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The Cone™ – Digital Marketing

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Page 1: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Digital Marketing

Page 2: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Digital Transformation

Throughout eternity, all that is of like form comes around again –

everything that is the same must return again in its own

everlasting cycle.....

• Marcus Aurelius – Emperor of Rome •

Page 3: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Digital Product Lifecycle Strategy

• Everything that goes around, comes around – everything has its’ own

lifecycle, in its’ own time. Things are born, grow, age, and ultimately

they die. It’s easy to spot a lifecycle in action everywhere you look. As

a person is born, grows, ages, and dies – then so does a star, a tree, a

bird, a bee, or a civilization – and so does a company, a product, a

technology or a market - everything goes around in a lifecycle of it own.

Page 4: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Digital Product Lifecycle Strategy

Investment

Product

Lifecycle

Product

Design

Product

Launch

Product

Planning

Death

Plateau

Product

Maturity

Decline

Aging

Early Growth

Migrate

Customers

to new

Products

Withdraw

Innovation Prototype / Pilot / Proof-of-concept

Cash Cow Cease

Investment

Page 5: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Digital Product Lifecycle Strategy

Page 6: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ - Lifestyle Understanding

Page 7: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The CONE™

The CONE™ - Social Intelligence

Getting to the heart of audiences - and putting audiences back at the heart of marketing.

Page 8: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The CONE™ - Audience Measurement

• Due to severe competition, Communications Service Providers (CSPs) such as 3 Mobile, EE,

Talk-Talk and Vodafone, along with Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) such as Virgin,

Tesco and Giff-gaff - no longer make significant profit from their core services (Mobile, Fixed-line

and Broadband). This has caused the dash for “Quad-play”, where CSPs now add Media and

Entertainment Packages to their core network services offering (Mobile, Fixed-line & Broadband).

• TV Set-top Boxes (Virgin, Talk-Talk, Sky, EE) are connected to the Internet and continuously

stream Audience Channel Selection data and Music Play-lists to the Communications Service

Provider (CSP) Audience Insight and Analytics servers. Similarly, Smart Phone Apps (BBC i-

player, Sky Go, Netflix, Spotify) also continuously stream Audience Channel Selection data and

Music Play-lists to the Communications Service Provider (CSP) - via Apigee to AWS Big Data.

• In a typical household (Mother, Father, two children) there may be four Smart Phones and as

many as ten other internet connected devices (Tablets, Laptops, Internet TVs, TV Set-top Boxes

and Video Games Boxes) – all streaming video, audio and data – the details of which are

captured, stored and analysed by the Communications Service Provider (CSP) using “Big Data”

Analytics techniques. This yields valuable Audience Metrics and Analytics based on intimate

understanding of consumer video, audio and internet content from which actionable audience

insights is derived from video, audio and internet streaming data – which drives Personalised

Advertising across all devices (Smart Phone, Tablet, Internet TV, Games Boxes).

Page 9: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 10: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The CONE™ - Social Intelligence

This revolutionary Digital Marketing approach is called the Cone™‏- a next-

generation Social Intelligence solution for real-time lifestyle understanding: -

• The Cone™‏solution uses Social Intelligence to get right to the heart of every

audience - and puts the audience back at the heart of every media organisation.

• The Cone™‏Digital‏Marketing‏solution works through Real-time Analytics –

tuning directly into the dynamic nature of people, fashion, media and culture.

• The Cone™‏solution analyses intimate audience viewing behaviour using Social

Intelligence and Real-time Insight, inspiring better digital marketing campaigns,

faster – ideas which connect directly with the widest possible network audience.

• Most importantly, the Cone™‏solution tracks and understands the changing

behaviour of viewers, fans and audiences and their propensity to engage with

different ideas, lifestyles, interests, needs, passions, aspirations and desires.

Page 11: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

21st Century Lifestyle Understanding

Fanatics (10%) Enthusiasts (20%) Casuals (20%) Indifferent (40%)

Cone™ Fan Base Understanding©

©2013 Innovation Pipeline

Page 12: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The CONE™ - a New Lens

Today we can view audiences through a better lens than given by traditional segmentation. Our better lens is what we now call the Cone™. The Cone™ visualises the volume and behaviour of a user-defined audience. When an audience is viewed is this way, the behaviours and volumes are visualised across our Cone™ spectrum that segments the audience’s propensity to engage. It’s this behaviour and volume understanding that visualises the Cone™.

Scene Setters

Restless Contented

©2013 Innovation Pipeline

Page 13: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cone™ Lifestyle Understanding

What‏is‏‘The‏Cone’?

• At its simplest, The‏Cone™‏is a visual metaphor that maps the volume of audiences across an

engagement spectrum with regards to how people connect with different passions and ideas.

• At its most sophisticated, the Cone™ delivers total entertainment digital innovation.

Why a Cone?

• The Cone™ shape is informed by the correlation between the volume of audiences and their propensity

to engage with different passions. This Cone shape proves to be universal in it’s application to brands,

ideas and industries that have ‘fans’ i.e. –

1. The thin, pointy end of the Cone™ -

• Low audience volume but incredibly high engagement and therefore high ‘purchase’ intent’

2. The fat, base end of the Cone™ -

• High audience volume but low engagement and therefore, much lower ‘purchase 'intent’

• We use our proprietary IP to produce The Cone™ in industries and clients that have fans (or at least

where people engage through ‘passionate interest’ vs mere ‘consumption’). Thus The‏Cone™‏maps

people as fans and audiences with active interests, needs and desires - not just as passive consumers.

Page 14: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cone™ Lifestyle Understanding Cone™ Lifestyle Understanding© Fanatics (10%) - Core fans, including cultural arbiters, trend setters, curators, editors. Enthusiasts (20%) - Social amplifiers, restless for the new, who enjoy the discovery and social kudos of feeling and “being first”. Casuals (20%) - The wider market, happy to be influenced by others and open to engagement through social influence. Indifferent (40%) - Generally agnostic, uninterested and indifferent to ideas in question.

Fanatics 10%

Enthusiasts 20%

Casuals 30%

Indifferent 40%

©2013 Innovation Pipeline

Page 15: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cone™ Lifestyle Understanding

How does the Cone work?

• The principle of The‏Cone™‏Audience‏Metrics‏&‏Analytics‏Solution‏is firstly to understand

people’s lives, and then understand the role that different entertainment concepts and content

play in their lives. Using this narrative of understanding, we can gain unique insights, helping

make better and more incisive decisions through understanding who ideas are connecting with

and why that inspires creative marketing. We then apply The Cone™ creative inspiration to

innovate compelling propositions and ideas that will connect with the widest possible audiences.

• On the surface, The‏Cone™‏profiles people’s propensity to engage with any given lens e.g. film,

reality TV, music, radio, mobile, etc. along our FECI continuum: ranging from Fanatics through

Enthusiasts to Casuals and “Indifferent” – finally the “Unconnected”. We then use proprietary

data analytics to profile and describe groups of similar people within the FECI continuum.

• The‏Cone™‏facilitates our understanding of how groups of like-minded individuals are

connecting (or not connecting…..) with our brand and content – thus we can use intimate

personal insights to learn how to inspire the right kinds of ideas and events to better target brand

positioning and product content, influencing more receptive audiences, so delivering new core

fan connections which drives an expanding and increasingly loyal fan base …..

Page 16: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cone™ Lifestyle Understanding

©2013 Innovation Pipeline

Page 17: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The CONE™ - BBC Radio 1

Cone™‏Innovation - BBC Radio 1, 2002-05

• In 2002, BBC Radio 1 - the UK’s no.1 youth radio brand (now globally streamed to millions) - was in

danger of losing its public service licence. Listener volume was in decline, with a total RAJAR audience

of circa 7 million. Radio 1 had become disconnected from its core audiences.

• We were asked to help innovate the total transformation of ideas, creativity and environment to return

Radio 1 to its pre-eminent place in youth culture.

• Central to Radio 1’s innovative revival was a new lens through which to view the Radio 1 audience. This

lens helped us understand audience engagement through behaviour - versus fixed demographics.

©2013 Innovation Pipeline

Page 18: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Sony Music: Audience Cone™ / Artist DNA

Sony Music 2007-2011 - Audience Cone™‏/ Artist DNA

• The key to success at Sony Music was using the Audience‏Cone™‏and

Artist DNA in order to help A&R Managers and Producers to understand the

role music plays in people's lives - and then understand the impact of any

particular genre or specific artist within that audience and cultural context.

• We provided a unique approach to make sense of Digital Marketing and

Social Intelligence as part of an Artists musical and career development.

We called it the Artist DNA – a tool which supports the insightful creative

foundation for all artist releases, tours, appearances and campaigns.

• Today the Cone™‏App‏- our proprietary solution using the Audience

Cone™‏and Artist DNA approach – is used by Sony Music in 32 global

territories – placing the audience back at the heart of Sony Music and putting

the artists back at the heart of their audiences - attracting new fans and re-

connecting with old fans – to give the widest possible audience and fan-base.

Page 19: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Challenge – American Idol, 2014

The Challenge – American Idol, 2014

• Analyse the Reality TV audience spectrum so that we can better understand who American Idol

fans are, and therefore gain insight into how we can halt the audience decline of 2014…..

• There is a very real and present Reality TV Cone - because there exists distinct Reality TV audience

clusters - discrete groups of people who engage with Reality TV in a variety of different ways…..

• Reality TV is a well understood lens into how people live out their own lives (they might not admit this) –

so that we can understand viewers lives and lifestyle and engage them through the Reality TV lens.

• We can map this lens through our Fanatics, Enthusiasts, Casuals and Indifferent (FECI) spectrum in

order to place each individual along a continuum of audience interest, affinity, loyalty and engagement.

• We can then profile and segment these people into different groups along the FECI spectrum – and

therefore, those within these groups who have a greater propensity and appetite for American Idol: -

– Viewers with an increased or decreased awareness of the Reality TV genre

– Viewers with a higher or lower interest in Reality TV shows / media coverage

– Viewers with a greater or lesser knowledge of Reality TV presenters / participants

– Viewers who invest more or less time in consuming Reality TV – live / streamed content

Page 20: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The CONE™ - American Idol, 2014

Cone™‏Innovation – American Idol, 2014

1. Fanatics - 10% : - Know about each contestant in every show, devote time to reality TV. Primarily live viewers.

2. Enthusiasts - 26%: - Buy very much into Reality TV. Have other passions. Love social media ‘second screening’.

3. Casuals - 42% : - A more diverse group. Reality TV is only one part of their busy lives. Will engage if it meets

their needs and values. American Idol, 2014 over-indexed on “Casuals”‏– but under-indexed on Audience Total

4. Indifferent - 22% : - “Indifferent”‏viewers interact with the brand when there are other brand Fans within their

social network who act as “Influencers”.‏‏AI 2014 under-indexed on both “Indifferent”‏and Audience Total

5. Unconnected. Huge marketplace. Generally, “Unconnected”‏viewers only connect with the brand if there are

other brand advocates within their social network who act as influencers or “Introducers”‏to Reality TV series.

Fanatics

10%

Enthusiasts

26%

Casuals

42%

Indifferent

22%

The Challenge – American Idol, 2014

Analyse the Reality TV audience so that we

can better understand who American Idol

fans are, and therefore gain insight into how

we can halt the audience decline of 2014…..

• There is a Reality TV Cone because there

exists discrete groups of people who

engage with Reality TV in different ways.

• Reality TV is a well understood lens in

peoples lives (they might not admit this -

but we can view their lives through this

Reality TV lens).

• We can map this lens through our Fanatics,

Enthusiasts, Casuals and Indifferent

(FECI) continuum in order to place every

individual along the spectrum of audience

engagement.

©2013 Innovation Pipeline

Page 21: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cone™ Fan Base Understanding

©2013 Innovation Pipeline

Page 22: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™ Application

• Where old-school audience analysis was retrospective and fixed, the

new Cone™ data science is lean, agile, current, fluid and predictive.

• The‏Cone™‏App takes our proven Audience Cone™‏and Artist DNA

approach and puts it on-line to render a custom lens for an audience; a

lens you can zoom, pan and focus - to reveal more hidden detail.

• The‏Cone™‏App applies data science and digital analytics principles to

generate innovative marketing insights - translated into a narrative of

real-time audience understanding - that answers the six key questions: -

1. What’s happening now ? 2. Who’s making it happen ? 3. Where is it happening ?

4. Why is it happening ? 5. When is it happening ? 6. How is it happening ?

Page 23: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The‏Cone™‏Application

Social Intelligence

Cloud CRM

Data

Profile

Data CRM / CEM

Big Data

Analytics

Customer Management (CRM / CEM)

Social Intelligence

Campaign Management e-Business

Big Data Analytics

The Cone™‏

Customer Loyalty

& Brand Affinity

The Cone™‏ Smart Apps

Audience Survey Data

Insights

Reports

TV Set-top Box

Page 24: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Proof-of-concept and Prototype

The Cone™‏approach is lean, agile, smart and creative: -

• We start by providing a custom Cone™ app as a proof of concept. We then work with client key stakeholders to scope a detailed brief which articulates a business problem domain that the Cone™ can help resolve.

• Under normal circumstances we utilise all current and past audience research and any other available internal data to first establish a baseline client Cone™.

• We then augment this by overlaying external data - Social Media Intelligence and other live streamed audience data that will provide our new real-time view for who / what / why / where / when and how fan-base and lifestyle understanding.

• Lastly, we apply this understanding social intelligence as new actionable insights to inform creative marketing campaign solutions against the agreed brief.

• Post proof-of-concept, we then agree a Cone™ app fixed term licence along with Cone™ consulting, mentoring and support – on-demand, as and when required.

Page 25: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Model Design and Delivery

Phase /

Step

Description Input Design

Process

Output Cost

(estimate)

Skill Set

1 1 Cone™‏Model‏Data‏

Analysis / Design

User

Requirements

Data Analysis &

Data Modelling

Cone™ Logical

Data Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst

2 Cone™‏Data‏Design‏

– Questionnaire

User

Requirements

Data Analysis &

Data Modelling

Questionnaire

Survey Form

£k Business /

Data Analyst

3 Cone™‏Physical‏

Database Design

Logical Data

Model

Cone™

Database

Design

Physical

Cone™ Design

£k Data Analyst

/ DBA

4 Cone™‏Data‏Load‏–

Questionnaire /

Survey Forms

Physical Data

Model, Survey

Questionnaire

Cone™ Model

Calibration and

Tuning Runs

Initialised

Cone™ Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst,

DBA

2 5 Cone™‏Data‏Load‏–

In-house CRM and

Audience Data

Physical Data

Model, People

CRM Data

Cone™ Model

CRM Data Load

Populated

Cone™ Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst,

DBA

6 Cone™‏Profiling Cone™

Clustering

Algorithms

Cone™ Model

Data Profiling –

Kernel k-means

Profiled

Cone™ Model

£k Data Analyst,

DBA, Data

Scientists

3 7 Cone™‏Streaming‏

and Segmentation

Historic Sales

and CRM Data

Cone™ History

Matching Runs

Cone™ Historic

Trends

£k Data

Scientists

8 Cone™‏Real-time

Social Media Feeds

Global Social

Intelligence

Cone™ Real-

Time Analytics

Actionable

Cone™ Insights

(variable with

Cone™ total

data volume)

Data

Scientists

Page 26: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Social Intelligence

Page 27: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏

The Cone™‏ – Digital Marketing

– turning Social Intelligence into Actionable Marketing Insights / Sales Opportunities…

1. Education Cone™ – Training and Education Business Scenario and Use Cases

2. Utilities Cone™ – Water, Gas and Electricity Business Scenario and Use Cases

3. Media Cone™ – Broadband, Land-line, Mobile and Entertainment Business Scenario and Use Cases

4. Music Cone™ – Brand / Genre / Label / Artists Business Scenario and Use Cases

5. Political Cone™ – Party and Voter Election Business Scenario and Use Cases

6. Fashion Cone™ – Fashion and Luxury Brands Business Scenario and Use Cases

7. Sports Cone™ – Elite Team Sports Franchise Business Scenario and Use Cases

8. Patient Cone™ – Digital Healthcare / medical Business Scenario and Use Cases

Page 28: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ - Digital Marketing

Page 29: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Telematics The Internet of Things (IoT) – Smart Devices, Smart Apps, Wearable

Technology, Vehicle Telemetry, Smart Homes and Building Automation

SMACT/4D Digital Technology Stack

Page 30: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Model Design and Delivery

Phase /

Step

Description Input Design

Process

Output Cost

(estimate)

Skill Set

1 1 Cone™‏Model‏Data‏

Analysis / Design

User

Requirements

Data Analysis &

Data Modelling

Cone™ Logical

Data Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst

2 Cone™‏Data‏Design‏

– Questionnaire

User

Requirements

Data Analysis &

Data Modelling

Questionnaire

Survey Form

£k Business /

Data Analyst

3 Cone™‏Physical‏

Database Design

Logical Data

Model

Cone™

Database

Design

Physical

Cone™ Design

£k Data Analyst

/ DBA

4 Cone™‏Data‏Load‏–

Questionnaire /

Survey Forms

Physical Data

Model, Survey

Questionnaire

Cone™ Model

Calibration and

Tuning Runs

Initialised

Cone™ Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst,

DBA

2 5 Cone™‏Data‏Load‏–

In-house CRM and

Audience Data

Physical Data

Model, People

CRM Data

Cone™ Model

CRM Data Load

Populated

Cone™ Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst,

DBA

6 Cone™‏Profiling Cone™

Clustering

Algorithms

Cone™ Model

Data Profiling –

Kernel k-means

Profiled

Cone™ Model

£k Data Analyst,

DBA, Data

Scientists

3 7 Cone™‏Streaming‏

and Segmentation

Historic Sales

and CRM Data

Cone™ History

Matching Runs

Cone™ Historic

Trends

£k Data

Scientists

8 Cone™‏Real-time

Social Media Feeds

Global Social

Intelligence

Cone™ Real-

Time Analytics

Actionable

Cone™ Insights

(variable with

Cone™ total

data volume)

Data

Scientists

Page 31: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Brand Loyalty and Affinity

CONE SEGMENTS – Brand Loyalty and Affinity

Social Intelligence drives Brand Loyalty and Affinity, Lifestyle Understanding - Fan-base Profiling, Streaming and Segmentation and marketing Campaigns – expressed in the creation and maintenance of a detailed History and Balanced Scorecard for every individual in the Cone, allowing summation by Stream / Segment: -

1. Inactive – need to draw their attention towards the Brand

2. Indifferent – need to educate them about core Brand Values

3. Disconnected– need to re-engage with the Brand

4. Casuals – exhibit Brand awareness and interest

5. Followers – follow the Brand, engage with social media and consume brand communications

6. Enthusiasts – engaged with the Brand, participate in Brand / Product / Media events and merchandising

7. Supporters– show strong need, desire and propensity to support Brand / Product / Media consumption

8. Fanatics – demonstrate total Commitment / Dedication / Loyalty for all aspects of the Brand / Product / Media

PROPENSITY – Balanced Scorecard

• Balanced Scorecard – is a summary of all the data-points for an Individual / Stream / Segment

• Propensity Score – In the statistical analysis of observational data, Propensity Score Matching (PSM) is a statistical matching technique that attempts to estimate the effect of a Campaign / Offer / Promotion or other intervention by calculating the impact of factors that predict the outcome of the Campaign / Offer / Promotion.

• Propensity Model – is the Baysian probability of the outcome of an event in an Individual / Stream / Segment

• Predictive Analytics - an area of data mining that deals with extracting information from data and using it to predict trends and behaviour patterns. Often the unknown event of interest is in the future, however, Predictive Analytics can be applied to any type of event with an unknown outcome - in the past, present or future.

Page 32: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Streaming and Segmentation

Social Interaction

Brand Affinity

Geo-demographic Profile Experian Mosaic – 15 Groups (Streams), 66 Types (Segments)

Hybrid Cone – 3 Dimensions

The Cone™‏

Social Interaction

The Cone™‏ – Streaming & Segmentation

Page 33: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Social Interaction

Social Interaction Cone Rules

1. Inactive – not engaged – low evidence / low affinity / low interest in Social Media

2. Lone Wolf – sparse / thin social network - may share negative information (Trolling)

3. Home Boy – Social Network clustered around Home Location Postcodes (Gang Culture)

4. Eternal Student – Social Network clustered around School / College / University Alumni

5. Workplace – Social Network clustered around Work and Colleagues (e.g. City Brokers, Traders)

6. Friends and Family – Social Network clustered around physical social contacts - Friends and Family

7. Enthusiast – Social Network clustered around shared, common interests – Sport. Music and Fashion etc.

8. Promiscuous – Open Networker – virtual Social Network across all categories- will connect with anybody

Number of Segments

• With anonymous data (e.g. surveys and polls) then the number of initial Segments is 4 (Matt Hart). With people

data (named individuals) we can discover much richer internal and external data from multiple sources (Social

Media / User Content / Experian) - and therefore segment the population with greater granularity

Individuals Qualifying for Multiple Segments.

• When individuals qualify for multiple segments - we can either add these deviant (non-standard) individuals to

the Segment that they have the greatest affinity with - or kick out any such deviants into an Outlying / Outcast /

Miscellaneous Segment for further statistical processing or for processing throiugh manual intervention

Page 34: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Actionable Insights

Brand Affinity

Social Interaction

Geo-demographic Profile

Experian Mosaic – 15 Groups (Segments), 66 Types (Streams)

Hybrid Cone – 3 Dimensions

Fanatics - 10%

Enthusiasts - 20%

Casuals - 30%

Indifferent - 40%

The Cone™‏

Brand Loyalty & Affinity

The Cone™‏ – Actionable Insights

Page 35: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Interaction

How consumers use social media (e.g., Facebook, Twitter) to address and/or engage with companies around social and environmental issues.

Page 36: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 37: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The chart above illustrates the richness and diversity of social media.....

Page 38: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The pattern of Social Relationships.....

Social Media is the fastest growing category of user-provided global content and will eventually grow

to 20% of all internet content. Gartner defines social media content as unstructured data created,

edited and published by users on external platforms including Facebook, MySpace, LinkedIn, Twitter,

Xing, YouTube and a myriad of other social networking platforms - in addition to internal Corporate

Wikis, special interest group blogs, communications and collaboration platforms.....

Social Mapping is the method used to describe how social linkage between individuals in order to

define Social Networks and to understand the nature of intimate relationships between individuals.

Page 39: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Conversations SCRM in the Cloud

Page 40: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Traditional CRM was very much based around data and information that brands could collect

on their customers, all of which would go into a CRM system that then allowed the company

to better target various customers. CRM is comprised of sales, marketing and service /

support–based functions whose purpose was to move the customer through a pipeline with

the goal of keeping the customer coming back to buy more and more stuff......

TRADITIONAL CRM – Customer Management Pipeline TRADITIONAL CRM – Customer Management Pipeline

Page 41: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Evolution of CRM to SCRM - The challenge for organizations now is adapting and evolving

to meet the needs and demands of these new social customers - many organizations still

do not understand the CRM value of social media.....

SOCIAL CRM – Social Media Conversations SOCIAL CRM – Social Media Conversations

Page 42: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

In Social CRM - the customer is actually the focal point of how an organization operates. Instead of

marketing products or pushing messages to customers, brands now talk to and collaborate with

their customers to solve business problems, empower customers to shape their own Customer

Experience and Journeys and develop strong customer relationships - which will over time, turn

participants into brand evangelists and positive customer advocates.....

SOCIAL CRM – Social CRM Processes SOCIAL CRM – Social Media Conversations

Page 44: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Graphs and Market Sentiment

‏•‏Sentiment‏Market‏drive‏to‏”DATA‏BIG“‏Using‏•

Unprompted online conversations, statements and news create an online reflection of real-life events and

issues – influencing the thoughts of individual consumers – managing Reputational Risk and so shaping

Market Sentiment. The Social Media data, Blogs and News feeds that form this digital mirror of the world

provides a gold mine of actionable information.....

Page 45: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

• Influencer Programmes have a long history in

industries such as software, computers and

electronics, - but today they are successfully

deployed across all types of industries including

automotive, smart phones, fashion, health and

nutrition, wine, sports, music, technology, travel

tourism and leisure – and financial services.....

• In a hyper-connected world market-makers and

influencers increasingly provide the gateway to

decision makers who drive consumer behaviour.

• Unprompted online conversations, statements

and news create an online reflection of real-life

events and issues – influencing the thoughts of

individual consumers and so shaping Market

Sentiment.

• The Social Media data and News feeds that form

this digital mirror of the world provides a gold

mine of information. However, unlocking the

data is not straight forward as it requires a

complex and unique set of technologies, skills

and methods.....

INFLUENCER PROGRAMMES – Social Media Conversations

INFLUENCER PROGRAMMES – Social Media Conversations

INFLUENCER PROGRAMMES – Social Media Conversations

Page 46: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ - Digital Marketing

Page 47: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

SalesForce.com – a Cloud Platform Social CRM Business Solution The Cone™‏ - Digital Marketing

The Cone™‏ - Lifestyle Understanding

Customer Management (CRM / CEM)

Social Intelligence

Campaign Management

e-Business

Big Data Analytics

The Cone™‏

Customer Loyalty

& Brand Affinity

The Cone™‏

Smart Apps

Alarms & Alerts

Reporting

Page 48: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Digital Marketing – Solution Options

Vendor Social

Intelligence

Mobile Big Data Analytics Cloud CRM / CEM

Amazon +

Salesforce

Anomaly 42 Apple iOS +

Android

AWS Elastic

MapReduce

(EMR)

AWS S3

“R” Revolution

Kernel k-means

AWS EC2 SalesForce

+ 3rd Party

Apps Store

Google Google

Analytics

Google

Nexus

Google

Hadoop

Google

Analytics

Google Cloud Google Office

+ Apps

IBM IBM InfoSphere BigInsights IBM Cloud

Microsoft Nokia,

Windows 8

for Mobile

Microsoft

SQL/Server +

Hadoop

Microsoft

Analytics

DOT.NET, C#

Windows

Azure

HDInsight

Microsoft

Office 360 +

Dynamics

Oracle Oracle DBMS +

Hadoop

OBIE Oracle Cloud Oracle CRM

and EBS

SAP SUP + Fiori SAP HANA +

Hadoop

Business

Objects

SAP HANA

Cloud

SAP CRM +

Hybris

Page 49: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ - Digital Marketing

The Cone™‏

Lifestyle Understanding

The‏Cone™‏ – Brand Loyalty and Affinity

The Cloud – SalesForce.com

Amazon Web Services (AWS}

Social

Intelligence

Data Science /

Big Data Analytics

Customer Experience

& Journey - CRM / CEM

Alarms / Alerts

Reporting

e-Business Smart Apps

Page 50: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Digital Marketing

Connecting‏the‏Unconnected…..

• FMCG, Media, Entertainment and other enterprises which supply products and services

indirectly to consumers – via Channel Partners such as Distributors, Dealers, Wholesalers

and Retailers – are not directly connected to their customer base. In order to drive brand

strategy and customer loyalty / affinity – they have to reach out to, contact and connect

with, on the most intimate terms - the widest possible range of end-user consumers: -

– Music (e.g. BBC and Sony Music)

– Broadcasting (e.g. Radio 1 / American Idol)

– Digital Media Content (e.g. Sony Films / Netflix)

– Sports Franchises (e.g. Manchester City / New York City)

– Fast Fashion Retailers (e.g. ASOS, Next, New Look, Primark, Top Shop)

– Luxury Brands / Aggregators (e.g. Armani, Burberry, Versace / LVMH, PPR, Richemont)

– Multi-channel Retailers – Loyalty, Campaigns, Offers and Promotions

– Financial Services Companies – Brand Protection and Reputation Management

– Travel, Leisure and Entertainment Organisations - Destination Resorts and Events

– MVNO / CSPs - OTT Business Partner Analytics (Sky Go, Netflix via Firebrand / Apigee)

– Telco, Media and Communications - Churn Management / Conquest / Up-sell / Cross-sell Campaigns

– Digital Healthcare – Private / Public Healthcare Service Provisioning: - Geo-demographic Clustering and

Propensity Modelling (Patient Monitoring, Wellbeing, Clinical Trials, Morbidity and Actuarial Outcomes)

Page 51: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ - Eight Primitives Primitive Problem / Opportunity Business

Domain

System Function Software Product

Who ? Who are our Customers ? Party - People /

Organisations

CRM / CEM SalesForce.com -

Customer Management

What ? What are they saying

about us ?

Social Media /

Communications

Social Intelligence Google Analytics,

Anomaly 42

Why ? Why - their Interest /

Behaviour / Motivation /

Aspirations / Desires ?

Brand Identity /

Loyalty / Affinity /

Offers / Promos’

Marketing,

Campaign

Management

Predictive Analytics /

Propensity Modelling

Where ? Where do they Live /

Work / Shop / Relax ?

Places -

Location

GIS / GPS Geospatial Analytics

When ? When do they contact /

buy products from us ?

Time / Date Contact Event /

Sales Transaction

Multi-channel Retail /

Mobile Platforms

How ? How do they contact and

connect with us – Media /

Telecoms Channels ?

Communications

Channel

• Mobile

• Internet

• In-store

Multi-channel Retail /

Mobile Platforms

Which ? Which Brands / Ranges /

Categories / Products ?

Retail

Merchandising

Product

Catalogue

IBM Product Centre /

Stebo / Kalido

Via ? Via Business Partners /

3rd Party Channels ?

Sales Channel Retail Channel /

Outlet

Amazon, E-bay, Alibaba

Page 52: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – EIGHT PRIMITIVES

Event

Dimension

Party

Dimension Geographic

Dimension

Motivation

Dimension

Time

Dimension

Media

Dimension

Cone™‏

MEDIA

FACT

WHO ? WHAT ? WHERE ?

HOW ? WHEN ? WHY ?

• Indifferent

• Casuals

• Enthusiasts

• Fanatics

• Radio Show

• Television Show

• Internet Advert

• Campaign

• Offer

• Promotion

• Pre-order

• Purchase

• Download

• Playlist

• Booking

• Attendance

• Advert / Publicity

• Posting / Blog

• Facebook

• LinkedIn

• Myspace

• Twitter

• YouTube

• Xing

• Region / Country

• State / County

• City / Town

• Street / Building

• Postcode

• Person

• Organisation

Product

Dimension

WHICH ?

• Category

• Label / Artist

• Album / Track

• Tour / City / Arena

• Merchandise

Channel

Dimension

VIA ?

• Channel / Partner

• In-store

• Internet Service

• Mobile Smart App

(Spotify etc.)

Advert / Publicity Type

Sales Channel

Posting / Blog

Source / Type

Subject

Location

Media

Event

• Awareness

• Interest

• Need

• Desire Motivation

Customer

Time / Date

Version 2 –

Media Co’s

Page 53: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Profiling and Analysis

Fanatics - 10%

Enthusiasts - 20%

Casuals - 30%

Indifferent - 40%

The Cone™‏

Brand Loyalty & Affinity

The Cone™‏ – Profiling & Analysis

Page 54: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Model Development

Initialise

Cone™‏

Model

Cone™‏

Model

Design

Data Load

Cone™‏

Model

Calibration

and Tuning

Cone™‏

History

Matching

Cone™‏

Real-Time

Analytics

Survey

Script Data Data Model

Customer

Data

Profiling

Data

Historic

Data

Real-Time

Data

Cone™

Model

Database

Design

Populated

Cone™

Model

Profiled

Cone™

Model

Historic

Trends

Actionable

Insights

Step 1 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5 Step 6 Step 2

Page 55: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Model Delivery

Phase /

Step

Description Input Design

Process

Output Cost

(estimate)

Skill Set

1 1 Cone™‏Model‏Data‏

Analysis / Design

User

Requirements

Data Analysis &

Data Modelling

Cone™ Logical

Data Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst

2 Cone™‏Data‏Design‏

– Questionnaire

User

Requirements

Data Analysis &

Data Modelling

Questionnaire

Survey Form

£k Business /

Data Analyst

3 Cone™‏Physical‏

Database Design

Logical Data

Model

Cone™

Database

Design

Physical

Cone™ Design

£k Data Analyst

/ DBA

4 Cone™‏Data‏Load‏–

Questionnaire /

Survey Forms

Physical Data

Model, Survey

Questionnaire

Cone™ Model

Calibration and

Tuning Runs

Initialised

Cone™ Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst,

DBA

2 5 Cone™‏Data‏Load‏–

In-house CRM and

Audience Data

Physical Data

Model, People

CRM Data

Cone™ Model

CRM Data Load

Populated

Cone™ Model

£k Business /

Data Analyst,

DBA

6 Cone™‏Profiling Cone™

Clustering

Algorithms

Cone™ Model

Data Profiling –

Kernel k-means

Profiled

Cone™ Model

£k Data Analyst,

DBA, Data

Scientists

3 7 Cone™‏Streaming‏

and Segmentation

Historic Sales

and CRM Data

Cone™ History

Matching Runs

Cone™ Historic

Trends

£k Data

Scientists

8 Cone™‏Real-time

Social Media Feeds

Global Social

Intelligence

Cone™ Real-

Time Analytics

Actionable

Cone™ Insights

(variable with

Cone™ total

data volume)

Data

Scientists

Page 56: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Model Implementation

Initialise

Cone™‏

Model

Cone™‏

Model

Design

Data Load

Cone™‏

Model

Calibration

and Tuning

Cone™‏

History

Matching

Cone™‏

Real-Time

Analytics

Data Model

Database Schema

Business

Analyst

DBA

Survey Data

Cone™‏Model

Data

Architect

DBA

CRM Data

Populated Cone™‏Model

Data

Architect

DBA

Stream and Segment Data

Profiled Cone™‏Model

Data

Architect

DBA

Historic Data

Historic Trends

Data

Architect

Data Scientists

Real-Time Data

Actionable Insights

Data

Architect

Data Scientists

Page 57: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Digital Marketing

Data Streams into Revenue Streams…..

• Digital Marketing is the communication, advertising and marketing of brands, products and services via multiple digital channels and channel partners in order to reach out to, contact and connect, on the most intimate terms, with the widest possible range of consumers. Through the exploitation of Digital Media we can initiate and maintain engaging Social Conversations.

• Digital Marketing extends key Brand Messages across every digital platform, from simple internet marketing to mobile, broadcast and social media channels – yielding Social Intelligence data in order to discover actionable Marketing Insights – which in turn convert digital Data Streams into Revenue Streams

• The key objective of Digital Marketing is to reach out to, contact and connect directly with carefully selected consumers – so that we create strong, lasting and durable relationships in order to promote key brand, category and product messages to targeted consumers and thus develop a tangible, valuable. very real and distinct brand / category / product interest, following, affinity and loyalty

Page 58: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™ Converting Data Streams into Revenue Streams

Salesforce

Anomaly 42

Cone

Unica

End User

BIG DATA

ANALYTICS

SOCIAL MEDIA

E-Commerce

Platform

FULFILMENT

Sales Orders

Salesforce

CRM

Geo-demographics

• Streaming

• Segmentation

• Household Data

SOCIAL CRM

Households

Insights

Insights Insights

Anomaly

42 Unica

Offers and

Promotions

People

and Places

Campaigns

Social Intelligence

• User Content and Blogs

• Social Groups and Networks SOCIAL INTELLIGENCE

Actionable Marketing Insights

EXPERIAN

The Cone™‏

Big Wheel keeps on turning – Perfect Store

Page 59: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

SalesForce.com – a Cloud Platform Social CRM Business Solution The Cone™‏ - Digital Marketing

The Cone™‏ - Lifestyle Understanding

Customer Management (CRM / CEM)

Social Intelligence

Campaign Management

e-Business

Big Data Analytics

The Cone™‏

Customer Loyalty

& Brand Affinity

The Cone™‏

Smart Apps

Alarms & Alerts

Reporting

Page 60: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

“DATA‏SCIENCE”‏– my own special area of Business expertise

Targeting – Map / Reduce

Consume – End-User Data

Data Acquisition – High-Volume Data Flows

– Mobile‏Enterprise‏Platforms‏(MEAP’s)

Apache Hadoop Framework

HDFS, MapReduce, Metlab “R”

Autonomy, Vertica

Smart Devices

Smart Apps

Smart Grid

Clinical Trial, Morbidity and Actuarial Outcomes

Market Sentiment and Price Curve Forecasting

Horizon Scanning,, Tracking and Monitoring

Weak Signal, Wild Card and Black Swan Event Forecasting

– Data Delivery and Consumption

News Feeds and Digital Media

Global Internet Content

Social Mapping

Social Media

Social CRM

– Data Discovery and Collection

– Analytics Engines - Hadoop

– Data Presentation and Display Excel

Web

Mobile

– Data Management Processes Data Audit

Data Profile

Data Quality Reporting

Data Quality Improvement

Data Extract, Transform, Load

– Performance Acceleration GPU’s – massive parallelism

SSD’s – in-memory processing

DBMS – ultra-fast data replication

– Data Management Tools DataFlux

Embarcadero

Informatica

Talend

– Info. Management Tools Business Objects

Cognos

Hyperion

Microstrategy

Biolap

Jedox

Sagent

Polaris

Teradata

SAP HANA

Netezza (now IBM)

Greenplum (now EMC2)

Extreme Data xdg

Zybert Gridbox

– Data Warehouse Appliances

Ab Initio

Ascential

Genio

Orchestra

SOCIAL CRM – The Emerging Big Data Stack

Page 61: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ - Brand Loyalty / Affinity 1. Brand Affinity

2. Social Interaction

3. Geo-demographic Profile – Experian Mosaic -15 Groups (Segments), 66 Types (Streams)

Hybrid Cone™ – 3 Dimensions

Fanatics - 10%

Enthusiasts - 20%

Casuals - 30%

Indifferent - 40%

The Cone™‏

Brand Loyalty & Affinity

Page 62: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ - CAMPAIGN

Page 63: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Salesforce

Anomaly 42

Cone

Unica

End User

BIG DATA

ANALYTICS

Cone™‏

Brand Affinity

Campaign

CRM

Insights

Insights Insights

SALES

PEOPLE

DEMOGRAPHICS

Household Data

SOCIAL INTELLIGENCE

User Content, Social

Groups and Networks

Offers and

Promotions

People

& Places

PROFILING

Streaming & Segmentation

The‏Cone™‏ – CYCLE The Cone™‏ – CONSUMER CYCLE

e-Business

Smart Apps

Big Wheel keeps on turning – Perfect Store

Page 64: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Hadoop Clustering and Managing Data.....

Managing Data Transfers in Networked Computer Clusters using Orchestra

To illustrate I/O Bottlenecks, we studied Data Transfer impact in two clustered computing systems: -

Hadoop - using trace from a 3000-node cluster at Facebook

Spark a MapReduce-like framework with iterative machine learning + graph algorithms.

Mosharaf Chowdhury, Matei Zaharia, Justin Ma, Michael I. Jordan, Ion Stoica

University of California, Berkeley

{mosharaf, matei, jtma, jordan, istoica}@cs.berkeley.edu

Page 65: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Hadoop Framework

• The workhorse relational database has been the tool of choice for businesses for well over 20 years now. Challengers have come and gone but the trusty RDBMS is the foundation of almost all enterprise systems today. This includes almost all transactional and data warehousing systems. The RDBMS has earned its place as a proven model that, despite some quirks, is fundamental to the very integrity and operational success of IT systems around the world.

• The relational database is finally showing some signs of age as data volumes and network speeds grow faster than the computer industry's present compliance with Moore's Law can keep pace with. The Web in particular is driving innovation in new ways of processing information as the data footprints of Internet-scale applications become prohibitive using traditional SQL database engines.

• When it comes to database processing today, change is being driven by (at least) four factors:

– Speed. The seek times of physical storage is not keeping pace with improvements in network speeds.

– Scale. The difficulty of scaling the RDBMS out efficiently (i.e. clustering beyond a handful of servers is notoriously hard.)

– Integration. Today's data processing tasks increasingly have to access and combine data from many different non-relational sources, often over a network.

– Volume. Data volumes have grown from tens of gigabytes in the 1990s to hundreds of terabytes and often petabytes in recent years.

Page 66: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 67: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

RDBMS and Hadoop: Apples and Oranges?

• Below is Figure 1 - a comparison of the overall differences between

Database RDBMS and MapReduce-based systems such as Hadoop

• From this it's clear that the MapReduce model cannot replace the

traditional enterprise RDBMS. However, it can be a key enabler of a

number of interesting scenarios that can considerably increase

flexibility, turn-around times, and the ability to tackle problems that

weren't possible before.

• With Database RDBMS platforms, SQL-based processing of data sets

tends to fall away and not scale linearly after a specific volume ceiling,

usually just a handful of nodes in a cluster. With MapReduce, you can

consistently obtain performance gains by increasing the size of the

cluster. In other words, double the size of Hadoop cluster and a job will

run twice as fast - quadruple it will rub four times faster - its the same

linear relationship, irrespective of data volume and throughput.

Page 68: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Comparing Data in DWH, Appliances, Hadoop Clusters and Analytics Engines

RDBMS DWH DWH Appliance Hadoop Cluster Analytics Appliance

Data size Gigabytes Terabytes Petabytes Petabytes

Access Interactive and

batch

Interactive and batch Batch Interactive

Structure Fixed schema Fixed schema Flexible schema Flexible schema

Language SQL SQL Non-procedural

Languages (Java, C++,

Ruby, “R” etc)

Non-procedural

Languages (Java, C++,

Ruby, “R” etc)

Data Integrity High High Low Very High

Architecture Shared memory -

SMP

Shared nothing - MPP Hadoop DFS In-memory Processing

– GPGPUs / SSDs

Virtualisation Partitions / Regions MPP / Nodal MPP / Clustered MPP / Clustered

Scaling Non-linear Nodal / Linear Clustered / Linear Clustered / Linear

Updates Read and write Write once, read many Write once, read many Write once, read many

Selects Row-based Set-based Column-based Array-based

Latency Low – Real-time Low – Near Real-time High – Historic

Reporting

Very Low – Real-time

Analytics

Figure 1: Comparing RDBMS to MapReduce

Page 69: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Hadoop Framework

• These datasets would previously have been very challenging and expensive to take on with a traditional RDBMS using standard bulk load and ETL approaches. Never mind trying to efficiently combining multiple data sources simultaneously or dealing with volumes of data that simply can't reside on any single machine (or often even dozens). Hadoop deals with this by using a distributed file system (HDFS) that's designed to deal coherently with datasets that can only reside across distributed server farms. HDFS is also fault resilient and so doesn't impose the overhead of RAID drives and mirroring on individual nodes in a Hadoop compute cluster, allowing the use of truly low cost commodity hardware.

• So what does this specifically mean to enterprise users that would like to improve their data processing capabilities? Well, first there are some catches to be aware of. Despite enormous strengths in distributed data processing and analysis, MapReduce is not good in some key areas that the RDMS is extremely strong in (and vice versa). The MapReduce approach tends to have high latency (i.e. not suitable for real-time transactions) compared to relational databases and is strongest at processing large volumes of write-once data where most of the dataset needs to be processed at one time. The RDBMS excels at point queries and updates, while MapReduce is best when data is written once and read many times.

• The story is the same with structured data, where the RDBMS and the rules of database normalization identified precise laws for preserving the integrity of structured data and which have stood the test of time. MapReduce is designed for a less structured, more federated world where schemas may be used but data formats can be much looser and freeform.

Page 70: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Emerging “Big Data” Stack

Targeting – Map / Reduce

Consume – End-User Data

Data Acquisition – High-Volume Data Flows

– Mobile Enterprise Platforms (MEAP’s)

Apache Hadoop Framework HDFS, MapReduce, Metlab “R” Autonomy, Vertica

Smart Devices Smart Apps Smart Grid

Clinical Trial, Morbidity and Actuarial Outcomes Market Sentiment and Price Curve Forecasting Horizon Scanning,, Tracking and Monitoring Weak Signal, Wild Card and Black Swan Event Forecasting

– Data Delivery and Consumption

News Feeds and Digital Media Global Internet Content Social Mapping Social Media Social CRM

– Data Discovery and Collection

– Analytics Engines - Hadoop

– Data Presentation and Display

Excel Web Mobile

– Data Management Processes Data Audit Data Profile Data Quality Reporting Data Quality Improvement Data Extract, Transform, Load

– Performance Acceleration GPU’s – massive parallelism SSD’s – in-memory processing DBMS – ultra-fast database replication

– Data Management Tools DataFlux Embarcadero Informatica Talend

– Info. Management Tools Business Objects Cognos Hyperion Microstrategy

Biolap Jedox Sagent Polaris

Teradata SAP HANA Netezza (now IBM) Greenplum (now EMC2) Extreme Data xdg Zybert Gridbox

– Data Warehouse Appliances

Ab Initio Ascential Genio Orchestra

Page 71: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 72: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Hadoop Framework

• Each of these factors is presently driving interest in alternatives that are significantly better at dealing with these requirements. I'll be clear here: The relational database has proven to be incredibly versatile and is the right tool for the majority of business needs today. However, the edge cases for many large-scale business applications are moving out into areas where the RDBMS is often not the strongest option. One of the most discussed new alternatives at the moment is Hadoop, a popular open source implementation of MapReduce. MapReduce is a simple yet very powerful method for processing and analyzing extremely large data sets, even up to the multi-petabyte level. At its most basic, MapReduce is a process for combining data from multiple inputs (creating the "map"), and then reducing it using a supplied function that will distill and extract the desired results. It was originally invented by engineers at Google to deal with the building of production search indexes. The MapReduce technique has since spilled over into other disciplines that process vast quantities of information including science, industry, and systems management. For its part, Hadoop has become the leading implementation of MapReduce.

• While there are many non-relational database approaches out there today (see my emerging IT and business topics post for a list), nothing currently matches Hadoop for the amount of attention it's receiving or the concrete results that are being reported in recent case studies. A quick look at thelist of organizations that have applications powered by Hadoop includes Yahoo! with over 25,000 nodes (including a single, massive 4,000 node cluster), Quantcast which says it has over 3,000 cores running Hadoop and currently processes over 1PB of data per day, and Adknowledge who uses Hadoop to process over 500 million clickstream events daily using up to 200 nodes

Page 73: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

HP HAVEn Big Data Platform

Page 74: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Informatica / Hortonworks Vibe

Page 75: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Telco 2.0 “Big Data” Analytics Architecture

Page 76: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Case Study – Huawei SmartCare CEM

Customers

Campaign Mart

Analytics &

Customer

Loyalty

Loyalty Mart

CRM Data

Customer DWH Customer Care “BIG‏DATA”

Merchandising & Logistics Data

Retail Data Warehouse

Retail

Multi-channel

Sales Analysis

Mobile

Platforms

EPOS Data

Call Centre Data

Internet Data

e-Commerce

Systems

Store Systems

Merchandising

Warehousing

& Logistics Inventory &

Provisioning

Hadoop Cluster

SAP HANA

ERP

Systems

Finance

Managers

Financial Data Warehouse

Head

Office Financial

Analysis

Reports

ERP Data

OSS – Network Management

Network Provisioning &

Fault Management

Operations Network Data

Network and

Fault Reports

Operations

Managers

Inventory, Provisioning & Replenishment

BSS – Rating, Mediation and Billing

Mediation

Rating and

Billing

Systems

Business

Managers

Supplier Data

Product Data

Customer Data

Inventory &

Provisioning

Reports

Planning &

Forecasting

Systems

CDR Data

Call Data Warehouse

Billing Data

Autonomy Vertica

Operational “BIG‏DATA”

Multi-channel Retail

MSS – Head Office – Finance, Planning &Strategy

Social Media - External Data

Customer Care

Systems

CRM & Digital

Marketing

Systems

Customers

CEM

SAP HANA

Catalogue

Hadoop Cluster Pentaho,

MetLab, “R”

Cloudera

Apache

Hadoop

Framework

Page 77: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Big Data – Products

The MapReduce technique has spilled over into many other disciplines that process vast

quantities of information including science, industry, and systems management. The Apache

Hadoop Library has become the most popular implementation of MapReduce – with

framework implementations from Cloudera, Hortonworks and MAPR

Page 78: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Split-Map-Shuffle-Reduce Process

Big Data Consumers

Split Map Shuffle Reduce

Key / Value Pairs Actionable Insights Data Provisioning Raw Data

Page 79: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Apache Hadoop Component Stack

HDFS

MapReduce

Pig

Zookeeper

Hive

HBase

Oozie

Mahoot

Hadoop Distributed File System (HDFS)

Scalable Data Applications Framework

Procedural Language – abstracts low-level MapReduce operators

High-reliability distributed cluster co-ordination

Structured Data Access Management

Hadoop Database Management System

Job Management and Data Flow Co-ordination

Scalable Knowledge-base Framework

Page 80: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Data Management Component Stack

Informatica

Drill

Millwheel

Informatica Big Data Edition / Vibe Data Stream

Data Analysis Framework

Data Analytics on-the-fly + Extract – Transform – Load Framework

Flume

Sqoop

Scribe

Extract – Transform - Load

Extract – Transform - Load

Extract – Transform - Load

Talend Extract – Transform - Load

Pentaho Extract – Transform – Load Framework + Data Reporting on-the-fly

Page 81: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Big Data Storage Platforms

Autonomy

Vertica

MongoDB

HP Unstructured Data DBMS

HP Columnar DBMS

High-availability DBMS

CouchDB Couchbase Database Server for Big Data with NoSQL / Hadoop

Integration

Pivotal Pivotal Big Data Suite – GreenPlum, GemFire, SQLFire, HAWQ

Cassandra Cassandra Distributed Database for Big Data with NoSQL and

Hadoop Integration

NoSQL NoSQL Database for Oracle, SQL/Server, Couchbase etc.

Riak Basho Technologies Riak Big Data DBMS with NoSQL / Hadoop

Integration

Page 82: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Big Data Analytics Engines and Appliances

Alpine

Karmasphere

Kognito

Alpine Data Studio - Advanced Big Data Analytics

Karmasphere Studio and Analyst – Hadoop Customer Analytics

Kognito In-memory Big Data Analytics MPP Platform

Skytree

Redis

Skytree Server Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning Platform

Redis is an open source key-value database for AWS, Pivotal etc.

Teradata Teradata Appliance for Hadoop

Neo4j Crunchbase Neo4j - Graphical Database for Big Data

InfiniDB Columnar MPP open-source DB version hosted on GitHub

Big Data Analytics Engines / Appliances

Page 83: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Big Data Analytics and Visualisation Platforms

Tableaux Tableaux - Big Data Visualisation Engine

Eclipse Symentec Eclipse - Big Data Visualisation

Mathematica Mathematical Expressions and Algorithms

StatGraphics Statistical Expressions and Algorithms

FastStats Numerical computation, visualization and programming toolset

MatLab

R

Data Acquisition and Analysis Application Development Toolkit

“R”‏Statistical‏Programming‏/‏Algorithm‏Language

Revolution Revolution‏Analytics‏Framework‏and‏Library‏for‏“R”

Page 84: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Hadoop / Big Data Extended Infrastructure Stack

SSD Solid State Drive (SSD) – configured as cached memory / fast HDD

CUDA CUDA (Compute Unified Device Architecture)

GPGPU GPGPU (General Purpose Graphical Processing Unit Architecture)

IMDG IMDG (In-memory Data Grid – extended cached memory)

Vibe

Splunk

High Velocity / High Volume Machine / Automatic Data Streaming

High Velocity / High Volume Machine / Automatic Data Streaming

Ambari High-availability distributed cluster co-ordination

YARN Hadoop Resource Scheduling

Big Data Extended Architecture Stack

Page 85: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cloud-based Big-Data-as-a-Service and Analytics

AWS Amazon Web Services (AWS) – Big Data-as-a-Service (BDaaS)

Elastic Compute Cloud (ECC) and Simple Storage Service (S3)

1010 Data Big Data Discovery, Visualisation and Sharing Cloud Platform

SAP HANA SAP HANA Cloud - In-memory Big Data Analytics Appliance

Azure Microsoft Azure Data-as-a-Service (DaaS) and Analytics

Anomaly 42 Anomaly 42 Smart-Data-as-a-Service (SDaaS) and Analytics

Workday Workday Big-Data-as-a-Service (BDaaS) and Analytics

Google Cloud Google Cloud Platform – Cloud Storage, Compute Platform,

Firebrand API Resource Framework

Apigee Apigee API Resource Framework

Page 86: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Gartner Magic Quadrant for BI and Analytics Platforms

Page 87: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Hadoop Framework Distributions

FEATURE Hortonworks Cloudera MAPR Pivotal

Open Source Hadoop Library Yes Yes Yes Pivotal HD

Support Yes Yes Yes Yes

Professional Services Yes Yes Yes Yes

Catalogue Extensions Yes Yes Yes Yes

Management Extensions Yes Yes Yes

Architecture Extensions Yes Yes

Infrastructure Extensions Yes Yes

Library

Support

Services

Catalogue

Job Management

Library

Support

Services

Catalogue

Hortonworks Cloudera MAPR

Library

Support

Services

Catalogue

Job Management

Resilience

High Availability

Performance

Pivotal

Library

Support

Services

Catalogue

Job Management

Resilience

High Availability

Performance

Page 88: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Gartner Magic Quadrant for BI

Page 89: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Data Warehouse Appliance / Real-time Analytics Engine Price Comparison

Manufacturer Server

Configuration Cached Memory

Server

Type

Software

Platform Cost (est.)

SAP HANA 32-node (4

Channels x 8 CPU)

1.3 Terabytes

SMP Proprietary $ 6,000,,000

Teradata 20-node (2

Channels x 10 CPU)

1 Terabyte

MPP Proprietary $ 1,000,000

Netezza

(now IBM)

20-node (2

Channels x 10 CPU)

1 Terabyte

MPP Proprietary $ 180,000

IBM ex5 (non-HANA

configuration)

32-node (4

Channels x 8 CPU)

1.3 Terabytes

SMP Proprietary $ 120,000

Greenplum (now

Pivotal)

20-node (2

Channels x 10 CPU)

1 Terabyte

MPP Open Source $ 20,000

XtremeData xdb

(BO BW)

20-node (2

Channels x 10 CPU)

1 Terabyte

MPP Open Source $ 18,000

Zybert Gridbox 48-node (4

Channels x 12 CPU)

20 Terabytes

SMP Open Source $ 60,000

Page 90: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Clustering in “Big Data” “A Cluster is a group of the same or similar data elements

which are aggregated – or closely distributed – together”

Clustering is a technique used to explore content and

understand information in every business sector and scientific

field that collects and processes very large volumes of data

Clustering is an essential tool for any “Big Data” problem

Page 91: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 92: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

• “Big‏Data”‏refers to vast aggregations (super sets) consisting of numerous individual

datasets (structured and unstructured) - whose size and scope is beyond the capability of

conventional transactional (OLTP) or analytics (OLAP) Database Management Systems

and Enterprise Software Tools to capture, store, analyse and manage. Examples of “Big

Data” include the vast and ever changing amounts of data generated in social networks

where we maintain Blogs and have conversations with each other, news data streams,

geo-demographic data, internet search and browser logs, as well as the ever-growing

amount of machine data generated by pervasive smart devices - monitors, sensors and

detectors in the environment – captured via the Smart Grid, then processed in the Cloud –

and delivered to end-user Smart Phones and Tablets via Intelligent Agents and Alerts.

• Data Set Mashing and “Big‏Data”‏Global‏Content‏Analysis – drives Horizon Scanning,

Monitoring and Tracking processes by taking numerous, apparently un-related RSS and

other Information Streams and Data Feeds, loading them into Very large Scale (VLS)

DWH Structures and Document Management Systems for Real-time Analytics – searching

for and identifying possible signs of relationships hidden in data (Facts/Events)– in order to

discover and interpret previously unknown Data Relationships driven by hidden Clustering

Forces – revealed via “Weak‏Signals”‏indicating emerging and developing Application

Scenarios, Patterns and Trends - in turn predicating possible, probable and alternative

global transformations which may unfold as future “Wild‏Card”‏or “Black‏Swan”‏events.

“Big Data”

Page 93: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Clustering in “Big Data” • The profiling and analysis of

large aggregated datasets in

order to determine a ‘natural’

structure of groupings provides

an important technique for many

statistical and analytic

applications. Cluster analysis

on the basis of profile similarities

or geographic distribution is a

method where no prior

assumptions are made

concerning the number of

groups or group hierarchies and

internal structure. Geo-

demographic techniques are

frequently used in order to

profile and segment populations

by ‘natural’ groupings - such as

common behavioural traits,

Clinical Trial, Morbidity or

Actuarial outcomes - along with

many other shared

characteristics and common

factors.....

Page 94: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Clustering in “Big Data”

‏•‏ANALYSIS‏GEOSPATIAL‏PROFILING, CLUSTERING and 4D –‏ANALYTICS‏”DATA‏BIG"‏•

• The profiling and analysis of large aggregated datasets in order to determine a ‘natural’

structure of data relationships or groupings, is an important starting point forming the basis of

many mapping, statistical and analytic applications. Cluster analysis of implicit similarities -

such as time-series demographic or geographic distribution - is a critical technique where no

prior assumptions are made concerning the number or type of groups that may be found, or

their relationships, hierarchies or internal data structures. Geospatial and demographic

techniques are frequently used in order to profile and segment populations by ‘natural’

groupings. Shared characteristics or common factors such as Behaviour / Propensity or

Epidemiology, Clinical, Morbidity and Actuarial outcomes – allow us to discover and explore

previously unknown, concealed or unrecognised insights, patterns, trends or data relationships.

•‏FORECASTING‏EVENT‏and‏ANALYITICS‏PREDICTIVE‏•

• Predictive Analytics and Event Forecasting uses Horizon Scanning, Tracking and Monitoring

methods combined with Cycle, Pattern and Trend Analysis techniques for Event Forecasting

and Propensity Models in order to anticipate a wide range of business. economic, social and

political Future Events – ranging from micro-economic Market phenomena such as forecasting

Market Sentiment and Price Curve movements - to large-scale macro-economic Fiscal

phenomena using Weak Signal processing to predict future Wild Card and Black Swan Events

- such as Monetary System shocks.

Page 95: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 96: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Multi-channel Retail - Digital Architecture

• The last decade has seen an unprecedented explosion in mobile platforms as the internet and mobile worlds came of age. It is no longer acceptable to have only a bricks-and-mortar high-street presence – customer-focused companies are now expected to deliver their Customer Experience and Journey via internet websites, mobiles and more recently tablets.

Page 97: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Targeting – Map / Reduce

Consume – End-User Data

Data Acquisition – High-Volume Data Flows

– Mobile Enterprise Platforms (MEAP’s)

Apache Hadoop Framework HDFS, MapReduce, Metlab “R” Autonomy, Vertica

Smart Devices Smart Apps Smart Grid

Clinical Trial, Morbidity and Actuarial Outcomes Market Sentiment and Price Curve Forecasting Horizon Scanning,, Tracking and Monitoring Weak Signal, Wild Card and Black Swan Event Forecasting

– Data Delivery and Consumption

News Feeds and Digital Media Global Internet Content Social Mapping Social Media Social CRM

– Data Discovery and Collection

– Analytics Engines - Hadoop

– Data Presentation and Display Excel Web Mobile

– Data Management Processes Data Audit Data Profile Data Quality Reporting Data Quality Improvement Data Extract, Transform, Load

– Performance Acceleration GPU’s – massive parallelism SSD’s – in-memory processing DBMS – ultra-fast data replication

– Data Management Tools DataFlux Embarcadero Informatica Talend

– Info. Management Tools Business Objects Cognos Hyperion Microstrategy

Biolap Jedox Sagent Polaris

Teradata SAP HANA Netezza (now IBM) Greenplum (now EMC2) Extreme Data xdg Zybert Gridbox

– Data Warehouse Appliances

Ab Initio Ascential Genio Orchestra

Social Intelligence – The Emerging Big Data Stack

Page 98: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

GIS MAPPING and SPATIAL DATA ANALYSIS

• A Geographic Information System (GIS) integrates hardware, software and digital data capture devices for acquiring, managing, analysing, distributing and displaying all forms of geographically dependant location data – including machine generated data such as Computer-aided Design (CAD) data from land and building surveys, Global Positioning System (GPS) terrestrial location data - as well as all kinds of data streams - HDCCTV, aerial and satellite image data.....

Page 99: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

GIS Mapping and Spatial Analysis

•‏ANALYSIS‏DATA‏SPATIAL‏and‏MAPPING‏GIS‏•

• A Geographic Information System (GIS) integrates hardware, software and digital data capture devices for acquiring, managing, analysing, distributing and displaying all forms of geographically dependant location data – including machine generated data such as Computer-aided Design (CAD) data from land and building surveys, Global Positioning System (GPS) terrestrial location data - as well as all kinds of data streams - HDCCTV, aerial and satellite image data.....

• Spatial Data Analysis is a set of techniques for analysing 3-dimensional spatial (Geographic) data and location (Positional) object data overlays. Software that implements spatial analysis techniques requires access to both the locations of objects and their physical attributes. Spatial statistics extends traditional statistics to support the analysis of geographic data. Spatial Data Analysis provides techniques to describe the distribution of data in the geographic space (descriptive spatial statistics), analyse the spatial patterns of the data (spatial pattern or cluster analysis), identify and measure spatial relationships (spatial regression), and create a surface from sampled data (spatial interpolation, usually categorized as geo-statistics).

• The results of spatial data analysis are largely dependent upon the type, quantity, distribution and data quality of the spatial objects under analysis.

Page 100: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

World-wide Visitor Count – GIS Mapping

Page 101: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Geo-demographic Clustering in “Big Data”

‏•‏”DATA‏IN“BIG‏CLUSTERING –‏PROFILING‏GEODEMOGRAPHIC‏•

• The profiling and analysis of large aggregated datasets in order to determine a

‘natural’ or implicit structure of data relationships or groupings where no prior

assumptions are made concerning the number or type of groups discovered or group

relationships, hierarchies or internal data structures - in order to discover hidden data

relationships - is an important starting point forming the basis of many statistical and

analytic applications. The subsequent explicit Cluster Analysis as of discovered data

relationships is a critical technique which attempts to explain the nature, cause and

effect of those implicit profile similarities or geographic distributions. Demographic

techniques are frequently used in order to profile and segment populations using

‘natural’ groupings - such as common behavioural traits, Clinical, Morbidity or Actuarial

outcomes, along with many other shared characteristics and common factors – and

then attempt to understand and explain those natural group affinities and geographical

distributions using methods such as Causal Layer Analysis (CLA).....

Page 102: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

GIS Mapping and Spatial Analysis

• A Geographic Information System (GIS) integrates hardware, software and digital

data capture devices for acquiring, managing, analysing, distributing and displaying all

forms of geographically dependant location data – including machine generated data

such as Computer-aided Design (CAD) data from land and building surveys, Global

Positioning System (GPS) terrestrial location data - as well as all kinds of data

streams - HDCCTV, aerial and satellite image data.....

• Spatial Data Analysis is a set of techniques for analysing spatial (Geographic)

location data. The results of spatial analysis are dependent on the locations of

the objects being analysed. Software that implements spatial analysis techniques

requires access to both the locations of objects and their physical attributes.

• Spatial statistics extends traditional statistics to support the analysis of geographic

data. Spatial Data Analysis provides techniques to describe the distribution of data in

the geographic space (descriptive spatial statistics), analyse the spatial patterns of the

data (spatial pattern or cluster analysis), identify and measure spatial relationships

(spatial regression), and create a surface from sampled data (spatial interpolation,

usually categorized as geo-statistics).

Page 103: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

BTSA Induction Cluster Map

Page 104: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Geo-Demographic Profile Clusters

Page 105: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 106: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Targeting – Map / Reduce

Consume – End-User Data

Data Acquisition – High-Volume

– Mobile Enterprise Platforms (MEAP’s)

– Data Delivery and Consumption

– Data Discovery and Collection

– Analytics Engines - Hadoop

– Data Management Processes

– Performance Acceleration

Apache Hadoop Framework HDFS, MapReduce, Metlab “R” Autonomy, Vertica

Smart Devices Smart Apps Smart Grid

Clinical Trial, Morbidity and Actuarial Outcomes Market Sentiment and Price Curve Forecasting Horizon Scanning,, Tracking and Monitoring Weak Signal, Wild Card and Black Swan Event Forecasting

News Feeds and Digital Media Global Internet Content Social Mapping Social Media Social CRM

Data Audit Data Profile Data Quality Reporting Data Quality Improvement Data Extract, Transform, Load

GPU’s – massive parallelism SSD’s – in-memory processing DBMS – ultra-fast data replication

– Data Presentation and Display

– Data Management Tools

– Info. Management Tools

– Data Warehouse Appliances

Excel Web Mobile

DataFlux Embarcadero Informatica Talend

Business Objects Cognos Hyperion Microstrategy

Biolap Jedox Sagent Polaris

Teradata SAP HANA Netezza (now IBM) Greenplum (now EMC2) Extreme Data xdg Zybert Gridbox

Ab Initio Ascential Genio Orchestra

Page 107: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Clustering Phenomena in “Big Data”

“A Cluster is a group of profiled data similarities aggregated closely together”

• Cluster Analysis is a technique which is used to explore very large volumes of structured and unstructured data - transactional, machine generated (automatic) social media and internet content and geo-demographic information - in order to discover previously unknown, unrecognised or hidden logical data relationships.

Page 108: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Event Clusters and Connectivity

A

B

C

D

E

G

H

F

The above is an illustration of Event relationships - how Events might be connected. Any detailed,

intimate understanding of the connection between Events may help us to answer questions such as: -

• If Event A occurs does it make Event B or H more or less likely to occur ?

• If Event B occurs what effect does it have on Events C,D,E, F and G ?

Answering questions such as these allows us to plan our Event Management approach and Risk

mitigation strategy – and to decide how better to focus our Incident / Event resources and effort…..

Page 109: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Event Clusters and Connectivity

• Aggregated Event includes coincident, related, connected and interconnected Event: -

• Coincident - two or more Events appear simultaneously in the same domain –

but they arise from different triggers (unrelated causal events)

• Related - two more Events materialise in the same domain sharing common

Event features or characteristics (may share a possible hidden common trigger or

cause – and so are candidates for further analysis and investigation)

• Connected - two more Events materialise in the same domain due to the same

trigger (common cause)

• Interconnected - two more Events materialise together in a Event cluster, series

or “storm” - the previous (prior) Event event triggering the subsequent (next) event

in an Event Series…..

• A series of Aggregated Events may result in a significant cumulative impact - and are

therefore frequently identified incorrectly as Wild-card or Black Swan Events - rather

than just simply as event clusters or event “storms”.....

Page 110: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Event Clusters and Connectivity

1

2

3

4

5

7

8

6

The above is an illustration of Event relationships - how Risk Events might be connected. A detailed and

intimate understanding of Event clusters and the connection between Events may help us to understand: -

• What is the relationship between Events 1 and 8, and what impact do they have on Events 2 - 7 ?

• Events 2 - 5 and Events 6 and 7 occur in clusters – what are the factors influencing these clusters ?

Answering questions such as these allows us to plan our Risk Event management approach and mitigation

strategy – and to decide how to better focus our resources and effort on Risk Events and fraud management.

Claimant 1

Risk Event

Claimant 2 Residence

Vehicle

Event

Cluster

Page 111: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Aggregated Event Types

A Trigger A

Coincident Events

B Trigger B

Event

Event

C Trigger 1

Related Events

D Trigger 2

Event

Event

E

Trigger

Connected Events

Event

Event F

G Trigger

Inter-connected Events

Event Event

H

Page 112: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Event Complexity Map

Page 113: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

• 4D Geospatial Analytics is the

profiling and analysis of large

aggregated datasets in order to

determine a ‘natural’ structure of

groupings provides an important

technique for many statistical and

analytic applications.

• Demographic and Geospatial

Cluster Analysis - on the basis of

profile similarities or geographic

distribution - is a statistical method

whereby no prior assumptions are

made concerning the number of

groups or group hierarchies and

internal structure. Geo-spatial and

geodemographic techniques are

frequently used in order to profile and

segment populations by ‘natural’

groupings - such as common

behavioural traits, Clinical Trial,

Morbidity or Actuarial outcomes - along

with many other shared characteristics

and common factors.....

4D Geospatial Analytics

Page 114: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Flow of Information through Time

• String Theory predicates that Space-Time exists in discrete packages, with Time Present always in some way inextricably woven into both Time Past and Time Future. This yields the intriguing possibility of insights through the mists of time into the outcome of future events – as any item of Data or Information (Global Content) may contain faint traces which offer glimpses into the future trajectory of Clusters of linked Past, Present and Future Events. If all future timeline were linear, then every event would unfold in an unerringly predictable manner towards a known and certain conclusion. The future is, however, both unknown and unknowable (Hawking Paradox) . Future outcomes are uncertain – future timelines are non-linear (branched) with a multitude of possible alternative futures. Chaos Theory suggests that even the most subliminal inputs, originating from unknown forces so minute as to be undetectable, might become amplified through numerous system cycles to grow in influence and impact over time – deviating Space-Time trajectories far away from their original predicted path – so fundamentally altering the outcome of future events.

• Every item of Global Content in the Present is somehow connected with both Past and Future temporal planes. Space-Time is a Dimension Cluster consisting of the three Spatial dimensions (x, y and z axes) plus Time (the fourth dimension - t) – which together flow in a single direction – relentlessly towards the future. Space-Time does not flow uniformly – the “arrow of time” may be deflected by unknown factors. There may exist “hidden external forces” (unseen interactions) that create disturbance in the temporal plane stack which marks the passage of time - with the potential to create eddies, vortices and whirlpools along the trajectory of Time (chaos, disorder and uncertainty) – which in turn posses the capacity to generate ripples and waves (randomness and disruption) – thus changing the course of the Space-Time continuum. “Weak‏Signals”‏are “Ghosts‏in‏the‏Machine” – echoes of these subliminal temporal interactions – that may contain within insights or clues about possible future “Wild‏card” or “Black‏Swan”‏random events

Page 115: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

4D Geospatial Analytics – The Temporal Wave

• The Temporal Wave is a novel and innovative method for Visual Modelling and Exploration

of Geospatial “Big Data” - simultaneously within a Time (history) and Space (geographic)

context. The problems encountered in exploring and analysing vast volumes of spatial–

temporal information in today's data-rich landscape – are becoming increasingly difficult to

manage effectively. In order to overcome the problem of data volume and scale in a Time

(history) and Space (location) context requires not only traditional location–space and

attribute–space analysis common in GIS Mapping and Spatial Analysis - but now with the

additional dimension of time–space analysis. The Temporal Wave supports a new method

of Visual Exploration for Geospatial (location) data within a Temporal (timeline) context.

• This time-visualisation approach integrates Geospatial (location) data within a Temporal

(timeline) dataset - along with data visualisation techniques - thus improving accessibility,

exploration and analysis of the huge amounts of geo-spatial data used to support geo-

visual “Big Data” analytics. The temporal wave combines the strengths of both linear

timeline and cyclical wave-form analysis – and is able to represent data both within a Time

(history) and Space (geographic) context simultaneously – and even at different levels of

granularity. Linear and cyclic trends in space-time data may be represented in combination

with other graphic representations typical for location–space and attribute–space data-

types. The Temporal Wave can be used in roles as a time–space data reference system,

as a time–space continuum representation tool, and as time–space interaction tool.

Page 116: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

4D Geospatial Analytics – London Timeline

Page 117: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

4D Geospatial Analytics – London Timeline

• How did London evolve from its creation as a Roman city in 43AD into the crowded, chaotic cosmopolitan megacity we see today? The London Evolution Animation takes a holistic view of what has been constructed in the capital over different historical periods – what has been lost, what saved and what protected.

• Greater London covers 600 square miles. Up until the 17th century, however, the capital city was crammed largely into a single square mile which today is marked by the skyscrapers which are a feature of the financial district of the City.

• This visualisation, originally created for the Almost Lost exhibition by the Bartlett Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis (CASA), explores the historic evolution of the city by plotting a timeline of the development of the road network - along with documented buildings and other features – through 4D geospatial analysis of a vast number of diverse geographic, archaeological and historic data sets.

• Unlike other historical cities such as Athens or Rome, with an obvious patchwork of districts from different periods, London's individual structures scheduled sites and listed buildings are in many cases constructed gradually by parts assembled during different periods. Researchers who have tried previously to locate and document archaeological structures and research historic references will know that these features, when plotted, appear scrambled up like pieces of different jigsaw puzzles – all scattered across the contemporary London cityscape.

Page 118: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

• The Temporal Wave is a novel and innovative method for Visual Modelling and Exploration

of Geospatial “Big Data” - simultaneously within a Time (history) and Space (geographic)

context. The problems encountered in exploring and analysing vast volumes of spatial–

temporal information in today's data-rich landscape – are becoming increasingly difficult to

manage effectively. In order to overcome the problem of data volume and scale in a Time

(history) and Space (location) context requires not only traditional location–space and

attribute–space analysis common in GIS Mapping and Spatial Analysis - but now with the

additional dimension of time–space analysis. The Temporal Wave supports a new method

of Visual Exploration for Geospatial (location) data within a Temporal (timeline) context.

• This time-visualisation approach integrates Geospatial (location) data within a Temporal

(timeline) dataset - along with data visualisation techniques - thus improving accessibility,

exploration and analysis of the huge amounts of geo-spatial data used to support geo-

visual “Big Data” analytics. The temporal wave combines the strengths of both linear

timeline and cyclical wave-form analysis – and is able to represent data both within a Time

(history) and Space (geographic) context simultaneously – and even at different levels of

granularity. Linear and cyclic trends in space-time data may be represented in combination

with other graphic representations typical for location–space and attribute–space data-

types. The Temporal Wave can be used in roles as a time–space data reference system,

as a time–space continuum representation tool, and as time–space interaction tool.

4D Geospatial Analytics – The Temporal Wave

Page 119: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Brand Affinity

CONE SEGMENTS - BRAND AFFINITY

• Social Intelligence drives Brand Loyalty Understanding - Fan-base Profiling, Streaming and Segmentation – expressed in the creation and maintenance of a detailed History and Balanced Scorecard for every individual in the Cone, allowing summation by Stream / Segment: -

1. Inactive – need to draw their attention towards the Brand

2. Indifferent – need to educate them about core Brand Values

3. Disconnected– need to re-engage with the Brand

4. Casuals – exhibit Brand awareness and interest

5. Followers – follow the Brand, engage with social media and consume brand communications

6. Enthusiasts – engaged with the Brand, participate in Brand / Product / Media events and merchandising

7. Supporters– show strong need, desire and propensity to support Brand / Product / Media consumption

8. Fanatics – demonstrate total Commitment / Dedication / Loyalty for all aspects of the Brand / Product / Media

PROPENSITY

• Balanced Scorecard – is a summary of all the data-points for an Individual / Stream / Segment

• Propensity Score – In the statistical analysis of observational data, Propensity Score Matching (PSM) is a statistical matching technique that attempts to estimate the effect of a Campaign / Offer / Promotion or other intervention by calculating the impact of factors that predict the outcome of the Campaign / Offer / Promotion.

• Propensity Model – is the Baysian probability of the outcome of an event in an Individual / Stream / Segment

• Predictive Analytics - an area of data mining that deals with extracting information from data and using it to predict trends and behaviour patterns. Often the unknown event of interest is in the future, however, Predictive Analytics can be applied to any type of event with an unknown outcome - in the past, present or future.

Page 120: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Fan-base Understanding Football Supporters – Map of London

Page 121: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Fan-base Understanding

CONE STREAMING and SEGMENTATION

• Multiple Cones can be created and cross-referenced using Social Intelligence and Brand

Interaction / Fan-base Profiling and Segmentation in order to deliver actionable insights for any

genre of Brand Loyalty and Fan-base Understanding – as well as for other Geo-demographic

Analytics purposes – e.g. Digital Healthcare, Clinical Trials, Morbidity and Actuarial Outcomes: -

– Music (e.g. BBC and Sony Music)

– Broadcasting (e.g. Radio 1 / American Idol)

– Digital Media Content (e.g. Sony Films / Netflix)

– Sports Franchises (e.g. Manchester City / New York City)

– Sport Footwear and Apparel (e.g. Nike, Puma, Adidas, Reebok)

– Fast Fashion Retailers (e.g. ASOS, Next, New Look, Primark)

– Luxury Brands / Aggregators (e.g. Armani, Burberry, Versace / LVMH, PPR, Richemont)

– Multi-channel Retailers – Brand Affinity / Loyalty Marketing + Product Campaigns, Offers & Promotions

– Financial Services Companies – Brand Protection and Reputation Management

– Travel, Leisure and Entertainment Organisations - Destination Events and Resorts

– MVNO / CSPs - OTT Business Partner Analytics (Sky Go, Netflix, iPlayer via Firebrand / Apigee)

– Telco, Media and Communications - Churn Management / Conquest / Up-sell / Cross-sell Campaigns

– Digital Healthcare – Private / Public Healthcare Service Provisioning: - Geo-demographic Clustering and

Propensity Modelling (Patient Monitoring, Wellbeing, Clinical Trials, Morbidity and Actuarial Outcomes)

Page 122: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Fan-base Understanding

Page 123: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Intelligence – Social Interaction

Social Interaction Cone Rules

1. Inactive – not engaged – low evidence / low affinity / low interest in Social Media

2. Lone Wolf – sparse / thin social network - may share negative information (Trolling)

3. Home Boy – Social Network clustered around Home Location Postcodes (Gang Culture)

4. Eternal Student – Social Network clustered around School / College / University Alumni

5. Workplace – Social Network clustered around Work and Colleagues (e.g. City Brokers, Traders)

6. Friends and Family – Social Network clustered around physical social contacts - Friends and Family

7. Enthusiast – Social Network clustered around shared, common interests – Sport. Music and Fashion etc.

8. Promiscuous – Open Networker – virtual Social Network across all categories- will connect with anybody

Number of Segments

• With anonymous data (e.g polls) then the

number of initial Segments is 4 (Matt

Holland). With named individuals we can

discover much richer internal and external

data sources (Social Media / User Content /

Experian) - and therefore segment the

population with greater granularity

Individuals Qualifying for Multiple Segments.

• When individuals qualify for multiple

segments - we can either add these deviant

individuals to the Segment that they have the

greatest affinity with - or kick out any such

deviants into an Outlying / Outcast /

Miscellaneous Segment for further

processing or manual intervention

Page 124: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Social Interaction

How consumers use social media (e.g., Facebook, Twitter) to address and/or engage with companies around social and environmental issues.

Page 125: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Clustering in “Big Data”

“A Cluster is a group of profiled data similarities aggregated closely together”

• Cluster Analysis is a technique used to explore very large volumes of transactional and

machine generated (automatic) data, social media and internet content and information -

in order to discover previously unknown, unrecognised or hidden data relationships.

• Clustering is an essential tool for any “Big‏Data”‏problem. Cluster Analysis of both

explicit (given) or implicit (discovered) data relationships in “Big‏Data”‏is a critical

technique which attempts to explain the nature, cause and effect of the forces which drive

clustering. Any observed profiled data similarities – geographic or temporal aggregations,

mathematical or statistical distributions – may be explained through Causal Layer Analysis.

– Choice of clustering algorithm and parameters are both process and data dependent

– Approximate Kernel K-means provides a good trade-off between clustering accuracy and

data volumes, throughput, performance and scalability

– Challenges include homogeneous and heterogeneous data (structured versus unstructured

data), data quality, streaming, scalability, cluster cardinality and validity

Page 126: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cluster Types Deep Space Galactic Clusters

Hadoop Cluster – “Big Data” Servers

Molecular Clusters

Geo-Demographic Clusters

Mineral Lode Clusters

Page 127: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

‏•‏”DATA‏IN“BIG‏CLUSTERING –‏PROFILING‏GEODEMOGRAPHIC‏•

• The profiling and analysis of very large aggregated datasets to determine ‘natural’ or

implicit data relationships and discover hidden common factors and data structures -

where no prior assumptions are made concerning the number or type of groups - is

driven by uncovering previously unknown data relationships and natural groupings.

The discovery of such Cluster / Group relationships, hierarchies or internal data

structures is an important starting point forming the basis of many statistical and

analytic applications which are designed to expose hidden data relationships.

• A subsequent explicit Cluster Analysis of previously discovered data relationships is

an important technique which attempts to understand the true nature, cause and

impact of unknown clustering forces driving implicit profile similarities, mathematical

and geographic distributions. Geo-demographic techniques are frequently used in

order to profile and segment Demographic and Spatial data by ‘natural’ groupings –

including common behavioural traits, Clinical Trial, Morbidity or Actuarial outcomes –

along with numerous other shared characteristics and common factors Cluster

Analysis attempt to understand and explain those natural group affinities and

geographical distributions using methods such as Causal Layer Analysis (CLA).....

Clustering in “Big Data”

Page 128: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cluster Types DISCIPLINE CLUSTER TYPE CLUSTERS DIMENSIONS DATA TYPE DATA SOURCE CLUSTERING

FACTORS /

FORCES

Astrophysics 4D Distribution of

Matter across the

Universe through

Space and Time

Star Systems

Stellar Clusters

Galaxies

Galactic Clusters

Mass / Energy

Space / Time

Astronomy Images –

Microwave, Infrared,

Optical, Ultraviolet, Radio,

X-ray, Gamma-ray

Optical Telescope

Infrared Telescope

Radio Telescope

X-ray Telescope

Gravity

Dark Matter

Dark Energy

Dark Flow

Climate Change Temperature Changes

Precipitation Changes

Ice-mass Changes

Hot / Cold

Dry / Wet

More / Less ice

Temperature

Precipitation

Sea / Land Ice

Average Temperature

Average Precipitation

Greenhouse Gases %

Weather Station Data

Ice Core Data

Tree-ring Data

Solar Forcing

Oceanic Forcing

Atmospheric Forcing

Actuarial Science

Morbidity, Clinical

Trials, Epidemiology

Place / Date of birth

Place / Date of death

Cause of Death

Birth / Death

Longevity

Cause of Death

Medical Events

Geography

Time

Biomedical Data

Demographic Data

Geographic data

Register of Births

Register of Deaths

Medical Records

Health

Wealth

Demographics

Price Curves

Economic Modelling

Long-range Forecasting

Economic growth

Economic recession

Bull markets

Bear markets

Monetary Value

Geography

Time

Real (Austrian) GDP

Foreign Exchange Rates

Interest Rates

Price movements

Daily Closing Prices

Government

Central Banks

Money Markets

Stock Exchange

Commodity Exchange

Business Cycles

Economic Trends

Market Sentiment

Fear and Greed

Supply / Demand

Business Clusters Retail Parks

Digital / Fin Tech

Leisure / Tourism

Creative / Academic

Retail

Technology

Resorts

Arts / Sciences

Company / SIC

Geography

Time

Entrepreneurs

Start-ups

Mergers

Acquisitions

Investors

NGAs

Government

Academic Bodies

Capital / Finance

Political policy

Economic policy

Social policy

Elite Team Sports

Performance Science

Winners

Loosens

Team / Athlete

Sport / Club

League Tables

Medal Tables

Sporting Events

Team / Athlete

Sport / Club

Geography

Time

Performance Data

Biomedical Data

Sports Governing Bodies

RSS News Feeds

Social Media

Hawk-Eye

Pro-Zone

Technique

Application

Form / Fitness

Ability / Attitude

Training / Coaching

Speed / Endurance

Future Management Human Activity

Natural Events

Random Events

Waves, Cycles,

Patterns, Trends

Random Events

Geography

Time

Weak Signals

Strong Signals

Wild Card Events

Black Swan Events

Global Internet Content /

Big Data Analytics -

Horizon Scanning,

Tracking and Monitoring

Random Events

Waves, Cycles,

Patterns, Trends,

Extrapolations

Page 129: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Clustering in “Big Data”

‏•‏ANALYSIS‏GEOSPATIAL‏PROFILING, CLUSTERING and 4D –‏ANALYTICS‏”DATA‏BIG"‏•

• The profiling and analysis of large aggregated datasets in order to determine a ‘natural’

structure of data relationships or groupings, is an important starting point forming the basis of

many mapping, statistical and analytic applications. Cluster analysis of implicit similarities -

such as time-series demographic or geographic distribution - is a critical technique where no

prior assumptions are made concerning the number or type of groups that may be found, or

their relationships, hierarchies or internal data structures. Geospatial and demographic

techniques are frequently used in order to profile and segment populations by ‘natural’

groupings. Shared characteristics or common factors such as Behaviour / Propensity or

Epidemiology, Clinical, Morbidity and Actuarial outcomes – allow us to discover and explore

previously unknown, concealed or unrecognised insights, patterns, trends or data relationships.

•‏FORECASTING‏EVENT‏and‏ANALYITICS‏PREDICTIVE‏•

• Predictive Analytics and Event Forecasting uses Horizon Scanning, Tracking and Monitoring

methods combined with Cycle, Pattern and Trend Analysis techniques for Event Forecasting

and Propensity Models in order to anticipate a wide range of business. economic, social and

political Future Events – ranging from micro-economic Market phenomena such as forecasting

Market Sentiment and Price Curve movements - to large-scale macro-economic Fiscal

phenomena using Weak Signal processing to predict future Wild Card and Black Swan Events

- such as Monetary System shocks.

Page 130: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF
Page 131: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cluster Analysis

• Data Representation – Metadata - identifying common Data Objects, Types and Formats

• Data Taxonomy and Classification – Similarity Matrix (labelled data)

– Grouping of explicit data relationships

• Data Audit - given any collection of labelled objects..... – Identifying relationships between discrete data items

– Identifying common data features - values and ranges

– Identifying unusual data features - outliers and exceptions

• Data Profiling and Clustering - given any collection of unlabeled objects..... – Pattern Matrix (unlabelled data)

– Discover implicit data relationships

– Find meaningful groupings in Data (Clusters)

– Predictive Analytics – Baysean Event Forecasting

– Wave-form Analytics – Periodicity, Cycles and Trends

– Explore hidden relationships between discrete data features

Many big data problems feature unlabeled objects

Page 132: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

k-means/Gaussian-Mixture Clustering of Audio Segments

Page 133: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Cluster Analysis

Clustering Algorithms

Hundreds of spatial, mathematical and statistical clustering algorithms are available –

many clustering algorithms are “admissible” – but no single algorithm alone is “optimal”

• K-means

• Gaussian mixture models

• Kernel K-means

• Spectral Clustering

• Nearest neighbour

• Latent Dirichlet Allocation

Challenges‏in‏“Big‏Data”‏Clustering

• Data quality

• Volume – number of data items

• Cardinality – number of clusters

• Synergy – measures of similarity

• Values – outliers and exceptions

• Cluster accuracy - validity and verification

• Homogeneous versus heterogeneous data (structured and unstructured data)

Page 134: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Distributed Clustering Model Performance

Clustering 100,000 2-D points with 2 clusters on 2.3 GHz quad-core Intel Xeon processors, with 8GB memory in intel07 cluster Network communication cost increases with the no. of processors

K-means Kernel K -means

Page 135: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Distributed Clustering Models

Number of processors

Speedup Factor - K-means

Speedup Factor - Kernel K-means

2 1.1 1.3

3 2.4 1.5

4 3.1 1.6

5 3.0 3.8

6 3.1 1.9

7 3.3 1.5

8 1.2 1.5

K-means

Kernel K -means

Clustering 100,000 2-D points with 2 clusters on 2.3 GHz quad-core

Intel Xeon processors, with 8GB memory in intel07 cluster

Network communication cost increases with the no. of processors

Page 136: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Distributed Clustering Model Performance

Distributed Approximate Kernel K-means

2-D data set with 2 concentric circles

2.3 GHz quad-core Intel Xeon processors, with 8GB memory in intel07 cluster

Run-time

Size of dataset (no. of Records)

Benchmark Performance (Speedup Factor )

10K 3.8

100K 4.8

1M 3.8

10M 6.4

Page 137: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

HPCC Clustering Models

High Performance / High Concurrence Real-time Delivery (HPCC)

Page 138: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

Distributed Clustering Models

Page 139: Cone TM Digital Marketing - Principles PDF

The Cone™‏ – Brand Loyalty / Affinity