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United Nations Economic Commission For Europe. The Challenges Facing the Former Transition Economies: Are They in a Middle Income Trap and Does the Post-2015 Development Agenda Offer a Solution Robert C. Shelburne UN Economic Commission for Europe. Conference on - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The Challenges Facing the Former Transition Economies: Are They in a Middle Income Trap and Does the Post-2015 Development Agenda Offer a Solution
Robert C. ShelburneUN Economic Commission for Europe
Conference on The Middle-Income Countries Perspective on Sustainable Development
in the CIS, Eastern and Southern EuropeMinsk, Belarus
May 16-17
United NationsEconomic Commission
For Europe
Income Groups in the Pan-European Region
Growth Over the Next 10 Years by Income Level, 1970-2010
EiT
Standard Deviation of Growth by Income Level
Growth Collapses and Explosions by Income Level
Probability of a Growth Collapse or Explosion by Income Level
Average 10-Year Growth of Middle Income Countries by Year, 1970-2000
Probability of a Growth Collapse or Explosion by Year
Per Capita Income of USSR/FSU Relative to World Average
Per Capita Income of EECCA and SEE Relative to the World and Eurozone
Over the long-term there has been no convergence in the per capita income of FSU (USSR) with the USA or Western
Europe
Convergence of Per Capita Incomes Over the Last Decade
Investment in the CIS and Central and Southeast Europe Relative to All Emerging and Developing Countries
Saving and Investment as a Percentage of GDP for the CIS
Saving and Investment as a Percentage of GDP for Central and Southeast Europe
Russia’s coming pension crisis
IMF staff projections