convergence of medicines and consumer products
TRANSCRIPT
© PA Knowledge Limited 2014 1
THE CONVERGENCE OF CONSUMER PRODUCTS AND MEDICINE
From Dx to DIY: Opportunities in the Interzone
Michael G. Frank
AMCF
October 24th 2014
© PA Knowledge Limited 2014 2
70 YEARS OF UNCONSTRAINED THINKING AND EXCEPTIONAL RESULTS
…AND WE ARE STILL AHEAD OF OUR TIME
2006
GULF
We helped source one of
the world’s first WIMAX networks
for Mena Telecom
EUROPE
We helped transform the
Republic of Georgia’s collapsed
electricity supply system
EUROPE
We boosted Nissan’s production
by 30% using existing car-
making facilities
2010
EUROPE
We helped deliver a new
biometric UK passport,
saving the taxpayer £160
million
EUROPE
We helped Onzo develop an
innovative home ‘Smart
Energy Kit’
US
We developed new
‘fresh air’ technology that
protects against superbugs
EUROPE
We created a next-
generation heart
disease probe for
Thermocore Medical
NORDICS
We helped implement
a new air traffic
management system for
Naviair
2007
2008
EUROPE
We developed
test equipment
for the 4G mobile
networks
US
We helped the US
Navy define a cost
reduction strategy to
achieve savings of
$400 million
per submarine
1950s
EUROPE
We helped the Bank
of England
dramatically reduce
banknote forgery
EUROPE
We advised the European
Community on Japanese
trade and investment
EUROPE
We helped pioneer a
single-union agreement
for Nissan’s UK workforce
1980s
1990s
EUROPE
We established the
UK’s first competitive
market for electricity
supply
US
We delivered a
baggage-handling
system for Denver
International Airport
US
We developed the
first breath-actuated
metred dose inhaler
ASIA PACIFIC
We planned Sydney’s hosting of
the highly acclaimed 2000
Olympic Games
US
We realised $125 million
on sale of medical venture
company Meridica
GLOBAL
We led Siemens VDO
Automotive’s global
relocation of six factories
EUROPE
We tripled sales with an
iconic bottle design for Evian
2000-05
EUROPE
We helped the
UNHCR transform
their IT department
to deliver greater
protection and
shelter for refugees
EUROPE
We launched an
online weather
community that
helped the UK Met
Office capture two
million readings in
just five weeks
2011
ASIA PACIFIC
We co-ordinated
completion of the
Sydney Opera
House
1960s
1970s
NORDICS
We developed the
first private digital
telephone exchange
EUROPE
We pioneered maintenance
of Shell’s first North Sea oil
platform
EUROPE
We created the video disc’s
forerunner
US
We computerised 30,000
miles of railroad for
Chessie Systems, Inc.
2012
US
We gave Hawaiian Electric a strategy
to reduce carbon emissions from their
generation business by 40%
EUROPE
We transformed Carnival UK’s supply
chain to deliver annual savings of £2.5
million
EUROPE
We helped to protect troops’ lives
in Afghanistan with an innovative
explosive device detection system
US
We helped Pepco
secure US government
funding for their smart
grid projects
EUROPE
We developed the
world’s first pre-filled,
single use, disposable
injector
EUROPE
We helped JCDecaux
develop the UK’s first
real-time advertising
verification system
2009
EUROPE
We increased national
productivity at a time
of crisis for the UK
government
1943
US
We worked with Google
to launch a global real-time
music game
EUROPE
We supported the creation
of the PRA, helping transform
financial
regulation in the UK
EUROPE
We developed and delivered
Ora, a revolutionary new
kitchen towel, from concept to
store within 12 months
2013
www.paconsulting.com/PA70
2014
© PA Knowledge Limited 2014 3
The best way to predict the future is to invent it
― Dennis Gabor, Nobel Prize in Physics for holography
© PA Knowledge Limited 2014 4
Professional
Products
i.e. PET Scan
Consumer
Products
i.e. toothbrush
Food and
Supplements
i.e. Airborne
Pharmaceutical
Products
Technology is flowing from clinic to the
home, and sometimes back again
Patient DIY is the new normal in wellness
and moving into chronic care
The sophistication of consumer
products and technology is blurring the
line between professional medical and
consumer products
Our ability to understand and manipulate
biology is opening new interfaces
between tech and bio
The walls between a medical product and a consumer product are porous
Introduction What do we mean by medical convergence?
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Fertility Monitoring
Nodes of intersection are the future opportunities Diagnostic and therapeutic cross over varies by specialty
Clinical and laboratory Point of Care, Spa Retail & Home
MRI
Genomics, Proteomics
Dialysis and Infusions
Audiology &Vision
Dental/ Whitening
Blood Chemistry Analysis
Dermatology and Cosmetics
?
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Key Drivers Patients are becoming consumers, industry and regulation is responding
Medicines are consumer products
Regulations and payer flux DIY and consumerization Patient pull
• What counts as a device?
• Who is going to pay for it?
• Speed to market vs. depth
• Empowered patients
• Convenience
• Exploiting self quantification
• Digital pharma
• DIY Diagnostics (Dx) and
Treatment (Tx)
• From wellness to chronic care
Create and exploit the nexus of professional and consumer
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As innovation pushes medical products toward consumer.. Convergence can occur between multiple domains
Convergent
Hospital
Medical Products Consumer
• MRI
• Anesthesia Machine
• EKG
• Clinical Blood Analyzer
• Surgical Equipment
• Eye and Ear aids
• Blood Glucose Monitors
• Insulin Pumps
• Point of Care and Home
Diagnostics
• CPAP
• Weight Scale
• Wound Care
• Temp, BP, HR meters
• Wellness APS
• Caloric measurements
Outpatient, POC Home
Rx Drugs Over The Counter Supplements & Cosmetics
Devic
es/D
igit
al
Se
rvic
e
Dru
gs
Transition Care PGHD2 (Patient Generated
Health Data & Devices) Hospital services
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A key market opportunity is the mobile health space Wellness tracking is a small portion of the future market
Monitoring, 65%
Diagnosis, 15%
Treatment, 10%
HCP Support, 5%
Wellness , 3%
Administration, 1%
Prevention , 1%
Source Logic PD, Global market in 2017
Breakdown of anticipated market segments in mobile health
With over a 23B global potential, mobile health provides massive opportunities in diagnosis and monitoring
© PA Knowledge Limited 2014 9
Management consulting has a role in across each aspect of convergence
Managing
the approach to
market
Exploiting
data from
consumer technology
Technology selection or build
Strategy
and business
case for
new
customers
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Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Shifting professional clinical equipment to the home
Convergence
© PA Knowledge Limited 2014 11
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Consulting Example: Technology development Diabetes monitoring demonstrates consumer pull on a professional device
Reflomat First
mass market meter
1957
Lifescan
Automatic timing
Esprit- First downloadable
data to PC
iBGStar
Clinistix
1974 1980
2010 1998
Diabeetus
1997
1983
First patient taught to use meter at
home, regarded as “dangerous”
1975
Future
Non-Invasive
Monitoring
2000 2007
Exacsys (PA)
Continuous Blood
Glucose Monitoring
A1C
Technology
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Background: Diagnostics are not always first to move to the home Dermatologic treatment devices have moved from clinic, to spa, to home
Ioma Youth Booster
Zeno Hot Spot
Home Diagnostics (Early stage)
Home Treatments (Mature)
Clarisonic Acu-Clear
Dove ProX Headband
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
ScanZ Analyzer
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Consulting Example: Pharma M&A facilitation Medical & consumer packaged goods companies are joining forces
• Evidence based efficacy
of home products
• Regulatory and market
approach
• Diagnostic and treatment
product coordination
Company
channels
Medical Data
Corporate
Objectives
IP
Social Data
Nodes of Opportunity
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Approach
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Self quantification- DIY extending beyond wellness into chronic conditions
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
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Cardio and Respiratory
Metabolism
Blood Chemistry
Neuro
Motion and Injury
Moving beyond just heart rate to O2
saturation sensors, predict risk
Caloric monitoring, linked scales, body
fat, temperature: feedback to HCPs
and drug developers
Expanding beyond glucose into
cholesterol, metabolomics
Biofeedback to monitor neurological Rx
Helmet concussion sensors , joint
strain indicators, augmentation
Consumer
Medicine
Consumer medical technology is an opportunity for pharmaceuticals to engage and deliver better customer outcomes with digital services
Background Self quantification combines DIY measurement with clinical grade data
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
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Consulting Example: Beyond the Pill Services Smart device data for drug monitoring opens up new offerings for pharma
Smart device
data collection Digital Health Platform Feedback to pharma, HCPs
Big Data Environment
Capture
Advanced
Analytics
Tools
Advanced
Analytics
Data handling Measurement
Data
Heartbeat
Activity
Drug
intake
Mood
Biofeeds
Extraction
Trans-
formation
Load
Security
Privacy
Quality
Storage / Big Data Warehousing
CPU-Power / Hardware
Modeling
Monitoring and
intervention
Classification
Prediction Research &
Development
Relapse
prediction
Drug
compliance
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Data
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Consulting Example: Wearable as loss of exclusivity strategy Transdermal smart patch and service offering for Alzheimer’s symptoms
Convergence A mechanical device, drug and service to provide dosing adherence in a challenging patient population.
A thin flexible band-aid like patch less
than a millimetre thick and about the size
of nickel. The patch is coupled with a
transdermal delivery system and
communicates with a smart watch,
preventing multiple patch applications
and providing feedback on dosing
efficacy.
• Manufacturing analysis
• Combination product
pathway
• Service business design
Nodes of Opportunity
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Technology
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Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Mapping a regulatory strategy across boundaries
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Background: Knowing the FDA is essential in uncharted segments Historically FDA acts in response to health crisis
Source: www.fdareview.org/history.shtml#third
Pure Food and Drugs Act
.U.S. Pharmacopoeia
1906 1984
Food, Drugs, and Cosmetic Act,
NDA ,Massengill Elixer
1938
Hatch Waxmen Act
Generics,ANDA
1976
Class I, II,III
Dalkon Shield IUD
1992
Prescription Drug
User Fee Act
(PDUFA)
Dietary Supplement
Health and Education
Act (DSHEA)
1994 1930
FDA Formed
As technology advances ahead of FDA guidance, understanding how they perceive risk and reward is essential.
2013
Mobile Medical
Apps Guidance
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
1962
Thalidomide
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Consulting Example: Defining a product classification Determining when a drug is a drug and a device is a device
Alpha-
Tocotrienols for
Pancreatic
cancer Rx Drug
Supplement
Cosmetic
Medical Device
DNA repair
cream
Topical DNA
Repair Startup
Oncology Biotech
Startup
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Smaller market
Low testing burden
Smaller market
No medical claims
Larger market
Efficacy burden
Largest market
Highest efficacy burden
Approach
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Consulting Example continued Designing the launch approach
Reg
ula
tory
Ris
k
Potential Market
• Align product strategy with
long term company
objectives
• Identify analogs to quantify
risk
• Develop portfolio approach
(temporal / geographic)
Nodes of Opportunity
Cosmetic
Medical Device
Supplement
OTC Drug
Rx Drug
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
Customers
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Challenges Consultants need an understanding of the spectrum of complexities
Challenges in convergence
• Consumer psychology and purchasing behavior
• New channels
• Price sensitivity
• Revenue and reibursement models
• Clinician resistance and skepticism of self test data
• Patient resistance
• Human factors
• Regulatory hurdles
• Differentiation in crowded market
Home MedTech Self Quantification Shifting Categories
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Management Consulting’s role recap Consulting in convergent space requires a suite of skills
Technology
across domains
Strategy and business
case for
new
customers
Managing
the approach to
market
Exploiting
data from
consumer technology
© PA Knowledge Limited 2014 24
Conclusion Explore the nodes where professional and consumer products converge
DIY
Behavior
Incentives
Audiology
Vision
Smart Rx
Cosmetics
Identify, Invest In or Invent Nodes of Convergence
Chronology
Wellframe
Sage
Bionetworks
Goderma
Kinsa
Galvanic
Networks Data
synergy
Tx
Dx
Wearables