conference agenda 11th iaass conference managing risk in space

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ISSUE 1 28-06-2021 Conference Agenda 11th IAASS Conference Managing Risk in Space Date: Tuesday, 19/October/2021 8:30am - 10:30am P1: Plenary Session 1 (IN PREPARATION) 10:30am - 11:00am Coffee Break 11:00am - 12:30pm S-01: Re-entry Safety I Design for Minimum Casualty Area – The IXPE Case Chris Ostrom1, Jeremiah Marichalar2, Benton Greene3, William Deininger4, Amy Walden5, John Bacon6, Chris Sanchez7 1HX5 - Jacobs JETS Contract; 2GeoControl Systems - Jacobs JETS Contract; 3Jacobs JETS Contract; 4Mission Systems Engineering, Ball Aerospace; 5NASA Marshall Space Flight Center; 6NASA Johnson Space Center; 7ERC - Jacobs JETS Contract Emissivity evolution of metallic alloys used in satellites up to melting for implementation in the DEBRISK Code Marianne Balat-Pichelin1, Julien Annaloro2 1PROMES-CNRS laboratory, France; 2CNES, France THE KINETIC CASUALTY RISK OF UNCONTROLLED RE-ENTRIES BEFORE AND AFTER THE TRANSITION TO SMALL SATELLITES AND MEGA-CONSTELLATIONS Carmen Pardini1, Luciano Anselmo2 1ISTI-CNR, Italy; 2ISTI-CNR, Italy It is Time to Implement Mitigation Strategies to Protect the Airspace from Space Debris Michael Tevriz Kezirian University of Southern California, United States of America How space debris mitigation standards and regulations respond to the changes brought by all-electric propulsion satellites Huxiao Yang Innovation Academy for Microsatellites of CAS, China, People's Republic of 11:00am - 12:30pm S-02: Human Performance for Safety & Organizational Culture I The Need for Longitudinal Studies in Research Assessing Human Performance in Augmented Reality-Assisted Procedural Tasks Cian O'Regan1, Alan Giltinan2, Dr Ted Scully1, Dr Niall Smith1 1Munster Technological University, Ireland; 2MTU Blackrock Castle Observatory

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Page 1: Conference Agenda 11th IAASS Conference Managing Risk in Space

ISSUE 1 28-06-2021

Conference Agenda

11th IAASS Conference – Managing Risk in Space

Date: Tuesday, 19/October/2021

8:30am - 10:30am P1: Plenary Session 1 (IN PREPARATION)

10:30am - 11:00am Coffee Break

11:00am - 12:30pm S-01: Re-entry Safety – I

Design for Minimum Casualty Area – The IXPE Case Chris Ostrom1, Jeremiah Marichalar2, Benton Greene3, William Deininger4, Amy Walden5, John Bacon6, Chris Sanchez7 1HX5 - Jacobs JETS Contract; 2GeoControl Systems - Jacobs JETS Contract; 3Jacobs JETS Contract; 4Mission Systems Engineering, Ball Aerospace; 5NASA Marshall Space Flight Center; 6NASA Johnson Space Center; 7ERC - Jacobs JETS Contract Emissivity evolution of metallic alloys used in satellites up to melting for implementation in the DEBRISK Code Marianne Balat-Pichelin1, Julien Annaloro2 1PROMES-CNRS laboratory, France; 2CNES, France THE KINETIC CASUALTY RISK OF UNCONTROLLED RE-ENTRIES BEFORE AND AFTER THE TRANSITION TO SMALL SATELLITES AND MEGA-CONSTELLATIONS Carmen Pardini1, Luciano Anselmo2 1ISTI-CNR, Italy; 2ISTI-CNR, Italy It is Time to Implement Mitigation Strategies to Protect the Airspace from Space Debris Michael Tevriz Kezirian University of Southern California, United States of America How space debris mitigation standards and regulations respond to the changes brought by all-electric propulsion satellites Huxiao Yang Innovation Academy for Microsatellites of CAS, China, People's Republic of

11:00am - 12:30pm S-02: Human Performance for Safety & Organizational Culture – I

The Need for Longitudinal Studies in Research Assessing Human Performance in Augmented Reality-Assisted Procedural Tasks Cian O'Regan1, Alan Giltinan2, Dr Ted Scully1, Dr Niall Smith1 1Munster Technological University, Ireland; 2MTU Blackrock Castle Observatory

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Why The Petroleum Industry Doesn’t Learn From The Human Error Causes Of Their Incidents – Are You Making The Same Mistakes? Monica Philippart Ergonomic Human Factors Solutions, United States of America THE EVOLUTION AND INNOVATION OF THE ASTRONAUT SELECTION PROCESS OVER TIME Vatasta Koul, Umang Jain, Srishti Bansal, Mrityunjai Verma Space Generation Advisory Council, India Human error analysis for human-rated space systems Alan Hobbs1, John O'Hara2, Cynthia Null3, Charlie Dischinger3 1San Jose State University/NASA Ames, United States of America; 2Brookhaven National Laboratory; 3National Aeronautics and Space Administration Benefits Beyond: Managing Risk Through Mindful Missions Amanda Rose Winters Infinite Outcomes Inc., United States of America

11:00am - 12:30pm S-03: Nuclear Space Safety

United States Air Force Space Safety Policy: Managing the Risk of Using Radioactive Material in Space Elaine T Marshall1, Amber R Chang-Armstrong2, Luis A Estrada2 1AFSEC/SES (Dawson), United States of America; 2USSF SPOC 45 SW/SELR, United States of America Expanding the Risk-Informed Safety Analysis of Space Nuclear Systems to Include Reactors Elaine T Marshall1, Greg Wyss2, Gary F Polansky2 1AFSEC/SES (Dawson), United States of America; 2Sandia National Laboratories, United States of America Overview of the activities to be carried out to authorise the launch of european mission from the Guyana Space Centre with Radioisotope Power Systems Cédric Lemarié, Nathalie Dias, Jean-Luc Dumont ArianeGroup, France Evolution of NASA’s Nuclear Flight Safety Program to Meet Changing Needs Matthew J Forsbacka, Donald McLean Helton National Aeronautics and Space Administration, United States of America

11:00am - 12:30pm S-04: Panel Session (Panel on Space Traffic Management)

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12:30pm - 2:00pm Lunch Break

2:00pm - 3:30pm S-05: Space Debris – I

Efforts to improve spacecraft reliability prediction method to evaluate the probability of successful disposal in ISO 24113:2019 Kenichi SATO, Takashi YAMANE, Toru YOSHIHARA Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan Post Mission Disposal (PMD), a key factor for long-lasting space business development Makoto Kanazawa Space BD Inc., Japan The Economics of Orbital Debris Mitigation and Remediation Martin Zhu FAA, United States of America Development of Micro-satellite "DRUMS" and contribution to in-orbit safety Daichi Morita, Toshihisa Tanaka, Tatsuya Maruyama, Yasutaka Sugawara Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd., Japan Space Debris mitigation using EDT and net-tethers Vatasta Koul1, Robin Singh2, Vipul Mani3 1Space Generation Advisory Council, India; 2Australasian Youth CubeSat Initiative; 3Technische Universität Berlin AN ANALYSIS OF SPACE FLIGHT MISSIONS AND MISHAPS THROUGH THE LENS OF WEAKNESSES IN THE APPLICATION OF MISSION ASSURANCE Timothy Riley Sandia National Labs, United States of America, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University

2:00pm - 3:30pm S-06: Regulations & Standards – I

Human Spaceflight in 2070 Scott Michael Steele The Open University, United Kingdom Emerging Aerospace Transportation Systems and Regulatory Challenges Ermanno Napolitano, Kuan Wei Chen McGill University, Canada

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Space laws and regulations in the future Kasumi Kanetaka Human/Robotics/Vehicle Integration and Performance Lab, United States of America Call for an International Civil Outer Space Organization Quentin Gueho University of Paris-Saclay, France B-737 and the Crash of the Regulatory System T. Sgobba IAASS, Noordwijk – The Netherlands

2:00pm – 3:30pm S-07: Designing Safety – I

Using Machine Learning to Prevent Previously Experienced Anomalies for Space Systems Naoko Okubo Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan Clear Requirement Texts Matter Paul Gung Cheng The Aerospace Corporation, United States of America Human-spaceflight Payload Safety dicotomies in Software Safety Requirements, Parst I, II, and III Stephen Christopher Leiter NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, United States of America LESSONS LEARNED RELATED TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SAFETY FOR THE POWER AND PROPULSION ELEMENT Zaid Shawki Karajeh1, Maria Theresa Havenhill2 1Maxar Technologies, United States of America; 2NASA Glenn Research Center, United States of America Flammability behaviour of polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) membranes under normoxic conditions for spacecraft applications Ulises Rojas-Alva1, Frederik Møller-Poulsen1,2, Grunde Jomaas1 1University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom; 2Arup, London, UL

2:00pm - 3:30pm S-08: Launch Safety - I

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Reusable Launch Vehicle Failure Modeling Techniques Brian D. Dreyer 45th Space Wing, USSF Launch Operations Safety Analysis based on Systemic Methods Antonio Vinicius Diniz Merladet1,2,3, Rodrigo De Melo Silveira1,2,3, Carlos Henrique Netto Lahoz3, Sergio Fugivara3,4 1Brazilian Air Force, Brazil; 2Industrial Fostering and Coordination Institute (IFI) from the Department of Aerospace Science and Technology (DCTA); 3Aeronautics Institute of Technology (ITA); 4Institute of Aeronautics and Space (IAE) from the Department of Aerospace Science and Technology (DCTA) A General Approach to Developing Debris Penetration Equations Wije Wathugala ARCTOS, United States of America Improved Population Clustering Model for Maximum Probable Loss Estimate Wenshui Gan, Wije Wathugala Arctos, United States of America

3:30pm - 4:00pm Coffee Break

4:00pm - 6:00pm S-09: Risk Assessment & Management - I

The Challenger tragedy was caused by an Apollo mistake, terminating risk analysis Harry Jones NASA Ames Research Center, United States of America Fault Prediction in Satellites using Machine Learning Techniques Archit Nitin Latkar Ramaiah Institute of Technology, India Space endeavours - Regulations and Standards of Safety Helen Tung NewSpace2060, Australia Data = Awareness = Lessons Learned = A sharpened focus toward Safety on the ground and in Space Charles Bellinger Robinson Quality Assurance & Risk Management Services, Inc., United States of America

4:00pm - 6:00pm S-10: Launch Safety – II

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Third Party Liability: Commercial Space Operations Jerry Haber ARCTOS, United States of America When Should an Independent Technical Analysis Be Performed to Ensure Compliance with Quantitative Public Risk Criteria? Paul David Wilde1, Erik Larson2 1Federal Aviation Administration, United States of America; 2Marigold RISE LLC, United States of America UK Air & Sea Launch – Managing Risk through Safe Design & Operation Andy Quinn1, Paul Williams2 1Saturn SMS Ltd, United Kingdom; 2Black Arrow Space Technologies, United Kingdom Innovative LCOLA tool prioritizing accuracy, launch access and efficiency Dan Oltrogge, Salvatore Alfano COMSPOC Corporation, United States of America Elaboration of new flight safety methods for upcoming launches at the Guiana Space Center Melissa Zemoura CNES, French Guiana

4:00pm - 6:00pm S-11: Panel Session (Mega-constellations Space Debris Re-entry Risk & Environmental Impact)

4:00pm - 6:00pm S-12: Space Traffic Control - I EFFECTS ON HUMAN SPACEFLIGHT OPERATIONS IN LOW LEO OF THE DEPLOYMENT AND DISPOSAL OF MEGA-CONSTELLATIONS Carmen Pardini, Luciano Anselmo ISTI-CNR, Italy Space Traffic Management in the 21st Century Dharshun Sridharan Piston Labs Space Environment impact on Perusat-1's orbital parameters when executing maneuvers in LEO Francisco Javier Ildefonso Linares1, Fredy Arturo Calle Bustinza2, Lizeth Tello Tarrillo3 1CONIDA Peruvian Space Agency, Perú; 2CONIDA Peruvian Space Agency, Perú; 3CONIDA Peruvian Space Agency, Perú Space Traffic Management as a National Priority in the United States Robert William Shields International Technology and Trade Associates, Inc., United States of America

Date: Wednesday, 20/October/2021

8:30am - 10:30am S-13: Site Safety

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152,180, 216,

GUIANA SPACE CENTER : IMPLEMENTING SOLUTIONS FOR SMALL LAUNCH VEHICLES Nathalie Costedoat1, Vincent Bertrand-Noel1, Sandrine Richard1, Jacques Mongis1, Massimo Ferlin2 1CNES, Guiana Space Center, French Guiana; 2CNES, Launchers Directorate, Paris, France MANAGING SPACECRAFT RISK WITH SPACE ENVIRONMENTS TESTING VIA PROCESS SAFETY MANAGEMENT AT THE NASA NEIL A. ARMSTRONG TEST FACILITY Rene Fernandez1, Jennifer Allred1, Rebecca Meigs1, Christine Greenwalt1, James Hritz2, Mark Otterson2 1NASA Glenn Research Center, United States of America; 2Leidos Inc., United States of America Safety on ground operations on Ariane 6 Launch System Aline Decadi1, Nathalie Dias2 1European Space Agency, France; 2ArianeGroup, France

8:30am - 10:30am S-14: Re-entry Safety – II

MONITORING THE FINAL ORBITAL DECAY AND THE RE-ENTRY OF UNCONTROLLED SPACE OBJETCS –THE EUSST CONSORTIUM PROVISION MODEL AND THE REENTRY SERVICE Elena Vellutini1, Luca Salotti1, Germano Bianchi2, Walter Villadei3, Alberto Buzzoni2, Moreno Peroni3, Alessio Di Mare3, Fabio Monaci3, Antonio Vricella1, Alessandra Di Cecco1, Ettore Perozzi1, Marco Castronuovo1 1Agenzia Spaziale Italiana, Italy; 2Istituto Nazionale di Astrofisica, Italy; 3Minister of Defence, Italian Air Force, Italy Towards Demisable Fibre Reinforced Plastics Thorn Schleutker, Ali Gülhan German Aerospace Center DLR, Germany Current status of ESA's modelling guidelines for re-entry risk assessment. Silvia Sanvido1, Stijn Lemmens2, Benjamin Bastida Virgili3, Sergio Ventura4, Tiago Soares5, Antonio Caiazzo6, Orr Cohen7 1LSE Space GmbH at ESA/ESOC Space Debris Office, Germany; 2ESA/ESOC Space Debris Office, Germany; 3IMS Space Consultancy GmbH at ESA/ESOC Space Debris Office, Germany; 4VITROCISET Belgium SRL at ESA/ESTEC Independent Safety Office, Germany; 5ESA/ESTEC Systems and Concurrent Engineering Sect, Germany; 6VITROCISET Belgium SRL at ESA/ESTEC Systems and Concurrent Engineering Sect, Germany; 7ESA/ESTEC Flight Vehicles & ATD Eng. Section SATELLITE REENTRY UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS USING THE OBJECT-ORIENTED CODE DEBRISK

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Pierre Van Hauwaert1, Julien Annaloro2, Jean-Michel Papy1, Thomas Martinez1, Stéphane Galera3, Martin Spel1, Pierre Omaly2 1RTECH, Parc Technologique Delta Sud, 09340, Verniolle, France; 2CNES, Centre spatial de Toulouse, 18 Avenue E. Belin, 31401 Toulouse cedex 9, France,; 3ALTRAN SO, 4 avenue Didier Daurat, 31700 Blagnac, France Magnetohydrodynamic Enhanced Entry System for Space Transportation (MEESST) as a Key Technology for Enhancing Spacecraft Re-Entry Safety Marcus Collier-Wright, Manuel La Rosa Betancourt NeutronStar Systems UG, Germany Long March-5 reentry : a reentry analysis by e.NOVA Aerospace Heinrich Stephane e.NOVA Aerospace, France

8:30am - 10:30am S-15: Designing Safety II

Safety upgrades of complex propulsion system in China Chang'e 5 lunar probe Xin Hong, Yuhua Zhang, Yanxiang Wei, Jing Zhao Shanghai Institute of Space Propulsion, China, People's Republic of Test case design method for verification of robustness in embedded systems Hiroki Umeda1, Kazuhiro Oguchi1, Shuji Morisaki2 1Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan; 2Nagoya University DYNAMIC VERIFICATION OF SATELLITE SYSTEMS USING ILITIES Mason Brown, Sharmistha Dey, Paulo De Souza, Peter Bernus, Gervase Tuxworth Griffith University, Australia Loose coupling in future distributed space safety simulations Frank Morlang DLR German Aerospace Center, Germany Elastomeric lithium-ion battery pads and thermal runaway safety Ken Mazich Rogers Corporation, United States of America Lessons learned from on-board critical software design for satellite failure tolerance W J CAST, China, People's Republic of

8:30am - 10:30am S-16: Space Traffic Control – II

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The Efficacy of Limiting Catastrophic Fragmentation in Low Earth Orbit by Regulating Probability of Collision with Large Objects Mike Lindsay1, Matthew Duncan2, Toby Harris1 1Astroscale; 2SpaceNav Norms of Behavior for Safe Operations in Space: The Importance of Civil Society in Compliance Verification Michael P Gleason The Aerospace Corp, United States of America The positive impact of enhanced safety of operations on space debris mitigation Stijn Jan Jo Lemmens, Francesca Letizia European Space Agency, Germany New optical capabilities for Space Safety Bruno Esmiller, Laurent Hennegrave, Marine Pyanet, sebastien Vourc'h, Guillaume Delomenie, Gilles Fournier, Gaetan Eyheramono, Angélique Woelffle, Olivier Lepleux, Nicolas Rol ArianeGroup, France

10:30am - 11:00am Coffee Break

11:00am - 1:00pm S-17: Designing Safety - II

System-Level Model-Based Mission Risk Determination for Lunar Mission Design

Matthew Michael Wittal, Shaun Clifton Butts

Deep Space Logistics, NASA Kennedy Space Center 32899, USA

Hyperloop System Phase 0 Safety Review

Michael T. Kezirian, Micah K. Nishimoto

University of Southern California - Department of Astronautical Engineering, United

States of America

Tribometric, Thermogravimetric and Rheometric Studies of Nano-Lubricants for

Space Applications

Ayten Sayavur Bakhtiyarova

New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology

The History of EVA Safety at NASA

Claudjia Goulding1, Michael Grabois2, Mariel Rico3

1Oakwood University; 2Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC);

3Aerodyne Industries

The laser ignition system improves rocket safety

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Masanori Sakaino1, Shinichiro Tokudome1, Toshiaki Takemae1, Yoshitaka

Mochihara1, Satoshi Arakawa1, Naoki Morishita1, Yoshiki Matsuura2

1JAXA, Japan; 2IHI AEROSPACE Co.,Ltd., Japan

Safety Analysis of Reusable Cislunar Transportation Architecture

Tyler Duncan1, Nick Christensen1, Nicholas Gima1, Michael Kezirian1, Dallas

Bienhoff2

1University of Southern California; 2Cislunar Space Development Company

11:00am - 1:00pm S-18: Launch Safety-III

DESIGN AND TEST OF SOLAR ARRAY AUTOMATIC PRELOAD EQUIPMENT Ya Hang Hu Beijing Spacecrafts, China, People's Republic of Distant Focusing Overpressure Risk Assessment Methods Ronald R. Lambert1, Paul D. Wilde2, Jon D. Chrostowski1, Randolph L. Nyman1 1ARCTOS, United States of America; 2Federal Aviation Administration, United States of America The matchbox paradox: Safety Aspects of the Solid-propellant Rocket Neutralization Vincent Bertrand-Noel1, Alexandra Martinez Torio2, Maxime Vicentini2 1CNES (CSG), French Guiana; 2CNES (DLA), Paris Data-driven failure probability determination Erik W. F. Larson1, Wenshui Gan2 1Marigold RISE LLC, California, USA; 2ARCTOS Technology Solutions LLC, California, USA Space Launch Range Safety Officer Practices Evgeny Protopopov, Asaf Schuldenfrei, Yakov Abraham Laufer Flight Range Safety at IAF, Israel Enveloping Risk in Populated Launch Areas Brian D. Dreyer 45th Space Wing, USSF

11:00am - 1:00pm S-19: Re-entry Safety - III

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Key Parameters governing the Ground Risk from Re-entering Pressure Vessel Debris Adam S. Pagan, Georg H. Herdrich University of Stuttgart, Germany Using Historical Upper Stage Reentry Benchmarks to Ensure Public Safety from Reentry Debris Paul David Wilde1, Balachandar Ramamurthy2 1Federal Aviation Administration, United States of America; 2Space Exploration Technologies Corp., United States of America Basic research on collision avoidance maneuver of microsatellite during electrodynamic tether operation Tsuyoshi Sato1, Satomi Kawamoto2, Takeo Watanabe1, Yasushi Ohkawa2, Takehito Ikema3, Koh Kamachi3, Lena Okajima3, Hiroshi Okubo4 1Kanagawa Institute of Technology; 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency; 3ALE Co. Ltd.; 4Osaka Prefecture University INTERFACE BETWEEN THE LONG-TERM PROPAGATION AND THE DESTRUCTIVE RE-ENTRY PHASES EXPLOITING THE OVERSHOOT BOUNDARY Christian Fusaro, Mirko Trisolini, Camilla Colombo Department of Aerospace Science and Technology, Politecnico di Milano, Via La Masa 34, 20156, Milano, Italy. Investigation of safety methods to prevent collisions and the creation of new debris during the space debris disposal phase Moe Shimada1, Toshinori Takai1, Naoki Ishihama2, Masafumi Katatahira2 1NARA INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, Japan; 2JAXA,Japan EFFECT OF FRAGMENTATION MODELLING ON THE GROUND RISK OF A SATELLITE RE-ENTRY USING THE SPACECRAFT-ORIENTED APPROACH USING "PAMPERO" Spel Martin1, Constant Eddy1, Van Hauwaert Pierre1, Dumon Jeromine1, Galera Stéphane2, Omaly Pierre3, Annaloro Julien3 1R.TECH, France; 2ALTRAN, France; 3CNES, France

11:00am - 1:00pm S-20: Laws, Regulations & Standards – III

CAN INTERNATIONAL LAW PROVIDE A BASIS FOR ACTIVELY REMOVING SPACE DEBRIS? Scott Michael Steele The Open University, United Kingdom The new challenges for the French space regulation Bernard Chemoul, Julien Mariez, Clemence Lambrecht CNES, France

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Treatment of uncertainty in flight safety analysis Erik W. F. Larson1, Paul D. Wilde2 1Marigold RISE LLC, California, USA; 2Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC, USA Safeguarding the Final Frontier: Analyzing the Legal and Technical Challenges to Mega-Constellations Devanshu Jha1,2, Paola Breda1,3, Antonio Carlo1,4, Laetitia Cesari Zarkan1,5, Dimitra Stefoudi1,6, Nebile Pelin Mantı1,7 1Space Generation Advisory Council, Vienna, Austria; 2MVJ College of Engineering, India; 3Bundeswehr University of Munich, Germany; 4Tallinn University of Technology, Italy; 5University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg; 6Leiden University, Netherlands; 7Istanbul University Faculty of Law PIL Dept., Turkish Republic Harnessing Law to Mitigate Risk Bailey Cunningham, Michelle L.D. Hanlon For All Moonkind, United States of America Possible Approach to Establish International Rules of Emerging Space Activities – Risk-based Approach and Adaptive Governance Koichi Kikuchi Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, The University of Tokyo Institute for Future Initiatives, Japan

1:00pm - 2:30pm Lunch Break

2:30pm - 4:00pm S-21: Space Debris

Towards Commercial ADR Services: The ELSA-M Mission Jason Forshaw, Stephen Wokes, Kieran O'Brien, Sean Ainsley, John Auburn, Mike Lindsay Astroscale Space debris and meteoroid impact risk assessment with debris protection design standard at JAXA Kumi Nitta Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan Characterization of GEO Satellites by Photometric and Spectroscopic Observations Tomoko Fujiwara1, Kota Nishiyama1, Shin-ichiro Okumura1, Osamu Hashimoto2 1Japan Spaceguard Association, Japan; 2Gunma Astronomical Observatory Use of the Sendai Framework in Future Space Debris Disasters: Learning Lessons from Long-Term Data Analysis of Orbital Assets Christian Unfried, Valentin Eder

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2:30pm - 4:00pm

2:30pm - 4:00pm

Space Analyses GmbH, Austria Development of Scalable Drag Sails for Space Debris Mitigation Zaria Serfontein, Edouard Demers, Marco Rigamonti, Gonzalo Temprano Arias, Jennifer Kingston Cranfield University, United Kingdom S-22: Safety Risk Assessment & Management – II

SPHERES - Systems Prediction of Human Error in Risk Evaluation for Space Melinda Nanette Lyons University of Derby, United Kingdom Safety Assessment Overview of small satellites to be released from the JEMRMS using the JEM Small Satellite Orbital Deployer (J-SSOD) Haruka Tamaru, Takayuki Satoh, Tatsuya Shirai Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan Modelling the Relationship between Risk, Usage, and Time in Space Flight, Transportation, and Adventure Sport Activities Robert Ocampo Self, United States of America PROBABILISTIC RISK MANAGEMENT FOR SPACE DEBRIS MITIGATION ON THE MOBILE SERVICING SYSTEM (MSS) ON THE ISS Courtney Mulligan MDA, Canada S-23: Human Performance for Safety & Organizational Culture – II

Is Space-Flight Resource Management Skillset Effective for Remote Workers on the Ground? Nobuaki Minato1, Ryo Sakurai1, Kazuya Kito1, Kenji Yamagata2 1Ritsumeikan University, Japan; 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency Personal values of cosmonauts during long-duration space missions: Temporal patterns and implications for crew tension Gro Sandal1, Nathan Smith2, Vadim Gushin3, Alla Vinokhodova3 1University of Bergen, Norway; 2University of Manchester, UK; 3Institute of Biomedical Problems (IBMP) Growing the NASA Safety and Mission Assurance (SMA) Workforce of Tomorrow Diane Sarah Koons NASA, United States of America

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2:30pm - 4:00pm

2:30pm - 4:00pm

PSYCHOLOGICAL CHALLENGES IN SHORT AND LONG DURATION SPACEFLIGHTS REVIEW Vatasta Koul, Umang Jain, Mrityunjai Verma, Srishti Bansal Space Generation Advisory Council, India Reliability and Validity of NASA’s Human Factors and Behavioral Performance Exploration Measures (HFBP-EM) in Isolated, Confined, and Extreme Teams Carolyn Cunningham1, Nathan Smith2, Robert Wuebker3, Emma Barrett2, Konstantin Chterev4, Lauren Blackwell Landon5, Peter G. Roma6 Organization(s): 1: University of Warwick, Warwick Medical School, United Kingdom; 2: School of Social Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom; 3: David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah, UT, USA; 4: University of Surrey, United Kingdom; 5: Behavioral Health & Performance Laboratory, Biomedical Research and Environmental Sciences Division Human Health and Performance Directorate KBR/NASA Johnson Space Center Houston, TX, USA; 6: Warfighter Performance Department Operational Readiness & Health Directorate Leidos/Naval Health Research Center San Diego, CA, USA S-24: Designing Safety - III

Overview of H-II Transfer Vehicle (HTV) and HTV-X Safety Design Kyotaro Ida Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan Risks of docking and nulling of the kinetic moment of an uncooperative large-sized space debris Valeriy I. Trushlyakov, Vadim V. Yudintsev, Sergey Yu Onishchuk Omsk State Technical University, Russian Federation Trend and analogous failure analysis on JEM [KIBO] on-orbit anomalies to derive useful lessons learned Tatsuya Shirai Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), Japan A Method to Support Test Case Identification for IV&V Using Information Retrieval with Natural Language Processing Kazuki Kakimoto1, Hiroki Umeda2, Kazuhiro Oguchi2 1Japan Manned Space Systems Corporation, Japan; 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan Lessons Learned for Safety through the HTV missions Yoshinobu Mizutani JAXA, Japan S-25: Regulations & Standards - III

Legal Implication of Safety Standards

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Yu Takeuchi Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan The regulator's dilemma - maintaining the balance, encouraging industry while uncompromisingly upholding safety Alexandra Wickham Australian Space Agency, Australia Legislation to realize sub-orbital flight in Japan Mihoko Shintani JAXA/TMI Associates, Japan Implementing a Safety Case Regulatory Regime for Spaceflight Activities Robert Garner, Rosemary Whitbread Civil Aviation Authority, United Kingdom Policy Consensus Standards vs Technical Consensus Standards T. Sgobba IAASS, Noordwijk – The Netherlands

4:00pm - 4:30pm Coffee Break

4:30pm - 6:00pm S-26: Space Debris – IV

AN ACTIONABLE AND REASONABLE VIEW ON THE REMOVAL OF SPACE DEBRIS IN A BUILDING BLOCK EXERCISE FOR THE FUTURE OF SPACE GOVERNANCE AND SUSTAINABILITY Scott Michael Steele The Open University, United Kingdom Sustainable Use of Orbital Environment with The Development of EDT Device for Debris Prevention Jun Kuramoto1, Yusuke Egawa1, Joshua Rodenbaugh1, Yasuhito Uto1, Lena Okajima1, Satomi Kawamoto2, Yasushi Ohkawa2, Hiroshi Ueno2 1ALE Co., Ltd., Japan; 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency Ion drag utilization with charged membrane for space debris removal in low earth orbit Takanobu Muranaka1, Teppei Okumura2, Kazuma Ueno1, Yasushi Ohkawa2 1Chukyo University, Japan; 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency Using OOS Systems to give Broken or Retired Spacecraft New Life Isabella Rose Hatty University of South Australia, Australia

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Some high level reflections on how to finance Active Debris Removal Christophe Bonnal CNES, France Spacecraft Pressure Vessel Passivation – An Overview of Requirements, Principles, and Practices Scott Hull1, William Schonberg2 Organization(s): 1: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, United States of America; 2: Missouri S&T, United States of America

4:30pm - 6:00pm S-27: Launch Safety IV

TRSAT - First Operational Version Ronen Ingbir RAFAEL, Israel Tactical Enhancement of Air Traffic Safety during Rocket Launch Operations Leonard Buchaillot CNES (Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales), French Guiana The Medina Event: A Benchmark for Distant Focusing Overpressure Safety Analyses Paul David Wilde1, Simon Titulaer2 1Federal Aviation Administration, United States of America; 2Space Exploration Technologies Corp., United States of America The Bouncing Firebrand Model Nir Levy, Vladislav Komarnitski, Asaf Schuldenfrei Flight Range Safety at IAF, Israel IIP Velocity Algorithm Michael Yoshpe, Vladislav Komarnitski, Asaf Schuldenfrei, Evgeny Protopopov, Yakov Abraham Laufer Flight Range Safety at IAF, Israel

4:30pm - 6:00pm S-28: Designing Safety – IV

Human Space Exploration: Mitigating the Non-Ionizing Radiation Risks Ramona Gaza1,3, Jeff Reilly2,3, Sam Ghalayini1,3, Ricardo Sanchez3 1NASA/Leidos, Exploration & Mission Support, Houston, TX 77058, USA; 2University of Houston, Houston, TX 77058, USA; 3NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, TX 77058, USA Safety Assurance for Artificial Intelligence System Naoki Ishihama, Masa Katahira JAXA, Japan

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APPLICATION OF THE QUALIFICATION STATUS REVIEW ANALYTICAL TECHNIQUE FOR THE SPECIAL PURPOSE DEXTEROUS MANIPULATOR ELECTRONIC PLATFORM REDESIGN Kyle Lourenssen, Juhaina Khan, Iqbal Kassam MDA, Canada SAFETY AND INDEPENDENT V&V ON THE MSS APPLICATION COMPUTER (MAC) FOR THE ISS ROBOTICS Pat Greene, Jacky Wong, Alesha Hoo MDA, Canada Prevention of Thermal Runaway Propagation in Lithium-Ion Battery Packs Using Compressible Phase-Change Materials Nathaniel Alexander Sunderlin1, Chuanbo Yang2, Wei Wang2 1National Renewable Energy Laboratory, United States of America; 2Rogers Corporation, United States of America Space Sustainability in NEWSPACE Era : NO NEWSPACE without GREENSPACE Heinrich Stephane e.NOVA Aerospace, France

4:30pm - 6:00pm S-29: Space Traffic Control - III

Self-supervised Machine Learning Based Approach to Orbit Modelling Applied to Space Traffic Management Emma Stevenson1, Victor Rodriguez-Fernandez1, Hodei Urrutxua2, Vincent Morand3, David Camacho1 1Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain; 2Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Spain; 3CNES, France Consequences of LEO Satellite Collisions – The Fragments Mark Alan Sturza1, Gemma Saura Carretero2 13C Systems Company, United States of America; 2Viasat, Inc., United States of America Safety Analysis on AI-based Satellite Collision Avoidance System using STPA Woo Seok Park, Roger Förstner Bundeswehr University Munich, Germany Governing collision risk from space debris in low Earth orbit Romain Buchs, Marie-Valentine Florin, Emmanuelle David, Jean-Paul Kneib École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Switzerland

Date: Thursday, 21/October/2021

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9:00am - 10:30am S-30: Space Traffic Control-IV

The light curves analysis and SSA in Poland Małgorzata Polkowska1, Arkadiusz Chimicz2 1War Studies University; 2War Studies University Best Practice Collision Avoidance for Nanosatellite Operators Without Manoeuvring Capabilities Edvard Foss, Roger Birkeland NTNU, Norway COLLISION RISK AVOIDANCE AT LAUNCH – ARCL OPERATIONAL FEEDBACK AFTER TEN YEARS Emelyne Renard1, Catherine Wang2, Sébastien Fourest2, Marion Echard3, Sophie Laurens3, Christophe Taillan3 1CNES,52, rue Jacques Hillairet – 75612 Paris CEDEX – FRANCE; 2CNES, BP 726 - 97 387 Kourou CEDEX – FRANCE; 3CNES, 18 Avenue Edouard Belin – 31401 Toulouse – FRANCE Space Situational Awareness (SSA) and Orbital Coordination activities for safe Rendezvous and Proximity Operations (RPO) explored through the ELSA-d mission Toby Harris, Jason Forshaw, Andrea Puppa, Mike Lindsay Astroscale

9:00am - 10:30am S-31: Launch Safety -V

KASSAV – Safety Kits for launchers Philippe Miramont, Benjamin Carpentier, Vanessa Guenard, Marie-Hélène Arnal, Gerald Martins, Thierry Clauzon, Guillaume Javellaud, Arnaud Biard, Roddy Pollux, David Pascal, Cleberson Miranda CNES, France Introduction of MELCO activities based on original FTA to maintain satellites safety design and operations Kuniaki Sakai Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Japan Ariane 6- Safety on board algorithms Nathalie Dias ArianeGroup, France Effects of Environmental Heterogeneity on DFO Risk Assessments at Coastal Space Ports William Gregory Blumberg1, Ahmed Fadl2 1NASA Postdoctoral Program, GSFC NASA; 2Safety Office, Wallops Flight Facility, GSFC NASA

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9:00am - 10:30am S-32: Panel (Asian Countries S&MA)

9:00am - 10:30am S-33: Safety on Long duration missions

SAFE SPACEFLIGHT FOR WOMEN: EXAMINING THE DATA GAP AND IMPROVING DESIGN CONSIDERATIONS Sharon Jane Dsouza1, Newsha Haghgoo2, Suchetan Mummigatti1, Kiran Mankame3, Abdelmalek Saadi4 1Cranfield University, United Kingdom; 2University of Toronto, Canada; 3Stevens Institute of Technology, United States; 4International University Of Rabat, Morocco Novel antimicrobial fleece inhibits growth of human-derived biofilm-forming Staphylococci during the SIRIUS-2019 isolation Elisabeth Grohmann1, Daniela Wischer1, Dominik Schneider2, Anja Poehlein2, Olaf Wagner3, Sergey Kharin4, Rainer Haag3, Rolf Daniel2, Ankita Vaishampayan1 1Beuth University of Applied Sciences Berlin, Germany; 2Georg-August-University Göttingen, Germany; 3Freie Universität Berlin, Germany; 4Institute of Biomedical Problems (IBMP), Moscow, Russia The betterment of the human society through space exploration Tafadzwa Banga National University of Science and Technology Zimbabwe, Zimbabwe Toward Enabling Safe Earth-Independent Mission Operations Shu-Chieh Wu1, Megan Parisi2, Kaitlin McTigue2, Tina Panontin1, Alonso Vera2 1San José State University; 2NASA Ames Research Center SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS OF ON-GROUND OPERATIONS FOR DEMONSTRATION OF MULTI ARM ROBOT OF IN-ORBIT TELESCOPE INSTALLATION (MIRROR) Marta Fernández Campo, Francisco Javier Hernández González, Isabel Bachiller Martínez GMV, Spain

10:30am - 11:00am Coffee Break

11:00am - 1:00pm S-34: Space Hazards

Space Weather Casters and Space Weather Interpreters against space weather hazard Susumu Tamaoki ABLab / Ibaraki.univ, Japan ESA Lagrange Mission - Space Weather Forecasting from L5 Lagrange Point Christopher John Burgess Airbus Defence and Space, United Kingdom

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Scaling, Inexpensive NEO Survey/Follow-Up Concept Rene Carlos C Phlo, United States of America Activities in Japan to Reduce Slag Generated from Solid Rocket Motors Masahiro Kinoshita1, Kyoichi Ui1, Kenichi Satoh1, Kumi Nitta1, Hirohide Ikeda1, Naoki Morishita1, Shinichiro Tokudome1, Keiichi Hori1, Yoshiki Matsuura2 1Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Japan; 2IHI AEROSPACE Co., Ltd., Japan Space Weather Impact on Satellite Navigation Services Jens Berdermann, Martin Kriegel, Paul David German Aerospace Center, Germany

11:00am - 1:00pm S-35: Human Performance for Safety & Organizational Culture - III

The pathophysiology, risk, and clinical presentation of Venous Thromboembolisms (VTE) and evaluation of its prevention, diagnosis, mitigation and management strategies in spaceflight Nandu Goswami Medical University of Graz, Austria Automating the safety review of Operations Data Files for ISS astronauts utilizing machine learning Shota Iino1, Satoru Onishi1, Hideki Nomoto1, Shimpei Takahashi2 1Japan Manned Space Systems Corporation (JAMSS), Japan; 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), Japan JAXA and CNES cooperation toward safe ground-based operations Pierre MEZARD1, Yasuhiro SAITO2, Kaname KAWATSU2, Toshio FUKUI2, Christophe CHAVAGNAC1, Thomas LIENART1, Olivier FRENOY1 1CNES, France; 2JAXA, Japan S&MA in Asia Pacific Space Activities: Challenges and Opportunities for the Space Ecosystem from Legal and Policy Perspectives David LX Ho1, Naoko Sugita2, Yu Takeuchi2 1Malaysia Space Initiative (MiSI); 2Japan Aerospace eXploration Agency (JAXA) Benefits of Shared Safety Experiences: the Evolution of NASA and JAXA's Safety Culture Organization Michael Fletcher1, Naoko Sugita2 1MJF Consulting, United States of America; 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)

11:00am - 1:00pm S-36: Space Debris - V

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Just-in-time Collision Avoidance JCA – An overview Christophe Bonnal1, Laurent Lequette2, Darren McKnight3, Lorenzo Marchionne4, Sophie Missonnier2, Claude R. Phipps5, Fabrizio Piergentili4, Simon Rommelaere2, Fabio Santoni4 1CNES, France; 2CT Ingénierie, France; 3LeoLabs, USA; 4Sapienza University of Rome, Italy; 5Photonic Associates LLC, USA Detection and mitigation of LEO space debris using optical detection and plasma laser technology Vatasta Koul1, Robin Singh2, Vipul Mani3 1Space Generation Advisory Council, India; 2Australasian Youth CubeSat Initiative; 3Technische Universität Berlin Multi-Debris clearance from low earth orbit Vatasta Koul1, Robin Singh2, Vipul Mani3 1Space Generation Advisory Council, India; 2Australasian Youth CubeSat Initiative; 3Technische Universität Berlin CRD2 Phase I: A JAXA and Astroscale Mission Towards Space Sustainability Mike Lindsay, Gene Fujii, Sho Fujita, Hisashi Inoue, Yuki Seto, Jason Forshaw, Nobu Okada, Chris Blackerby Astroscale Space Debris Removal and Remediation Kaul Sanat IFFAAD, India ELSA-d: A Case Study of ADR Mission Operational Practice Jason Forshaw, Al Colebourn, Chris Walker, Alberto Fernandez, Andy Williams, John Auburn, Seita Iizuka, Mike Lindsay, Chris Blackerby Astroscale

11:00am - 1:00pm S-37: Commercial Spaceflight Safety

GOVERNMENT PERSONNEL PARTICIPATION IN SUBORBITAL SPACEFLIGHT Bradley Hill1, Robert Seibold1, Elizabeth Blome1, Ray Jenkins2 1National Aeronautics and Space Administration, United States of America; 2Federal Aviation Administration, United States of America Managing Risk Through Competitive Intelligence, Competition Law and Finance Maria Rhimbassen1, Laetitia Cesari Zarkan2, Julie Pradel1 1University of Toulouse I Capitole (France); 2University of Luxembourg (Luxembourg) Occupational Health and Safety for New Space Workers

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Guillaume Loonis-Quélen1, Damien Stricker2, Marc-André Chavy-Macdonald1, Jean-Bruno Marciacq3, Jean-Paul Kneib1, Thierry Meyer2 1EPFL, eSpace, Switzerland; 2EPFL, SB ISIC-GSCP, Swizerland; 3JBM Aerospace, Germany The Space Industry Regulations 2020 and the New UK Legal Framework Tom Walker Blake Morgan, United Kingdom Assessing Pre-Hospital Emergency Medical Protocols for Commercial Space Flight Application Robert Ocampo1, David Klaus2 1Self, United States of America; 2University of Colorado Boulder Supporting Crew Medical Decisions on Deep Space Missions: A Real-Time Performance Monitoring Capability Bettina L Beard1, Brian Russell1, Michael Krihak1, Jeremy Noel1, Dennis Beaugrand2, Barbara Burian1, Tianna Shaw1, David Pletcher1, Kara Martin1 1NASA, United States of America; 2Alidyne, United States of America

1:00pm - 2:30pm Lunch Break

2:30pm - 4:00pm P2: Plenary Closing Session

4:00pm - 4:30pm P4: Conference Wrap-Up & Announcements