communicable disease control public health, year 4, mms yr 4 ph paediatrics 1
TRANSCRIPT
Why do Outbreaks occur?Why do Outbreaks occur?• Groups of 3Groups of 3• 5 minutes5 minutes• Rapid feedbackRapid feedback
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How do outbreaks occur?How do outbreaks occur?
•Need to have epidemiological Need to have epidemiological disease-cause triad of:disease-cause triad of:
–agentagent–host host –environmentenvironment
•And a chain of transmission that And a chain of transmission that links the abovelinks the above
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Status: Susceptible/ Immune/ InfectedResponse: No illness/ Typical illness/ Atypical or v severe illness (e.g. immunocompromised)
Infectivity Pathogenicity
Virulence
conditions or influences not part of agent or host, which influence their interaction
HostAgent
Environment
The host-agent-environment triad
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CHAIN OF TRANSMISSION
AgeGenetic determinants
Nutritional statusUnderlying medical condition
ImmunosuppressionCo-infection
Treatment with antimicrobialsBehaviour
Psychogenic factors
Ability to survive in environment
Mode of transmissionAbility to attach, invade,
multiply in hostDuration of infectivity
Evasion of host immunityResistance to
antimicrobial therapy
Immunity of immediate contactsIncidence of infection in contacts
Human population density,movement & mixing
Vector/ reservoir densityDisease incidence in
vector/reservoirResistance to interventions in
vector/reservoirClimate & environmental change
Antibiotics in the environmentOther pathogens
Water supplySanitation
Host Agent
Environment
from Cohen J, Powderly. Infectious Diseases, Second edition. Edinburgh: Mosby; 2004
The host-agent-environment triad
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Key termsKey terms
•Index case•first case to come to the attention of the investigator: not always the primary case•Primary case •case that introduces the disease into the family/group/population•Secondary case •catches infection from primary case•Incubation period •time between between infection and developing first symptoms
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Key terms 2Key terms 2
•Latent period= time between infection and becoming infectious•Incubation period= the time interval between acquisition of infection and onset of illness/symptoms•Attack rate= proportion of exposed population that becomes clinically ill
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What is disease surveillance? What is disease surveillance?
systematic process of:–Collecting and collating data–Analysing data– Interpreting the results – feeding back the information to
those who need to take action
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It’s not new.....It’s not new.....•1660’s-1830’s: Bills of Mortality weekly statistics for numbers buried in each parish who died of the plague & other causes•C19th: Medical Officer of Health Reports
Since late C19th : statutory notification of infectious diseases
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Surveillance – a classical Surveillance – a classical modelmodel
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Event
Real world – Expect changes
Intervention
Data
Analysis and interpretation
Information
Health care system Public Health Authority
Reporting
Decision (feedback)
Surveillance vs. Research Surveillance vs. Research SurveillanceSurveillance•Applies existing knowledge to guide the health Applies existing knowledge to guide the health system in the use of known control measuressystem in the use of known control measures - directly relevant to - directly relevant to monitoringmonitoring and and controlcontrol measuresmeasures
ResearchResearch•Pursues new knowledge from which better control Pursues new knowledge from which better control measures will resultsmeasures will results- systematic investigation, testing and evaluation - systematic investigation, testing and evaluation designed to develop or contribute to knowledgedesigned to develop or contribute to knowledge
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Creating a Surveillance Creating a Surveillance systemsystem
• TASK: What do you do when you TASK: What do you do when you are ill?are ill?
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Health Protection Regulations Health Protection Regulations 20102010
• Requires :• Registered medical practitioners to notify the proper
officer of the local authority if a patient:• has a notifiable disease• has an infection that could present significant harm• is contaminated• has died with a disease or infection that could present
significant harm• Diagnostic laboratories to notify PHE when evidence of
infections caused by specified agents
http://www.hpa.org.uk/Topics/InfectiousDiseases/InfectionsAZ/HealthProtectionRegulations/PUBLIC HEALTH PEP 17
DISEASES NOTIFIABLE UNDER THE PUBLIC HEALTH (INFECTIOUS DISEASES) REGULATIONS 2010
Acute encephalitis Acute infectious hepatitis Acute meningitis Acute poliomyelitis Anthrax Botulism Brucellosis Cholera Diphtheria Enteric fever (typhoid or paratyphoid fever) Food poisoning Haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS) Infectious bloody diarrhoea Invasive group A streptococcal disease Legionnaires’ Disease Leprosy
Malaria Measles Meningococcal septicaemia Mumps Plague Rabies Rubella SARS Scarlet fever Smallpox Tetanus Tuberculosis Typhus Viral haemorrhagic fever (VHF) Whooping cough Yellow fever
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Patterns of reporting to national surveillance for Campylobacter, Salmonella, norovirus and rotavirus, UK 2008–9.
Tam C C et al. Gut doi:10.1136/gut.2011.238386
Copyright © BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Society of Gastroenterology. All rights reserved.
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Evaluating surveillance systemsEvaluating surveillance systems
Simplicity Is system easy to access & use from perspective of various users
Flexibility How readily can it be adapted
Data quality Is data of sufficient quality & consistency to assure reliable use for intended purpose
Acceptability Are procedures for obtaining data nonintrusive, are the data useful, perceived as wise investment
Sensitivity Probability that a case will be identified
What percentage of epidemics or outbreaks are detected
Predictive value Probability of the disease/event given the surveillance data
Likelihood that alerts represent events that we are seeking to detect
Representativeness To what extent is the pattern representative of the health of the population
Timeliness Does system provide data that allows timely investigations & effective intervention
Stability Is there assurance that trends reflect health/illness & not changes in how data collected/managed
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Why is surveillance important??
1. Enables timely public health action for sporadic cases e.g. contact tracing
2. Detection of outbreaks/clusters3. Monitor trends in disease4. Estimating magnitude of problem5. Can monitor and evaluate prevention and
control programmes6. Feeds into policy decisions and planning
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What is an outbreak?What is an outbreak?An outbreak or an epidemic exists when there are more cases of a particular disease than expected in a given area, or among a specific group of people over a particular period of time
OrOne case of serious/rare disease e.g. Ebola/plague/smallpox
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Why investigate outbreaks?
•To control it•To understand what happened•To prevent future outbreaks•Research and training opportunities•Programme evaluation•Public, political or legal concerns
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Steps of an outbreak Steps of an outbreak investigationinvestigation
1. Verify diagnosis 2. Confirm the outbreak3. Define a case4. Conduct case finding5. Descriptive epidemiology 6. Formulate and test hypotheses7. Analytical epidemiology8. Microbiological and environmental investigation9. Implement and evaluate control measures10.Communicate findings
These steps may occur simultaneously or be repeated as new information is received
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HCAI•Mandatory Surveillance
– Meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) bacteraemia
– Meticillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) bacteraemia
– Escherichia coli (E. coli) bacteraemia
– Clostridium difficile infection (CDI)
•Emerging issues– CPE– VRE
31 MMHSC Study Day
Hand Hygiene- its not difficult Hand Hygiene- its not difficult in the UK!in the UK!
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