commonsense reasoning and argumentation 14/15 hc 15: concluding remarks henry prakken 1 april 2015

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Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

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Page 1: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15

HC 15:Concluding remarks

Henry Prakken1 April 2015

Page 2: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Contents Commonsense reasoning and

probabilities Argument visualisation software Final project options Questions?

Page 3: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Commonsense reasoning and probabilities

Principles of defeasible reasoning cannot be purely founded on probability theory (PT): Not all defeasibility is probabilistic

Frame axioms, norms, goals, ... PT produces mere probabilities

But probability theory can inform NML

Page 4: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Argumentation visualisation software

Support for drafting and visualising argumentation structuring argumentative texts

Useful for: Teaching argumentation

Araucaria, Rationale Sense making

Intelligence Crime investigation E-democracy

Online discussion forums Debategraph.org

Case file management …

Not knowledge-based!

Page 5: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015
Page 6: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Rationale

Page 7: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Steven van Driel (2010): argumentatiestructuur van een deskundigenrapport

Page 8: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Refuting a prediction

D causes SS is observedSo D is the case

D causes SNot-S is observedSo D is not the case

Page 9: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Topics for final Msc project (1)

Theoretical research on inference Defeasible vs. probabilistic reasoning

E.g. add probabilistic strengths to ASPIC+ A theory of preferences in argumentation Optimising argument games by utilising the

structure of arguments Dynamics in structured argumentation

Theoretical research on dialogue Dialogue protocols Agent strategies and personalities Argumentation in negotiation or deliberation Relation with game theory …

Page 10: Commonsense Reasoning and Argumentation 14/15 HC 15: Concluding remarks Henry Prakken 1 April 2015

Topics for final Msc project (2)

Implementation Argument games, argument visualisation, dialogue

protocols, dialogical agents … Apply a logic or implementation to a certain

problem Medical, legal, …

Experiment Effects of agent strategies or personalities, …

Simulation environment available! Recognising agent strategies or personalities …