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  • 8/9/2019 Consulting Opportunities in EDUCATION SECTOR

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    - D R. R A J ES H KH A JU RI A

    Consulting opportunities inEDUCATION SECTOR

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    Group Members

    y 21 Mayank Panchori

    y 22 Sandeep Mishra

    y 23 Monica Motivarshay 24 Nikhil Muley

    y 25 Saravanan Naicker

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    Introduction- IES

    y Over-regulatedandunder-governed bestdescribesthelargestsectorin India -Education(IES). Ina failed publiceducationsystem,aspirations are meeting affluence andtakingprivate IES througha phaseof Price Discovery.

    y Ourinvestmentthesisin IES restson 4Cs playerswith Credibility(managementintent & ability),Capital (builttolast), Creativity(to managethe

    overregulatedenvironment) and Content (todifferentiateand buildannuity).

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    Introduction- IES (cont.)

    y Indias well-capitalized publiceducationsystemhas failedmiserablyduetoremarkablyhighlevelofinefficiency(37% netenrolmentatschoollevel!).Thishasledtoa whopping $50bnannualspendonprivateeducation ($80bn by2012E). But whilemoneyattractsmoremoney,ithasironicallyeluded IES (just $180mof privateequitycapitalchase) a functionoflimitedvaluecreation

    potential

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    IES-Factsheet

    y Govt. spend (Centre + states) oneducation: $30bn;at 3.7% ofGDP,comparabletoglobalaverage;0.82% ascapitalexpenditure, 80% onteacherssalaries; >90% spend on K12 (kindergarten to 12th grade).

    Centres budgetary allocation up 6x in 11th Plan periody Privatespendoneducation: 5% ofaverage HH

    income (12% in USA, 15% in China). CAGRof 8.6%vs 3.2% inconsumption; 8% CAGR(growing fastestglobally)

    y Network: ~1mschools,of which 75,000 (7%) areprivate 40% ofenrolled populationattendsprivateschools; 18,000 HEIs (largestglobally)

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    IES-Factsheet

    y Regulatoryframework: K12 and HEIsrequiredtoberunasnot-for-profitinstitutessetup underaTrust/ Society;also,though 100% FDI allowedthrough automatic route, no rules/ regulations in place forforeign universities to be recognized under UGC (UniversityGrants Commission)

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    IES

    y Private spending includes two segments:

    Formal

    Kg to 12th grade

    Higher education

    Non Formal

    Pre school

    Coaching Classes

    Multimedia/IT

    MHRD, boards/ ICSE/CBSE/ International

    Boards

    No governing orregulatory bodies

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    IES

    y Spends on private education to increase to $80bn by 2012E

    y While India has been proactive on liberalization, IES hasremained largely untouched by the reforms process. A

    priority sector status does ensure fund flow to an extent,but the governments agenda of social inclusion hastrapped IES in a regulatory maze.

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    K12 segment

    y All K12 institutes have to be affiliated to an education board either central boards like ICSE and CBSE or a state

    board. While a few states confer on schools the right to actas profit-generating entities, educational boards stilldemand strict adherence to the not-for-profit structure.

    y Of late, a trend has emerged wherein some schools havebeen seeking affiliationswith various international boardssuch as IGCSE (International General Certificate of

    Secondary Education) and IB (International Baccalaureatefrom Geneva); in terms of operating structure, while theseschools can opt for either a not-for-profit trust or a for-profit company

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    HEIs (HigherEducation Institutes)

    y At $6.5bn ($20bn including cash transactions of ~$1.5bnand the $13bn spend outside the country), HE is the secondlargest opportunity in IES. HEIs seeking recognition by theapex regulatory authority named UGC (UniversityGrants

    Commission) also need to be run in the form of a trust/society. Technical education institutes find themselvesregulated under various professional councils as well e.g.

    AICTE (All India Council for Technical Education) is the

    regulating authority for engineering and MBA colleges.

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    Clearingtheairon RegulatoryAmbiguity

    y Regulationsgoverningthe K12 space:TheCBSE/ ICSE and state board regulations stipulaterunning of a K12 institution ONLY as a trust or

    society. Income from the trust is non-taxable but thereasonable surplus (not defined) can be used onlyfor development of the same institution and cannot

    be distributed as dividends.

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    (cont.)

    y Regulationsgoverningthe Higher & TechnicalEducationspace:The rules are more stringent here thanfor K12 as an HEI is simultaneously governed by a central

    body (UniversityGrants Commission UGC) and a

    regulatory body specific to the field of specialization offeredby the HEI (e.g. AICTE for engineering and medicalcolleges). The UGC stipulates that the Higher and TechnicalEducation institutions be run as a trust or society where allthe infrastructure and capital goods have to be on the books

    of the university. AICTE further has its own set of rules wrtinfrastructure and curriculum in case an HEI fails tocomply with the same, it is blacklisted (110 universities

    blacklisted as on date).

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    MULTIMEDIA IN K12: BEYOND CHALK &TALK

    y Increasing need and awareness for quality education,willingness to spend in the K12 segment and an aggressivesupply (254% CAGR in schools over FY05-FY08 for SmartClass, Educomp Solutions Multimedia product for schools)

    have created a market for a complementary teachingdelivery mechanism beyond the traditional black board(multimedia uses 2-D and 3-D images to explain conceptsto enhance effectiveness of teaching).

    y It has estimated that the current nascent market at $70m

    and expect it to grow swiftly (~60% CAGR) as less than 5%of private unaided schools have been tapped. With 75,000private schools (44,400 unaided), the market offers apotential in excess of $1.5bn.

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    Schoolsgettech-savvyfast!

    y Private schools are working on evolving and improvingtheir teaching delivery mechanisms by going beyond thetraditional chalk & talk. Multimedia in schools uses digitaleducational content and infrastructure solutions as ateaching aid in classrooms by using audio and visuals

    means across various subjects.y While implementation of such products adds to

    differentiation and ability to charge higher fees by privateschools, the trend is gaining acceptability as the model doesnot require schools to invest any capex or incur operating/

    maintenance expenses. With multimedia companiescharging students directly, some schools even get a revenueshare, which makes the proposition economically beneficialfor the latter.

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    Higher Education segment

    y Indias private HEIs have grown to be a $6.5bn market(excluding $1.5bn-2bn capitation spends), with 12% CAGRestimated over FY08-12. Of late, private HEIs havemushroomed with the trend veering towards professional

    courses with high payback potential (engineering, medicaland MBA colleges).

    y Public spend on higher education has been graduallyreducing and rightly so as the focus of governments

    globally is (and should be) on primary education. But thestrategy has resulted in India having one of the lowestpublic spends per student on higher education.

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    (cont.)

    y However, more is necessarily not enough. Despite thespeed and extent of privatization in the segment, there stillexists a yawning demand-and-QUALITY supply gap whichis apparent in the high cash transactions (donations/

    capitation fees) within quality institutes. This gives rise tothe need for more conventional as also alternative modes(such as distance learning) of disseminating highereducation.

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    Indiaalargelyuntrainednation

    y Nearly 95% of the youth in the 15-25 years age groupformally learn a trade or acquire a skill/ competencyin most of the developed world. In contrast, only 5%

    of Indias young labour force (19-24 years) isestimated to have acquired formal training.

    y Low enrollments and high dropout rates throughoutthe education chain result in an inefficient supply of

    workforce.

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    Grad Test Prep market mediumscalability

    y At $1bn, the Grad Test Prep market accounts for 17%of the coaching class opportunity. The test prepmarket for entry into a graduation course is

    dominated by the engineering segment (IIT-JEE,AIEEE and CET market together form 60% of thesegment), followed by the next most-covetedprofession of medical services (~23%).

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    Whatistheissue?Whatistheissue? Whatneedstochange?Whatneedstochange?

    y Regulations require all

    educational institutions(school or college) to berun as a trust or a society

    y No dividends can be

    distributed and the'reasonable surplus'needs to be ploughed

    back into the system

    y A structural change

    required to allow for-profit schools andcolleges. Theregulatory bodies need

    to act as only 'qualitycontrollers' and checkfly-by-night operators

    IES- Structural Changes Required

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    Whatistheissue?Whatistheissue? Whatneedstochange?Whatneedstochange?

    y More than 75% of the

    educational institutes(in Maharashtra) arerun by politicians. Lowpolitical will to realign

    the 'not -for-profit'education system

    y Strong political will to

    realign educationpolicies

    y Vested interests needto take a back-seat

    IES- Structural Changes Required

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    Whatistheissue?Whatistheissue? Whatneedstochange?Whatneedstochange?

    y A large portion of

    subsidized landdemarked for schools ishoarded and resold toschools at much higher

    prices; High landprices make economicsunviable

    y State development

    authorities need to puta system in place toensure only genuine

    bidders get land

    IES- Structural Changes Required

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    Whatistheissue?Whatistheissue? Whatneedstochange?Whatneedstochange?

    y Even though 100% FDI

    through the automaticroute is allowed since2000, no regulationsformulated for

    recognizing foreignHEIs under UGC

    y Clear regulations need

    to be put in place forrecognition of foreignuniversities

    IES- Structural Changes Required