Microsoft PowerPoint - GJETC_Input Paper_TANIGUCHI_PPTAge of Globalization and ICT Revolution
2017.9.4
Meeting, 4th-5th September 2017, Tokyo
Tokyo Institute of Technology
2. Innovative and Holistic Approach to Comprehensive Energy Security
3. Energy Security in Japan
4. Comprehensive Energy Security Cooperation between Germany and Japan
1-1. Concept of Comprehensive Energy Security Definition of
Energy Security
“reliable, safe and steady supply of energy at reasonable socio- economic conditions”
Increasingly vital and complex roles of energy today
⇒supply disruption of energy resources and relevant technologies means a serious crisis for economy and society and requires a comprehensive approach
⇒active and integrated Big Picture Approach in balanced perspective is required relying on arts and wisdom beyond scientific and administrative knowledge
1-2. Concept of Comprehensive Energy Security ⇒stability of supply without excessive fluctuations is included in
“broader definition” of energy security due to a wide spectrum and complexity of impacts on society
Energy Security with techno-socio-cultural complexity constitutes a key component of national security because of its vital importance to economy and society
Prevention and response capacity are required for security
Globalization and closer cross-border interdependence of human activities make energy and national security a major matter of global security
1-3. Comprehensive Energy Security
Vital Importance Complexity
Comprehensive Energy Security
1-4. Concept of Comprehensive Energy Security Electricity and ICT
Electricity as a symbol of modernization rapidly increased its share in energy use and, combined with advancing ICT, significantly improved QOL as well as reliability, control, convenience, versatility and security of energy system
Electricity and ICT together enhanced energy/national security and reciprocally the latter supports the former
Security of electricity supply needs special smartness
Electricity grids and ICT networks are vulnerable to
man-machine system failure, terrorism and sabotage
1-5. Comprehensive Energy Security Comprehensive Energy Security
Emphasis on the needs of holistic and integrated approach to
energy security based on the broader definition
Influence of the concept of “comprehensive security” first
introduced by Japan in 1980’s to emphasize a broad range of
non-military aspects of national and regional security
Prevention and response capacity should be duly integrated
Institutional/social approaches are as important as technology
Comprehensive Energy Security has close three-way linkages
with “Technological and Social Security” and “National and
Global Security” and needs Energy Techno-geopolitics
1-6. Comprehensive Energy Security National and Global Security
Comprehensive National Security is an active, holistic and integrated approach for securing survival, development and welfare of a sovereign state and its people
Integration of National and Global Security is going on with growing global and subnational components
Security is primarily a matter of national responsibility and sovereign authority and most governments are not proactively adapted to the on-going transnational integration and globalization
1-7. Three-way Linkages of Energy Security
Comprehensive Energy Security
Comprehensive Energy Security
Technological and Social Innovation for energy security
Development and use of energy resources and relevant technologies were advanced by innovative changes in society and reciprocally, society, human life style and defense capacity were transformed by innovative energy technologies
Revolutionary advancement of ICT, BT and MT in the last few decades drastically changed human life and energy use
Technological and social innovation are required for a country to enhance international competitiveness and energy security
2-2. Innovation and Holistic Approach to
Comprehensive Energy Security
In this complex, competitive and innovative world today
nations are faced not only with military security but also
challenges of broader economic and socio-cultural
competition
National and Global Security
indispensable key components of holistic approach
2-3. Innovation and Holistic Approach to
Comprehensive Energy Security
Comprehensive National Security
economic power but energy, environment and other
politico-socio-cultural aspects acquiring importance
on with growing global and subnational components
Energy security constitutes the core of long-term
global security with its potential of irreversibly
damaging the finite resources and environment
3-1. Energy Security in Japan
Energy Intensive and High Density Society on an Energy
Resource Poor Island
density and GDP and energy intensity than Germany on
a similar limited space
99% of oil and gas are imported and the majority
comes from the Middle East and passes through the
chalk points like the Straits of Hormuz and Malacca
3-2. Energy Security in Japan
Policy efforts for establishing “ Best-mix of Energy”
Energy independence was traditional policy since the pre-
War period until the “miraculous economic growth” in
1960’s which necessitated the significant increase reaching
over 80 % in energy import dependence by around 1970
In response to the two oil crises in the 1970’s,
comprehensive approaches to energy security was
established as the “Best-mix” of all available energy based
on 3E+S (energy supply, economy, environment and safety)
was established by the successive reports of the METI’s
advisory committees
World Class Efficiency and Technology Development
The most significant achievement of Japan’s effort
for comprehensive energy security is in the areas of
energy efficiency and advanced technologies
Achievement of very high efficiency improved her
security by reducing energy dependence itself but it
tapered off after early 2000’s
Government and industry have invested heavily in
advanced technology development through Sunshine,
Moonlight and other projects with varied success
3-4. Energy Security in Japan
Limited Competitiveness in Global Strategy,
Negotiations and Knowledge Networks
capacity for developing global strategy, delicate
international negotiation and knowledge networks
Japan has not yet global “soft power” commensurate with its technological competitive edges
“Knowledge is power” and requires networks of close
interaction with relevant leaders and experts
3-5. Energy Security in Japan Challenges of Technological and Social Innovation for
Energy Security
decades of spectacular innovation in Japan
Deceleration is a common problem in Europe and Japan
Clarification of the root causes and common challenges
for the two regions are valuable for promoting innovation
Integration of technology and social science, big picture
approach, creative design and feedback from lessons
learned are all relevant here
4-1. Comprehensive Energy Security Cooperation
between Germany and Japan
agriculture to manufacturing and then to services, next
steps of development of human civilization are expected
Extensive discussion is taking place on singularity, driven
by ICT and AI in early 2040’s
Early indications of many paradigm changes are already
observed in human life and energy use
4-2. Comprehensive Energy Security Cooperation
between Germany and Japan Common Interests and Complementarity
Germany and Japan have a lot in common in
technological/social innovation potentials, geopolitics and
security consciousness for energy use
Most technologically advanced and economically richest
large energy users with high import dependence
Faced directly with super-powers, major exporter and
importer of energy respectively
Germany and Japan are de fact regional leaders in technology
and economy and complex relations with their neighbors
4-3. Comprehensive Energy Security Cooperation
between Germany and Japan International Cooperation for Energy Security Positive sum benefits of international cooperation in
technological and social innovation for energy security
Divergent interests of developing countries and partial
compliance of centrally planned economies
Limited authority and responsibility of UN, WEC,IEA and
other international organizations for energy security
Creative visions, leadership, willingness and consensus
among nations for global energy security are required
4-4. Comprehensive Energy Security Cooperation
between Germany and Japan Cooperation in Knowledge Sharing and Human Networks
Germany and Japan should make good use of the high
quality of their knowledge base and human networks in
order to contribute to improvement of energy security
and innovation potential both at regional and global levels
Such cooperation improves energy security of the two
countries as well through broader use and sharing and
positive sum game benefits
4-5. Comprehensive Energy Security Cooperation
between Germany and Japan
Joint initiatives for energy security will contribute to;
⇒improve energy security and innovation potential of the
two countries through sharing knowledge and mutual
learning from experience
mature knowledge and experience in Europe
⇒building an effective regional and global regime for
improving energy use and security worldwide