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Comprehensive Approach to Integrity Assessment of Critical Structural Components with ASPIRE™ Payam Jamshidi, TWI Ltd Sebastian Hartmann, Innospection Ltd

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Page 1: Comprehensive Approach to Integrity Assessment Critical ... › sites › default › files › download-2019-09 › … · 22/01/2019 The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the

Comprehensive Approach to Integrity Assessment of Critical Structural Components with ASPIRE™

Payam Jamshidi, TWI Ltd

Sebastian Hartmann, Innospection Ltd

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22/01/2019 The ASPIRETM - Project is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme Slide 2

OVERVIEW

- Well conductor integrity challenges

- What is ASPIRETM ?

- Advanced well conductor inspection

- Assessment procedure

- Case study

- Conclusion

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22/01/2019 The ASPIRETM - Project is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme Slide 3

• Offshore well bores consist of several concentric tubes

• The outermost well casing, the conductor, protects the inside casings from aggressive corrosion.

• The conductor should not leak, nor buckle or collapse under both axial load and bending moment

Well Conductors

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22/01/2019 4The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Past Conductor Failures

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22/01/2019 5The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Well Conductor Integrity Management Challenges

• Ageing assets

• Missing documentation of the asset

• No or insufficient inspection data available

• Lack of advanced technology available for effective cleaning and inspection of vulnerable areas (i.e. splash zone)

• Lack of advanced technology available for processing of the inspection date to provide a risk based condition assessment of the asset

• Lack of assessment application that can be used on site while the inspection is ongoing allowing for immediate decision making

• No means for easy planning of mitigation options (i.e. repair)

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22/01/2019 6The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

ASPIRETM stands for “Assess Strategy for Upstream Plant Inspection and Repair” and is a software package to integrate the collection, managementand analysis of inspection data for the purpose of providing RBI and repair decision making for upstream assets.

What ASPIRETM does :

• Incorporates a customisable probabilistic based algorithm to use advanced reliability methods to assess failure scenarios for several types of non-standard geometries, loading, environment and operations.

• Links the assessment to input from advanced NDT to analyse the results seamlessly.

• Provides information about operational risk and remaining service life as an output.

What is ASPIRETM ?

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22/01/2019 7The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

System Set Up arrangement & Power Supply

DC Power Supply & Sensor Multiplexer

IN: 110V AC

OUT: max DC 40V – 36A

Monitor & DVD Recorder Camera

IN: 110V AC , ~ 150W

MEC Computer Power :

IN: 110V AC , Rated 130W

OUT: ET Board Output DC 12V & DC 5V

Deck Cable 20m

Umbilical ~150m

Scanner

IN E-Magnet max DC 40V 36A

Camera/Light

DC 12-19V 2.5 Amp full density

Advanced Inspection (MEC-MPS200+)

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22/01/2019 8The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

- Operations

- Little pipe preparation needed (no couplant)

- Remote controlled deployment

- Includes a spray bar for marine growth cleaning based on high pressure jetting

- NDE key points

- up to 1.3” Wall Thickness, sensitive for isolated pit detection, sizing accuracy ≤ +/- 10%

- inspection through coatings (Neoprene etc.) & CRA layers (Monel, Inconel, TSA ) with the MEC technology

- also includes an array of UT probes for a simultaneous mapping of the remaining wall thickness (in addition to MEC)

- inspection speed (net average run speed 0.25m – 0.5 m/sec)

- separate C-Scan corrosion mapping of near side & far side or merged

- Direct online data assessment & integrity assessing data set up

- Delivers wall thickness matrix data in a neutral format (i.e. csv files)Magnetic Field Lines

ECfield

MEC-MPS200+ Inspection Equipment

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22/01/2019 9The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

- Riser / Caissons / Conductors- Combined cleaning & inspection- MEC & UT Technology combination - Inspecting through coatings- No operational interruptions- RAT Deployment / remotely operated

Spla

sh Z

on

e

MEC-MPS200+ Splash Zone Inspection

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22/01/2019 10The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

WT matrix data to be used as input for an advanced integrity assessmentProvided in open data format (i.e. as csv file)

WT Matrix Data used as Input to Assessment

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22/01/2019 11The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

• Purpose• To demonstrate / document viability & integrity of each of conductors

• For next “x” years – Endorsement period – Time/Risk Based Inspection period

• Avoiding any major repairs

• Process• Review of available data

• Design analyses and engineering assessments

• Inspection scopes & results

• Operational history including incidents

Well Conductors

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22/01/2019 12The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

• Design check of well conductors is a stability check based on international best practices: • Petroleum and Natural Gas Industries, “Fixed Offshore Platform”, ISO-19902, 2007

• Institute of Petroleum, “Guideline for the Analysis of Jackup and Fixed Platform Well Conductor System”, 2001

• Design of Concentric Tubular Members, G. R. Imm, B. Stahl, Offshore Technology Conference, 1988.

• Design Methodology for Offshore Platform Conductors, B. Stahl, M. P. Baur, Offshore Technology Conference, 1980.

• Minimum Required Thickness (MRT) is the thickness below which the required cross sectional area is not achieved and failure may occur

• Grouting in annulus of conductor and other internal casing/tubing will influence the MRT calculation. It will be in-conservative not to consider the effect of grouting.

Assessment Procedure

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22/01/2019 13The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

In summary, design evaluation of conductors include:• Determine the equivalent section of the conductor by the supports configuration.

• Determine the stiffness of the conductor based on effective length

• Calculation of the axial loads and bending moment

• Calculation of stress ratio

MRT calculation which is the critical thickness at which the stress ratio is equal to 1.0.

Assessment Procedure

Conductor Subjected to

Axial, Internal and Bending

Strength

Check

Stability

Check

Stress Buckling

Design of Concentric Tubular Members, G. R. Imm, B. Stahl, Offshore Technology Conference, 1988.

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22/01/2019 14The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Loading

Axial CompressionPi: - Axial load due to weight of conductor, internal casings etc.

Pe: - Axial load at each elevation due to weight on top of the conductor

Pi & Pe

Mi & Me

Global BendingMe:- Bending moment due to environmental condition such as “100

year storm – Wave and current” calculated by SACS softwareMi:- Bending moment due to eccentricity of casings

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22/01/2019 15The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Remaining Life AssessmentExternal Indication Internal Indication

Segm

ent

1(M

arin

e co

rro

sio

n z

on

e)

Segm

ent

2(S

pla

sh z

on

e)Se

gmen

t 3

(Sea

Wat

er z

on

e)

The retirement thickness required to

meet the loading condition at each segment of the

conductor

Distribution of corrosion rate per segments based on

thickness data or corrosion models

CR

MRTtRL

imm )(

Averaged Minimum measured thickness

from the SLOFEC results

Distribution of RL(per segment)

---The remaining time to

exceed the Probability of Failure (PoF) target will

be considered as the risk based remaining life.

Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

MEC Inspection Results

1

2

3

4

5

age

TrdtCR nom

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22/01/2019 16The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Corrosion Rates

Mar

ine

Zo

ne

Spla

sh Z

on

eLiterature

Zones of corrosion for Steel Piling in Seawater

Source: F. L. LaQue, Marine Corrosion cause and Precention, P. 116,john Wiley & Sons, 1975. Reproduced by permission of TheElectrochemical Society.

Current Study

According to HSE Research Report 016 - Guideline for use of statistics analysis of sample

inspection of corrosion

Estimated CR will be the 95% confidence limit

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22/01/2019 17The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Risk and Risk Based Remaining Life

• Predictive target risk date (RLI)

• Inspection frequency determined

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22/01/2019 19The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Results per section of conductors

5 5

4 4

3 3

2 2

1 1

Total of 98 sections from 25 conductors

9 2 2

Forcasted Risk In 7 YearsCurrent Risk

1 1 2

2 2 2

15 22 25

4 23

25 28 33

1

1

5 1

A B C D E

CONSEQUENCE

Unmanned M anned or

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

10-6

Water

Injection

OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000 OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000

OH (1)<15000 OH (1)<15000 OH (1)>15000 OH (1)>15000

PR

OB

AB

ILIT

Y

Very High

10-2

High

10-3

Medium

10-4

Low

10-5

Very Low

A B C D E

CONSEQUENCE

Unmanned M anned or

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

10-6

Water

Injection

OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000 OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000

OH (1)<15000 OH (1)<15000 OH (1)>15000 OH (1)>15000

PR

OB

AB

ILIT

YVery High

10-2

High

10-3

Medium

10-4

Low

10-5

Very Low

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22/01/2019 20The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

FEA to validate

Proposed methodology:

Method 1: Applying a reduction strength factor.Method 2: Define distance criteria between two patches of corrosion

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22/01/2019 21The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

ASPIRETM Software – Data HandlingASPIRE - Assess Strategy for Upstream Plant Inspection and Repair

- Easy to use- Produces assessment results by click of a button- Allows visualisation of input data (i.e. wt matrices)- Allows for arbitrary sets of input parameters to simulate different scenarios- Allows managing all conductors forming part of the asset base

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22/01/2019 22The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Verification of Input

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22/01/2019 23The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Risk Assessment

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22/01/2019 24The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Probability of Failure after Repair

DefectRepair patch

Reduction in Probability of failure

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22/01/2019 25The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Conclusions and Summary

- ASPIRETM software package enables criticality assessment of conductors based on the results from advanced inspection

- Based on a proven and transparent methodology for conductor integrity assessment- Calculates Probability of Failure based on input from inspection data- Helps determining Risk-Based Remaining Life of the Conductor- Allows optimising re-inspection periods- Helps prioritising repair work based on a risk ranking of different conductors

inspected- ASPIRETM assessment can be done on site with the inspection results collected

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22/01/2019 26The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

Thanks for your attention.Any questions ?

About the Project Partners:- Innospection: Service provider to the O&G industry for

advanced automated inspection

- TWI: one of Europe’s largest independent research & technology organisations. Non-profit membership based non-profit organisation with 3,500 members from 60 countries.