conf call 2q13_cvm
TRANSCRIPT
2Q13 Earnings Conference Call
Investor Relations
São Paulo, August 9, 2013
Forward-looking Statements
2
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements are not
historical facts and are based on management’s objectives and estimates. The
words "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "estimate", "intend", "plan", "project", "aim"
and similar words indicate forward-looking statements. Although we believe they
are based on reasonable assumptions, these statements are based on the
information currently available to management and are subject to a number of
risks and uncertainties.
The forward-looking statements in this presentation are valid only on the date they
are made (June 30 2013) and the Company does not assume any obligation to
update them in light of new information or future developments.
Braskem is not responsible for any transaction or investment decision taken based
on the information in this presentation.
2Q13 Highlights
3
Crackers utilization rates of 94% in 2Q13.
Braskem’s thermoplastic resin sales amounted to 947 kton, increasing 3% and 19% from 1Q13 and
2Q12.
EBITDA in 2Q13 reached R$1,051 million, increasing 12% from the previous quarter. In U.S. dollar,
EBITDA amounted to US$506 million.
Integrated project in Mexico (Ethylene XXI):
– The construction continued to advance, with the project’s physical completion reaching
about 38%.
– On July 24, 2013, the subsidiary Braskem-Idesa withdrew the first installment of the project
finance in the amount of US$1,484 million. Braskem reimbursed US$649 million of this
amount.
As of May 1st, Braskem decided to designate part of its dollar-denominated liabilities as hedge for
its future exports.
Braskem’s leverage, as measured by the net debt/EBITDA ratio, continued its downward trend,
and excluding the Mexico project from this analysis, it reached 3.01x, down 10% from 1Q13.
Brazil’s thermoplastic resins market and Braskem’s sales
4 Sources: Alice / Braskem
Brazil Thermoplastic Resins Market (kton)
+10% +26%
Braskem’s Sales – Domestic Market (kton)
+3% +19%
+ 15% +14%
2,383
2,738
1H12
1H13
1,644
1,868
1H12
1H13
1,140
1,305
1,433
2Q12
1Q13
2Q13
798
921
947
2Q12
1Q13
2Q13
EBITDA – 2Q13 versus 1Q13
5
R$ million The EBITDA growth is explained, mainly, by the higher sales volume, the positive impact of exchange rate and the Company’s commitment to fixed costs reduction.
937 20
14
39 69 1,051
EBITDA 1Q13 Volume ContributionMargin
Fixed Costs +SG&A + Others
FX EBITDA 2Q13
FX impact on costs
333FX impact on revenue
(264)
EBITDA – 1H12 versus 1H13
6
R$ million
Spreads recovery and higher sales volume led to an increase in EBITDA in the first half. In addition, the U.S. dollar appreciation had a positive impact in the period.
1,629
344
1,285
137
242
348 1,988
EBITDA1H12
Non-recurringitems
Recurring1H12 EBITDA
Volume ContributionMargin
Fixed Costs +SG&A +Others
FX EBITDA1H13
468
( )
(24)
1,549
(1,201)FX impact on costs
FX impact on revenue
Export Hedge Accounting
7
To better reflect the exchange variations impacts in its result and in compliance with accounting standards IAS 39 and
CPC 38, Braskem decided to designate, as of May 1, part of its dollar-denominated liabilities as a hedge for its future
exports.
The exchange variation from these designated liabilities will be temporarily recorded under shareholders’ equity and
transferred to the income statement only when such exports occur.
If hedge accounting had not been adopted, the financial result in 2Q13 would have been an expense of R$ 2,111
million.
R$ million With Hedge Without Hedge With Hedge Without Hedge
Exchange Variation (126) (1,571) 202 (1,243)
Net Financial Result (666) (2,111) (773) (2,218)
Net Profit (loss) (128) (1,082) 99 (855)
2Q13 1H13
Longer debt profile with diversified financing sources. Commitment to maintaining liquidity
Agency Rating Outlook Date
Fitch BBB- Negative 04/25/2013
S&P BBB- Stable 07/11/2013
Moody’s Baa3 Negative 04/24/2013
Rating Braskem – Global Scale
Diversified Funding Sources
Net Debt / EBITDA (US$)
8
US$ million 2Q13 1Q13
Net Debt 6,977 7,376 -5%
EBITDA (LTM) 2,112 2,036 +4%
Net Debt/EBITDA (ex Mexico)
3.01x* 3.34x -10%
* Consolidated = 3.30x in 2Q13
Brazilian and Foreign Gov.
Entities20%
Capital
Market
52%
Gross Debt by Category
CDI13%
BRL - PRE4%
USD-PRE58%
USD-POS14%
TJLP11%
Gross Debt by Index
Bridge Loan8%
Banks 28%
3,495
1,9551,401
2,0031,663 1,583
830
2,922
4,250 4,386
1,539
1,779 *
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018/2019
2020/2021
2022 onwards
6/30/13Cash
7%
11%9% 8%
4%
15%
22% 23%
5,274
Invested in US$
Invested in R$
Amortization Schedule(1)
(R$ million)
6/30/2013
(1) Does not include transaction costs and Bridge Loan of the Mexico Project* US$600 million and R$450 million in Stand-by Credit Facilities
Growth projects and Capex
9
Maintaining its commitment to capital discipline, Braskem made R$ 1,060 million in operating investments in
1H13:
~47% of the total, or R$ 493 million, was allocated to the Mexico Project.
In 2Q13, there was a resumption of disbursements via equity, which seek to balance the project’s financing structure (70% debt / 30% equity), and by the anticipation of certain disbursements due the progress of its construction.
1,332
204
173
536
2013e
Maintenance/ Equipment Replacement/ Others Productivity/ HSE
Comperj/ Acrylic Acid/ Splitter Mexico
2,244
1,332
204
536
173
2013e
Comperj/ Acrylic Acid/ Splitter
Mexico
Productivity/ HSE
Maintenance/ Equipment Replacement/ Others
2,244
486
52
493
29
1H13
1,060
Investments(R$ million)
Global outlook and petrochemical industry
Source: IHS, Bloomberg and Analysts reports 10
2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e
Africa & India Europe & CIS M.East Americas Asia
2013e spreads on average shall be higher than
2012.
Medium/long term gradual recovery of spreads.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12
Positive Scenario – Short Term Ethylene: Additional Capacity (Million ton)
China:
Uncertainty regarding the feasibility of new
projects
High costs/investments in order to access
feedstock
Infrastructure problems (logistics, availability of
water for extraction and etc)
Iran:
U.S. embargo affects products sale
USA:
Greenfield projects are expected to come on
stream as of 2016/2017
Spread – HDPE (USA) x Naphtha (in US$/ton)
Jun - 13
+55%
7.9
6.1 5.9 4.9
China
China China
China China
Iran Iran
Iran
U.S
9.2
~ 6.0
Annual Increase in Demand
Braskem's Priorities
Focus on continually strengthening the relationship with Clients and regain its level of 70% of
market share in the domestic market share
Advance in the industrial policy for the petrochemical chain that continues to strengthen its
competitiveness.
Boosting Braskem’s competitiveness by cost reductions, increase in utilizations rates and
diversification of its feedstock.
Continue to progress in the greenfield project in Mexico and ensure that it is in line with its
schedule (2015) and cost.
Advancing on the engineering studies for the industrial units of the Comperj project and defining
the feedstock to be used by the complex.
Maintaining liquidity, cost discipline and financial health in a challenging macroeconomic
scenario.
11
2Q13 Earnings Conference Call
Investor Relations
São Paulo, August 9, 2013