comprehensive plan update planning and land development regulation board (pldrb) public hearing...

Comprehensive Plan Update

Planning and Land Development Regulation Board (PLDRB) Public Hearing

February 24, 2010

Proposed Update is a technical exercise to update the planning horizon and population projections

Update is to assist City with impacts of large scale development being proposed

Proposed developments have impacts beyond current planning horizon (2020)

Planning Horizon update will keep minimum 10 year long-range planning horizon


Update at this time allows coordination with FDOT and SJRWMD as they update their long-range plans

Update will not change the vision and building blocks of the comprehensive plan

EAR Process will include analysis of specific issues and involve discussion of the vision, building blocks, and policy changes in the comprehensive plan



Update of Planning Horizon & City Boundaries Update from 2020 to 2035 Update using the best available data Update affected policies

Requirements of House Bill 697 (Energy-Efficiency and Greenhouse Gas Reduction)

Creation of Northwest Corridor Overlay Area (NCOA)


Data Used Population Projections –

Bureau of Economic And Business Research (BEBR) Population Projections to 2035 (Medium Series Projections) *Note that DCA has advised that High Series Projections will not be accepted

Historic City growth as a share of County growth. Housing Data –

Shimberg Center, American Community Survey (U.S. Census Bureau)

Data from various City departments: Utility, Stormwater, Recreation & Parks, Community Development

Data from state agencies: SJRWMD, FDOT, Fish & Wildlife Conservation Commission, etc.

Data from local agencies: Sherriff’s Office, School District, municipalities


Historic Trend Analysis BEBR Estimated City Share of Growth

Year 2000 Population

Year 2008 Population (BEBR)

Difference

City of Palm Coast

32,732 73,910 41,178

Flagler County 49,382 94,910 45,069

Percentage Share of Growth 91.4%


FINDINGS—POPULATION PROJECTION 2035 Population is 168,112 2035 County Population is 198,000 City share of Population is 84.9%

2015 2035 2025 2030 2035

Flagler County 115,600 137,500 158,700 178,900 198,000

Palm Coast 92,822 112,831 132,201 150,657 168,112

Cumulative Share of Countywide Population

80.3% 82.1% 83.3% 84.2% 84.9%

2035 Projected Population 168,112

2009-2035 Net Projected Population Growth

168,112 – 73,910 = 94,202

2009-2035 Net Projected Households

94,202/2.38 = 39,581 households

2009-2035 Net Projected Dwelling Units

39,581/.88 = 45,495

Projected Need for Dwelling Units


RESIDENTIAL LAND USE NEEDS - SUPPLY

Vacant Vacant

Acreage

Vacant Residential

Acreage Max.

Density Max.

Capacity

Greenbelt

1,605

1,605

1.00 1,605

Mixed Use

2,424 485

10.31 4,998

Residential 695 695

9.00 6,255

Residential (Platted)

4,301

4,301

4.00

17,204

AGRICULTURE TIMBERLANDS

10,068

10,068

0.20 2,014 RESIDENTIAL LOW DENSITY RURAL ESTATE 693 693

1.00 693

DRI SR 100 DRI 673 2,411 Grand Haven DRI 197 382

Palm Coast Park DRI

4,671 3,600

Town Center DRI

1,353 2,500

Total 31,380 25,054

41,662 Neoga DRI Net Increase 5,635 Old Brick Township Net Increase 3,230 Bulow Amendment Net Increase 2,371

Total Residential Supply 54,254


RESIDENTIAL LAND USE NEEDS – MULTIPLIER

Supply Demand Multiplier (Supply/Demand)

54,254 units 45,495 units 1.19

56,869 units

(+2,615) from projected 2035 supply

45,495 units 1.25

Conclusion:

•There is adequate acreage to accommodate projected population.

•There is ability to accommodate additional allocation for residential growth.


NON-RESIDENTIAL LAND USE-SUPPLY

Land Use Vacant Acreage

Mixed Use (80% Non-Residential) 1,939

Industrial 581

Palm Coast DRI 310

Town Center DRI 533

S.R. 100 DRI 14

Neoga Lakes DRI 276

Old Brick Township 115

S. Old Kings Road Planning Area 287

Total 4,055


NON-RESIDENTIAL LAND USE NEEDS-EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (DEMAND)

2035 PROJECTED POPULATION

2035 PROJECTED

LABOR FORCE

2035 PROJECTED

CAPTURE RATE

2035 EMPLOYMENT

TARGET

2009-2035 EMPLOYMENT

TARGET

168,112 109,270 70% 76,489 66,645

2035 Demand

Supply (1.50)

Supply (1.75)

Supply (2.00)

Non-Residential (Acres) 2,601 3,901 4,552 5,202

Land Use Employees Square feet per Employee

Land Needed (acres)

Commercial (30%) 19,994 500 1,147

Office/Institutional (55%) 36,665 250 1,052 Industrial/R&D/Transportation (7%) 4,665 750 402

TOTAL 61,324 2,601


Summary discussion of updated data. Update DRI name from West Palm Coast Park DRI to Palm

Coast Park DRI. Clarification of Density/Intensity limits in DRI land use

category. Update zoning district table under Policy 1.1.1.1

Update to new zoning districts Update limitations on densities/intensities to reflect historical

trends.


Update of the Future Land Use Element - Summary

Amend policies to reflect completion of land development code.

Amend reference from Planned Unit Development (PUD) to Master Planned Development (MPD)

Adopt policy to maintain 5-Year and Long Range Planning Periods

Delete references to Palm Coast Community Service Corporation (PCCSC)

Amend policy to coordinate on a countywide strategic economic development plan.


Update of the Future Land Use Element - Summary

Use Florida Standard Urban Transportation Model Structure (FSUTMS) Standard model used throughout the State of Florida

2035 Roadway Network Variables used in transportation modeling

Population Projections Employment Projections Existing Roadway Network

Results of model indicate failing segments on roadway network


Update of the Transportation Element - Summary

Proposed Text Amendments: Reflect adoption of the Land Development Code,

progress in implementing transportation projects Policies to address energy-efficiency and greenhouse

gas reduction Findings of 2035 transportation model



Roadway Limits Improvement 2015 Belle Terre Pkwy Pine Lakes Pkwy (S) to Cypress Point Pkwy Widen to Six Lanes Old Kings Rd Palm Coast City Limits (S) to SR 100 Widen to Four Lanes Old Kings Rd SR 100 to Oak Trails Blvd Widen to Four Lanes Palm Coast Pkwy US 1 to Pine Lakes Pkwy Intersection Improvements 2035 Belle Terre Pkwy US 1 to SR 100 Widen to Four Lanes Belle Terre Pkwy SR 100 to Royal Palms Pkwy Widen to Six Lanes Belle Terre Pkwy White View Pkwy to Pine Lakes Pkwy Widen to Six Lanes Matanzas Woods Pkwy from US 1 to FEC Railroad Widen to Four Lanes Old Kings Road Palm Coast Limits (S) to Palm Coast Pkwy Widen to Six Lanes Old Kings Road Farragut Dr to Farmsworth Dr Widen to Four Lanes Palm Coast Pkwy US 1 to Pine Lakes Pkwy Widen to Eight Lanes Palm Coast Pkwy (EB) Pine Lakes Pkwy to Belle Terre Pkwy Widen to Three Lanes Palm Coast Pkwy (WB) Pine Lakes Pkwy to Belle Terre Pkwy Widen to Three Lanes Palm Coast Pkwy Cypress Point Pkwy to I-95 East Ramps Widen to Eight Lanes Seminole Woods Pkwy US 1 to Sesame Blvd Widen to Four Lanes SR 100 Seminole Woods Pkwy to John Anderson Widen to Six Lanes Town Center Blvd Central Ave to Old Kings Rd Widen to Four Lanes US 1 Whiteview Pkwy to Matanzas Woods Pkwy Widen to Six Lanes



Historic Trend Analysis-Existing Housing

2000 Census 2006-2008 ACS

Housing Stock 90% Single-family 88% Single-family

Age of Housing Nearly all are less than 30 years old (built after 1970)

Nearly all less than 35 years old, 50% are less than 10 years old (built after 2000)

Tenure Owner-Occupancy – 85% of residents

Owner Occupancy – 75% of residents


Update of the Housing Element - Summary

Summary discussion of updated data. Add term “extremely low” as a household category Add reference to joint County-City housing program Add reference to new housing programs such as Neighborhood

Stabilization Program (NSP). Objective and Policy related to energy-efficient homes Renumber various objectives and policies Make policies more inclusive of other housing programs


Update of the Housing Element - Summary

YEAR

2009 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Population 73,910 92,822 112,831 132,201 150,657 168,112

Existing Acres Developed 416.41 5.6 4.5 3.7 3.1 2.8 2.5 Undeveloped 595.04 8.1 6.4 5.3 4.5 3.9 3.5 Local 428.74 5.8 4.6 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.6 District 582.71 7.9 6.3 5.2 4.4 3.9 3.5

Total 1011.45 13.7 10.9 9.0 7.6 6.7 6.0

Allocation of Recreation and Open Space Area


Update of the Recreation & Open Space Element - Summary

Summary discussion of updated data Change Table 4.1 Inventory of Parks Update Policy 4.2.2.1 to reflect completion of various projects Delete outdated references


Update of the Recreation & Open Space Element - Summary

Update of the Infrastructure Element - Summary


Overall Changes Projected demand on public facilities in 2035, Recognition that the City is the provider of water and

sewer services, Recognition that maintenance of stormwater facilities is

under jurisdiction of the City Updated Water Supply Facilities Work Plan Reflect adoption of the LDC


Amend Policies to reflect: Purchase of Florida Water Service Palm Coast Community Service Corporation (PCCSC) dissolved and assets

transferred to the City of Palm Coast Adoption of Land Development Code (LDC) Reclassification of certain listed species Update references to different agencies Update from results of different studies

Recreation and Parks Facilities Master Plan Wetland Mitigation Bank Feasibility Study

Energy Conservation Element Map is being developed as part of comprehensive evaluation of HB 697

City’s “Green” Programs

Conservation & Coastal Management Update of the Conservation & Coastal Management Element - Summary

Add Intergovernmental Agreements since 2004 Joint Water Supply Settlement Agreement Joint County-City Housing Program Coquina Coast Desalination Plant Study Interlocal Agreement for School Facility Planning

Delete references to Palm Coast Community Service Corporation (PCCSC), Florida Water Service (FWS)

Amend reference from Dayton Beach Community College to Daytona State College

Amend reference from NEFRPC to NEFRC


Update of the Intergovernmental Coordination Element - Summary


Update of the Capital Improvements Element - Summary

Policy Changes to Reflect Adoption of LDC Policy Changes to Reflect Palm Coast Community Service

Corporation Unification Policy Changes to Reflect Completion of Palm Coast Parkway

PD&E Policy Changes to Reflect State Statutes for SIS Level-of-

Service Requirements


Update of the Public School Facilities Element - Summary

Element Adopted in 2008 No Goal, Objective, or Policy Changes Data and Analysis Addendum

Include COFTE Projections through 2020 Extend Projections through 2035 Include Latest School District Work Plan


Update of the Comprehensive Plan Map Series - Summary

Reflect updated data from original source Reflect update of planning horizon to 2035 (2035 transportation network

maps) Reflect new city boundaries

comprehensive plan update planning and land development regulation board (pldrb) public hearing...

Documents

share of county growth

future city share

bebr share of growth

citys population share

acceptedhistoric city

population projections

logistic regression

planning horizon update