Configuration of Hydro Power Plant Mathematical Models

Michael Barry, Moritz Schillinger, Hannes Weigt, René Schumann

HP-Future•  HPisimportantinCH

– Approx.56%ofSwissEnergycomesfromHP

– TheEnergyStrategy2050expectsanincreaseinHPproducDon

èInvestmentsareneeded

– BUT:•  Averagepricetoproduceelectricpower5rp.perkWh•  Priceleveltosellelectricpower3rpperkWh

Watchingoutoftheoffice…

Whereistheproblem?

•  HPiswellestablishedtechnology•  OperaDonPlanningiswellestablishedinHP

•  Whyrevisitproblem?– LessDme– Largerproblem– Smallermarginoferror– Modelmaintenance/extension

CurrentMethods

•  StaDc•  Inflexible•  DomainSpecific•  Highmaintenancecost•  Barelyadaptableforforcurrentmarket

Modularapproach

•  CreatethespecificmodelatrunDme

ConfiguraDon

•  Howtocombinethemodules?– Tocreateavalidmodelwehavetoconsideranumberofconstraints.

•  ConfiguraDonbecomesanissue– Canbedonebyahuman– Canbeautomated

InteracDveConfiguraDon

•  Turnon/offmodules•  CheckValidity

•  Createsthemodel•  StartCPLEX

AutomaDcConfiguraDon

•  ConfigureamodeltowardsdifferentobjecDves,e.g.– RunDme– Resultquality

•  Searchforbe]ercombinaDonofalternaDveextensions(extendingscenariobasedmanualevaluaDons)

Proof-of-concept

Proof-of-concept

•  5different(faked)markets•  Themoremodules(markets)included,themorecomplexistheproblem

•  FindaParetofront(RunDme/Scale)•  UsingaSPEA2

Futurework

•  ExpandmathemaDcalmodel– Applytorealworldproblemsincasestudies– Competewithindustrystandards– AddiDonaltechnical/environmentalconstraints– MoreSophisDcatedmarketmodels

•  Expandinterface•  AutomaDcconfiguraDon•  MulD-SiteoperaDons•  ModelmodernizaDon

Acknowledgement

•  ThisprojectispartoftheresearchprojectTheFutureofSwissHydropower:AnIntegratedEconomicAssessmentofChances,ThreatsandSoluDons

•  Thisprojectisdoneinco-operaDonwith