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Comprehensive Approach to Integrity Assessment of Critical Structural Components with ASPIRE™
Payam Jamshidi, TWI Ltd
Sebastian Hartmann, Innospection Ltd
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22/01/2019 The ASPIRETM - Project is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme Slide 2
OVERVIEW
- Well conductor integrity challenges
- What is ASPIRETM ?
- Advanced well conductor inspection
- Assessment procedure
- Case study
- Conclusion
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22/01/2019 The ASPIRETM - Project is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme Slide 3
• Offshore well bores consist of several concentric tubes
• The outermost well casing, the conductor, protects the inside casings from aggressive corrosion.
• The conductor should not leak, nor buckle or collapse under both axial load and bending moment
Well Conductors
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22/01/2019 4The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Past Conductor Failures
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22/01/2019 5The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Well Conductor Integrity Management Challenges
• Ageing assets
• Missing documentation of the asset
• No or insufficient inspection data available
• Lack of advanced technology available for effective cleaning and inspection of vulnerable areas (i.e. splash zone)
• Lack of advanced technology available for processing of the inspection date to provide a risk based condition assessment of the asset
• Lack of assessment application that can be used on site while the inspection is ongoing allowing for immediate decision making
• No means for easy planning of mitigation options (i.e. repair)
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22/01/2019 6The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
ASPIRETM stands for “Assess Strategy for Upstream Plant Inspection and Repair” and is a software package to integrate the collection, managementand analysis of inspection data for the purpose of providing RBI and repair decision making for upstream assets.
What ASPIRETM does :
• Incorporates a customisable probabilistic based algorithm to use advanced reliability methods to assess failure scenarios for several types of non-standard geometries, loading, environment and operations.
• Links the assessment to input from advanced NDT to analyse the results seamlessly.
• Provides information about operational risk and remaining service life as an output.
What is ASPIRETM ?
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22/01/2019 7The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
System Set Up arrangement & Power Supply
DC Power Supply & Sensor Multiplexer
IN: 110V AC
OUT: max DC 40V – 36A
Monitor & DVD Recorder Camera
IN: 110V AC , ~ 150W
MEC Computer Power :
IN: 110V AC , Rated 130W
OUT: ET Board Output DC 12V & DC 5V
Deck Cable 20m
Umbilical ~150m
Scanner
IN E-Magnet max DC 40V 36A
Camera/Light
DC 12-19V 2.5 Amp full density
Advanced Inspection (MEC-MPS200+)
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22/01/2019 8The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
- Operations
- Little pipe preparation needed (no couplant)
- Remote controlled deployment
- Includes a spray bar for marine growth cleaning based on high pressure jetting
- NDE key points
- up to 1.3” Wall Thickness, sensitive for isolated pit detection, sizing accuracy ≤ +/- 10%
- inspection through coatings (Neoprene etc.) & CRA layers (Monel, Inconel, TSA ) with the MEC technology
- also includes an array of UT probes for a simultaneous mapping of the remaining wall thickness (in addition to MEC)
- inspection speed (net average run speed 0.25m – 0.5 m/sec)
- separate C-Scan corrosion mapping of near side & far side or merged
- Direct online data assessment & integrity assessing data set up
- Delivers wall thickness matrix data in a neutral format (i.e. csv files)Magnetic Field Lines
ECfield
MEC-MPS200+ Inspection Equipment
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22/01/2019 9The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
- Riser / Caissons / Conductors- Combined cleaning & inspection- MEC & UT Technology combination - Inspecting through coatings- No operational interruptions- RAT Deployment / remotely operated
Spla
sh Z
on
e
MEC-MPS200+ Splash Zone Inspection
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22/01/2019 10The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
WT matrix data to be used as input for an advanced integrity assessmentProvided in open data format (i.e. as csv file)
WT Matrix Data used as Input to Assessment
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22/01/2019 11The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
• Purpose• To demonstrate / document viability & integrity of each of conductors
• For next “x” years – Endorsement period – Time/Risk Based Inspection period
• Avoiding any major repairs
• Process• Review of available data
• Design analyses and engineering assessments
• Inspection scopes & results
• Operational history including incidents
Well Conductors
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22/01/2019 12The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
• Design check of well conductors is a stability check based on international best practices: • Petroleum and Natural Gas Industries, “Fixed Offshore Platform”, ISO-19902, 2007
• Institute of Petroleum, “Guideline for the Analysis of Jackup and Fixed Platform Well Conductor System”, 2001
• Design of Concentric Tubular Members, G. R. Imm, B. Stahl, Offshore Technology Conference, 1988.
• Design Methodology for Offshore Platform Conductors, B. Stahl, M. P. Baur, Offshore Technology Conference, 1980.
• Minimum Required Thickness (MRT) is the thickness below which the required cross sectional area is not achieved and failure may occur
• Grouting in annulus of conductor and other internal casing/tubing will influence the MRT calculation. It will be in-conservative not to consider the effect of grouting.
Assessment Procedure
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22/01/2019 13The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
In summary, design evaluation of conductors include:• Determine the equivalent section of the conductor by the supports configuration.
• Determine the stiffness of the conductor based on effective length
• Calculation of the axial loads and bending moment
• Calculation of stress ratio
MRT calculation which is the critical thickness at which the stress ratio is equal to 1.0.
Assessment Procedure
Conductor Subjected to
Axial, Internal and Bending
Strength
Check
Stability
Check
Stress Buckling
Design of Concentric Tubular Members, G. R. Imm, B. Stahl, Offshore Technology Conference, 1988.
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22/01/2019 14The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Loading
Axial CompressionPi: - Axial load due to weight of conductor, internal casings etc.
Pe: - Axial load at each elevation due to weight on top of the conductor
Pi & Pe
Mi & Me
Global BendingMe:- Bending moment due to environmental condition such as “100
year storm – Wave and current” calculated by SACS softwareMi:- Bending moment due to eccentricity of casings
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22/01/2019 15The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Remaining Life AssessmentExternal Indication Internal Indication
Segm
ent
1(M
arin
e co
rro
sio
n z
on
e)
Segm
ent
2(S
pla
sh z
on
e)Se
gmen
t 3
(Sea
Wat
er z
on
e)
The retirement thickness required to
meet the loading condition at each segment of the
conductor
Distribution of corrosion rate per segments based on
thickness data or corrosion models
CR
MRTtRL
imm )(
Averaged Minimum measured thickness
from the SLOFEC results
Distribution of RL(per segment)
---The remaining time to
exceed the Probability of Failure (PoF) target will
be considered as the risk based remaining life.
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
MEC Inspection Results
1
2
3
4
5
age
TrdtCR nom
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22/01/2019 16The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Corrosion Rates
Mar
ine
Zo
ne
Spla
sh Z
on
eLiterature
Zones of corrosion for Steel Piling in Seawater
Source: F. L. LaQue, Marine Corrosion cause and Precention, P. 116,john Wiley & Sons, 1975. Reproduced by permission of TheElectrochemical Society.
Current Study
According to HSE Research Report 016 - Guideline for use of statistics analysis of sample
inspection of corrosion
Estimated CR will be the 95% confidence limit
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22/01/2019 17The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Risk and Risk Based Remaining Life
• Predictive target risk date (RLI)
• Inspection frequency determined
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22/01/2019 19The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Results per section of conductors
5 5
4 4
3 3
2 2
1 1
Total of 98 sections from 25 conductors
9 2 2
Forcasted Risk In 7 YearsCurrent Risk
1 1 2
2 2 2
15 22 25
4 23
25 28 33
1
1
5 1
A B C D E
CONSEQUENCE
Unmanned M anned or
Very Low Low Medium High Very High
10-6
Water
Injection
OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000 OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000
OH (1)<15000 OH (1)<15000 OH (1)>15000 OH (1)>15000
PR
OB
AB
ILIT
Y
Very High
10-2
High
10-3
Medium
10-4
Low
10-5
Very Low
A B C D E
CONSEQUENCE
Unmanned M anned or
Very Low Low Medium High Very High
10-6
Water
Injection
OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000 OP (1)<10000 OP (1)>10000
OH (1)<15000 OH (1)<15000 OH (1)>15000 OH (1)>15000
PR
OB
AB
ILIT
YVery High
10-2
High
10-3
Medium
10-4
Low
10-5
Very Low
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22/01/2019 20The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
FEA to validate
Proposed methodology:
Method 1: Applying a reduction strength factor.Method 2: Define distance criteria between two patches of corrosion
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22/01/2019 21The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
ASPIRETM Software – Data HandlingASPIRE - Assess Strategy for Upstream Plant Inspection and Repair
- Easy to use- Produces assessment results by click of a button- Allows visualisation of input data (i.e. wt matrices)- Allows for arbitrary sets of input parameters to simulate different scenarios- Allows managing all conductors forming part of the asset base
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22/01/2019 22The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Verification of Input
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22/01/2019 23The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Risk Assessment
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22/01/2019 24The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Probability of Failure after Repair
DefectRepair patch
Reduction in Probability of failure
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22/01/2019 25The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Conclusions and Summary
- ASPIRETM software package enables criticality assessment of conductors based on the results from advanced inspection
- Based on a proven and transparent methodology for conductor integrity assessment- Calculates Probability of Failure based on input from inspection data- Helps determining Risk-Based Remaining Life of the Conductor- Allows optimising re-inspection periods- Helps prioritising repair work based on a risk ranking of different conductors
inspected- ASPIRETM assessment can be done on site with the inspection results collected
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22/01/2019 26The ASPIRETM - Project 760460 is funded by the EU under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Thanks for your attention.Any questions ?
About the Project Partners:- Innospection: Service provider to the O&G industry for
advanced automated inspection
- TWI: one of Europe’s largest independent research & technology organisations. Non-profit membership based non-profit organisation with 3,500 members from 60 countries.