• Used by third-party• Unused
Land • Developed land• Undeveloped land
Transportation• Roads (toll/ user charge)• Rail• Airport and Shipping
• Banks• Insurance companies• Mortgage providers
Financial Services
Utilities • Energy• Water
RealOperational
Public Commercial Assets
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Governments are - sitting on a ‘goldmine’
• Assets mainly visible at the national level
• Book value (historic cost) if at all registered
• Local/ regional level often not included
• Real estate often entirely forgotten
• Opportunity cost visible with market value
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Countries with greater Net Worth
Has shown;
• Lower interest expenses
• Lower yields on sovereign debt
• Greater fiscal space to address priority
needs for public spending
• More resilient to economic downturns
• Grow 3x faster after recession
Source: IMF Fiscal Monitor 2018 on Public Wealth
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From opaque and fragmented… …to consolidated and transparent
Lack of transparency and accountability
Undue political interference
Fragmented ownership and unclear objectives
Balance sheet and IFRS accounting
Arms-length distance from short-term politics
Comprehensive business plan with Clear objectives
Governance is key
Introducing professional management
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Integrating Spending Review with Public Wealth
• Privatising – when strategic, not to avoid increase in debt/ budget deficit
• PPPs – on equal terms/ risk, not to keep debt off the balance sheet
A focus on Net Worth - would enable an increase in debt to
finance an investment, to be matched with an increase in assets
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• Government owned investment fund, focused on sustainable value over time
• Global footprint, and portfolio covering all large industries
• Aimed at creating public value
$225 bn in holdings across industries 15% return since inception
Governance - best practice Providing funding for society• Transparency: Singapore Audit Standards• Political insulation:
– Independent Non-executive from private sector– Meddling constitutionally forbidden
• Clear objectives: sustainable value maximization
Source: Company website, annual reports & financial data
Return on Equity (%)
Contributed to Singapore budget
15%
Total shareholder return since 1974
~$3Bnp.a.
76 6
74 6
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The mother of Public Wealth Funds
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• Owned mainly by the city and 5% by the state.• Largest UWF in Europe (1,290 acres)
established in 2007• Develops the waterfront and the landlocked
Örestad-district
Objective to fund metro system ROE averaging 24%
Technically a national fund Payed for housing, universities etc.• Transparency: assets booked at market
value (non-IFRS)• Political insulation: dependent on state
government, with state guarantees• Clear objectives: asset recycling-model,
i.e. selling of land instead of developing the assets in-house
Source: Company website, annual reports & financial data
Return on Equity (%)
Copenhagen real estate pays for the metro
profits used to fund expansion of CPH metro
new work spaces created
100,000
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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
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new residential housing units
developed
33,000
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• Company owned by the City established in 1997• Redeveloping harbor district into commercial
and cultural hub • Large investments in cultural, housing,
commercial and educational facilities
A new city-center Healthy returns of 8%
Less clear governance Contributed to vibrant city-core• Clear objectives: Stated goal
of value maximization
1. Showing only 2014-2015 as limited historical data available.Source: Company website, annual reports & financial data.
Return on Equity (%)
Hamburg developed a city-in-a-city
new educational
facilitiesfunded State-of-the-art
concert hallresidential units
7,500
new jobs
45,00012
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6
2014 2015
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• Company wholly owned by the state• Formed in 2001 through a separation from the
railway operations• $2 billion real estate property portfolio incl.
railway stations, land, freight terminals and office building
Swedish railway property owner Healthy returns
Adheres to best practice Projects with impact on economy• Transparency: IFRS• Political insulation: Professionally elected non-
executive board• Clear objectives: Value maximization
Source: Company website, annual reports & financial data
Return on Equity (%)
Sweden building infrastructure and homes
jobs created near stations
2016
$1.5B
investments in transport
infrastructure
homes fully or partially developed
+2k
daily visitors stations
+500k
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12 107
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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
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~400
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• Manages and develops land for and adjacent to public railway systems
• Leverages private sector for best effect to develop high-speed rail, housing and office space on public land
King’s Cross and Olympic Village Strong returns
Adheres to best practice Projects with impact on economy• Transparency: IFRS accounting• Political insulation: Professionally elected non-
executive board• Clear objectives: Value maximization
1. LCR fiscal year ends 31st MarchSource: Company website, annual reports & financial data
Return on Equity (%)
London slum to innovation center
current high-speed
rail projects
£370m
dividend to Treasury
new homes built
+10k
current developments
137
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