conserving tropical forests responsible … · or produce wood products . tropical forests are...
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CONSERVING TROPICAL FORESTS
FOR PEOPLE, THE ENVIRONMENT, AND
RESPONSIBLE BUSINESSES
The Benefits TFF Provides
• People who live in
or near tropical
forests
• The local and global
environment
• Businesses that use
or produce wood
products
Tropical Forests are Disappearing
©earthobservatory.nasa.gov
Causes of Deforestation
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Africa Latin America Asia
De
fore
stat
ion
in 2
000
-10
(th
ou
san
d h
a p
er y
ear)
Urban Expansion
Infrastructure
Mining
Subsistence Agriculture
Commercial Agriculture
Worldwide concern was rising in the 1980s regarding the rapid loss of tropical forests
Initiating Change
In 1989, a workshop was organized with experts from industry,
conservation, and science.
• Smithsonian Institute, Dr. Thomas Lovejoy
• World Bank, Dr. Marc Dourojeanni
• UNESCO, Dr. Kuswata Kartawinata
• Princeton University, Dr. Stephen Hubbell
• Government of Nigeria, Dr. Philip R.O. Kio
• World Wildlife Fund, Robert Buschbacher
• Georgia-Pacific Corporation, Walter Jarck
• US Forest Service, Dr. Frank Wadsworth
• Rainforest Alliance, Ivan Ussach
Key Findings of the Workshop
• Tropical forests will be conserved only if they have
economic value
• Blanket bans and embargos tend to depress the value
of hardwoods and the forests
• Funds obtained from products of the tropical forests
must be rechanneled into managing and regenerating
those forests.
The Tropical Forest
Foundation was formed
in 1990
• Continue the discussion and
research
• Educate producers and users
of tropical woods on these
key findings
• Develop relationships among
policy-makers, conservation
and academic organizations,
and industry.
TFF Training Centers
Defining best practices
Developed the world’s
standard for Reduced Impact
Logging in tropical forests.
Conventional Logging Reduced Impact Logging
Improvements Achieved Through
Reduced Impact Logging Practices
Measuring the avoided
emissions resulting
from RIL
•Tropical deforestation
releases 20% of greenhouse
gas emissions worldwide,
roughly equivalent to that
released by the transportation
sector
• Reduced Impact Logging is
mentioned specifically in the
Verified Carbon Standard as a
qualifying emissions reduction
strategy
• Methodology currently in
validation to credit RIL
practitioners for avoided
emissions vs CL
Progress in
Establishing a Training
Program in Peru
•Identified relevant
stakeholders
•Determined the curriculum for
the SFM training center
•Determined the legal, financial
and operational feasibility of
the SFM training center
•Communicated project
outcomes to stakeholders
•Developed a funding proposal
Results of 2013
• 1,408 people were trained in
109 course (22% women)
• 877 people reached through
extension programs
• Over 2.4 million hectares
impacted
• At least 20 concessions
achieved FSC certification
• Presentations made to
International Wood Products
Association, Yale University, CF
Martin & Company Wood
Summit, plus individual
manufacturers
• Participated in 11 events
• Reached an audience
exceeding 100,000 with articles,
blogs, and videos
MARKETS ARE SHIFTING
Tropical Wood Market
Share is Falling
Statistics for 1995 and 2011
• Plywood – 75% to 25%
• Veneer – 38% to 30%
• Roundwood – 20% to 15%
• Sawnwood – 10% to 10%
--Source ITTO Market Information Service
Markets are Shifting
“Families in the emergent, established, and affluent
segments will make up 37 percent of Brazilian
households by 2020, compared with 29 percent in
2010 and just 24 percent in 2000. These households
will account for more than 85 percent of incremental
spending from 2010 to 2020”
-- Boston Consulting Group
Markets are Shifting
Good news on Chinese economy to boost new sol
“The national currency the new sol strengthened
recently buoyed by the turn-around in the Chinese
economy. China is the biggest market for
commodities from Peru. The new sol exchange rate
against the US dollar was 2.7970 on 11 September, the
highest level for months.”
-- ITTO Market Information Service
“Middle Class” Outside the U.S. Expected to Double By
2020 – Approaching 1 Billion Households
Worldwide commodity consumption will be impacted
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1000
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
Foreign households w/real PPP incomes greater than $20,000 a year (in millions of households)
Developing countries
Developed countries (ex US)
Middle class in developing
countries projected to increase
138% by 2020 vs. just 15% in
developed countries in 2009
Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council. Source: Global Insight’s Global Consumer Markets data as analyzed by OGA
“Middle Class” in Developing Countries Could Reach 616
Million Households By 2020, Up 138% From 2009 Levels
25% of households in these countries are middle class. By 2020, this could increase to 49%
and the impact on food consumption will be large
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0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350
China
India
Brazil
Indonesia
Russia
Egypt
Thailand
Mexico
Turkey
Vietnam
Philippines
Iran
Poland
Nigeria
Households with real PPP incomes greater than $20,000 (in millions)
levels 2009 Proj gains by 2020
Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council Source: Global Insight’s Global Consumer Markets data as analyzed by OGA
Developing countries with fastest growing “middle class”
Source: Global Trade Atlas
Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council Source: Global Trade Atlas
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300
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600
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Jan - Nov.2012
Mill
ion
Bo
ard
Fe
et
US Hardwood Lumber Exports to China
2
0
1
2
1999 - 2006US Furniture Manufacturing
Shift to China and US Housing Boom
2006 - 2009US Housing
Bust and Worldwide Economic
Turmoil
China's Growing Middle
1999 - 2006
2009 - 2012
Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council. Source: Hardwood Market Report 2013
Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council Source: FII Ltd drawing on BTS Ltd & Eurostat
Markets are Shifting
Substitution of hardwood plywood products
“Substitutes are making more inroads into applications
previously dominated by hardwood plywood in the
European market.”
-- ITTO Market Information Service
Markets are Shifting
• Imports are shifting
from tropical countries
Markets are Shifting
Fighting trade of illegal
timber
• Japan “Goho” Wood, 2006
• US Lacey Act amendments,
2008
• EU Trade Regulations, 2013
• Australian law, 2014
Markets are Shifting
Laws are impacting flow of tropical woods
• American Hardwood Export Council meeting on
October 4, foreign buyers said they are shifting to
more American woods over tropicals because they
are certain of the legality of American woods
Markets are Shifting
“Making softwoods more durable could cut demand for
unsustainably logged tropical hardwoods.”
-- The Economist, 2009
“Increasing the Durability of Softwoods to Reduce Use
of Tropical Hardwoods”
-- The Dirt, 2009
Markets are Shifting
“…A 2008 pledge by Mayor Michael Bloomberg,
Honorary ASLA, to the United Nations General
Assembly that he would reduce New York’s tropical
hardwood use by 20 percent. Since then, NYC Parks
& Recreation has stopped using tropical wood in
park benches. San Francisco, Santa Monica, and
Baltimore ban the use of tropical hardwoods
completely for municipal projects.”
-- Landscape Architecture Magazine, 2013
Markets are Shifting
• Market reports at the National Hardwood Lumber
Association 2013 Convention show that there is a
growing gap between demand and available supply of
temperate climate hardwoods
• Hardwood Market Report says that US housing starts
will increase by 31% in 2014, 40.6% in 2015. The rapid
market growth starting from already thin log inventories
in the US will drive demand to imported supplies.
Conclusions
• Tropical hardwoods have
had a declining share of the
world markets
• Growth of the middle class in
China, Brazil, and India is
creating opportunities
Conclusions
• Legal restrictions and
inaccurate perceptions
appear to be influencing
demand in US, EU
• The US housing market
offers an opportunity over
the next few years for growth
due to tight supplies and lack
of capacity
Thank You!
• Email:
• Tropical Forest Foundation
2121 Eisenhower Avenue
Suite 200
Alexandria, VA 22314
• Phone: 703.518.8834
• Fax: 703.518.8974
• www.tropicalforestfoundation.org
THANK YOU!