completing the draft state energy plan...projected impacts of climate change –sea level rise,...
TRANSCRIPT
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New York State Energy Planning Board
Completing the Draft State Energy Plan
August 29, 2013
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New Considerations – Energy Highway – Irene/Lee/Sandy Lessons Learned and
Commissions Recommendations
New Initiatives – Green Bank – NY-Sun
Background
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The Draft Plan will take these new considerations into account, while meeting statutory goals: – Improving reliability – Costs to consumers
• Including overall cost and price volatility – Minimizing public health and environmental impacts – Maximizing cost-effective energy efficiency
Background cont.
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Volume 1: Vision
Jill Anderson New York Power Authority
New York State Draft Energy Plan
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1. Articulate the vision for the energy system in New York, 20 to 25 years forward
2. Describe current context of the energy system – Recent achievements – Current challenges – Drivers that will shape the future
3. Outline strategies to move NY toward its vision – Near-term action items – Long-term policy goals – Meaningful metrics
Vision
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Attributes: Reliable and safe Flexible and adaptable Clean and sustainable Affordable and competitive
Vision cont.
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Current themes: Empowering customers and communities Stimulating private sector investment Improving system efficiency Enabling markets and market participants Investing in strategic infrastructure Protecting the environment and public health Capturing economic opportunity
Vision cont.
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Examples of proposed metrics: CO2 emissions per energy Economic productivity per BTU consumed Energy rates and total bill costs Energy consumption and peak demand Number of customers relying on oil for heat Alternate vehicles registered Number of alternate fueling and charging stations Direct and net jobs created and retained Air quality standards met state-wide
Vision cont.
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Volume 2: End-Uses
John Williams New York State Energy Research and
Development Authority
New York State Draft Energy Plan
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Sections: – Energy Use and Cost – Building and Industry Energy Efficiency – Transportation – Growing the Clean Energy Economy
Energy End-Use Chapter
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Historical and forecasted energy use by sector and fuel type
Historical energy expenditures by sector and fuel type
Fuel price forecasts for selected fuels
Energy End-Use Chapter: Energy Use and Cost
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Energy End-Use Chapter: Energy Use and Cost
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Update on energy efficiency programs and
achievements
Building codes and standards
Potential for additional energy savings
Energy End-Use Chapter: Building and Industry Energy Efficiency
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Transportation energy use and costs – Demographic trends – Costs to Consumers and Petroleum Price Volatility – Fiscal Crisis with system funding
Transportation efficiency and alt. fuels – Mode shifts – Information Technologies – Alternate fuel vehicle opportunities
Energy End-Use Chapter: Transportation
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Comprehensive Initiatives that support the clean energy economy across the business lifecycle
Building on New York’s clean energy assets Innovation and R&D
– Technology Transfer and Capital Creation Workforce
Energy End-Use Chapter: Growing the Clean Energy Economy
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Volume 2: Sources
Jeff Cohen New York State
Department of Public Service
New York State Draft Energy Plan
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Sections: – Electricity – Natural Gas – Petroleum Products – Renewable Resources
Sources Chapter
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Industry Overview
Capacity and Generation by Fuel Type
T&D Systems & Planning
Markets and Prices
Sources Chapter: Electricity
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Production and Supply
North American and NY Demand
Infrastructure Siting and Expansion
Production Costs and Prices
Sources Chapter: Natural Gas
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Historic and Current Demand Infrastructure and Distribution Networks Distillate / Residual / Propane / Gasoline
Sources Chapter: Petroleum Products
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Value and Contribution of Renewable Resources
Potential of Renewable Energy
Technology Assessments
RPS Program
Sources Chapter: Renewable Resources
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Volume 2: Impacts
Jared Snyder New York State
Department of Environmental Conservation
New York State Draft Energy Plan
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Sections: – Climate Change and Environmental Impacts – Public Health – Environmental Justice – Smart Growth – Security and Resiliency
Impacts and Considerations Chapter
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Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Inventory Projected Impacts of Climate Change
– Sea Level Rise, Extreme Weather, More Frequent and Intense Precipitation, Flooding
Evaluating the Costs of Climate Change Key GHG-Related Policies and Programs
– RGGI/CO2 Performance Standard – Cleaner Greener Communities – GHG Emission Standards
Impacts and Considerations Chapter: Climate Change
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0
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60
70
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$0.00
$200.00
$400.00
$600.00
$800.00
$1,000.00
$1,200.00
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Combined GSP (millions of dollars) CO2 Emissions (million tons)
Decoupling Economic Output from Power Sector Emissions
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Impacts on Resources from Electricity Generation, Transportation, Stationary Uses and Energy Distribution – Air – Water – Natural resources and wildlife
Air Related Policies and Programs
Impacts and Considerations Chapter: Environmental Resources
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Benzene Ambient Air Concentration (2000 to 2012)
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0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Con
cent
ratio
n (µ
g/m
3 )
New York City Average
Annual Guideline Concentration
90th Percentile
10th
State Average
New York
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New York State Health Status Health Effects Associated with Carbon-based
Fuels Health Concerns by Energy Sector
Electricity: fossil fuels, nuclear, wind, reliability Transportation: fossil fuels, transportation options Buildings: fossil fuels, biomass, efficiency
Considering Health in Energy Planning
Impacts and Considerations Chapter: Public Health
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Burdens Affecting EJ Communities - Energy Costs and Economic Impacts - Facility and Transportation Emissions
• Health Disparities - Climate Change - Community Impacts
Consideration of EJ in Permitting - 6NYCRR Part 487 - Commissioner’s Policy 29
EJ Policies and Programs
Impacts and Considerations Chapter: Environmental Justice
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Queens County Map of Potential EJ Areas and Density of Facilities
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Impact of Land Use and Development Patterns on Energy Use in Transportation and Buildings
Smart Growth Programs and Practices – Regional Planning Initiatives – Smart Growth Public Infrastructure Act – Transportation and Climate Initiative (TCI) – Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) – Complete Streets
Impacts and Considerations Chapter: Smart Growth
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Vulnerabilities of the Energy System – Risks from Climate Change – Hazards and Threats Affecting Security
Building Energy System Resiliency
Impacts and Considerations Chapter: Security and Resiliency
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Formed core team to draft chapters – Agency outreach on substantive issues
External outreach to update vision
Engaged Arch Street for graphic design
Process
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Draft Plan to be presented to Board, issued to public - Fall 2013
Written Public Comment Period Minimum 6 Public Comment Hearings
3 “Upstate” and 3 “Downstate” Final Plan to be presented to Board for
adoption – Target: Spring 2014
Process cont.
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Questions or Comments?
Board Discussion
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